Opinion polling for the 2008 Canadian federal election

Polls leading up to the 2008 Canadian federal election.

Graphical summary

Polls

The dates listed are normally the date the survey was concluded. Most news and political affairs sources use the convention of using the last date that the poll was conducted in order to establish the inclusion/exclusion of current events.

Polling Firm Date of Polling Link Conservative Liberal New Democratic Bloc Québécois Green
Election 2008October 14, 2008HTML37.626.218.210.06.8
Asking Canadians[1]October 13, 2008

HTML

38.022.622.69.57.1
EKOS Research AssociatesOctober 13, 2008

HTML

34.826.419.49.89.6
Angus Reid StrategiesOctober 13, 2008

PDF

37272097
Nanos ResearchOctober 12, 2008

PDF

34.226.721.49.58.2
EKOS Research AssociatesOctober 12, 2008

HTML

3426181011
Harris-DecimaOctober 12, 2008

PDF

342519119
Strategic CounselOctober 11, 2008

HTML

3328181011
Nanos ResearchOctober 11, 2008

PDF

332722109
Harris-DecimaOctober 11, 2008

PDF

352618109
EKOS Research AssociatesOctober 11, 2008

HTML

3427181011
Strategic CounselOctober 10, 2008

HTML

35281999
Harris-DecimaOctober 10, 2008

PDF

352518911
Nanos ResearchOctober 10, 2008

PDF

322822108
Angus Reid StrategiesOctober 10, 2008

PDF

38281996
EKOS Research AssociatesOctober 10, 2008

HTML

3426191011
Ipsos ReidOctober 9, 2008

HTML

34291898
SegmaOctober 9, 2008

PDF

3523211010
Nanos ResearchOctober 9, 2008

PDF

332722108
Harris-DecimaOctober 9, 2008

PDF

342618912
EKOS Research AssociatesOctober 9, 2008

HTML

3624191011
Nanos ResearchOctober 8, 2008

PDF

332920107
Harris-DecimaOctober 8, 2008

PDF

322719812
EKOS Research AssociatesOctober 8, 2008

HTML

3524201011
Nanos ResearchOctober 7, 2008

PDF

332920117
Angus Reid StrategiesOctober 7, 2008

PDF

352718910
Harris-DecimaOctober 7, 2008

PDF

312720812
EKOS Research AssociatesOctober 7, 2008

HTML

3425201011
Harris-DecimaOctober 6, 2008

PDF

312621813
Nanos ResearchOctober 6, 2008

PDF

343118116
EKOS Research AssociatesOctober 6, 2008

HTML

3326191012
Harris-DecimaOctober 5, 2008

PDF

322521812
Nanos ResearchOctober 5, 2008

PDF

342920116
EKOS Research AssociatesOctober 5, 2008

HTML

3525191010
Harris-DecimaOctober 4, 2008

PDF

342420813
Nanos ResearchOctober 4, 2008

PDF

343019107
EKOS Research AssociatesOctober 4, 2008

HTML

3625181010
Angus Reid StrategiesOctober 3, 2008

PDF

402519116
Harris-DecimaOctober 3, 2008

PDF

352220913
Nanos ResearchOctober 3, 2008

PDF

352819108
EKOS Research AssociatesOctober 3, 2008

HTML

3625191010
Ipsos ReidOctober 2, 2008

HTML

3723191110
Harris-DecimaOctober 2, 2008

PDF

372218912
Nanos ResearchOctober 2, 2008PDF353018109
EKOS Research AssociatesOctober 2, 2008

HTML

3624191011
Harris-DecimaOctober 1, 2008

PDF

362318912
Nanos ResearchOctober 1, 2008PDF372619108
EKOS Research AssociatesOctober 1, 2008

HTML

3425191011
Harris-DecimaSeptember 30, 2008

PDF

3624171011
Nanos ResearchSeptember 30, 2008PDF362620109
EKOS Research AssociatesSeptember 30, 2008

HTML

3425201011
Strategic CounselSeptember 29, 2008

HTML

392419109
Harris-DecimaSeptember 29, 2008

PDF

362618911
Nanos ResearchSeptember 29, 2008PDF372620108
EKOS Research AssociatesSeptember 29, 2008

HTML

342719910
Harris-DecimaSeptember 28, 2008

PDF

36261989
Nanos ResearchSeptember 28, 2008PDF36262099
EKOS Research AssociatesSeptember 28, 2008

HTML

3426201010
Nanos ResearchSeptember 27, 2008PDF36271999
Harris-DecimaSeptember 27, 2008

PDF

36251999
Nanos ResearchSeptember 26, 2008PDF39251989
Harris-DecimaSeptember 26, 2008

PDF

38231999
Angus Reid StrategiesSeptember 25, 2008

PDF

402121107
Ipsos ReidSeptember 25, 2008

HTML

392318911
Nanos ResearchSeptember 25, 2008PDF39241998
Harris-DecimaSeptember 25, 2008

PDF

372418910
EKOS Research AssociatesSeptember 25, 2008

HTML

3525201010
Nanos ResearchSeptember 24, 2008PDF40251998
EKOS Research AssociatesSeptember 24, 2008

HTML

3625191011
Harris-DecimaSeptember 24, 2008

HTML

362317912
EKOS Research AssociatesSeptember 23, 2008

HTML

372419911
Harris-DecimaSeptember 23, 2008

PDF

372416912
Nanos ResearchSeptember 23, 2008PDF37262197
EKOS Research AssociatesSeptember 22, 2008

HTML

362519812
Nanos ResearchSeptember 22, 2008PDF38272186
Harris-DecimaSeptember 22, 2008

HTML

372417811
EKOS Research AssociatesSeptember 21, 2008

HTML

372419812
Nanos ResearchSeptember 21, 2008PDF 35302276
Harris-DecimaSeptember 21, 2008

PDF

382317812
Nanos ResearchSeptember 20, 2008PDF 36312077
Harris-DecimaSeptember 20, 2008

PDF

392317811
Nanos ResearchSeptember 19, 2008PDF 38291877
Harris-DecimaSeptember 19, 2008

PDF

382317812
Angus Reid StrategiesSeptember 18, 2008

PDF

382419910
Ipsos ReidSeptember 18, 2008

HTML

402715810
EKOS Research AssociatesSeptember 18, 2008

HTML

362518813
Nanos ResearchSeptember 18, 2008PDF 39281877
Harris-DecimaSeptember 18, 2008

PDF

382515812
Nanos ResearchSeptember 17, 2008PDF 39301876
Harris-DecimaSeptember 17, 2008

PDF

362716811
EKOS Research AssociatesSeptember 17, 2008

HTML

382418812
Nanos ResearchSeptember 16, 2008PDF 38311777
Harris-DecimaSeptember 16, 2008

PDF

382815810
EKOS Research AssociatesSeptember 16, 2008

HTML

382419811
Nanos ResearchSeptember 15, 2008PDF 38311768
Harris-DecimaSeptember 15, 2008

PDF

382716810
EKOS Research AssociatesSeptember 15, 2008

HTML

382319911
SegmaSeptember 15, 2008

PDF

422316710
Nanos ResearchSeptember 14, 2008PDF 37311869
Harris-DecimaSeptember 14, 2008

PDF

38271689
EKOS Research AssociatesSeptember 14, 2008

HTML

352519911
Ipsos ReidSeptember 13, 2008

HTML

382913811
Harris-DecimaSeptember 13, 2008

PDF

40261589
Nanos ResearchSeptember 13, 2008

PDF

38301769
Angus Reid StrategiesSeptember 12, 2008

PDF

392318910
Nanos ResearchSeptember 12, 2008

PDF

38301599
EKOS Research AssociatesSeptember 11, 2008

HTML

362619811
Ipsos ReidSeptember 11, 2008

HTML

382913811
Nanos ResearchSeptember 11, 2008

HTML

38311499
Harris-DecimaSeptember 11, 2008

HTML

41261489
Nanos ResearchSeptember 10, 2008

HTML

37321399
EKOS Research AssociatesSeptember 9, 2008

HTML

372619810
Angus Reid StrategiesSeptember 9, 2008

PDF

38242197
Harris-DecimaSeptember 8, 2008

PDF

36281599
SegmaSeptember 6, 2008

PDF

43251587
EKOS Research AssociatesSeptember 4, 2008

HTML

3826151011
EKOS Research AssociatesSeptember 3, 2008

HTML

372419610
EnvironicsSeptember 2, 2008

HTML

38281987
Strategic CounselAugust 31, 2008

PDF

37291789
Ipsos ReidAugust 28, 2008

HTML

343114-10
Angus Reid StrategiesAugust 28, 2008

PDF

36281898
Ipsos ReidAugust 28, 2008

HTML

333116910
Nanos ResearchAugust 27, 2008

PDF

33351787
Harris-DecimaAugust 24, 2008

PDF

33341579
Ipsos ReidAugust 14, 2008

HTML

363014910
Harris-DecimaAugust 10, 2008

PDF

323315613
Ipsos ReidJuly 31, 2008

HTML

343014911
Angus Reid StrategiesJuly 30, 2008

PDF

35301798
Ipsos ReidJuly 10, 2008

HTML

3332131110
EnvironicsJuly 5, 2008

HTML

353017108
Harris-DecimaJune 29, 2008

PDF

3031161012
Angus Reid StrategiesJune 24, 2008

PDF

33301997
Strategic CounselJune 9, 2008

HTML

3230181010
Harris-DecimaJune 8, 2008

HTML

323115612
Ipsos-ReidMay 29, 2008

HTML

362914911
Angus Reid StrategiesMay 19, 2008

HTML

342718118
Nanos ResearchMay 11, 2008

PDF

333415118
Strategic CounselMay 11, 2008

HTML

343116910
Ipsos-ReidMay 8, 2008

HTML

353214-9
Ipsos-ReidMay 1, 2008

HTML

342917-11
Angus Reid StrategiesApril 23, 2008

PDF

33302088
Harris-DecimaApril 21, 2008

HTML

323314--
Harris-DecimaApril 13, 2008

HTML

303316911
Strategic CounselApril 13, 2008

HTML

363015810
Ipsos-ReidApril 10, 2008

HTML

353016-10
SegmaApril 9, 2008

HTML

36301599
Nanos ResearchApril 9, 2008

PDF

36361486
EnvironicsApril 7, 2008

HTML

352817137
Harris-DecimaApril 6, 2008

HTML

313215912
Harris-DecimaMarch 30, 2008

HTML

323013912
Angus Reid StrategiesMarch 28, 2008

HTML

36261899
Ipsos-ReidMarch 20, 2008

HTML

353313108
Harris-DecimaMarch 16, 2008

HTML

32321798
Strategic CounselMarch 16, 2008

HTML

3827141012
Ipsos-ReidMarch 6, 2008

HTML

35311599
Harris-DecimaMarch 2, 2008

HTML

313017813
Angus Reid StrategiesMarch 2, 2008

HTML

342818109
Nanos ResearchFebruary 20, 2008

PDF

343414108
Angus Reid StrategiesFebruary 18, 2008

HTML

34311798
Harris-DecimaFebruary 17, 2008

PDF

35331389
Strategic CounselFebruary 17, 2008

HTML

3927121012
Ipsos-ReidFebruary 14, 2008

HTML

362913910
Léger MarketingFebruary 10, 2008

PDF

37321687
Nanos ResearchFebruary 4, 2008

PDF

313319108
UniMarketingJanuary 31, 2008

HTML

33331888
Harris-DecimaJanuary 27, 2008

HTML

293216912
Ipsos-ReidJanuary 24, 2008

HTML

372914-10
Strategic CounselJanuary 13, 2008

PDF

3630141110
Ipsos-ReidJanuary 10, 2008

HTML

33351399
Harris-DecimaJanuary 6, 2008

PDF

373013109
EnvironicsJanuary 3, 2008

HTML

362217137
Ipsos-ReidDecember 20, 2007

HTML

35331588
Harris-DecimaDecember 17, 2007

HTML

3032151112
Angus Reid StrategiesDecember 14, 2007

PDF

3328171010
Strategic CounselDecember 9, 2007

PDF

3229161013
Ipsos-ReidDecember 6, 2007

HTML

352916109
Harris-DecimaDecember 2, 2007

HTML

362817811
Ipsos-ReidNovember 22, 2007

HTML

39291588
Harris-DecimaNovember 19, 2007

PDF

36281789
Strategic CounselNovember 13, 2007

PDF

343116118
Harris-DecimaNovember 12, 2007

HTML

332917812
Strategic CounselNovember 11, 2007

PDF

3232121113
SES ResearchNovember 8, 2007

PDF

35341796
Ipsos-ReidNovember 8, 2007

HTML

42281587
Ipsos-ReidNovember 1, 2007

HTML

392813127
Harris-DecimaOctober 29, 2007

HTML

332917910
Ipsos-ReidOctober 25, 2007

HTML

39271798
UnimarketingOctober 18, 2007

HTML

362519109
Ipsos-ReidOctober 18, 2007

HTML

40271498
Angus Reid StrategiesOctober 17, 2007

HTML

34291799
EnvironicsOctober 14, 2007

HTML

332919711
Strategic CounselOctober 14, 2007

HTML

3429151012
Ipsos-ReidOctober 13, 2007

HTML

40281687
Harris-DecimaOctober 9, 2007

HTML

352817810
Harris-DecimaOctober 3, 2007

HTML

333116710
Harris-DecimaSeptember 18, 2007

HTML

322917514
Angus Reid StrategiesAugust 23, 2007

HTML

33291999
SES ResearchAugust 14, 2007

PDF

363313108
Strategic CounselAugust 12, 2007

PDF

333317108
Ipsos-ReidJuly 27, 2007

HTML

34321788
Angus Reid StrategiesJuly 18, 2007

PDF

33281998
Strategic CounselJuly 15, 2007

HTML

3131171010
EnvironicsJune 30, 2007

HTML

372817711
Angus Reid StrategiesJune 18, 2007

PDF

342719108
DecimaJune 11, 2007

HTML

29321899
Ipsos ReidMay 31, 2007

HTML

343116109
Léger MarketingMay 27, 2007

PDF

37301489
Ipsos ReidMay 24, 2007

HTML

37311679
Angus Reid StrategiesMay 23, 2007

HTML

35281899
DecimaMay 20, 2007

HTML

333117810
Strategic CounselMay 17, 2007

HTML

343116109
Ipsos ReidMay 17, 2007

HTML

36321497
Ipsos ReidMay 10, 2007

HTML

31321799
SES ResearchMay 3, 2007

HTML

323317910
Ipsos ReidMay 3, 2007

HTML

35341497
DecimaApril 29, 2007

HTML

303115913
Ipsos ReidApril 26, 2007

HTML

38311488
Strategic CounselApril 24, 2007

PDF

363013912
Decima ResearchApril 21, 2007

HTML

302918811
Ipsos ReidApril 19, 2007

HTML

39291697
Decima ResearchApril 15, 2007

HTML

343115711
Ipsos ReidApril 12, 2007

HTML

38321488
SES ResearchApril 5, 2007

PDF

363316106
Decima ResearchApril 5, 2007

HTML

39301388
EnvironicsApril 3, 2007

HTML

362816812
Ipsos ReidMarch 28, 2007

HTML

36311589
Angus Reid StrategiesMarch 28, 2007

PDF

3922171011
Decima ResearchMarch 25, 2007

HTML

353113810
Léger MarketingMarch 25, 2007

HTML

41271496
Ipsos-ReidMarch 22, 2007

HTML

40291497
Strategic CounselMarch 21, 2007

HTML

39311389
Ipsos-ReidMarch 15, 2007

HTML

36341298
Strategic CounselMarch 13, 2007

HTML

363115910
Angus Reid StrategiesMarch 7, 2007

HTML

382815108
Decima ResearchMarch 4, 2007

HTML

352915711
Ipsos-ReidMarch 3, 2007

HTML

36321588
Angus Reid StrategiesFebruary 27, 2007

HTML

402615108
Decima ResearchFebruary 26, 2007

HTML

362713813
Ipsos-ReidFebruary 24, 2007

HTML

36341398
Decima ResearchFebruary 18, 2007

HTML

323015911
Strategic CounselFebruary 18, 2007

HTML

3429141112
Decima ResearchFebruary 12, 2007

HTML

32331598
SES ResearchFebruary 8, 2007

PDF

333317107
Léger MarketingFebruary 4, 2007

PDF

38311487
Decima ResearchJanuary 22, 2007

HTML

323313139
Léger MarketingJanuary 21, 2007

HTML

35321389
Ipsos-ReidJanuary 18, 2007

HTML

333713--
Decima ResearchJanuary 15, 2007

HTML

323313109
Strategic CounselJanuary 14, 2007

HTML

313515118
EnvironicsDecember 30, 2006

HTML

343214811
Decima ResearchDecember 30, 2006

HTML

343115108
Ipsos-ReidDecember 14, 2006

HTML

343613105
Decima ResearchDecember 13, 2006

HTML

323512117
EKOSDecember 9, 2006

HTML

33401098
Ipsos-ReidDecember 7, 2006

HTML

323813115
Decima ResearchDecember 3, 2006PDF 3135121011
Strategic CounselDecember 3, 2006HTML313714117
Léger MarketingNovember 26, 2006

HTML

343215106
Decima ResearchNovember 13, 2006HTML 3133151010
SES ResearchNovember 9, 2006PDF 343216135
EnvironicsNovember 6, 2006HTML 33321995
Decima ResearchNovember 5, 2006HTML 312818109
Ipsos-ReidNovember 2, 2006HTML 37291995
Decima ResearchOctober 16, 2006

HTML

3230151110
Strategic CounselOctober 15, 2006HTML 323217119
EKOSOctober 12, 2006

HTML

3631.716.29.96.2
EnvironicsOctober 12, 2006 37281897
Strategic CounselSeptember 17, 2006

HTML

352619128
EKOSSeptember 14, 2006

PDF

38.728.817.08.47.0
Decima ResearchSeptember 4, 2006 3430141110
Decima ResearchAugust 28, 2006

PDF

332819108
Ipsos-ReidAugust 24, 2006 382917105
SES ResearchAugust 23, 2006PDF 363018115
Decima ResearchAugust 13, 2006PDF 362915107
Decima ResearchJuly 31, 2006PDF 323116118
Strategic CounselJuly 30, 2006HTML 382915118
Ipsos-ReidJuly 27, 2006HTML392717107
Decima ResearchJuly 23, 2006HTML363017--
Decima Research
(without Greens)
July 16, 2006PDF36301911-
Decima Research
(with Greens)
July 16, 2006PDF362916108
Strategic CounselJuly 16, 2006HTML372618118
EnvironicsJune 23, 2006HTML39252194
Decima ResearchJune 18, 2006HTML 38281910-
Strategic CounselJune 8, 2006PDF36271999
Decima ResearchMay 28, 2006PDF3829218-
Ipsos-ReidMay 18, 2006HTML43251595
SES ResearchMay 9, 2006PDF38281996
Strategic CounselMay 3, 2006HTML353116109
Decima ResearchApril 23, 2006HTML41261910-
Strategic CounselApril 9, 2006HTML392914115
EnvironicsMarch 31, 2006HTML412221105
Decima ResearchMarch 26, 2006HTML39281911-
Ipsos-ReidMarch 23, 2006HTML38281995
Decima ResearchMarch 13, 2006HTML37281910-
Decima ResearchFebruary 27, 2006HTML35282110-
Ipsos-ReidFebruary 23, 2006HTML39272085
Strategic CounselFebruary 21, 2006HTML3928198-
Decima ResearchFebruary 13, 2006PDF3525248-
SES ResearchFebruary 9, 2006PDF33341897
Election 2006January 23, 2006HTML36.330.217.510.54.5

Leadership polls

Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on who would make the best Prime Minister:

Polling Firm Last Date of Polling Link Stephen Harper Stéphane Dion Jack Layton Gilles Duceppe Elizabeth May
Nanos ResearchOctober 5, 2008PDF 33182134
Nanos ResearchOctober 4, 2008PDF 32201934
Nanos ResearchOctober 3, 2008PDF 32171944
Nanos ResearchOctober 2, 2008PDF 32181755
Nanos ResearchSeptember 28, 2008PDF 35141844
Angus Reid StrategiesSeptember 25, 2008PDF 3391832
Angus Reid StrategiesSeptember 20, 2008PDF 3281945
Nanos ResearchSeptember 18, 2008PDF 38141733
Nanos ResearchSeptember 15, 2008PDF 36141833
Nanos ResearchSeptember 14, 2008PDF 34141844
Angus Reid StrategiesSeptember 12, 2008PDF 3691643
Decima ResearchSeptember 8, 2008PDF 4322---
SegmaSeptember 6, 2008PDF42151644
EKOS Research AssociatesSeptember 4, 2008HTML32121935
Angus Reid StrategiesAugust 28, 2008PDF3613---
Nanos ResearchAugust 27, 2008PDF36151754
Ipsos-ReidFebruary 14, 2008HTML4125186-
Léger MarketingFebruary 10, 2008HTML321518--
Nanos ResearchFebruary 8, 2008PDF35142168
Nanos ResearchJanuary 3, 2008HTML42121654
Nanos ResearchNovember 8, 2007PDF37131765
SegmaOctober 18, 2007HTML40101614
Angus Reid StrategiesOctober 17, 2007PDF3010---
EnvironicsOctober 17, 2007HTML37121954
Nanos ResearchAugust 4, 2007PDF31231865
Angus Reid StrategiesJuly 16, 2007HTML3314---
Angus Reid StrategiesJune 18, 2007PDF3317---
Nanos ResearchApril 5, 2007HTML42171674
Ipsos-ReidFebruary 19, 2007HTML4629--

Sometimes the information is further broken down, as in this Strategic Counsel[2] poll conducted from February 15 to February 18, 2007:

Leader Clearest Vision for Canada Most Decisive Leader Most Charismatic
Stephen Harper 50 53 35
Stéphane Dion 22 19 20
Jack Layton 20 20 36
Gilles Duceppe 8 8 10

The Strategic Counsel[3] also conducts occasional polls of the overall impression of the party leaders: favourable or not favourable (favourable percentage shown).[4]

Date of Polling Stephen Harper Stéphane Dion Jack Layton Gilles Duceppe Elizabeth May
January 13, 20085839556256
January 14, 20075459596358

See also

References

  1. The numbers from the poll were divided by 0.84 to remove the 16% of undecided voters (this is done for the sake of comparison, since all the other polls on this page also removed the undecided voters % from their numbers)
  2. Latest poll shows Dion, Liberals losing support Archived 2008-09-16 at the Wayback Machine
  3. "Strategic Counsel, A Report To The Globe and Mail and CTV" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2008-09-07. Retrieved 2008-09-08.
  4. CTV.ca | Dion's approval rating down across country: poll Archived 2008-09-16 at the Wayback Machine
Projections and predictions
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