Opinion polling for the next Icelandic parliamentary election

In the run up to the next Icelandic parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Iceland during the term of the Althing. This article lists the results of such polls.

The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous election, held on 28 October 2017, to the present day. The elections are to be held on or before 23 October 2021.[1]

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the highest figures. When a poll has no information on a certain party, that party is instead marked by a dash (–).

Graphical summary

D = Independence Party, V = Left-Green Movement, S = Social Democratic Alliance, M = Centre Party, B = Progressive Party, P = Pirate Party, F = People's Party, C = Reform Party, J = Socialist Party.


Polls

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Resp. D V S M B P F C J Others Lead
Gallup 6–31 Jan 2021 9,019 51.4 22.7 12.8 16.6 8.0 9.5 11.1 3.9 11.7 3.8 6.1
MMR 30 Dec 2020–11 Jan 2021 2,002 - 24.4 10.9 15.6 8.6 9.1 12.3 4.9 8.8 4.4 1.0 8.8
Gallup 1 Dec 2020–3 Jan 2021 10,958 51.5 23.7 11.7 17.0 9.1 8.3 11.9 4.3 10.0 3.8 6.7
Zenter 11–19 Dec 2020 2,500 52.8 22.9 10.2 15.6 6.7 7.3 17.0 4.7 10.2 3.3 2.1 5.9
MMR 26 Nov–3 Dec 2020 944 - 27.1 7.6 13.8 7.0 7.5 13.8 6.2 9.5 5.0 2.3 12.3
Gallup 2–30 Nov 2020 9,351 53.6 23.7 11.8 17.1 8.8 8.6 12.4 4.1 9.7 3.7 6.6
MMR 6–11 Nov 2020 925 - 25.0 7.5 16.7 9.1 9.9 14.3 3.9 8.4 4.0 1.1 8.3
Gallup 30 Sep–1 Nov 2020 10,937 54.0 23.5 11.9 15.8 9.9 7.7 12.1 4.5 11.6 2.7 7.7
MMR 23–28 Oct 2020 933 - 21.9 8.3 15.2 11.6 10.2 13.5 3.8 9.7 4.6 1.3 6.7
Gallup 1–30 Sep 2020 9,673 52.9 23.9 13.7 14.9 9.4 6.7 13.2 3.7 10.4 3.9 9.0
MMR 10–23 Sep 2020 2,043 - 25.6 8.5 12.8 10.8 8.3 15.0 3.6 9.4 4.3 1.7 10.6
MMR 26 Aug–2 Sep 2020 929 - 24.0 9.6 14.9 8.0 8.9 14.3 4.8 10.0 3.4 2.2 9.1
Gallup 4–31 Aug 2020 9,479 51.9 22.8 12.6 14.7 9.9 7.9 13.7 3.6 10.6 3.9 0.3 8.1
Gallup 31 Jul 2020 - - 23.2 10.9 14.8 10.6 7.6 13.9 4.3 10.8 3.8 0.1 8.4
MMR 23–28 Jul 2020 951 - 24.0 10.8 13.1 8.4 8.6 15.4 4.0 8.4 5.1 2.1 8.6
Gallup 02–30 Jun 2020 10,274 51.7 24.0 13.6 14.9 10.2 8.6 10.7 3.6 10.5 3.8 0.1 9.1
MMR 16–19 Jun 2020 1,045 - 24.3 10.7 16.3 8.0 6.1 13.2 5.4 10.0 3.5 2.4 8.0
Gallup 4 May–1 Jun 2020 10,630 54.0 24.6 14.3 14.4 10.4 7.7 11.0 4.4 9.7 3.3 10.2
MMR 19–25 May 2020 994 - 23.5 10.6 13.3 10.8 6.4 14.6 3.6 11.3 4.1 1.7 8.9
Gallup 30 Mar–3 May 2020 11,028 55.7 25.1 13.8 13.8 9.9 8.4 10.4 4.4 10.0 4.0 11.3
MMR 15–17 Apr 2020 1,051 - 22.7 10.4 13.1 9.5 9.8 12.3 4.7 10.0 5.6 2.0 9.6
MMR 3–7 Apr 2020 987 - 23.5 12.3 14.1 10.7 8.8 12.2 3.4 9.6 3.4 2.1 9.4
Gallup 2–29 Mar 2020 10,352 54.8 23.5 13.3 15.1 11.2 8.1 10.2 4.2 11.1 3.2 8.4
MMR 18–20 Mar 2020 1,034 - 27.4 9.8 14.7 10.0 8.1 10.2 3.7 9.7 4.7 0.5 12.7
Gallup 3 Feb–1 Mar 2020 7,964 53.8 22.0 11.9 14.8 14.2 7.0 10.7 4.0 10.3 5.0 1.9 7.2
MMR 6–10 Feb 2020 1,003 - 22.0 10.7 15.1 13.3 6.8 10.4 4.6 9.7 5.3 2.1 6.9
Gallup 03 Jan–02 Feb 2020 8,678 51.8 21.6 10.5 17.7 12.5 7.8 11.5 4.2 10.3 3.4 3.9
MMR 28 Jan 2020 - - 19.0 8.7 16.6 15.1 7.2 10.6 3.8 12.4 4.9 1.9 2.4
MMR 3–13 Jan 2020 2,057 - 20.3 11.1 16.8 12.9 8.2 11.0 3.5 10.5 4.1 1.5 3.5
Gallup 2 Dec 2019–1 Jan 2020 8,511 52.8 22.7 10.7 13.9 12.7 8.6 11.3 4.3 12.0 3.3 8.8
MMR 13–19 Dec 2019 1,014 - 20.0 10.3 14.4 14.3 8.3 11.8 4.0 10.5 5.2 1.1 5.6
Gallup 28 Oct–1 Dec 2019 11,663 53.2 21.7 13.6 15.8 12.9 7.8 10.3 3.9 10.8 3.0 5.9
MMR 15–22 Nov 2019 1,061 - 18.1 10.6 13.2 16.8 9.4 10.8 6.3 9.7 3.0 2.2 1.3
Gallup 30 Sep–27 Oct 2019 9,798 - 22.7 13.4 17.3 11.5 8.2 9.0 4.6 10.3 2.6 5.4
MMR 21–25 Oct 2019 972 - 21.1 9.7 15.3 13.5 10.0 8.9 8.0 10.0 2.6 0.9 5.8
Zenter 10–14 Oct 2019 2,300 53 19.6 12.5 18.5 11.6 7.3 10.9 4.0 11.3 2.9 1.1 1.1
MMR 30 Sep–09 Oct 2019 2,124 - 19.8 10.3 14.1 14.8 10.1 8.8 5.6 11.0 3.1 2.4 5.0
Gallup 01–30 Sep 2019 - - 23.5 12.0 16.1 12.3 7.9 9.7 4.3 11.2 2.7 7.4
MMR 09–16 Sep 2019 1,045 - 18.3 12.8 14.8 12.0 11.8 12.4 4.0 10.2 2.0 1.6 3.5
Gallup 29 Jul–01 Sep 2019 8,423 47.2 21.7 12.8 15.5 13.4 8.3 9.3 3.8 11.4 3.7 - 6.2
MMR 12–19 Aug 2019 990 - 19.1 11.5 16.8 13.0 10.4 11.3 4.1 9.3 2.9 1.6 2.3
Gallup 01–31 Jul 2019 - - 21.6 12.0 13.7 12.1 8.5 12.7 3.7 12.2 3.2 7.9
Zenter 24–26 Jul 2019 2,000 45.0 20.5 12.9 14.4 13.4 8.2 12.3 3.2 10.6 2.7 1.9 6.1
MMR 04–17 Jul 2019 2,031 - 19.0 10.3 13.5 14.4 8.4 14.9 4.8 9.7 4.3 0.8 4.1
Gallup 31 May–30 Jun 2019 5,910 53.0 23.7 13.0 14.7 11.4 8.6 11.3 4.2 10.1 3.0 9.0
MMR 7–14 Jun 2019 988 22.1 11.3 14.4 10.6 7.7 14.4 4.2 9.5 4.4 1.3 7.7
Gallup 3–30 May 2019 6,125 53.5 23.4 12.4 16.6 10.0 8.5 11.2 3.2 10.9 3.7 0.1 6.8
MMR 23–29 May 2019 932 21.5 14.1 12.5 10.8 9.7 14.0 4.2 8.3 3.4 1.6 7.4
MMR 14–16 May 2019 978 21.3 12.2 13.9 11.8 11.6 9.8 6.4 8.4 3.2 1.4 7.4
MMR 30 Apr–3 May 2019 941 20.2 13.4 14.1 9.2 9.8 13.4 5.1 9.2 4.2 1.4 6.1
Gallup 5–30 Apr 2019 5,189 57.7 23.6 13.3 16.2 8.9 8.0 11.1 4.0 11.0 3.6 0.3 7.4
MMR 13 Apr 2019 22.5 12.1 14.3 9.2 11.2 13.3 5.0 7.8 2.8 1.7 8.2
MMR 4–9 Apr 2019 926 21.7 10.4 13.9 10.2 8.7 15.0 5.4 9.0 4.5 1.2 6.7
Gallup 1–31 Mar 2019 6,705 55.4 25.0 11.6 15.9 9.0 9.0 11.6 3.7 10.3 3.5 0.4 9.1
MMR 11–14 Mar 2019 1,025 23.6 11.4 13.8 8.0 11.1 13.6 4.7 9.4 2.5 1.9 9.8
Gallup 31 Jan–28 Feb 2019 7,060 53.5 25.0 12.3 16.8 6.7 9.0 11.6 3.4 9.9 5.0 0.3 8.2
MMR 11–15 Feb 2019 934 22.7 11.1 15.9 6.1 13.5 10.4 6.9 8.1 3.6 1.5 6.8
Gallup 7–31 Jan 2019 4,241 54.4 23.4 11.3 19.1 6.5 8.8 12.7 3.7 9.1 5.3 0.1 4.3
MMR 28 Jan 2019 21.8 12.2 15.5 8.3 12.6 12.0 5.4 9.2 3.1 6.3
MMR 4–14 Jan 2019 2,061 22.2 11.3 15.0 6.9 11.7 13.8 6.7 7.8 4.6 7.2
Gallup 3 Dec 2018–1 Jan 2019 4,899 58.0 22.7 11.6 18.4 5.7 11.4 10.7 5.3 10.5 3.4 0.3 4.3
MMR 5–11 Dec 2018 975 22.1 12.9 16.9 5.9 12.5 14.4 4.2 8.5 2.6 5.2
Zenter 3–4 Dec 2018 2,300 55 21.4 12.7 20.8 4.3 8.5 14.4 5.7 9.1 3.1 0.6
Maskína 30 Nov–3 Dec 2018 1,311 19.3 14.9 19.7 4.6 8.8 14.9 4.4 13.4 0.4
Gallup 3 Nov–2 Dec 2018 5,319 58.3 23.5 10.5 18.7 12.0 7.5 10.2 6.2 9.8 1.3 0.3 4.8
MMR 21 Nov 2018 21.1 10.3 16.3 13.1 7.5 11.3 7.6 8.6 4.2 4.8
MMR 8–12 Nov 2018 1,048 19.8 11.5 16.6 12.1 8.8 11.3 7.3 7.8 4.7 3.2
Gallup 2–31 Oct 2018 6,129 54.8 25.8 10.6 17.0 10.3 7.2 10.6 6.2 10.8 1.1 0.4 8.8
MMR 22 Oct 2018 20.8 10.8 16.5 12.8 7.8 13.2 5.9 9.9 2.3 4.3
MMR 3–9 Oct 2018 921 20.8 10.9 16.7 11.9 8.9 12.7 6.1 8.6 3.2 4.1
Gallup 3 Sep–1 Oct 2018 5,460 53.3 24.6 10.3 19.3 9.8 6.6 11.5 5.9 10.7 0.9 0.4 5.3
MMR 7–12 Sep 2018 953 21.3 11.1 19.8 10.8 8.1 13.2 5.3 7.9 2.5 1.5
Gallup 2 Aug–2 Sep 2018 7,094 52.6 22.7 11.7 19.3 8.7 8.2 12.5 5.7 10.1 0.7 0.4 3.4
MMR 10 Aug 2018 22.1 8.8 16.6 10.3 8.9 13.4 7.8 8.7 3.4 5.5
Gallup 29–30 Jul 2018 7,060 50.4 24.6 10.7 16.7 8.6 9.2 13.9 6.0 8.7 0.9 0.7 7.9
Gallup 31 May–1 Jul 2018 5,875 55.2 24.5 11.5 15.2 8.0 8.5 13.1 5.1 10.4 1.0 2.7 9.3
MMR 12–18 Jun 2018 925 21.6 12.7 15.1 10.6 9.5 14.3 8.2 5.8 2.2 6.5
Gallup 2–31 May 2018 7,113 56.6 23.8 13.3 17.9 8.5 8.9 13.3 4.1 8.4 1.8 5.9
MMR 16–22 May 2018 929 23.7 12.0 14.6 9.8 10.1 14.1 5.6 7.1 3.0 9.1
MMR 2 May 2018 24.5 13.7 14.7 10.3 8.2 13.0 5.8 7.6 2.1 9.8
Gallup 27 Mar–29 Apr 2018 6,766 56.3 25.3 14.1 17.7 7.9 9.6 11.0 4.2 7.7 2.5 7.6
MMR 13–19 Apr 2018 910 23.9 14.3 13.6 8.8 7.3 15.3 6.9 7.0 2.8 8.6
Gallup 1–26 Mar 2018 5,423 57.0 24.5 13.9 16.5 8.7 9.2 12.5 4.9 8.4 1.4 8.0
MMR 19 Mar 2018 25.3 14.8 16.1 10.7 9.0 13.2 3.6 6.0 1.4 9.2
MMR 12 Mar 2018 21.9 16.1 15.9 9.7 8.8 13.8 5.7 6.1 2.0 5.8
Gallup 1–28 Feb 2018 5,564 55.3 23.5 16.6 15.3 8.6 9.3 11.9 5.9 6.8 2.2 6.9
Gallup 4–31 Jan 2018 5,606 53.8 25.5 16.9 16.1 6.8 9.5 10.7 5.5 7.3 1.7 8.6
MMR 25–30 Jan 2018 928 22.3 18.4 14.9 7.7 11.2 12.9 4.2 6.0 2.4 3.9
MMR 9–17 Jan 2018 1,594 25.8 15.0 13.9 6.9 11.2 12.2 6.1 6.2 2.6 10.8
Gallup 30 Nov–28 Dec 2017 7,001 55.2 25.1 17.3 15.5 5.8 11.9 10.1 5.4 6.5 2.4 7.8
MMR 12–15 Dec 2017 923 23.2 16.7 16.8 8.7 8.5 14.1 3.7 5.7 2.5 6.4
Fréttablaðið/Stöð 2/Vísir 4 Dec 2017 804 26.4 23.5 13.4 7.4 11.3 7.7 4.0 4.8 1.5 2.9
Gallup 8–30 Nov 2017 3,991 57.8 24.0 16.1 16.7 6.8 10.4 10.4 6.4 7.1 2.1 7.3
MMR 14–17 Nov 2017 944 24.4 13.0 16.0 10.5 9.5 9.9 8.4 6.5 1.8 8.4
2017 parliamentary election 28 Oct 2017 25.2 16.9 12.1 10.9 10.7 9.2 6.9 6.7 1.5 8.4

Notes

    References

    1. "Atkvæðagreiðsla utan kjörfundar hefst í dag". Morgunblaðið. 20 September 2017. Retrieved 30 October 2017.
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