Opinion polling for the 2019 Turkish local elections

In the run-up to the 2019 Turkish local elections held on 31 March, various pollsters conducted opinion polls to gauge voting intentions in Turkey's major cities. Additionally, a number of polls were gauged to predict overall vote shares in the local election. This page lists these polls conducted by city, listing the most recent studies first.

See also: Opinion polls in Turkey
Main article: 2019 Turkish local elections

Overall opinion polling

The below table shows nationwide opinion polls conducted to gauge overall vote shares.

Date Pollster Sample AKP CHP MHP HDP İYİ Others Lead
31 March 2019Local elections 2019–42.529.67.25.67.47.712.9
26 February 2019Konsensus–40.733.66.44.74.110.57.1
28 Dec 2018 – 3 Jan 2019OPTIMAR25245.528.67.67.67.73.116.9
7–13 Oct 2018ORC5,18640.329.719.56.32.91.110.6
11 July 2016AKAM8,89040.632.311.711.6N/A3.88.3
30 March 2014Local elections 201443,543,71742.926.317.86.3N/A6.816.5

By province

Istanbul
Date Pollster Sample size Yıldırım İmamoğlu Others Undecided Lead
31 Mar 2019 2019 election (annulled) – 48.6 48.8 2.6 – 0.2
20-29 Mar 2019 PİAR 11,445 48.5 48.7 0.2
19 Mar 2019 Optimar 6,022 49.7 48.8 – – 0.9
10–18 Mar 2019 ADA 16,500 48.4 49.2 2.4 – 0.8
18 March 2019 Themis 2,161 48.3 49.3 2.4 - 1.0
16–17 Mar 2019 Gezici – 49.3 48.6 2.1 – 0.7
8 March 2019 Avrasya 2,440 48.5 50.1 1.4 – 1.6
26 Feb-4 Mar 2019 ORC 8,160 50.9 46.6 2.5 – 4.3
23–24 Feb 2019 Gezici – 52.1 46.6 1.3 – 5.5
9–15 Feb 2019 PollMark 5,024 36.0 37.8 – 26.2 1.8
28 Jan-2 Feb 2019 ORC 5,950 43.6 39.7 2.8 13.9 3.9
28 Jan-2 Feb 2019 Optimar 3,012 45.9 41.6 - 12.5 4.3
16 January 2019 Avrasya - 44.0 42.0 - 14.0 2.0
19–22 Dec 2018 PIAR 3,120 36.5 33.0 - 30.5 3.5
Alliance People's
  AKP +   MHP		 Nation
  CHP +   İYİ		 None N/A N/A
IncumbentMevlüt Uysal   AKP

Ankara
Date Pollster Sample size Özhaseki Yavaş Others Undecided Lead
31 Mar 2019 2019 election – 47.1 50.9 2.0 – 3.8
16–17 Mar 2019 Gezici - 47.7 49.8 2.5 – 2.1
8 March 2019 PIAR – 44.6 54.1 1.3 – 9.5
8 March 2019 Avrasya 1,940 45.6 51.6 2.8 – 5.0
23–24 Feb 2019 Gezici – 51.8 46.3 1.9 – 5.5
8–24 Feb 2019 AREA – 45.5 51.2 3.3 – 5.7
10–16 Feb 2019 PollMark 5,040 32.0 42.1 – 25.9 10.1
31 Jan-2 Feb 2019 PIAR – 35.8 41.7 – 22.5 5.9
17–31 Jan 2019 ORC – 36.8 41.9 2.3 19.0 5.1
26–27 Jan 2019 Gezici – 52.2 47.8 – – 4.4
19–28 Sep 2018 SAROS 1,620 44.3 54.1 1.6 – 9.8
Alliance People's
  AKP +   MHP		 Nation
  CHP +   İYİ		 None N/A N/A
IncumbentMustafa Tuna   AKP

Adana
Date Pollster Sample size Sözlü Karalar Others Undecided Lead
31 Mar 2019 2019 election – 42.8 53.6 3.6 – 10.8
16–17 Mar 2019 Gezici – 54.1 45.4 0.5 – 8.7
8 March 2019 Avrasya 1,510 47.0 51.5 1.5 – 4.5
4 March 2019 Avrasya – 46.1 51.9 2.0 – 5.8
23–24 Feb 2019 Gezici – 56.1 43.2 0.7 – 12.9
10–17 Feb 2019 Avrasya – 37.4 40.6 – 22.0 3.2
26–27 Jan 2019 Gezici – 57.7 42.3 – – 15.4
Alliance People's
  MHP +   AKP		 Nation
  CHP +   İYİ		 None N/A N/A
IncumbentHüseyin Sözlü   MHP

Bursa
Date Pollster Sample size Aktaş Bozbey Others Undecided Lead
31 Mar 2019 2019 election – 49.8 47.0 3.2 – 2.8
16–17 Mar 2019 Gezici - 46.6 52.9 0.5 – 6.3
8–12 Mar 2019 Metropoll 3,122 45.1 52.4 2.6 – 7.3
8 March 2019 Avrasya 1,440 49.8 49.0 1.2 – 0.8
23–24 Feb 2019 Gezici – 46.8 52.7 0.5 – 5.9
17–31 Jan 2019 ORC – 35.2 36.5 2.8 25.5 1.3
26–27 Jan 2019 Gezici – 51.2 48.8 – – 2.4
Alliance People's
  AKP +   MHP		 Nation
  CHP +   İYİ		 None N/A N/A
IncumbentAlinur Aktaş   AKP

Eskişehir
Date Pollster Sample size Sakallı Büyükerşen Others Undecided Lead
31 Mar 2019 2019 election – 45.1 52.3 2.6 – 7.2
28 March 2019 ORC – 48.5 49.2 2.3 – 1.1
8 March 2019 PIAR – 41.0 57.2 1.8 – 16.2
2–4 Mar 2019 ORC 1,425 48.5 49.6 1.9 – 1.1
17–31 Jan 2019 ORC – 40.2 39.8 1.6 18.4 0.4
Alliance People's
  AKP +   MHP		 Nation
  CHP +   İYİ		 None N/A N/A
IncumbentYılmaz Büyükerşen   CHP

Antalya
Date Pollster Sample size Türel Böcek Others Undecided Lead
31 Mar 2019 2019 election – 46.3 50.6 3.1 – 4.3
8 March 2019 Avrasya 1,560 44.4 54.3 1.3 – 9.9
4 March 2019 PIAR – 44.5 53.1 2.4 – 8.6
2–4 Mar 2019 ORC 2,596 48.9 46.7 1.9 – 1.1
23–24 Feb 2019 Gezici – 52.2 47.1 0.7 – 5.1
17–31 Jan 2019 ORC – 38.7 40.5 2.4 18.4 1.8
Alliance People's
  AKP +   MHP		 Nation
  CHP +   İYİ		 None N/A N/A
IncumbentMenderes Türel   AKP

Hatay
Date Pollster Sample size Güler Savaş Others Undecided Lead
31 Mar 2019 2019 election – 42.8 55.2 2.0 – 12.4
16–17 Mar 2019 Gezici – 51.1 47.8 1.1 – 3.3
8 March 2019 Avrasya 1,060 42.0 56.1 1.9 – 14.1
4 March 2019 PIAR – 42.1 56.0 1.9 – 13.9
3–4 Mar 2019 EMAX 1,650 43.7 40.8 0.9 14.6 2.9
23–24 Feb 2019 Gezici – 55.8 43.3 0.9 – 12.5
Alliance People's
  AKP +   MHP		 Nation
  CHP +   İYİ		 None N/A N/A
IncumbentLütfü Savaş   CHP

Balıkesir
Date Pollster Sample size Yılmaz Ok Others Undecided Lead
31 Mar 2019 2019 election – 47.8 46.5 5.7 – 1.3
16–17 Mar 2019 Gezici – 53.1 45.8 1.1 – 7.3
23–24 Feb 2019 Gezici – 55.8 42.4 1.8 – 13.4
17–21 Jan 2019 ORC 1,420 48.5 46.6 4.9 – 1.9
Alliance People's
  AKP +   MHP		 Nation
  İYİ +   CHP		 None N/A N/A
IncumbentZekai Kafaoğlu   AKP

Denizli
Date Pollster Sample size Zolan Bahtiyar Others Undecided Lead
31 Mar 2019 2019 election – 50.6 43.9 5.5 – 6.7
14–20 Mar 2019 PIAR 7,022 47.1 49.1 3.8 – 2.0
8 March 2019 Avrasya 1,060 48.0 49.7 2.3 – 1.7
12–13 Feb 2019 ORC 1,524 39.4 41.3 2.1 17.2 1.9
17–31 Jan 2019 ORC – 38.7 37.0 1.8 22.5 1.7
Alliance People's
  AKP +   MHP		 Nation
  İYİ +   CHP		 None N/A N/A
IncumbentOsman Zolan   AKP

Şanlıurfa
Date Pollster Sample size Beyazgül Cevheri Others Undecided Lead
31 Mar 2019 2019 election – 60.8 36.4 2.8 – 24.4
1–6 Mar 2019 PIAR 8,260 49.0 50.8 0.2 – 1.8
2–3 Mar 2019 EMAX 1,481 45.2 37.6 0.8 16.4 7.6
Alliance People's
  AKP +   MHP		 None
  SP		 None N/A N/A
IncumbentNihat Çiftçi   AKP

References
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