Opinion polling on Catalan independence

This page lists public opinion polls that have been conducted in relation to the issue of Catalan independence.

Polling institutions

Centre for Opinion Studies

The Centre for Opinion Studies (Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió; CEO) fell under the purview of the Economy Ministry of the Generalitat of Catalonia until early 2011. Since then it has been placed under direct control of the Presidency of the Generalitat and is currently headed by Jordi Argelaguet i Argemí. Since the second quarter of 2011, CEO has conducted polls regarding public sentiments toward independence.

Date In favor (%) Against (%) Others (%) Abstain (%) Do not know (%) Did not reply (%)
2011 2nd series[1]42.928.20.523.34.40.8
2011 3rd series[2]45.424.70.623.84.61.0
2012 1st series[3]44.624.71.024.24.60.9
2012 2nd series[4]51.121.11.021.14.71.1
2012 3rd series[5]57.020.50.614.36.21.5
2013 1st series[6]54.720.71.117.05.41.0
2013 2nd series[7]55.623.40.615.33.81.3
2014 1st seriesa ––--––
2014 2nd series[8]44.545.3--7.52.8
2015 1st series[9]44.148.0--6.01.8
2015 2nd series[10]42.950.0--5.81.3
2015 3rd series[11]46.747.8--3.91.7
2016 1st series[12]45.345.5--7.12.1
2016 2nd series[13]47.742.4--8.31.7
2016 3rd series[14]44.945.1--7.02.9
2017 1st series[15]44.348.5--5.61.6
2017 2nd series[16]41.149.4--7.81.7
2017 3rd series[17]48.743.6--6.51.3
2018 1st series[18]48.043.7--5.72.6
2018 2nd series[19]46.744.9--6.71.6
2019 1st series[20]48.444.1--6.71.6
2019 2nd series[21]44.048.3--5.52.1

a The question was not asked in this survey; instead the two part question was asked (see below).

CEO likewise conducted polls in the 1st and 2nd series of 2014 based on the 9N independence referendum format. The questions and choices involved were:

  • Do you want Catalonia to become a State? (Yes/No)
  • If the answer for question 1 is in the affirmative: Do you want this State to be independent? (Yes/No)
Date Yes + Yes (%) Yes + No (%) No (%) Abstain (%) Others (%) Do not know/Did not reply (%)
2014 1st series[22]47.18.619.311.12.711.2
2014 2nd series[8]49.412.619.76.96.23.3

In addition, CEO performs regular polls studying opinion of Catalan citizens regarding Catalonia's political status within Spain. The following table contains the answers to the question "Which kind of political entity should Catalonia be with respect to Spain?":[23]

Date Independent state (%) Federal state within Spain (%) Autonomous community within Spain (%) Region within Spain (%) Do not know (%) Did not reply (%)
June 200513.631.340.87.06.21.1
November 200512.935.837.65.66.91.2
March 200613.933.438.28.15.11.2
July 200614.934.137.36.96.10.7
October 200614.032.938.98.35.10.8
November 200615.932.840.06.83.70.8
March 200714.535.337.06.14.92.2
July 200716.934.037.35.55.41.0
October 200718.534.235.04.76.01.5
December 200717.333.837.85.15.01.0
January 200819.436.434.83.84.11.6
May 200817.633.438.95.14.30.7
July 200816.134.737.06.15.20.9
November 200817.431.838.37.14.21.2
February 2009[24]16.135.238.64.53.62.0
May 2009[25]20.935.034.94.43.01.7
July 2009[26]19.032.236.86.24.21.6
December 2009[27]21.629.936.95.94.11.6
2010 1st series[28]19.429.538.26.94.41.6
2010 2nd series[29]21.531.235.27.34.00.7
2010 3rd series[30]24.331.033.35.44.91.0
2010 4th series[31]25.230.934.75.92.70.7
2011 1st series[32]24.531.933.25.63.51.3
2011 2nd series[1]25.533.031.85.63.40.8
2011 3rd series[2]28.230.430.35.73.91.5
2012 1st series[3]29.030.827.85.25.41.8
2012 2nd series[4]34.028.725.45.75.01.3
2012 3rd series[5]44.325.519.14.04.92.2
2013 1st series[6]46.422.420.74.44.91.2
2013 2nd series[7]47.021.222.84.63.50.9
2013 3rd series[33]48.521.318.65.44.02.2
2014 1st series[22]45.220.023.32.66.92.0
2014 2nd series[8]45.322.223.41.86.50.9
2015 1st series[9]39.126.124.03.45.32.0
2015 2nd series[10]37.624.029.34.03.91.1
2015 3rd series[11]41.122.227.43.74.21.4
2016 1st series[12]38.526.325.14.14.51.5
2016 2nd series[13]41.620.926.54.05.61.3
2016 3rd series[14]38.923.224.15.7N/AN/A
2016 4th series[34]36.129.223.64.53.43.2
2017 1st series[15]37.321.728.57.03.81.6
2017 2nd series[16]34.721.730.55.36.11.7
2017 3rd series[17]40.221.927.44.64.71.2
2018 1st series[18]40.822.424.06.34.62.0
2018 2nd series[19]38.822.425.57.84.41.1
2019 1st series[20]39.721.526.35.94.71.9
2019 2nd series[21]34.524.527.07.84.61.6

Social and Political Sciences Institute of Barcelona

The Political Sciences Institute of Barcelona (Institut de Ciències Polítiques i Socials; ICPS) performed an opinion poll annually from 1989, which sometimes included a section on independence. The results are in the following table:[35]

Year Support (%) Against (%) Indifferent (%) Did not reply (%)
19913550114
19923153115
1993375095
19943549143
19953652103
19962956114
19973252115
19983255103
19993255103
20003253133
20013355111
20023452121
2003[a]4343121
2004[a]3944133
20053644156
20063348172
200731.751.314.12.9
201141.422.926.59.2

a telephonic instead of door-to-door interview

Newspaper polls

Catalan newspapers El Periódico and La Vanguardia also published surveys up to 2013.

El Periódico

Date Yes (%) No (%) Others (%)
October 2007[36]33.943.922.3
December 2009[37]39.040.620.4
June 2010[38]48.135.516.6
January 2012[39]53.632.014.4
September 2012[40]46.422.025.7
November 2012[41]50.936.912.2
November 2012[a][41]40.147.812.1
May 2013[42]57.836.06.3

a The same poll, but asking what would be the case if a yes vote would imply leaving the EU

La Vanguardia

Date Yes (%) No (%) Others (%)
November 2009[43]354619
March 2010[44]364420
May 2010[45]374122
July 2010[46]473617
September 2010[47]404515
April 2011[48]343035
September 2012[49]54.833.510.16
December 2013[50]44.94510.1

References
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