2022 Latvian parliamentary election

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Latvia on 1 October 2022, following the end of the term of the Saeima elected in 2018. The election may be held at an earlier date in the event of an early election motion.

2022 Latvian parliamentary election
On or before 1 October 2022
Party Leader Current seats
Harmony Jānis Urbanovičs 19
JKP Jānis Bordāns 15
AP! Artis Pabriks 13
National Alliance Roberts Zīle 12
PCL Rolands Millers 10
ZZS Māris Kučinskis 10
New Unity Krišjānis Kariņš 10
Incumbent Prime Minister
Arturs Krišjānis Kariņš
New Unity

Electoral system

The 100 members of the Saeima are elected by open list proportional representation from five multi-member constituencies ranging in size from 13 to 32 seats and based on the regions, with overseas votes included in the Riga constituency. Seats are allocated using the Saint-Laguë method.[1]

Opinion polls
Graphical summary
Fieldwork date
[release]		 Polling firm/
Commissioner		 Sample
size		 SDPS PCL JKP AP! NA ZZS JV LRA LKS P LuK Other Don't know Won't vote Lead
28 - 31 January 2021 Factum 1250 11.8 2.5 7.5 14.0 12.4 12.3 13.7 3.0 4.1 6.8 3.5 8.3 - - 0.3
December 2020 SKDS/LTV Around 900 11.3 1.9 5.3 4.8 5.8 8 4.1 3 2.1 3.9 - 1 26.6 22 3.3
1-17 December 2020 Factum 2421 13 2 8 13 13 13 13 3 4 8 - 9 - - Tie
November 2020 SKDS/LTV – 11.6 1.1 4.9 8.6 8.2 7 5 3.2 3.6 2.9 - 1 26.6 22 3
11-30 November 2020 Factum 817 15 1 9 15 13 12 13 4 4 6 - 8 - - Tie
26-30 October 2020 Factum 853 15 1 9 17 13 11 14 3 4 6 - 8 - - 2
9-20 October 2020 SKDS/LTV 889 11.3 1.9 6.4 7.8 6.4 8.9 5.4 3 2.8 3.3 - 0.7 23 19 2.4
29 September - 4 October 2020 Factum 442 15 2 8 17 13 9 15 4 3 7 - 8 - - 2
11-22 September 2020 SKDS/LTV 888 10.2 2.2 6.1 7.6 6.2 9.8 6.6 3.5 2.6 3 - 1.1 22.4 18.7 0.4
1-24 August 2020 Factum 637 15 2 9 16 13 10 15 3 4 5 - 7 - - 1
7-20 August 2020 SKDS/LTV 900 12.2 1.9 4.6 7.8 5.2 10.7 6.6 3.8 1.5 1.4 - 0.7 28.5 17.9 1.5
8-31 July 2020 Factum 1975 16 2 9 15 11 10 16 4 3 8 - 6 - - Tie
July 2020 SKDS/LTV 884 15.5 2.2 3.9 5.6 6.8 8.3 5.8 2.9 2.1 2.2 - 0.2 26.0 18.5 7.2
1-30 June 2020 Factum 1461 15 2 9 15 11 10 17 5 3 8 - 7 – – 2
June 2020 SKDS/LTV 891 12.9 1.8 4.2 5.8 5.6 8.9 5.1 2.8 2.2 1.7 - 0.6 29.8 18.6 4.0
23 May – 2 June 2020 SKDS/LTV 902 13,2 2,0 3,7 5,0 5,5 8,1 6,1 2,6 2,3 1,5 - 9,6 29,6 19,6 5,1
18–31 May 2020 Factum 1182 16 2 9 13 11 9 18 4 3 8 - 7 – – 2
7-26 April 2020 Factum 1325 17 2 11 14 12 11 16 5 4 6 - 2 – – 1
March 2020 SKDS/LTV 903 14,8 2,2 4,8 5,6 5,8 8,6 5,8 2,9 1,5 1,5 - 0,4 28,8 17,1 6,2
4–28 March 2020 Factum 1994 18 2 13 13 12 12 13 5 4 7 - 4 – – 5
24–28 February 2020 Factum 783 18 3 11 12 12 13 14 5 4 6 - 2 – – 4
7–18 February 2020 SKDS/LTV 873 12,3 1,3 4,1 5,4 5,4 7,9 6,4 3,3 2,0 2,2 - 0,4 27,9 21,4 4,4
28 January - 1 February 2020 Factum 684 21 2 11 11 12 10 16 5 3 7 - 2 – – 5
January 2020 SKDS/LTV ~900 13,6 2,0 6,1 5,4 6,3 8,7 6,1 2,9 2,5 1,8 - 0,8 26,9 16,9 4,9
18–31 December 2019 Factum 1153 20 2 12 10 14 10 14 5 5 6 - 2 – – 6
30 November – 12 December 2019 SKDS/LTV 887 13,4 1,8 5,9 4,6 6,9 8,0 6,8 2,0 2,2 2,4 - 0,1 26,7 19,2 6,4
21–24 November 2019 Factum 966 20 3 13 10 12 10 16 4 4 6 - 2 – – 4
2–12 November 2019 SKDS/LTV 884 11,2 3,0 5,4 5,6 8,8 7,5 6,5 2,8 2,0 2,1 - 0,2 25,4 19,5 2,4
15–22 October 2019 Factum 502 20 3 14 9 11 11 15 4 4 6 - 3 – – 5
5–16 October 2019 SKDS/LTV 909 12,9 2,5 6,7 5,2 7,3 8,0 6,5 2,2 2,2 2,8 - 0,5 24,9[2] 18,3 4,9
27–30 September 2019 Factum 489 19 2 15 11 10 10 17 5 4 5 - 2 – – 2
26–18 September 2019 SKDS/LTV ~900 14,5 2,8 7,2 6,1 8,9 8,4 8,3 2,5 – 2,1 - 1,0 22,1 16,1 5,6
27–30 August 2019 Factum 1152 18 4 16 10 11 11 17 4 4 4 - 1 – – 1
August 2019 (published on 30th) SKDS/LTV – 16,1 2,6 6,3 6,2 7,2 8,3 8,8 2,9 2,5 2,1 - 0,3 17,3 19,4 7,3
July 2019 (published on 30th) SKDS/LTV – 14,7 1,6 5,0 5,7 6,3 7,6 8,5 3,6 2,3 2,1 - 0,5 22,2 19,9 6,2
22–29 July 2019 Factum 989 18 2 15 10 15 10 15 4 6 4 - 1 – – 3
26–30 June 2019 Factum 860 17 4 10 12 15 9 17 6 4 6 - 0 – – Tie
7–17 June 2019 SKDS/LTV 891 15,8 3,4 4,6 6,8 7,7 6,3 10,5 3,0 1,6 3,0 - 0,4 18,2 18,7 5,3
May 2019 SKDS/LTV – 17,5 2,4 7,9 5,9 8,6 8,8 6,1 4,0 1,5 1,9 - 0,1 16,9 18,4 8,7
1–28 May 2019 Factum 1079 17 4 10 10 16 8 16 4 4 7 - 4 – – 1
1–30 April 2019 Factum 1236 20 4 15 10 12 11 10 6 3 7 - 3 – – 5
April 2019 (published on 26th) SKDS/LTV – 19.7 2.8 8.6 5.6 6.7 6.9 5.8 3.0 1.6 1.5 - 0.3 20.6 16.9 11.1
March 2019 Factum 867 15 4 13 11 14 10 11 6 5 6 - 5 – – 1
March 2019 SKDS/LTV 873 17.7 4.1 8.0 6.2 5.0 7.6 5.3 2.9 1.6 2.3 - 0.5 22.1 16.7 8.3
February 2019 SKDS/LTV 872 19.0 3.5 9.5 5.9 6.3 5.7 6.5 2.4 2.0 2.7 - 0.4 19.3 16.8 9.5
11–23 January 2019 SKDS/LTV 906 17,4 7,1 12,1 6,7 7,7 8,1 4,0 – – – - 5,3 18,8 12,8 5,3
1–12 December 2018 SKDS/LTV 900 20,6 10,4 8,9 6,2 6,5 6,6 4,2 3,0 2,4 2,3 - 0,1 16,5 12,3 10,2
3–15 November 2018 SKDS/LTV 833 18,2 9,8 10,2 6,7 5,9 6,4 4,7 2,6 1,6 1,8 - 0,1 17,7 14,3 8,0
13–23 October 2018 SKDS/LTV 900 19,2 11,5 10,1 8,9 8,4 5,4 4,4 4,2 1,4 1,7 - 0,2 12,0 12,6 7,7
2018 Parliamentary election 19,80 14,25 13,59 12,05 11,02 9,92 6,70 4,15 3,20 2,62 - 2,70 (45,42) 5,55

References
  1. Electoral system IPU
  2. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D8K_MfzFW6A
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