Opinion polling for the 2020 Polish presidential election
During the weeks leading up to the 2020 Polish presidential election, various organizations carry out opinion polling to gauge voters' intentions in Poland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous presidential election, held on 24 May 2015, to election day.
First round
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2020 Polish presidential election I round AVERAGE
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Don't know/ Abstain |
Others | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duda PiS[1] |
Trzaskowski PO |
Biedroń LEFT |
Kosiniak-Kamysz PSL |
Bosak KWiN |
Hołownia IN | ||||
| LATE POLL: IPSOS LATE POLL |
28 June 2020 | - | 1.6%[lower-alpha 1] | 42.5% | 30.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 7.1% | 13.5% |
| EXIT POLL: IPSOS 21:00 UTC+2 |
28 June 2020 | - | 1.6%[lower-alpha 2] | 41.8% | 30.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 7.4% | 13.3% |
| 28 June 2020 (first round) | |||||||||
| IBSP | 25-26 June 2020 | - | 1.14% | 42.31% | 31.03% | 2.54% | 1.69% | 7.41% | 13.88% |
| Indicator | 23-26 June 2020 | - | - | 41.1% | 30.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 12.3% |
| IBRiS | 25 June 2020 | - | 1.0% | 41.2% | 30.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 12.0% |
| Estymator | 24–25 June 2020 | - | 1.1% | 42.7% | 28.4% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.3% |
| Kantar | 24–25 June 2020 | 8% | - | 40% | 27% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 13% |
| Pollster | 24–25 June 2020 | - | 1.30% | 41.27% | 30.30% | 3.35% | 5.81% | 7.23% | 10.74% |
| PGB Opinium | 23–25 June 2020 | - | 0.7% | 40.5% | 29.7% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 11.0% |
| CBOS | 15–25 June 2020 | 14% | - | 45% | 20% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 11% |
| IBRiS | 24 June 2020 | 6.6% | 1.3%[lower-alpha 3] | 41.1% | 26.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 9.7% |
| IPSOS | 22–23 June 2020 | 4% | 1%[lower-alpha 4] | 40% | 27% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% |
| Social Changes | 19–23 June 2020 | - | 2%[lower-alpha 5] | 41% | 29% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 13% |
| Pollster | 22 June 2020 | - | 0.76% | 41.38% | 29.86% | 2.93% | 6.55% | 7.34% | 11.18% |
| Maison & Partners[lower-alpha 6] | 19–22 June 2020 | 5.5% | - | 33.1% | 28.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 7.8% | 15.8% |
| IBRiS | 20 June 2020 | 4.7% | 1.2%[lower-alpha 7] | 41.0% | 27.1% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.9% |
| IBRiS | 19–20 June 2020 | 1.2% | - | 43.1% | 27.4% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 10.1% |
| United Survey | 19 June 2020 | 5.9% | 0.2% | 41.5% | 28.3% | 2.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 8.6% |
| Estymator | 18–19 June 2020 | - | 0.9% | 44.6% | 29.3% | 2.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% |
| IBRiS | 18 June 2020 | 4.5% | 1.3%[lower-alpha 8] | 41.3% | 28.2% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 8.1% |
| Kantar | 17–18 June 2020 | 6% | - | 40% | 32% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 10% |
| Pollster | 16–17 June 2020 | - | 1.58% | 40.82% | 30.28% | 3.28% | 6.06% | 6.24% | 11.74% |
| IPSOS | 16–17 June 2020 | 6% | - | 40% | 30% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% |
| Social Changes | 12–16 June 2020 | - | 2%[lower-alpha 9] | 39% | 28% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 15% |
| Maison & Partners[lower-alpha 6] | 12–15 June 2020 | 5.0% | - | 37.0% | 28.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 14.8% |
| PGB Opinium | 12–15 June 2020 | - | - | 40.5% | 28.9% | 3.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 10.6% |
| Estymator | 12–13 June 2020 | - | 0.5% | 44.1% | 28.3% | 2.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.7% |
| IBRiS | 12–13 June 2020 | 3.6% | - | 40.7% | 28.0% | 3.0% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% |
| Pollster | 9–10 June 2020 | - | 1.51% | 41.17% | 28.14% | 5.22% | 4.99% | 4.97% | 14.00% |
| Kantar | 5–10 June 2020 | 11% | - | 38% | 27% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 8% |
| Social Changes | 5–9 June 2020 | - | 1%[lower-alpha 10] | 40% | 29% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 15% |
| N/A[lower-alpha 11] | N/A June 2020 | 12% | 5% | 36% | 31% | 2% | 8% | N/A[lower-alpha 12] | 6% |
| IBRiS | 5–6 June 2020 | 5.2% | 0.1%[lower-alpha 13] | 42.7% | 26.6% | 3.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% |
| Estymator | 3–4 June 2020 | - | 0.4% | 43.1% | 25.3% | 2.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 14.4% |
| CBOS | 22 May–4 June 2020 | 13.4% | 0.8% | 48.6% | 16.2% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 10.7% |
| Election is announced to be held on June 28th. The campaign starts | |||||||||
| Pollster | 2–3 June 2020 | - | 1% | 40% | 28% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 14% |
| Social Changes | 29 May–2 June 2020 | - | 1%[lower-alpha 14] | 41% | 29% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 13% |
| IBRiS | 29–30 May 2020 | 5.0% | - | 41.0% | 26.1% | 2.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 12.0% |
| United Survey | 29 May 2020 | 4.0% | - | 41.2% | 27.0% | 2.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 12.0% |
| SWPS | 28–29 May 2020 | - | 1% | 32% | 25% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 22% |
| PGB Opinium | 26–29 May 2020 | 7.6% | 0.4%[lower-alpha 15] | 36.5% | 25.0% | 3.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 12.0% |
| Pollster | 26–27 May 2020 | - | 1.74% | 38.94% | 26.60% | 5.14% | 5.46% | 5.71% | 16.41% |
| Social Changes | 22–25 May 2020 | - | 1%[lower-alpha 16] | 40% | 27% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 17% |
| Maison & Partners[lower-alpha 6] | N/A May 2020 | - | - | 40.9% | 23.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 17.5% |
| IBRiS | 22–23 May 2020 | 6.1% | - | 41.0% | 26.7% | 3.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 10.0% |
| IBRiS | 22–23 May 2020 | 7.1% | - | 42.3% | 23.2% | 2.7% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 11.4% |
| Estymator | 21–22 May 2020 | - | 1.1% | 44.8% | 22.1% | 3.1% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 14.1% |
| PBS | 19–20 May 2020 | - | - | 35% | 21% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 19% |
| Kantar | 18–19 May 2020 | 12% | 4%[lower-alpha 17] | 39% | 18% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 15% |
| Maison & Partners[lower-alpha 6] | 15–18 May 2020[lower-alpha 18] | 10% | - | 34% | 17% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 21% |
| 15–18 May 2020[lower-alpha 19] | 6% | - | 43% | 15% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 20% | |
| Social Changes | 11–18 May 2020 | - | 2%[lower-alpha 20] | 41% | 21% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 18% |
| Pollster | 15–17 May 2020 | - | 2.13%[lower-alpha 21] | 43.76% | 16.54% | 5.51% | 9.73% | 6.45% | 15.88% |
| IBRiS | 16 May 2020 | 7.7% | - | 43.2% | 16.0% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 9.9% |
| United Survey | 15 May 2020 | 7.1% | - | 43.7% | 14.0% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 13.3% |
| Kantar Public | 15 May 2020 | 6% | 1%[lower-alpha 16] | 51% | 11% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 17% |
| Rafał Trzaskowski is declared as a new candidate of the Civic Coalition | |||||||||
| Estymator | 14–15 May 2020 | - | 1.3% | 52.7% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 10.5% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Don't know/ Abstain |
Others | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duda PiS[1] |
Kidawa-Błońska PO |
Biedroń LEFT |
Kosiniak-Kamysz PSL |
Bosak KWiN |
Hołownia IN | ||||
| Social Changes | 12–14 May 2020 | - | 1%[lower-alpha 22] | 49% | 5% | 4% | 12% | 7% | 22% |
| Election de iure takes place despite no voting is held. The campaign ends | |||||||||
| IBRiS | 8–9 May 2020[lower-alpha 23] | 3.1% | 0.0%[lower-alpha 24] | 45.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 16.6% | 9.0% | 19.2% |
| Postal election is announced to be cancelled in May | |||||||||
| Social Changes | 6–7 May 2020[lower-alpha 23] | - | 4%[lower-alpha 25] | 54% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 15% |
| 6–7 May 2020[lower-alpha 26] | - | 4%[lower-alpha 25] | 64% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 13% | |
| Pollster | 30 April-4 May 2020 | - | - | 40.57% | 10.49% | 9.56% | 14.39% | 4.65% | 20.34% |
| IPSOS | 27–29 April 2020[lower-alpha 23] | 11% | - | 42% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 6% | 15% |
| IPSOS | 27–29 April 2020[lower-alpha 26] | 5% | - | 63% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 11% |
| IBRiS | 27 April 2020 | 8.9% | - | 49.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 14.1% | 5.0% | 9.2% |
| Social Changes | 24–27 April 2020[lower-alpha 23] | - | 1%[lower-alpha 27] | 54% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 14% |
| Social Changes | 24–27 April 2020[lower-alpha 26] | - | 1%[lower-alpha 27] | 64% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 7% | 14% |
| CBOS | 23–27 April 2020 | 10% | 1%[lower-alpha 27] | 52% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 14% |
| Estymator | 23–24 April 2020 | - | 0.4% | 51.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 16.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% |
| Social Changes | 17–20 April 2020[lower-alpha 23] | - | 1%[lower-alpha 27] | 57% | 11% | 5% | 11% | 6% | 9% |
| Social Changes | 17–20 April 2020[lower-alpha 26] | - | 2%[lower-alpha 28] | 65% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 10% |
| Kantar | 16–17 April 2020 | 11% | 3% | 59% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 7% |
| Social Changes | 10–13 April 2020 | - | 1%[lower-alpha 27] | 59% | 9% | 5% | 10% | 8% | 8% |
| Estymator | 8–9 April 2020 | - | 0.3% | 53.1% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% |
| IBRiS | 7 April 2020 | 7.1% | - | 52.9% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 3.2% | 5.5% |
| Pollster | 6–7 April 2020 | - | - | 44.53% | 14.23% | 6.70% | 15.25% | 6.21% | 13.08% |
| Maison & Partners[lower-alpha 6] | 3–7 April 2020 | 27.9% | - | 29.5% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 3.4% | 11.2% |
| Social Changes | 3–6 April 2020 | - | 2%[lower-alpha 28] | 53% | 11% | 5% | 13% | 7% | 9% |
| IBRiS | 3–4 April 2020 | 9.9% | - | 47.6% | 12.4% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% |
| IBSP | 31 March-2 April 2020 | - | 0.29% | 44.29% | 15.77% | 6.24% | 15.87% | 5.24% | 12.30% |
| Małgorzata Kidawa-Błońska calls to boycott May postal election | |||||||||
| Social Changes | 27–30 March 2020 | - | 1%[lower-alpha 27] | 55% | 14% | 6% | 10% | 5% | 9% |
| IBRiS | 27–28 March 2020[lower-alpha 29] | 5.6% | - | 45.1% | 17.2% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
| 27–28 March 2020[lower-alpha 30] | 5.3% | - | 54.6% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 3.7% | |
| Estymator | 25–26 March 2020 | - | 0.9% | 49.8% | 17.1% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% |
| Kantar | 23–24 March 2020[lower-alpha 31] | 6% | - | 65% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 4% |
| 23–24 March 2020[lower-alpha 32] | 10% | - | 44% | 19% | 7% | 8% | 5% | 7% | |
| Social Changes | 20–23 March 2020 | - | - | 47% | 19% | 10% | 11% | 6% | 7% |
| United Survey | 20 March 2020 | 16.7% | - | 42.7% | 16.6% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Pollster | 17–18 March 2020 | - | - | 43.19% | 21.13% | 9.54% | 12.96% | 4.44% | 8.74% |
| Social Changes | 13–17 March 2020 | - | - | 41% | 23% | 9% | 13% | 4% | 10% |
| CBOS | 5–15 March 2020 | 10% | - | 50% | 15% | 5% | 9% | 3% | 6% |
| Estymator | 12–13 March 2020 | - | 0.2% | 46.4% | 20.4% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% |
| IBSP | 10–13 March 2020 | - | 0.15% | 51.36% | 19.79% | 7.59% | 8.98% | 5.51% | 6.62% |
| Kantar | 6–11 March 2020 | 13% | - | 43% | 22% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 4% |
| Social Changes | 6–10 March 2020 | - | - | 45% | 22% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 11% |
| First case of COVID-19 confirmed in Poland | |||||||||
| IBRiS | 2 March 2020 | 5.9% | - | 41.2% | 23.1% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 4.8% | 7.6% |
| Social Changes | 28 February-2 March 2020 | - | - | 42% | 24% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 9% |
| Estymator | 27–28 February 2020 | - | 0.1% | 44.8% | 24.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% |
| Indicator | 26–28 February 2020 | 4.3% | 1.2% | 42.9% | 23.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 7.2% |
| Pollster | 24–26 February 2020 | - | - | 42.44% | 22.14% | 9.45% | 11.71% | 4.92% | 9.34% |
| Social Changes | 21–24 February 2020 | - | - | 43% | 24% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 11% |
| United Survey | 22 February 2020 | 5.8% | - | 41.9% | 22.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 7.4% |
| IPSOS | 20–22 February 2020 | 6% | - | 41% | 25% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 7% |
| IBSP | 18–20 February 2020 | - | 0.58% | 45.16% | 26.42% | 8.78% | 6.56% | 4.44% | 8.06% |
| Social Changes | 14–18 February 2020 | - | - | 40% | 25% | 9% | 9% | 5% | 12% |
| CBOS | 6–16 February 2020 | 12% | 3% | 50% | 20% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 5% |
| Dobra Opinia | 10–14 February 2020 | - | - | 41.34% | 24.02% | 11.21% | 8.11% | 5.31% | 10.01% |
| Estymator | 12–13 February 2020 | - | 0.2% | 45.3% | 26.4% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% |
| Kantar | 7–12 February 2020 | 17% | 1% | 40% | 21% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 6% |
| Social Changes | 7–11 February 2020 | - | - | 46% | 24% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 9% |
| IBRiS | 7–8 February 2020 | 4.3% | - | 43.7% | 29.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 8.1% |
| IBRiS | N/A | 8.2% | - | 41.7% | 26.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% |
| Election is officially announced to be held on May 10th. The campaign starts | |||||||||
| Social Changes | 1–4 February 2020 | - | 2%[lower-alpha 33] | 42% | 25% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 12% |
| Kantar | 29-30 January 2020 | 7% | 1% | 44% | 24% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 9% |
| Maison & Partners[lower-alpha 6] | 24–28 January 2020 | 10.0% | - | 38.3% | 22.3% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 10.9% |
| Social Changes | 24–27 January 2020 | - | 2%[lower-alpha 34] | 43% | 24% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 10% |
| Estymator | 23–24 January 2020 | - | 0.4% | 47.1% | 24.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% |
| Krzysztof Bosak is declared as a candidate of the Confederation | |||||||||
| Social Changes | 17–21 January 2020 | - | - | 44% | 24% | 8% | 9% | 4% | 11% |
| Kantar | 9-15 January 2020 | 22% | 2% | 38% | 20% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 6% |
| IBSP | 14–16 January 2020 | - | - | 43.73% | 26.61% | 7.26% | 7.77% | 5.07% | 9.56% |
| Pollster | 14–16 January 2020 | - | - | 44.96% | 23.11% | 9.09% | 7.86% | 5.12% | 9.86% |
| Social Changes | 10–14 January 2020 | - | - | 45% | 22% | 9% | 8% | 3% | 13% |
| United Survey | 10–11 January 2020 | 7.4% | - | 43.0% | 23.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% |
| IBRiS | 10-11 January 2020 | 8.2% | - | 44% | 23.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% |
| Estymator | 9–10 January | - | 47.7% | 22.7% | 8.8% | 9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | |
| Robert Biedroń is declared as a candidate of the Left | |||||||||
| Social Changes | 3–7 January 2020 | - | 6%[lower-alpha 35] | 42% | 26% | - | 9% | 4% | 13% |
| Social Changes | 27–31 December 2019 | - | 5%[lower-alpha 36] | 43% | 26% | - | 6% | 4% | 16% |
| Social Changes | 20–24 December 2019 | - | 7%[lower-alpha 37] | 43% | 24% | - | 9% | 4% | 13% |
| Estymator | 19–20 December 2019 | - | 8.3%[lower-alpha 38] | 46.6% | 22.4% | - | 9.2% | 4.6% | 7.9% |
| IBSP | 17–20 December 2019 | - | 7.4%[lower-alpha 39] | 43.9% | 26.3% | - | 7.3% | 5.4% | 9.7% |
| Social Changes | 13–17 December 2019 | - | 7%[lower-alpha 40] | 46% | 23% | - | 7% | 4% | 13% |
| Social Changes | 28 November-3 December 2019 | 14% | 11%[lower-alpha 41] | 37% | 22% | - | 8% | - | 8% |
Pre-2020 polls average
Pre-2020 opinion polls
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Don't know/ Abstain |
Others | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duda PiS[1] |
Other PiS |
Tusk PO |
Other PO |
Czarzasty SLD |
Kukiz K'15 |
Petru .N |
Lubnauer .N |
Kosiniak-Kamysz PSL |
Biedroń Wiosna |
Zandberg Razem |
Korwin-Mikke KORWiN |
Rzepliński IN |
Nowacka IN | ||||
| Social Changes | 19–24 July 2019 | - | 1.9%[lower-alpha 42] | 45% | - | 21% | 6.9%[lower-alpha 43] | - | 6.7% | - | - | 4.3% | 8.2% | - | 3.4% | - | 2.7% |
| Kantar Public | 16–19 May 2019 | 2% | - | 41% | - | 27% | - | - | 7% | - | - | 6% | 11% | 1% | 5% | - | - |
| Kantar Public | 8–10 May 2019 | 8% | - | 41% | - | 28% | - | - | 7% | - | - | 5% | 6% | 1% | 4% | - | - |
| IBSP | 7–9 May 2019 | - | 0.4% | 43.7% | - | 34.7% | - | 1.3% | 5.2% | - | - | 6.3% | 6.9% | - | 1.4% | - | - |
| Pollster | 4–6 April 2019 | - | - | 38% | - | 27% | - | 1% | 6% | - | 0% | 5% | 16% | 2% | 5% | - | - |
| Ariadna | 22–26 February 2019 | 24% | - | 34% | - | 20% | - | - | 6% | - | - | 1% | 12% | 1% | - | - | 2% |
| IBSP | 31 January-6 February 2019 | 3.0% | - | 38.8% | - | 37.8% | - | 0.7% | 2.2% | - | - | 6.1% | 8.9% | - | 2.4% | - | - |
| IBRiS | 13 November 2018 | 9% | - | 37% | - | 36% | - | - | 4% | - | - | 3% | 10% | - | 1% | - | - |
| Ariadna | 17–21 August 2018 | 14% | 34% | 7%[lower-alpha 44] | 21% | - | - | 6% | - | - | 1% | 14% | 1% | 2% | - | - | |
| Pollster | 11–12 July 2018 | - | 19% | 32% | - | 21% | - | - | 7% | - | - | - | 17% | - | 4% | - | - |
| Millward Brown | 25–26 April 2018 | 6% | 4% | 44% | - | 24% | - | - | 4% | - | - | 2% | 15% | 1% | - | - | - |
| Pollster | 5 April 2018 | - | 4%[lower-alpha 45] | 36% | - | 26% | - | - | 7% | - | 3% | 2% | 19% | - | 3% | - | - |
| IBRiS | 4 April 2018 | 9.3% | - | 33.5% | - | 33.0% | - | - | 6.8% | - | - | 3.0% | 11.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | - | - |
| Pollster | 3–5 January 2018 | - | - | 39% | - | 21% | - | 1% | 9% | - | 2% | 3% | 15% | 3% | 4% | - | 3% |
| Ariadna | 29 September-2 October 2017 | 14.3% | - | 42.7% | - | 17.1% | - | 0.4% | 9.6% | - | - | 0.9% | 12.7% | 1.0% | - | - | 1.3% |
| Pollster | 16–17 August 2017 | - | - | 39% | 6% [lower-alpha 46] | 31% | 1% [lower-alpha 47] | 3% | 7% | 2% | - | 3% | - | 3% | 5% | - | - |
| Ariadna | 28–31 July 2017 | 14% | - | 37% | - | 23% | - | 0% | 7% | - | - | 2% | 14% | 2% | - | - | 1% |
| IBRiS | 26–27 July 2017 | 9.9% | 1.2%[lower-alpha 48] | 36.2% | - | 20.5% | - | - | 7.7% | 1.5% | - | 4.1% | 16.3% | - | 2.6% | - | - |
| Ariadna | 23–26 June 2017 | 14% | - | 35% | - | 23% | - | 2% | 11% | - | - | 4% | 9% | 1% | - | - | 1% |
| Ariadna | 9–12 June 2017 | 14% | - | 32% | - | 27% | - | 1% | 9% | - | - | 1% | 12% | 1% | - | - | 3% |
| 21% | - | 34% | - | - | 8% | 1% | 8% | - | - | 4% | 17% | 2% | - | - | 5% | ||
| Ariadna | 12–16 May 2017 | 15.4% | - | 31.9% | - | 26.9% | - | - | 8% | - | - | - | 17.8% | - | - | - | - |
| Kantar Public | 26–27 April 2017 | 10% | 1% | 38% | - | 31% | - | - | 12% | - | - | - | 8% | - | - | - | - |
| Dobra Opinia | 30 March-3 April 2017 | - | - | 37.4% | - | 25.8% | - | - | 9.5% | 7.9% | - | 4.8% | 11.1% | - | 3.5% | - | - |
| Pollster | 7–8 March 2017 | - | 8% | 45% | - | 25% | 4%[lower-alpha 49] | 5% | 2% | - | - | 8% | - | 3% | - | - | |
| Pollster | 2–3 January 2017 | - | 17.18% | 41.23% | 2.19%[lower-alpha 50] | 11.55% | 4.37%[lower-alpha 51] | - | 7.36% | 7.89% | - | - | 2.62% | 0.44% | 3.93% | 1.27% | - |
| IPSOS | 19–21 December 2016 | 16% | 1% | 36% | 1% | 18% | 1%[lower-alpha 52] | 5% | 8% | - | - | 8% | 1% | - | - | - | |
| Pollster | 5–8 February 2016 | - | 9% | 38% | - | 16%[lower-alpha 53] | - | 14% | 17% | - | 3% | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Presidential election | 10 May 2015 | - | 7.3% | 34.8% | - | - | 33.8%[lower-alpha 54] | - | 20.8% | - | - | - | - | - | 3.3% | - | - |
Second round
Duda v. Trzaskowski
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Undecided/would not vote | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duda PiS[1] | Trzaskowski PO | ||||||
| LATE POLL: IPSOS LATE POLL | 12–13 July 2020 | 51.0% | 49.0% | – | |||
| LATE POLL: IPSOS LATE POLL | 12 July 2020 | 50.8% | 49.2% | – | |||
| EXIT POLL: IPSOS 21:00 UTC+2 | 12 July 2020 | 50.4% | 49.6% | – | |||
| 12 July 2020 (second round) | |||||||
| Social Changes | 8-10 July 2020 | 47% | 46% | 7% | |||
| IBRiS | 9 July 2020 | 45.7% | 47.4% | 6.9% | |||
| CBOS | 30 June–9 July 2020 | 44.4% | 44.6% | 11.0% | |||
| Kantar | 8–9 July 2020 | 45.9% | 46.4% | 7.7% | |||
| Pollster | 8–9 July 2020 | 50.72% | 49.28% | - | |||
| Indicator | 8–9 July 2020 | 45.9% | 44.7% | 9.4% | |||
| CBOS | 29 June – 9 July 2020 | 50.0% | 38.0% | 12% | |||
| IBRiS | 8 July 2020 | 44.4% | 45.3% | 10.3% | |||
| PGB Opinium | 7–9 July 2020 | 49.16% | 50.84% | - | |||
| IPSOS | 7–8 July 2020 | 50% | 47% | 3% | |||
| Kantar | 3–8 July 2020 | 44% | 45% | 11% | |||
| Social Changes | 3–7 July 2020 | 47% | 46% | 7% | |||
| IBRiS | 4 July 2020 | 48.7% | 47.8% | 3.5% | |||
| United Surveys | 4 July 2020 | 46.8% | 45.9% | 7.4% | |||
| IBRiS | 4 July 2020 | 45.9% | 47.2% | 6.9% | |||
| PGB Opinium | 2–4 July 2020 | 49.62% | 50.38% | - | |||
| Estymator | 2–3 July 2020 | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | |||
| Kantar | 2–3 July 2020 | 46% | 47% | 7% | |||
| IBRiS | 1 July 2020 | 49.0% | 46.4% | 4.6% | |||
| Indicator | 30 June–2 July 2020 | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | |||
| IPSOS | 30 June–1 July 2020 | 48% | 49% | 3% | |||
| Pollster | 30 June–1 July 2020 | 51.14% | 48.86% | - | |||
| Kantar | 30 June 2020 | 44% | 45% | 11% | |||
| IBRiS | 28 June 2020 | 45.8% | 48.1% | 6.1% | |||
| Indicator | 28 June 2020 | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | |||
| Kantar | 28 June 2020 | 45.4% | 44.7% | 9.9% | |||
| 28 June 2020 (first round) | |||||||
| Social Changes | 26–27 June 2020 | 48% | 43% | 9% | |||
| IBRiS | 26 June 2020 | 45.8% | 48.1% | 6.1% | |||
| IBSP | 25–26 June 2020[lower-alpha 55] | 48.51% | 51.49% | - | |||
| Indicator | 23–26 June 2020 | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | |||
| Estymator | 24–25 June 2020 | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | |||
| Pollster | 24–25 June 2020 | 44.83% | 46.48% | 8.69% | |||
| Kantar | 24–25 June 2020 | 47% | 45% | 8% | |||
| IBRiS | 24 June 2020 | 48.7% | 47.5% | 3.8% | |||
| IPSOS | 22–23 June 2020 | 43% | 47% | 9% | |||
| Social Changes | 19–23 June 2020 | 46% | 44% | 10% | |||
| Pollster | 22 June 2020 | 51% | 49% | - | |||
| IBRiS | 20 June 2020 | 45.6% | 45.5% | 8.9% | |||
| IBRiS | 19–20 June 2020 | 45.2% | 46.0% | 8.8% | |||
| United Survey | 19 June 2020 | 45.8% | 46.9% | 7.4% | |||
| Estymator | 18–19 June 2020 | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | |||
| Kantar | 17–18 June 2020 | 48% | 48% | 4% | |||
| IPSOS | 16–17 June 2020 | 46% | 46% | 8% | |||
| Social Changes | 12–16 June 2020 | 45% | 43% | 12% | |||
| Maison & Partners[lower-alpha 6] | 12–15 June 2020 | 43% | 46% | 11% | |||
| Estymator | 12–13 June 2020 | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | |||
| IBRiS | 12–13 June 2020 | 48.8% | 48.0% | 3.2% | |||
| Pollster | 9–10 June 2020 | 53% | 47% | - | |||
| Kantar | 5–10 June 2020 | 41% | 43% | 16% | |||
| Social Changes | 5–9 June 2020 | 47% | 45% | 8% | |||
| Estymator | 3–4 June 2020 | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | |||
| Pollster | 2–3 June 2020 | 53% | 47% | - | |||
| N/A[lower-alpha 56] | 1–2 June 2020 | 47% | 53% | - | |||
| Social Changes | 29 May–2 June 2020 | 46% | 42% | 12% | |||
| United Survey | 29 May 2020 | 44.5% | 44.3% | 11.2% | |||
| IBRiS | 29 May 2020 | 49.0% | 46.4% | 4.6% | |||
| SWPS | 28–29 May 2020 | 43% | 57% | - | |||
| Pollster[lower-alpha 57] | 26–27 May 2020 | 51.32% | 48.68% | - | |||
| Social Changes | 22–25 May 2020 | 46% | 45% | 9% | |||
| Maison & Partners[lower-alpha 6] | N/A May 2020 | 49% | 42% | 9% | |||
| IBRiS | 22–23 May 2020 | 49.6% | 44.7% | 5.7% | |||
| Estymator | 21–22 May 2020 | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | |||
| N/A[lower-alpha 58] | N/A May 2020 | 45% | 55% | - | |||
| Kantar | 18–19 May 2020 | 48% | 41% | 11% | |||
| Social Changes | 11–18 May 2020 | 48% | 41% | 11% | |||
| Pollster | 15–17 May 2020 | 53% | 47% | - | |||
| United Survey | 15 May 2020 | 49.3% | 40.5% | 10.2% | |||
| IBSP | 31 January–6 February 2019 | 47.9% | 49.3% | 2.8% | |||
Pre-first round polls
Duda v. Hołownia
Duda vs Hołownia polls average
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Undecided/would not vote | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duda PiS[1] | Hołownia IN | |||
| Indicator | 23–26 June 2020 | 50.6% | 49.4% | - |
| IPSOS | 22–23 June 2020 | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| Social Changes | 19–23 June 2020 | 45% | 44% | 11% |
| Pollster | 22 June 2020 | 48% | 52% | - |
| IPSOS | 16–17 June 2020 | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| Social Changes | 12–16 June 2020 | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Maison & Partners[lower-alpha 6] | 12–15 June 2020 | 42% | 50% | 8% |
| Estymator | 12–13 June 2020 | 49.8% | 50.2% | - |
| Pollster | 9–10 June 2020 | 53% | 47% | - |
| Social Changes | 5–9 June 2020 | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Kantar | 5–10 June 2020 | 41% | 43% | 16% |
| Estymator | 3–4 June 2020 | 50.4% | 49.6% | - |
| Pollster | 2–3 June 2020 | 52% | 48% | - |
| Social Changes | 29 May–2 June 2020 | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| United Survey | 29 May 2020 | 43.4% | 43.1% | 13.5% |
| SWPS | 28–29 May 2020 | 39% | 61% | - |
| Pollster | 26–27 May 2020 | 55.43% | 44.57% | - |
| Social Changes | 22–25 May 2020 | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Maison & Partners[lower-alpha 6] | N/A May 2020 | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| IBRiS | 22–23 May 2020 | 49.8% | 45.4% | 4.8% |
| Estymator | 21–22 May 2020 | 50.9% | 49.1% | - |
| Kantar | 18–19 May 2020 | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| Maison & Partners[lower-alpha 6] | 15–18 May 2020[lower-alpha 18] | 38% | 51% | 11% |
| 15–18 May 2020[lower-alpha 19] | 47% | 46% | 7% | |
| Social Changes | 11–18 May 2020 | 46% | 44% | 10% |
| Pollster | 15–17 May 2020 | 51% | 49% | - |
| Social Changes | 1–4 May 2020 | 56% | 35% | 9% |
| Social Changes | 17–20 April 2020 | 62% | 30% | 8% |
| Kantar | 16–17 April 2020 | 69% | 23% | 8% |
| Social Changes | 10–13 April 2020 | 61% | 28% | 11% |
| Maison & Partners[lower-alpha 6] | 3–7 April 2020 | 34% | 43% | 23% |
| Social Changes | 3–6 April 2020 | 55% | 31% | 14% |
| Social Changes | 27–30 March 2020 | 57% | 32% | 11% |
| Social Changes | 20–23 March 2020 | 49% | 38% | 13% |
| Kantar | 6–11 March 2020 | 46% | 30% | 24% |
| Social Changes | 6–10 March 2020 | 46% | 41% | 13% |
| Social Changes | 28 February-2 March 2020 | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| Indicator | 26–28 February 2020 | 53.2% | 46.8% | - |
| Pollster | 24–26 February 2020 | 51.99% | 48.01% | - |
| Social Changes | 21–24 February 2020 | 44% | 42% | 14% |
| IPSOS | 20–22 February 2020 | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| IBSP | 18–20 February 2020 | 52.08% | 47.92% | - |
| Social Changes | 14–18 February 2020 | 44% | 42% | 14% |
| CBOS | 6–16 February 2020 | 54% | 27% | 19% |
| Dobra Opinia | 10–14 February 2020 | 50.4% | 49.6% | - |
| Kantar | 7–12 February 2020 | 47% | 36% | 17% |
| Social Changes | 7–11 February 2020 | 48% | 39% | 13% |
| Social Changes | 1–4 February 2020 | 44% | 42% | 14% |
| Maison & Partners[lower-alpha 6] | 24–28 January 2020 | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Social Changes | 24–27 January 2020 | 46% | 38% | 16% |
| Social Changes | 17–21 January 2020 | 45% | 37% | 18% |
| Social Changes | 10–14 January 2020 | 47% | 38% | 15% |
| United Survey | 10–11 January 2020 | 51.4% | 31.2% | 17.4% |
| Social Changes | 3–7 January 2020 | 44% | 41% | 15% |
| Social Changes | 27–31 December 2019 | 42% | 41% | 17% |
Duda v. Kosiniak-Kamysz
Duda vs Kosiniak-Kamysz polls average
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Undecided/would not vote | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duda PiS[1] | Kosiniak-Kamysz PSL | |||
| Indicator | 23–26 June 2020 | 51.9% | 48.1% | - |
| Social Changes | 19–23 June 2020 | 44% | 41% | 15% |
| Pollster | 22 June 2020 | 50% | 50% | - |
| IPSOS | 16–17 June 2020 | 45% | 45% | 11% |
| Social Changes | 12–16 June 2020 | 44% | 42% | 14% |
| Estymator | 12–13 June 2020 | 50.1% | 49.9% | - |
| Pollster | 9–10 June 2020 | 51% | 49% | - |
| Social Changes | 5–9 June 2020 | 45% | 44% | 11% |
| Estymator | 3–4 June 2020 | 50.9% | 49.1% | - |
| Pollster | 2–3 June 2020 | 51% | 49% | - |
| Social Changes | 29 May–2 June 2020 | 46% | 42% | 12% |
| United Survey | 29 May 2020 | 45.3% | 45.3% | 9.4% |
| Pollster | 26–27 May 2020 | 51.99% | 48.01% | - |
| Social Changes | 22–25 May 2020 | 46% | 44% | 10% |
| IBRiS | 22–23 May 2020 | 47.7% | 47.0% | 5.3% |
| Estymator | 21–22 May 2020 | 53.2% | 46.8% | - |
| Kantar | 18–19 May 2020 | 50% | 39% | 11% |
| Social Changes | 11–18 May 2020 | 48% | 40% | 12% |
| Pollster | 15–17 May 2020 | 51% | 49% | - |
| Social Changes | 1–4 May 2020 | 56% | 31% | 13% |
| Social Changes | 17–20 April 2020 | 59% | 30% | 11% |
| Kantar | 16–17 April 2020 | 66% | 22% | 12% |
| Social Changes | 10–13 April 2020 | 60% | 28% | 12% |
| Maison & Partners[lower-alpha 6] | 3–7 April 2020 | 35% | 41% | 24% |
| Social Changes | 3–6 April 2020 | 56% | 34% | 10% |
| Social Changes | 27–30 March 2020 | 56% | 34% | 10% |
| Social Changes | 20–23 March 2020 | 49% | 39% | 12% |
| United Survey | 20 March 2020 | 49.2% | 36.6% | 14.2% |
| IBSP | 10–13 March 2020 | 54.91% | 45.09% | - |
| Kantar | 6–11 March 2020 | 47% | 35% | 18% |
| Social Changes | 6–10 March 2020 | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| Social Changes | 28 February-2 March 2020 | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| Indicator | 26–28 February 2020 | 53.1% | 46.9% | - |
| Social Changes | 21–24 February 2020 | 47% | 40% | 13% |
| United Survey | 22 February 2020 | 43.9% | 45.9% | 10.3% |
| IPSOS | 20–22 February 2020 | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| IBSP | 18–20 February 2020 | 52.23% | 47.77% | - |
| Social Changes | 14–18 February 2020 | 42% | 39% | 19% |
| CBOS | 6–16 February 2020 | 54% | 31% | 15% |
| Dobra Opinia | 10–14 February 2020 | 50.8% | 49.2% | - |
| Social Changes | 7–11 February 2020 | 48% | 40% | 12% |
| Social Changes | 1–4 February 2020 | 45% | 39% | 16% |
| Maison & Partners[lower-alpha 6] | 24–28 January 2020 | 47% | 41% | 12% |
| Social Changes | 24–27 January 2020 | 46% | 38% | 16% |
| Social Changes | 17–21 January 2020 | 45% | 39% | 16% |
| Social Changes | 10–14 January 2020 | 48% | 36% | 16% |
| United Survey | 10–11 January 2020 | 49.1% | 36.0% | 14.8% |
| Social Changes | 3–7 January 2020 | 45% | 39% | 16% |
| Social Changes | 27–31 December 2019 | 46% | 34% | 20% |
| Social Changes | 28 November-3 December 2019 | 46% | 34% | 20% |
Duda v. Biedroń
Duda vs Biedroń polls average
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Undecided/would not vote | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duda PiS[1] | Biedroń LEFT | |||
| Indicator | 23–26 June 2020 | 55.7% | 44.3% | - |
| Social Changes | 19–23 June 2020 | 44% | 40% | 16% |
| Pollster | 22 June 2020 | 56% | 44% | - |
| Social Changes | 12–16 June 2020 | 45% | 39% | 16% |
| Pollster | 9–10 June 2020 | 53% | 47% | - |
| Social Changes | 5–9 June 2020 | 47% | 41% | 12% |
| Pollster | 2–3 June 2020 | 56% | 44% | - |
| Social Changes | 29 May–2 June 2020 | 46% | 38% | 16% |
| United Survey | 29 May 2020 | 46.1% | 40.9% | 13.0% |
| Pollster | 26–27 May 2020 | 55.07% | 44.93% | - |
| Social Changes | 22–25 May 2020 | 45% | 40% | 15% |
| Kantar | 18–19 May 2020 | 52% | 35% | 13% |
| Social Changes | 11–18 May 2020 | 48% | 37% | 15% |
| Social Changes | 1–4 May 2020 | 57% | 29% | 14% |
| Social Changes | 17–20 April 2020 | 63% | 25% | 12% |
| Kantar | 16–17 April 2020 | 66% | 23% | 11% |
| Social Changes | 10–13 April 2020 | 62% | 24% | 14% |
| Social Changes | 3–6 April 2020 | 60% | 27% | 13% |
| Social Changes | 27–30 March 2020 | 58% | 30% | 12% |
| Social Changes | 20–23 March 2020 | 50% | 37% | 13% |
| Kantar | 6–11 March 2020 | 48% | 31% | 21% |
| Social Changes | 6–10 March 2020 | 51% | 35% | 14% |
| Social Changes | 28 February-2 March 2020 | 47% | 39% | 14% |
| Indicator | 26–28 February 2020 | 55.1% | 44.9% | - |
| Social Changes | 21–24 February 2020 | 49% | 36% | 15% |
| IPSOS | 20–22 February 2020 | 51% | 41% | 8% |
| IBSP | 18–20 February 2020 | 54.64% | 45.36% | - |
| Social Changes | 14–18 February 2020 | 47% | 38% | 15% |
| CBOS | 6–16 February 2020 | 56% | 27% | 17% |
| Dobra Opinia | 10–14 February 2020 | 57% | 43% | - |
| Kantar | 7–12 February 2020 | 48% | 33% | 19% |
| Social Changes | 7–11 February 2020 | 49% | 36% | 15% |
| Social Changes | 1–4 February 2020 | 48% | 37% | 15% |
| Social Changes | 24–27 January 2020 | 48% | 37% | 15% |
| Social Changes | 17–21 January 2020 | 47% | 35% | 18% |
| Social Changes | 10–14 January 2020 | 48% | 34% | 18% |
| United Survey | 10–11 January 2020 | 54.1% | 31.0% | 14.8% |
| IBRiS | 13 November 2018 | 49% | 41% | 10% |
| Millward Brown | 25–26 April 2018 | 58% | 40% | 2% |
| IBRiS | 14–15 October 2017 | 51.4% | 35.1% | 13.5% |
| Ariadna | 28–31 July 2017 | 51% | 32% | 17% |
| Ariadna | 12–16 May 2017 | 47% | 31% | 22% |
| Ariadna | 12–16 May 2017 | 28.3% | 28.1% | 43.6%[lower-alpha 59] |
| IPSOS | 17–19 March 2017 | 46.9% | 34.6% | 18.4% |
| Millward Brown | 20–22 May 2016 | 49% | 32% | 19% |
Duda v. Bosak
Duda vs Bosak polls average
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Undecided/would not vote | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duda PiS[1] | Bosak KWiN | |||
| Indicator | 23–26 June 2020 | 52.0% | 48.0% | - |
| Social Changes | 19–23 June 2020 | 41% | 34% | 25% |
| Pollster | 22 June 2020 | 58% | 42% | - |
| Social Changes | 12–16 June 2020 | 40% | 33% | 27% |
| Estymator | 12–13 June 2020 | 60.1% | 39.9% | - |
| Pollster | 9–10 June 2020 | 61% | 39% | - |
| Social Changes | 5–9 June 2020 | 42% | 32% | 26% |
| Pollster | 2–3 June 2020 | 60% | 40% | - |
| Social Changes | 29 May–2 June 2020 | 44% | 29% | 27% |
| United Survey | 29 May 2020 | 46.3% | 30.7% | 23.0% |
| Pollster | 26–27 May 2020 | 58.53% | 41.47% | - |
| Social Changes | 22–25 May 2020 | 42% | 33% | 25% |
| Social Changes | 11–18 May 2020 | 47% | 30% | 23% |
| Social Changes | 1–4 May 2020 | 57% | 27% | 16% |
| Social Changes | 17–20 April 2020 | 60% | 21% | 19% |
| Social Changes | 10–13 April 2020 | 61% | 26% | 13% |
| Social Changes | 3–6 April 2020 | 55% | 23% | 22% |
| Social Changes | 27–30 March 2020 | 56% | 23% | 21% |
| Social Changes | 20–23 March 2020 | 52% | 24% | 24% |
| Social Changes | 6–10 March 2020 | 49% | 23% | 28% |
| Social Changes | 28 February-2 March 2020 | 47% | 25% | 28% |
| Indicator | 26–28 February 2020 | 61.9% | 38.1% | - |
| Social Changes | 21–24 February 2020 | 49% | 24% | 27% |
| Social Changes | 14–18 February 2020 | 45% | 24% | 31% |
| CBOS | 6–16 February 2020 | 56% | 13% | 31% |
| Dobra Opinia | 10–14 February 2020 | 74.5% | 25.5% | - |
| Social Changes | 7–11 February 2020 | 52% | 23% | 25% |
| Social Changes | 1–4 February 2020 | 47% | 22% | 31% |
Duda v. Kidawa-Błońska
Duda vs Kidawa-Błońska polls average
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Undecided/would not vote | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duda PiS[1] |
Kidawa-Błońska PO | |||
| Social Changes | 1–4 May 2020 | 60% | 26% | 14% |
| Social Changes | 17–20 April 2020 | 61% | 28% | 11% |
| Kantar | 16–17 April 2020 | 69% | 21% | 10% |
| Social Changes | 10–13 April 2020 | 62% | 25% | 13% |
| Maison & Partners[lower-alpha 6] | 3–7 April 2020 | 38% | 37% | 25% |
| Social Changes | 3–6 April 2020 | 57% | 29% | 14% |
| Social Changes | 27–30 March 2020 | 58% | 30% | 12% |
| Kantar | 23–24 March 2020[lower-alpha 32] | 53% | 39% | 8% |
| Social Changes | 20–23 March 2020 | 51% | 38% | 11% |
| United Survey | 20 March 2020 | 55.6% | 35.9% | 8.5% |
| IBSP | 10–13 March 2020 | 55.88% | 44.12% | - |
| Kantar | 6–11 March 2020 | 48% | 38% | 14% |
| Social Changes | 6–10 March 2020 | 48% | 38% | 14% |
| Social Changes | 28 February-2 March 2020 | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Indicator | 26–28 February 2020 | 53.9% | 46.1% | - |
| Pollster | 24–26 February 2020 | 53.83% | 46.17% | - |
| Social Changes | 21–24 February 2020 | 46% | 42% | 12% |
| United Survey | 22 February 2020 | 49.6% | 41.6% | 8.8% |
| IPSOS | 20–22 February 2020 | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| IBSP | 18–20 February 2020 | 51.62% | 48.38% | - |
| Social Changes | 14–18 February 2020 | 45% | 43% | 12% |
| CBOS | 6–16 February 2020 | 54% | 29% | 17% |
| Dobra Opinia | 10–14 February 2020 | 50.3% | 49.7% | - |
| Kantar | 7–12 February 2020 | 49% | 37% | 14% |
| Social Changes | 7–11 February 2020 | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| Social Changes | 1–4 February 2020 | 46% | 42% | 12% |
| Maison & Partners[lower-alpha 6] | 24-28 January 2020 | 49% | 42% | 9% |
| Social Changes | 24–27 January 2020 | 47% | 40% | 13% |
| Social Changes | 17–21 January 2020 | 45% | 39% | 16% |
| IBSP | 14–16 January 2020 | 50.09% | 49.91% | - |
| Social Changes | 10–14 January 2020 | 47% | 38% | 15% |
| United Survey | 10–11 January 2020 | 47.8% | 40.8% | 11.4% |
| Social Changes | 3–7 January 2020 | 45% | 42% | 13% |
| Social Changes | 27–31 December 2019 | 45% | 42% | 13% |
| Pollster | 20–22 December 2019 | 54.14% | 45.86% | - |
| IBSP | 17–20 December 2019 | 50.67% | 49.33% | - |
| Social Changes | 28 November-3 December 2019 | 46% | 39% | 15% |
Duda v. Tusk
Duda vs Tusk polls average
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Undecided/would not vote | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duda PiS[1] |
Tusk PO | |||
| Kantar Public | 16–19 May 2019 | 55% | 44% | 1% |
| Kantar Public | 8–10 May 2019 | 56% | 40% | 4% |
| IBSP | 7–9 May 2019 | 48.4% | 47.3% | 4.3% |
| Ariadna | 22–26 February 2019 | 46% | 36% | 18% |
| IBSP | 31 January-6 February 2019 | 45.3% | 52.9% | 1.8% |
| Millward Brown | 19–20 November 2018 | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| IBRiS | 13 November 2018 | 46% | 44% | 10% |
| Pollster | 9–10 August 2018 | 51% | 49% | - |
| IBRiS | 26–27 July 2018 | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| Pollster | 13–14 June 2018 | 52.5% | 47.5% | - |
| Millward Brown | 25–26 April 2018 | 53% | 44% | 3% |
| Kantar Public | 20–21 November 2017 | 48% | 27% | 25% |
| IBRiS | 14–15 October 2017 | 49.4% | 37.8% | 12.8% |
| Ariadna | 29 September-2 October 2017 | 47.5% | 36.0% | 16.5% |
| Pollster | 20–21 September 2017 | 47% | 53% | - |
| Ariadna | 28–31 July 2017 | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| Millward Brown | 11–12 July 2017 | 52% | 44% | 4% |
| Pollster | 30 June-4 July 2017 | 52% | 48% | - |
| Ariadna | 23–26 June 2017 | 45% | 38% | 17% |
| IPSOS | 19–21 June 2017 | 49.9% | 37.2% | 13% |
| Ariadna | 12–16 May 2017 | 33% | 33.8% | 33.2% |
| Ariadna | 12–16 May 2017 | 30.8% | 27.4% | 41.8%[lower-alpha 60] |
| Millward Brown | 24–25 April 2017 | 45% | 50% | 5% |
| Pollster | 20–21 April 2017 | 39% | 49% | 12% |
| IPSOS | 17–19 March 2017 | 43.7% | 43.9% | 12.4% |
| Millward Brown | 5 October 2016 | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| Millward Brown | 20–22 May 2016 | 47% | 41% | 12% |
Duda v. Kukiz
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Undecided/would not vote | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duda PiS[1] |
Kukiz K'15 | |||
| Ariadna | 12–16 May 2017 | 26.4% | 16.3% | 57.3%[lower-alpha 61] |
| IPSOS | 17–19 March 2017 | 44.9% | 26.7% | 28.4% |
| Millward Brown | 20–22 May 2016 | 44% | 26% | 30% |
Duda v. Petru
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Undecided/would not vote | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duda PiS[1] |
Petru .N | |||
| Millward Brown | 20–22 May 2016 | 47% | 41% | 12% |
Duda v. Schetyna
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Undecided/would not vote | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duda PiS[1] |
Schetyna PO | |||
| Millward Brown | 20–22 May 2016 | 48% | 33% | 19% |
Duda v. Sikorski
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Undecided/would not vote | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duda PiS[1] |
Sikorski PO | |||
| Social Changes | 11–18 May 2020 | 50% | 36% | 14% |
Notes
- Includes: 0.5% – Marek Jakubiak, 0.3% – Stanisław Żółtek, 0.3% – Paweł Tanajno, 0.3% – Waldemar Witkowski, 0.2% – Mirosław Piotrowski.
- Includes: 0.5% – Marek Jakubiak, 0.3% – Stanisław Żółtek, 0.3% – Paweł Tanajno, 0.3% – Waldemar Witkowski, 0.2% – Mirosław Piotrowski.
- Includes: 0.7% – Marek Jakubiak, 0.3% – Stanisław Żółtek, 0.2% – Paweł Tanajno, 0.1% – Waldemar Witkowski, 0.0% – Mirosław Piotrowski.
- Includes: 1% – Waldemar Witkowski.
- Includes: 1% – Paweł Tanajno, 1% – Stanisław Żółtek, 0% – Marek Jakubiak, 0% – Mirosław Piotrowski.
- Hołownia's campaign staff internal poll
- Includes: 0.5% – Stanisław Żółtek, 0.4% – Marek Jakubiak, 0.2% – Paweł Tanajno, 0.1% – Mirosław Piotrowski, 0.0% – Waldemar Witkowski.
- Includes: 0.6% – Paweł Tanajno, 0.4% – Waldemar Witkowski, 0.2% – Stanisław Żółtek, 0.1% – Marek Jakubiak, 0.1% – Mirosław Piotrowski.
- Includes: 1% – Marek Jakubiak, 1% – Mirosław Piotrowski.
- Includes: 1% – Marek Jakubiak.
- PiS / Duda's campaign staff internal poll
- 5% others
- Includes: 0.1% – Marek Jakubiak.
- Includes: 1% – Marek Jakubiak, 0% – Stanisław Żółtek, 0% – Paweł Tanajno, 0% – Mirosław Piotrowski.
- Includes: 0.1% – Marek Jakubiak, 0.0% – Stanisław Żółtek, 0.3% – Paweł Tanajno, 0% – Mirosław Piotrowski.
- Includes: 1% – Marek Jakubiak, 0% – Paweł Tanajno, 0% – Mirosław Piotrowski, 0% – Stanisław Żółtek.
- Includes: 2% – Marek Jakubiak, 2% – Stanisław Żółtek, <1% – Paweł Tanajno, <1% – Mirosław Piotrowski.
- The poll measures voting intention in case election is held in traditional form in July.
- The poll measures voting intention in case election is held next Sunday (24 May).
- Includes: 1% – Marek Jakubiak, 1% – Paweł Tanajno, 0% – Mirosław Piotrowski, 0% – Stanisław Żółtek.
- Includes: 0.82% – Paweł Tanajno, 0.80% – Marek Jakubiak, 0.43% – Mirosław Piotrowski, 0.08% – Stanisław Żółtek.
- Includes: 1% – Paweł Tanajno, 0% – Marek Jakubiak, 0% – Mirosław Piotrowski, 0% – Stanisław Żółtek.
- The poll measures voting intention in case voting in person at polling stations is conducted.
- Includes: 0.0% – Stanisław Żółtek, 0.0% – Paweł Tanajno, 0.0% – Mirosław Piotrowski, 0.0% – Marek Jakubiak.
- Includes: 1% – Marek Jakubiak, 1% – Paweł Tanajno, 1% – Stanisław Żółtek, 1% – Mirosław Piotrowski.
- The poll measures voting intention in case all-postal voting is conducted.
- Includes: 1% – Marek Jakubiak.
- Includes: 2% – Marek Jakubiak.
- The poll measures voting intention in case the election is held during the polling period.
- The poll measures voting intention in case the election is held on 10 May 2020.
- The poll measures voting intention in case the election is held during the coronavirus pandemic.
- The poll measures voting intention in case the election is held after the end of the coronavirus pandemic.
- Includes: 2% – Piotr Liroy-Marzec.
- Includes: 2% – Piotr Liroy-Marzec.
- Includes: 6% – Adrian Zandberg.
- Includes: 5% – Adrian Zandberg.
- Includes: 7% – Adrian Zandberg.
- Includes: 8.3% – Adrian Zandberg.
- Includes: 7.2% – Adrian Zandberg.
- Includes: 7% – Adrian Zandberg.
- Includes: 7% – Adrian Zandberg, 4% – Grzegorz Braun.
- Includes: 1.9% – Grzegorz Braun.
- Includes: 5.2% – Rafał Trzaskowski, 1.7% – Bartosz Arłukowicz.
- Includes: 5% – Mateusz Morawiecki, 1% – Jarosław Kaczyński, 1% – Zbigniew Ziobro.
- Includes: 4% – Monika Jaruzelska.
- Includes: 6% – Beata Szydło
- Includes: 1% – Grzegorz Schetyna
- Includes: 1.2% – Marian Kowalski.
- Includes: 4% – Bronisław Komorowski
- Includes: 1.60% – Beata Szydło, 0.59% – Jarosław Kaczyński
- Includes: 3.96% – Bronisław Komorowski, 0.24% – Grzegorz Schetyna, 0.17% – Ewa Kopacz
- Includes: 1% – Grzegorz Schetyna
- Includes: 3% – Grzegorz Schetyna
- Bronisław Komorowski
- The poll has been updated with exit poll data.
- PiS / Duda's campaign staff internal poll
- Determined people, without undecided ones
- PiS / Duda's campaign staff internal poll
- 13.8% undecided, 29.8% would not vote
- 17.3% undecided, 24.5% would not vote
- 16.7% undecided, 40.6% would not vote
References
- The President of Poland traditionally resigns from party membership after taking office. Although Duda is officially an independent, his campaign is endorsed and funded by Law and Justice.
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