1995 Iraqi presidential referendum

A presidential referendum took place in Iraq on October 15, 1995. It was the first direct presidential election under the rule of Saddam Hussein, who had seized power through the Revolutionary Command Council (RCC) in 1979. Taking the form of a referendum with no other candidates, the election involved giving voters paper ballots that said: "Do you approve of President Saddam Hussein being the President of the Republic?"[1][2] They then used pens to mark "yes" or "no".[2] The next day, Izzat Ibrahim al-Douri, Hussein's deputy in the ruling RCC, announced the incumbent had won 99.96% of some 8.4 million valid votes cast. Officially, 3,052 people voted against him (45 of them in Baghdad),[3][4] and turnout was 99.47%.[5] The international community reacted with widespread incredulity to these figures.[6]

1995 Iraqi presidential referendum

October 15, 1995 (1995-10-15)
 
Nominee Saddam Hussein
Party Ba'ath Party
Alliance National Progressive Front
Popular vote 8,348,700
Percentage 99.99%

President before election

Saddam Hussein
Ba'ath Party

Elected President

Saddam Hussein
Ba'ath Party

Background

The election was prompted by the August defection to Jordan of senior government officials Hussein Kamel al-Majid and Saddam Kamel and their wives. During the crisis that followed, Saddam took steps to control the damage; the referendum was an attempt to shore up his claim to legitimacy.[7] At a September 7 meeting of the RCC, an interim amendment to the Constitution was approved whereby its chairman would automatically assume the presidency, subject to approval of the National Assembly and endorsement by national plebiscite. Parliament approved his candidacy on September 10, setting the stage for the meticulously organised election.[6]

Prior to the election, Ba'ath Party members visited homes, making sure to ask if households had ration cards (at the time, food was scarce as a result of the Iraq sanctions); the clear implication was that the wrong kind of vote could mean no food.[8] Voters were required to name relatives on their ballots and, according to some opposition reports, were threatened with punishment against their families if they voted "no". In a November report, the UN Special Rapporteur noted that because of the intrusiveness of the security apparatus "virtually no citizen would risk demonstrating any opposition to the Presidency or Governmentor would do so at his mortal peril";[9] the notion that opponents would face some sort of retribution was shared by most observers.[10] During the election, which served to emphasize that the Baath Party and the RCC were the country's true centres of power, loyal and tenacious party cadres brought voters in droves to the polling stations,[11] themselves swamped with pro-Hussein propaganda.[12] The result confirmed that Iraqis' fear of Saddam was greater than the severe hardship that had resulted from the sanctions.[13]

Preparations

The campaign involved unending glorification of Saddam; for instance, General Ali Hassan al-Majid declared, "O lofty mountain! O glory of Iraq! By God we have always found you in the most difficult conditions a roaring lion and a courageous horseman, one of the few true men".[14] Saddam himself never appeared in public prior to the election, but paid supporters streamed through the streets, shouting "Naam, naam, Saddam" ("Yes, yes, Saddam"). A highlight came four days prior to the vote at an Iraq-Qatar football game, when a dejected, pensive-looking Uday Hussein (normally glamorized) was shown on television, upset by what the announcer claimed was a (probably fictitious) fire that Saddam had set to his expensive cars as punishment for attacking Watban Ibrahim al-Tikriti and for the defections; soon afterward, Uday's role was increased as he sought to lure the men and their wives back to Iraq.[3]

Confident of popular participation, the government invited some 500 foreign journalists to witness the exercise; turnout (at least in Baghdad) was large enough to impress the visiting reporters, although the official figure was doubtless exaggerated.[14] One Western ambassador was impressed by the show of force involved, including a unanimous vote from Karbala (centre of the 1991 Shiite uprising against Saddam): "If this referendum proves anything, it is that the party is firmly in control of Iraq and Saddam runs it with an iron fist. If they can organize a referendum like this in less than three weeks, mobilize party cadres in every village, hamlet, town and city, produce precise lists for eight million voters and march all of them to the polls to say 'yes' unanimously, it means they are not about to fall".[15]

Unfolding

The most common sentiment heard from ordinary voters was that Saddam had managed to keep the country together and provided strong leadership, implying his overthrow would lead to the sort of chaos seen in Bosnia and Herzegovina or Lebanon.[14] The top foreign observer was Russian nationalist politician Vladimir Zhirinovsky, who was treated to a palace feast with Hussein, Tariq Aziz and other top officials shortly before voting began. Following the election, on October 17 Hussein was sworn into his new term in a televised ceremony; Aziz pledged political reforms, including parliamentary elections that took place the following year.[15]

Results

Choice Votes %
For8,348,70099.99
Against9840.01
Invalid/blank votes7,876
Total8,357,560100
Registered voters/turnout8,402,32199.47
Source: Direct Democracy

Notes

  1. Nohlen, Dieter; Grotz, Florian; Hartmann, Christof (eds.). Elections in Asia and the Pacific: A Data Handbook, Volume 2, p.102. Oxford University Press US (2001), ISBN 0-19-924958-X
  2. Youssef M. Ibrahim, "Iraqis Go to Polls; Guess Who Will Win", The New York Times, October 15, 1995
  3. Yahia, Latif; Wendl, Karl. I Was Saddam's Son, p.281-2. Arcade Publishing (1997), ISBN 1-55970-373-3
  4. "No Surprise in Iraqi Vote", The New York Times, October 17, 1995. Ibrahim declared: "It is an immortal day in the history of Arabism and Islam. It is a blow to the states that have harbored enmity toward Iraq and raised unjustified doubts about the legitimacy of its regime or the right of its people to choose the form of government they like."
  5. Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce; Root, Hilton L. Governing for Prosperity, p.62. Yale University Press (2000), ISBN 0-300-08018-2
  6. Taylor & Francis Group. The Middle East and North Africa 2004, p.465. Routledge (2003), ISBN 1-85743-184-7
  7. Freedman, Robert Owen. The Middle East and the Peace Process: The Impact of the Oslo Accords, p.229. University Press of Florida (1998), ISBN 0-8130-1554-5
  8. Purdum, Todd. S. A Time of Our Choosing: America's War in Iraq, p.25. Macmillan (2003), ISBN 0-8050-7562-3
  9. Cordesman, Anthony H.; Hashim, Ahmed. Iraq: Sanctions and Beyond, p.117. Westview Press (1997), ISBN 0-8133-3236-2
  10. Kryzanek, Michael J. Comparative Politics: A Policy Approach, p.440. Westview Press (2003), ISBN 0-8133-9792-8
  11. Hiro, Dilip. Iraq: In the Eye of the Storm, p.66. Thunder's Mouth Press (2002), ISBN 1-56025-477-7
  12. "Iraqis Go to Polls to Vote on Hussein", The New York Times, October 16, 1995
  13. Mackey, Sandra. The Reckoning: Iraq and the Legacy of Saddam Hussein, p.305. W. W. Norton & Company (2002), ISBN 0-393-32428-1
  14. Hiro, Dilip. Neighbors, Not Friends: Iraq and Iran after the Gulf Wars, p.97. Routledge (2001), ISBN 0-415-25412-4
  15. Youssef M. Ibrahim, "Vote Leaves Iraqi as Winner and West at a Loss", The New York Times, October 18, 1995
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