2011 Nigerien general election

General elections were held in Niger on 31 January 2011 to elect the President and National Assembly, with a second round of the presidential elections on 12 March. The first round of the presidential elections was originally scheduled to be held on 3 January and the second round on 31 January, but was later postponed. The elections followed a military coup in February 2010 that ousted President Mamadou Tandja.[1]

2011 Nigerien presidential election

31 January 2011 (first round)
12 March 2011 (second round)
 
Nominee Mahamadou Issoufou Seyni Oumarou
Party PNDS MNSD
Popular vote 1,797,382 1,299,436
Percentage 58.04% 41.96%

President before election

Salou Djibo
Military

Elected President

Mahamadou Issoufou
PNDS

The presidential elections resulted in a victory for Mahamadou Issoufou of the Nigerien Party for Democracy and Socialism (PNDS), who defeated Seyni Oumarou of the National Movement for the Development of Society (MNDS). In the National Assembly elections, the PNDS emerged as the largest party.

Background

Following President Tandja's attempts to extend his mandate beyond 2009, he was captured by soldiers who attacked his residence on 18 February 2010. Military leaders then created the Supreme Council for the Restoration of Democracy, and announced that the constitution was suspended and state institutions, such as the National Assembly, would be dissolved. A committee was created to study a new constitution.

In the first week of June, two-round elections were announced for January 2011 by the national election commission. Earlier the National Transitional Council had announced 26 December 2010 as the election date for the first round and 24 January 2011 for the second round and municipal elections.[2] The results were scheduled to be announced on 4 March, with the winner taking office on 11 March.[3]

In September 2010, the National Independent Electoral Commission (CENI) announced that the first round of both the presidential and parliamentary election would be delayed by several weeks to 31 January 2011. The delay meant a shift in subsequent dates as well: the second round date was changed to 12 March, and the swearing-in date for the newly elected president was changed to 6 April. CENI President Ghousmane Abdourahmane attributed the delay to "a problem of internal organisation and of financial means", but he vowed that there would be no further delay.[1]

Campaign

Seventeen parties that had previously united against Tandja as the Coordination of Democratic Forces for the Republic announced on 17 July 2010 that they had formed "a strategic alliance" for the presidential election. Under the terms of the alliance, the parties would run separate candidates in the first round of the election and then unite in the second round to support whichever of the alliance's candidates passed through to the second round. The alliance included Hama Amadou, Mahamane Ousmane, and Mahamadou Issoufou, some of Niger's most important politicians.[4]

Presidential candidates

Hama Amadou, who was Prime Minister from 1995 to 1996 and again from 2000 to 2007, returned from exile in France in March 2010 and created a new party, the Nigerien Democratic Movement for an African Federation (MODEN/FA). On 11 July 2010, he publicly announced his desire to stand as the MODEN/FA candidate for the 2011 presidential election and vowed to "fight as hard as I can to win power".[5]

The junta kept Tandja in detention following the coup, making it impossible for him to pursue any political activity; his ousted party, the National Movement for a Developing Society (MNSD), repeatedly demanded his release. The MNSD was expected to nominate its President, Seyni Oumarouwho was Prime Minister from 2007 to 2009 and President of the National Assembly from 2009 to 2010as its presidential candidate. However, Oumarou was accused of embezzlement and arrested on 29 July 2010. The Commission to Fight Financial Crime alleged that he owed the state 270 million CFA francs. The MNSD expressed outrage at the arrest of Oumarou and demanded his release; it said that the charge against him was a politically motivated effort to smear and marginalize the party.[6] On 2 August 2010, Oumarou was charged and released on bail.[7]

The MNSD announced on 10 August 2010 that Oumarou had been designated as its presidential candidate at a party congress.[8]

The Nigerien Party for Democracy and Socialism (PNDS) designated Mahamadou Issoufou as the party's presidential candidate at a meeting in early November 2010. Issoufou said on the occasion that "the moment has come, the conditions are right", and he called on party members to "turn these conditions into votes at the ballot box". Some observers considered Issoufoua major figure in Nigerien politics for many yearsto be potentially the strongest candidate in the election.[9]

The Constitutional Council of the Transition approved ten presidential candidates in December 2010, including all the key contenders: Mahamadou Issoufou, Mahamane Ousmane, Seyni Oumarou, Hama Amadou, Amadou Boubacar Cissé, Amadou Cheiffou, Moussa Moumouni Djermakoye, Ousmane Issoufou Oubandawaki, Mariama Gamatié Bayard and Abdoulaye Amadou Traoré. One candidate, Ibrahima Saidou Maiga, was rejected.[10]

As the election date approached in January 2011, Issoufou, Oumarou, and Amadou were seen as the favourites; the latter two agreed to back each other if only one of them should enter the run-off.[11]

Results

President

Electoral Commission President Gousmane Abdourahmane announced on 4 February 2011 that PNDS candidate Issoufou and MNSD candidate Oumarou were the two first-placed candidates in the first round and would advance to the run-off. According to the results, Issoufou received 36.06% of the vote while Oumarou trailed with 23.2%. MODEN/FA candidate Hama Amadou placed third with 19.82% of the vote and CDS candidate Mahamane Ousmane placed fourth with 8.42%. As both Amadou and Ousmane had allied themselves with Oumarou and against Issoufou, it initially appeared that Oumarou could enter the second round in a strong position, but the solidity of the alliance was reportedly unclear.[12]

MODEN/FA announced on 9 February 2011 that it was switching sides to support Issoufou rather than Oumarou in the second round. Although about 20 parties had backed Oumarou, the MODEN/FA defection suggested that Issoufou was likely to win, as Issoufou and Amadou received a combined total of more than 50% of the vote in the first round.[13] The momentum continued to favor Issoufou, as another three candidatesAmadou Cheffou, Moussa Moumouni Djermakoye, and Amadou Boubacar Cisseannounced on 10 February that they had also decided to endorse Issoufou. Those three candidates had first-round scores in the single-digits, but together they represented about 10% of the first round vote.[14]

On 22 February 2011, the Constitutional Council confirmed the results of the first round, ruling that Issoufou won 36.16% in the first round and would face Oumarou in a second round on 12 March.[15]

Symbolically, the two second round candidates stood in sharp contrast: while Issoufou had been an opposition leader during Tandja's decade-long presidency, Oumarou had been one of Tandja's top associates and remained loyal to him. The two candidates appeared to have broadly similar campaign promises, however. They expressed their intentions to alleviate severe poverty and chronic food shortages and to better distribute the wealth produced through uranium mining so that it would be more beneficial to ordinary people. Because the National Assembly elected earlier in 2011 was widely perceived as unrepresentative due to flaws in the organization of the parliamentary election, both Issoufou and Oumarou said that they would dissolve the National Assembly and call a new election.[16]

The second round was held as planned on 12 March 2011. Abdourahmane, the President of the Electoral Commission, announced on 14 March 2011 that Issoufou had won the election with 58% of the vote against 42% for Oumarou. Turnout was placed at about 48%, a slight decrease from the first round's turnout. Speaking at a press conference on the same day, Issoufou praised the conduct of the people during the election, saying that they had showed "great political maturity". He also offered praise to the junta for its conduct in overseeing a successful transition and a free and fair election.[16]

On 16 March 2011, Oumarou announced that he accepted the results, congratulating Issoufou and wishing him success in governing the country. In choosing not to challenge the results, he said that he felt it was important that the country avoid "a new spiral of endless difficulties" and he stressed the importance of national reconciliation.[17]

CandidatePartyFirst roundSecond round
Votes%Votes%
Mahamadou IssoufouNigerien Party for Democracy and Socialism1,192,94536.161,797,38258.04
Seyni OumarouNational Movement for the Development of Society766,21523.231,299,43641.96
Hama AmadouNigerien Democratic Movement for an African Federation653,73719.82
Mahamane OusmaneDemocratic and Social Convention274,6768.33
Amadou CheiffouSocial Democratic Rally134,7324.08
Moussa Moumouni DjermakoyeNigerien Alliance for Democracy and Progress129,9543.94
Ousmane Issoufou OubandawakiAlliance for Democratic Renewal63,3781.92
Amadou CisséUnion for Democracy and the Republic52,7791.60
Abdoulaye Amadou TraoréIndependent17,6300.53
Mariama Gamatié BayardIndependent12,5950.38
Total3,298,641100.003,096,818100.00
Valid votes3,298,64194.903,096,81893.84
Invalid/blank votes177,1075.10203,2096.16
Total votes3,475,748100.003,300,027100.00
Registered voters/turnout6,740,49351.576,740,04648.96
Source: African Elections Database

National Assembly

PartyVotes%Seats+/–
Nigerien Party for Democracy and Socialism1,066,01133.0034New
National Movement for the Development of Society664,52520.5725–51
Nigerien Democratic Movement for an African Federation637,10819.7223New
Nigerien Alliance for Democracy and Progress242,7707.518New
Rally for Democracy and Progress209,6226.4970
Union for Democracy and the Republic175,8765.446New
Democratic and Social Convention105,8283.283New
Social Democratic Rally58,9471.820–15
Union of Independent Nigeriens32,0180.9910
Alliance for Democratic Renewal14,9710.460New
Nigerien Progressive Party – African Democratic Rally12,5490.390New
Party for Socialism and Democracy in Niger5,3190.1600
Rally of Nigerien Democrats for Reform1,3340.040New
Rally of Independent Candidates for a New Niger1,0390.030New
Nigerien Party for Development9900.030New
Nigerien Party for the Reinforcement of Democracy4040.0100
Union of Socialist Nigeriens3750.010New
National Congress for Democratic Renewal3360.010New
People's Democratic Party1860.0100
Nigerien Convention for the Republic560.000New
Independents2340.010–11
Invalidated6
Total3,230,498100.001130
Valid votes3,230,49897.36
Invalid/blank votes87,4372.64
Total votes3,317,935100.00
Registered voters/turnout6,740,49349.22
Source: Constitutional Court

Following the elections, the Constitutional Council annulled the results in Agadez Region. A by-election was held on 15 May, with the PNDS winning three seats, the MODEN/FA two seats and the MNSD one, giving new totals of 37 for the PNDS, 26 for the MNSD and 25 for MODEN/FA.[18]

References

  1. "Niger polls postponed to late January: electoral commission", Agence France-Presse, 14 September 2010.
  2. Niger's National Transitional Council proposes Dec. 26 election People's Daily Online, 24 April 2010
  3. "Niger presidential vote slated for January 3", Agence France-Presse, 3 July 2010.
  4. "Niger parties form alliance ahead of presidential election", Agence France-Presse, 17 July 2010.
  5. "Niger ex-PM Amadou ready to stand in 2011 election", Reuters, 11 July 2010.
  6. "Niger opposition denounces 'witch-hunt' as leader arrested", Agence France-Presse, 30 July 2010.
  7. "Ex-Niger PM charged, released on bail in corruption probe", Agence France-Presse, 2 August 2010.
  8. "Niger's ex-PM to run for president despite graft charges", Agence France-Presse, 10 August 2010.
  9. "Free Tandja, Niger junta told", Reuters, 8 November 2010.
  10. "Au Conseil Constitutionnel : dix (10) candidats déclarés éligibles aux Présidentielles 2011", Le Sahel, 23 December 2010 (in French).
  11. "Niger election: Issoufou, Oumarou and Amadou favourites", BBC News, 31 January 2011.
  12. "Niger announces presidential run-off candidates", AFP, 4 February 2011.
  13. Abdoulaye Massalatchi, "Niger opposition presidential rival wins key alliance", Reuters, 10 February 2011.
  14. "Niger's Issoufou expands alliance ahead of run-off", Reuters, 11 February 2011.
  15. "Niger top court validates poll, run-off March 12", Reuters, 22 February 2011.
  16. "Opposition leader Issoufou wins Niger vote", AFP, 14 March 2011.
  17. "Oumarou accepts defeat in Niger presidential vote", AFP, 16 March 2011.
  18. Elections in Niger African Elections Database
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