Nationwide opinion polling for the 1940 United States presidential election

This article provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 1940 United States presidential election.

Presidential election

Franklin Roosevelt vs Wendell Willkie
Polling aggregates
Candidates
  Franklin Roosevelt
  Alf Landon
  Undecided
Poll source Date Franklin Roosevelt
Democratic		 Wendell Willkie
Republican		 Others Undecided Leading by
(points)
Election Results November 5, 1936 54.74% 44.78% 0.48% - 9.96
Gallup[1] November 4, 1940 52% 48% - - [lower-alpha 1] 4
Gallup[2] October 27, 1940 50.69% 42.32% - 7% 8.37
Gallup[3] October 6, 1940 50.40% 39.60% 1% 9% 10.80
Gallup[4] September 20, 1940 48.95% 40.05% - 11% 8.90
Gallup[5] September 3, 1940 45.90% 44.10% - 10% 1.80
Gallup[6] August 24, 1940 44.88% 43.12% - 12% 1.76
Gallup[7] August 5, 1940 44.37% 42.63% - 13% 1.74
Gallup[8] July 12, 1940 47.70% 42.30% - 10% 5.40

Polling for the Republican Presidential Nomination
Polling aggregates
Candidates
  Wendell Willkie
  Thomas Dewey
  Robert Taft
  Arthur Vandenburg
  Herbert Hoover
  Undecided
Poll source Date
Others
Undecided
 Leading by
(points)
Gallup[9] November 27, 1938 - 33% 18% 18% 6% 6% - 5% - - - - - 17% - [lower-alpha 1] 15
Gallup[10] February 17, 1939 - 14.04% 8.32% 10.92% 2.08% 3.64% 2.08% - - 2.08% - - - 8.84% 48% 3.12
Gallup[11] March 22, 1939 - 23.00% 5.98% 6.90% 2.30% 1.84% 0.92% 0.92% - - - - - 4.14% 54% 16.10
Gallup[12] May 10, 1939 - 31.86% 8.85% 7.67% 2.36% 1.77% 1.77% 0.59% 0.59% 0.59% - - 0.59% 2.36% 41% 16.10
Gallup[13] July 7, 1939 - 47% 13% 19% 6% 4% 3% 1% 1% 2% - - - 4% - [lower-alpha 1] 28
Gallup[14] August 13, 1939 - 26.55% 8.26% 14.75% 3.54% 1.77% 1.18% - 1.18% - - - - 1.77% 41% 11.80
Gallup[15] October 13, 1939 - 33.54% 14.62% 23.22% 3.54% 3.44% 2.58% - 0.86% - 0.86% 0.86% - 2.58% 14% 10.32
Gallup[16] November 10, 1939 - 39% 18% 26% 5% 3% 3% 1% - - 1% 1% - 4% - [lower-alpha 1] 13
- 44% 31% 25% - - - - - - - - - - - [lower-alpha 1] 13
Gallup[17] January 7, 1940 - 37.80% 6.93% 10.08% 3.15% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% - - - - 1.89% 37% 27.72
Gallup[18] May 8, 1940 2.16% 48.24% 8.64% 10.08% 1.44% - - - - - - - - 2.16% 28% 38.16
Gallup[19] May 17, 1940 3.70% 45.88% 10.36% 9.62% 1.48% - - - - - - - - 2.96% 26% 35.52
Gallup[20] May 31, 1940 6.80% 38.08% 10.88% 8.16% 1.36% - - - - - - - - 2.72% 32% 27.20
Gallup[21] June 12, 1940 13.43% 41.08% 10.27% 9.48% 1.56% 0.79% - - - - - - - 2.37% 21% 27.65
Gallup[22] June 21, 1940 19.14% 31.02% 5.28% 5.28% 3.96% - - - - - - - - 1.32% 34% 11.88
Gallup[23] July 8, 1940 44% 29% 13% - - - - - - - - - - 14% - [lower-alpha 1] 15

Polling for the Democratic Presidential Nomination
Poll source Date
Others
Undecided
 Leading by
(points)
Gallup[24] July 31, 1938 - 23% 12% 16% 5% 2% - - - 2% 3% - - 3% - - 5% 25% - [lower-alpha 1] 7
Gallup[25] March 26, 1939 - 42% 10% 10% 5% 2% - - - 2% - 8% 2% 3% - - - 14% - [lower-alpha 1] 32
Gallup[26] May 21, 1939 - 50% 13% 9% 3% 3% - - - 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% - - - 11% - [lower-alpha 1] 37
Gallup[27] June 14, 1939 - 23.03% 5.88% 7.84% 1.47% 1.47% - - - 0.49% 1.47% 2.45% 0.98% - - - - 3.43% 51% 15.19
Gallup[28] August 4, 1939 - 46% 12% 12% 13% 2% - - - 1% 1% 3% 1% - - - - 8% - [lower-alpha 1] 33
Gallup[29] September 13, 1939 - 45% 10% 10% 21% 2% - - - 1% - 1% 1% - - - - 9% - [lower-alpha 1] 24
Gallup[30] November 6, 1939 83% 8% 3% 1% 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - 2% - [lower-alpha 1] 75
- 45% 13% 8% 18% 3% - - - 2% - - 1% - 2% 1% - 8% - [lower-alpha 1] 75
Gallup[31] January 3, 1940 58.85% 9.75% 1.50% 0.75% 3.00% 0.75% - - - - - - - - - - - 0.75% 25% 49.10
- 27.84% 3.84% 2.40% 8.16% - - - - - - - - - - - - 5.76% 52% 19.68
Gallup[32] February 19, 1940 58.50% 7.50% 4.50% 0.75% 1.50% - 0.75% - - - - - - - - - - 1.50% 25% 51.00
- 20.00% 12.50% 4.00% 5.50% 0.50% 2.00% 0.50% 1.50% - - - - - - - - 2.20% 50% 7.50
Gallup[33] May 15, 1940 - 11.55% 25.85% 8.80% 3.30% - 2.20% 0.55% 0.55% - - - - - - - - 2.20% 45% 14.30
Gallup[34] July 1, 1940 76.36% 1.66% 2.49% 0.83% 0.83% - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.83% 17% 73.87
- 11.96% 24.44% 6.24% 4.68% - 1.56% 0.56% 0.56% - - - - - - - - 2.08% 48% 12.48

References
  1. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 248.
  2. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 248.
  3. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 245.
  4. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 242.
  5. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 239.
  6. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 238.
  7. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 235.
  8. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 232.
  9. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 127.
  10. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 140.
  11. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 146.
  12. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 153.
  13. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 164.
  14. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 173.
  15. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 185.
  16. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 189.
  17. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 199.
  18. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 222.
  19. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 224.
  20. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 226.
  21. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 228.
  22. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 229.
  23. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 231.
  24. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 112.
  25. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 147.
  26. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 155.
  27. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 159.
  28. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 171.
  29. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 180.
  30. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 189.
  31. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 199.
  32. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 208.
  33. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 224.
  34. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Volume I. p. 230.
  1. On occasion it seems that Gallup would not mention how many of those polled were Undecided, and would subsequently only announce the results of those who were Decided on a candidate. Possibly this information is in the Gallup Brain Archives.
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