Simeon Dyankov

After leaving the government of Boyko Borisov, Simeon Dyankov joined the Harvard Kennedy School as visiting faculty. His teaching is focused on the politics of development. During his time at Harvard, Dyankov edited a special issue of the Journal of Comparative Economics on the 25th anniversary from the start of transition in Eastern Europe. Jointly with Anders Aslund at the Atlantic Council, he also co-authored a book on the transformation from communism.[2] The book contains chapters by Leszek Balcerowicz on Poland, Vaclav Klaus on the Czech Republic, Lajos Bokros on Hungary, Ivan Miklos on Slovakia, and Mart Laar on Estonia.

Memorial Hall, Harvard University

On October 2, 2013 it was announced that the board of directors of private Moscow-based university New Economic School (NES) also known as the Russian Economic School had approved Simeon Dyankov as its rector.[3] The New Economic School has Russia's premier economics graduate program, which had produced over 350 PhD economists since 1993. It is privately funded, and was established by Harvard economics professors Zvi Griliches and Nobel Prize winner Eric Maskin. During the tenure of Dyankov as Rector, the New Economic School was relocated to a new campus in the Skolkovo Innovation Center.

The Financial Markets Group was founded by Charles Goodhart and Mervyn King in 1986 to study the development of banking and non-bank financial institutions. Dyankov's appointment as director serves to expand the focus of research to emerging markets. His latest research is on the effects of Brexit on the City of London, as presented in "EU Attitudes towards Brexit" and written up in "The City of London after Brexit". His views on Brexit are that a soft exit of Great Britain from the European Union will be in the interest of all Europeans. The point of these statistics is to state the obvious: politicians in the UK and the rest of the EU should be constructive about Brexit. If financial service companies move out of London, it is unlikely that many would relocate to another EU city. Financial centers outside of the EU would be more likely to attract the business because other EU financial centers rank so much lower.

Dyankov argues that London will not lose its crown as Europe's financial capital. There are three reasons for this continued dominance over European financial services: The pre-eminence of the British court system in upholding the rule of law, including the protection of creditor and shareholder rights; The superiority of the UK's university education in economics and finance over its continental counterparts ; and the UK's tax and employment regulation that is conducive to the industry's health and profits. Still, Brexit's Effect on the City will be noticeable, reducing revenues by 12–18% and employment by 7–8%. Dyankov has proposed a Brexit readiness index to gauge progress towards eventual separation from the European Union. The Brexit Readiness Score is updated quarterly.

In June 2008, Dyankov established the think-tank Ideas42, jointly with Antoinette Schoar (MIT Sloan), Eldar Shafir (Princeton) and Sendhil Mullainathan (Harvard), a Harvard University-International Finance Corporation venture.[4] The think tank applies the latest analysis to studying the economic lives of the poor, the development of small businesses, and access to finance. Several projects are co-sponsored with the Gates Foundation and the Institute for Financial Management and Research in India. A December 2007 paper studies corruption in obtaining driving licenses in Delhi. On the average, individuals pay about twice the official amount to obtain a license and very few take the legally required driving test, resulting in many unqualified but licensed drivers. The magnitude of distortions in the allocation of licenses increases with citizens' willing to pay for licenses. The results support the view that corruption does not only transfer from citizens to bureaucrats but also distorts allocation. The paper also shows that partial anti-corruption measures have only a limited impact because players in this system adapt to the new environment. Specifically, a ban on agents at one regional transport office is associated with a high percentage of unqualified drivers overcoming the residency requirement and obtaining licenses at other license offices.

Dyankov joined the Peterson Institute for International Economics in 2013 and has written extensively on Brexit, Russia, Viktor Orbán, postcommunist economies, public procurement, and economic growth. His book on Inside the Euro Crisis details his days in office. Dyankov's views on whether Brexit Will Hurt the City of London have been extensively covered in the media. He also edited a book on China's New Silk Road Initiative. In 2017, Dyankov wrote a study on Trump's Corporate Tax Cut Proposal that casts doubt on the likelihood of such reform. Another study looks at The United States Unique Tax Structure.Greece's Eurozone woes have also been the subject of various editorials and media events.

Tbilisi, Georgia

In 1997, Simeon Dyankov participated in a World Bank enterprise restructuring project in Georgia. For the next year, the project surveyed most of the manufacturing enterprises in Georgia, identifying those with good export opportunities. Since 2004, after the Rose Revolution, Simeon Dyankov has visited Georgia frequently and worked with the government on reforming the business environment. Zurab Nogaideli, prime minister between 2005 and 2007, won a Reformer of the Year award in 2007. Dyankov worked closely with Kakha Bendukidze, the main architect of Georgia's economic reforms.

In 2000–2001, Simeon Dyankov was principal author of the World Development Report "Building Institutions for Markets." The report was guided by Nobel Prize winner Joseph Stiglitz.

Ease of doing business index

Simeon Dyankov is the creator of the annual Doing Business report, the top-selling publication of the World Bank Group. The report came out of joint research work with Professor Andrei Shleifer at Harvard University, and was inspired by Dyankov's experience in overly-regulated socialist economies. The Regulation of Entry paper is one of the most-cited papers in all of economics, with 913 references in academic journals and 3,400 citations in working papers and official reports. Since its initial publication in November 2003, Doing Business has generated 9,750,000 media citations, and over 7 million copies sold or downloaded. The Doing Business report recently had its 17th annual book published. In a 2016 article for the Journal of Economic Perspectives Dyankov explains how Doing Business started. An example of his empirical research supporting the Doing Business report is a paper on business regulation and poverty, published in Economics Letters.

A November 2017 EconTalk explains the origins and influence of the Doing Business report. A summary of reforms during the 15-year anniversary lists the main achievements. The methodology in the Doing Business report has been used by teams managed by Simeon Dyankov to develop other World Bank indices, for example the Human Capital Index.

As Chief Economist, Dyankov initiated the work on subnational Doing Business analyses, gave the start of Women, Business and the Law series, and managed the Enterprise Surveys.

Together with Amanda Ellis, Dyankov established the Women, Business and the Law series in 2008, which published its sixth edition in January 2020. His research on gendered laws shows that equal opportunity laws increase labor force participation by women.

In 2018, Dyankov ran the World Development Report 2019, which became the most downloaded World Bank publication within a week of its launch. The study is the first World Bank product downloaded more than 1.5 million times, in six languages.

On July 27, 2009, Simeon Dyankov became Minister of Finance of Bulgaria. Minister Dyankov reduced budget spending and managed to cut the budget deficit for 2009 to 4.4%. In 2010 it met the Maastricht criteria – 3%, falling to 2% in 2011 and 0.45% in 2012.[5] On December 1, 2009, Standard&Poors upgraded Bulgaria's investment outlook from "negative" to "stable," the only country in the European Union to receive an upgrade that year.[6] In January 2010 Moody's followed with an upgrade of its rating perspective from "stable" to "positive," and a year later upgraded it one notch – Bulgaria being the only European Union member with an upgrade during 2008–2012.

Republic of Bulgaria Coat of Arms

On numerous occasions, Minister Dyankov stated that two successive terms are needed to complete the reforms that would lead Bulgaria from poorest to middle-income country by Central European standards.[7] Soon after, Parliament adopted the so-called Golden Rules in the organic budget law: the government cannot surpass a deficit of 2% of GDP and a debt-to-GDP ratio of 40% in any given year. Dyankov was a member of the GERB cabinet, but not a party member.[8]

At the second GERB party congress Dyankov urged delegates to lead such policies that the party wins a second term with full majority in parliament. This is needed, he said, to complete the reforms that would lead Bulgaria from poorest to middle-income country by Central European standards.[9] Soon after, Parliament adopted the so-called Golden Rules in the organic budget law: the government cannot surpass a deficit of 2% of GDP and a debt-to-GDP ratio of 40% in any given year. Dyankov believes in his role as an expert rather than a politician and even though he is a member of the GERB cabinet, he is not a member of the GERB party.[10]

Dyankov was the second-youngest finance minister in the European Union, after the UK's George Osborne. He champions low taxes as a way to come out of the global economic crisis. In May 2012, he became Chair of the Supervisory Board of the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD). This is the first time the Chair is held by a finance minister from the former socialist bloc. In June 2012 Simeon Dyankov has been invited to join the World Bank Knowledge Advisory Council.[11]

Dyankov championed low taxes as a way to come out of the global economic crisis. In May 2012, he became Chair of the Supervisory Board of the EBRD. This is the first time the Chair is held by a finance minister from the former socialist bloc. In June 2012 Simeon Dyankov has been invited to join the World Bank Knowledge Advisory Council.[12]

On February 18, 2013 Dyankov resigned in protest of the decision by Prime Minister Boyko Borisov to advance subsidies to farmers.[13] On February 20, 2013, PM Borisov announced the resignation of the government due to increasing levels of violence in the protests due to high electricity prices.[14][15] Dyankov continued to serve as finance minister until a caretaker government was formed a month later.

As Deputy Prime Minister, Dyankov was responsible for the reforms in the public administration, healthcare, higher education, and pensions.

In July 2010, the results of the first year of administrative reform were reported. The number of public officials was reduced by 11%, and the number of government institutions by 8%. This is the first time since the fall of communism that administrative reform has resulted in an actual optimization in government. In 2012 since the beginning of his term the number of public officials was reduced by 15%, and the number of government institutions by 9%. Also, the new Law on Public Officials (adopted by Parliament in April 2012) introduced a unified pay scale for all public servants, annulled 72 special laws that previously gave special treatment to some categories of public servants, and eliminated the annual bonus for seniority. Under the new law pay depends fully on merit. The latter change met stiff opposition by the labor unions who have repeatedly called for Dyankov's resignation. In 2012, another part of the administrative reform started: moving some government agencies from the capital city to other regional hubs. The first two government decrees moved the headquarters of the tourism directorates to Plovdiv, and the Agency for Fisheries to Burgas. The rationale for this decentralization is to spread the administrative capacity in Bulgaria more evenly, and to link university education with the needs of the administration.

Simeon Dyankov's main body of work is on post-communist transition. His 2014 book The Great Rebirth analyzes the experience of Eastern Europe and Russia in the quarter century since the fall of Communism. Dyankov is put alongside Leszek Balcerowicz, Vaclav Klaus and Mart Laar as one of the architects of post-communist economic restructuring.

Dyankov's views on the Eurozone crisis are presented in a number of publications, and summarized in a recent article.[16] He also published a book on the subject titled Inside the Euro Crisis.[17] The main argument is that Europe needs a frank discussion about competitiveness.[18]

A third book, Europe's Growth Challenge, suggests ways in which the continent can compete with the United States and Asia. European society benefits from equality in income, excellent healthcare and basic education, good infrastructure, and developed institutions for the rule of law. But Europe has entered a period of economic stagnation and is distracted by multiple challenges. Economic and political strains have stalled vital reforms, while the threat of disunion is evident. By focusing on what works in Europe and the great variations within Europe, Dyankov shows how Europe can develop a strategy for higher economic growth. These steps a reduction of the fiscal role of the state, an opening up of services and digital trade, an easing of the regulatory and tax burdens on labor, an improved environment for startups and innovation, pension reform, and the development of Europe's energy union. Europe's Growth Challenge is finalist for The Hayek Prize for 2018.

His attitude and wording concerning Russia has become famous for his firmness. On September 27, 2012 he stated that if needed Russian nuclear-power companies would be slammed in the talks about future possible building of nuclear plant at Belene if their conditions were not satisfactory for Bulgaria.[19] As deputy prime minister, Simeon Dyankov was also responsible for canceling the oil-pipeline project connecting the ports of Burgas and Alexandroupolis. At the same time, as minister Dyankov was supportive of easing Russian tourism into Bulgaria and increasing cultural ties. For example, on January 23, 2013, during a visit to Moscow he stated that in fact "Bulgaria bets on Russian investment". The visa regime was in fact eased after Dyankov's intervention, so that Russian tourists who already have Schengen visas were no longer required to obtain Bulgarian visas. The same new rule applies for citizens of Turkey and Ukraine.

Corporate income tax rates in advanced economies have fallen from an average of 46 percent in 1987 to 23 percent in 2017. Dyankov's research suggests that tax convergence will take place by 2020, with the United States, France and Germany also lowering their tax rate to below 25 percent. This trend reduces tax competition across jurisdictions.

Brexit started as a messy divorce from the European Union and the UK government still gets a low readiness score on its preparation for breaking away.

The study conducted by Dyankov in the 2019 World Development Report finds that the fears of mass unemployment due to technology are unfounded.