(143649) 2003 QQ47

(143649) 2003 QQ47, provisional designation 2003 QQ47, is a kilometer-sized asteroid, classified as near-Earth object and potentially hazardous asteroid of the Apollo group which became briefly notable upon its discovery in late August 2003 when media outlets played up a very preliminary report that it had a 1 in 250,000 chance of impacting into Earth on 21 March 2014.[4]

(143649) 2003 QQ47
Discovery[1]
Discovered byLINEAR
Discovery date24 August 2003
Designations
Orbital characteristics[2]
Epoch 13 January 2016 (JD 2457400.5)
Uncertainty parameter 0
Observation arc4285 days (11.73 yr)
Aphelion1.28834 AU (192.733 Gm)
Perihelion0.882430 AU (132.0096 Gm)
1.08538 AU (162.371 Gm)
Eccentricity0.18699
1.13 yr (413.02 d)
28.34 km/s
264.755°
0° 52m 17.846s / day
Inclination62.1021°
0.997990°
104.999°
Earth MOID0.00253637 AU (379,436 km)
Physical characteristics
Mean diameter
1.2 km[3]
Mass2.0×1012 kg
3.679 h (0.1533 d)
Temperature~267 K
17.4[2]

    Description

    2003 QQ47 was discovered on 24 August 2003.[1] It was added to the Sentry Risk Table on 30 August 2003.[4] By 31 August 2003 (with an observation arc of 7 days) the odds of an impact on 21 March 2014 were already reduced to 1 in 1.7 million.[3] The asteroid was removed from the Sentry Risk Table on 14 September 2003, indicating there is no risk of an impact by it in the next 100 years.[5]

    2003 QQ47 safely passed within 0.1283 AU (19,190,000 km; 11,930,000 mi) of Earth on 26 March 2014.[2][6] With an observation arc of 10 years and an orbital uncertainty of 0, its orbit and future close approaches are well-determined.[2]

    Preliminary reports

    On 3 September 2003 a NASA press release wrote,

    Newly discovered asteroid 2003 QQ47 has received considerable media attention over the last few days because it had a small chance of colliding with the Earth in the year 2014 and was rated a "1" on the Torino Impact Hazard Scale, which goes from 0 to 10. The odds of collision in 2014, as estimated by JPL's Sentry impact monitoring system, peaked at 1 chance in 250,000, a result which was posted on our Impact Risk Page on Saturday, August 30, 2003. Impact events at the Torino Scale 1 level certainly merit careful monitoring by astronomers, but these events do not warrant public concern. In fact, each year several newly discovered asteroids reach Torino Scale 1 for a brief period after discovery; 2003 QQ47 is the fourth such case this year.

    On September 2, 2003, new measurements of 2003 QQ47's position allowed us to narrow our prediction of its path in 2014, and thus we could rule out any Earth impact possibilities for 2014.[4]

    2003 QQ47 has a diameter of approximately 1.24 km, and a mass of approximately 2.0×1012 kg. If it were to hit the Earth, it would be a major event, with an energy of approximately 350,000 megatons of TNT (1.5 ZJ), enough to cause global damage.

    Sara Russell, a meteorite researcher at London's Natural History Museum, told the BBC on 2 September 2003 that she was not worried that 2003 QQ47 would be a danger; "The odds are very, very low ... We have to keep some kind of perspective", she said.[7]

    As a result of the press coverage of asteroids such as 2003 QQ47, astronomers are now planning to re-word the Torino scale, or to phase it out completely in favour of a scale that is less likely to generate false alarms that may reduce public confidence in genuine alerts.

    In fiction
    • The asteroid was mentioned in Anonymous Rex (Les Reptilians) (2004) as the asteroid which the dinosaurs were counting on to destroy human civilization.
    • The Korean drama My Love from the Star also mentions it as the asteroid that will allow Do Min-joon to travel back to his home planet.

    References
    1. "MPEC 2003-Q46 : 2003 QQ47". IAU Minor Planet Center. 27 August 2003. Retrieved 12 February 2014. (K03Q47Q)
    2. "JPL Close-Approach Data: 143649 (2003 QQ47)" (2006-04-27 last obs). Retrieved 7 April 2016.
    3. "Earth Impact Risk Summary: 2003 QQ47 (Aug 31 arc=7 days)" (2003-09-01 (computed on 31 August 2003)). Wayback Machine: JPL. Archived from the original on 1 September 2003. Retrieved 3 February 2013. (5.7e-07 = 1 in 1,754,000 chance)
    4. "Asteroid 2003 QQ47's Potential Earth Impact in 2014 Ruled Out". NASA/JPL Near-Earth Object Program Office. 3 September 2003. Retrieved 6 November 2011.
    5. "Date/Time Removed". NASA/JPL Near-Earth Object Program Office. Archived from the original on 26 April 2011. Retrieved 6 May 2011.
    6. "NEODyS-2 Close Approaches for 2003QQ47". Near Earth Objects – Dynamic Site. Retrieved 6 November 2011.
    7. "Asteroid danger in 2014 downplayed". BBC News. 2 September 2003. Retrieved 6 November 2011.
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