2013 Bavarian state election

The 2013 Bavarian state election was held on 15 September 2013 to elect the 180 members of the 17th Landtag of Bavaria. It was held one week before the 2013 German federal election. The CSU regained the absolute majority it had lost in 2008, while the Free Democratic Party (FDP), a member of the outgoing governing coalition, fell below the 5% electoral threshold and lost all its seats.[2] Minister-President Horst Seehofer continued in office.

2013 Bavarian state election
15 September 2013
All 180 seats in the Landtag of Bavaria
91 seats needed for a majority
Turnout11,812,965 (63.6%)[1]
5.7%
  First party Second party
 
Leader Horst Seehofer Christian Ude
Party CSU SPD
Last election 92 seats, 43.4% 39 seats, 18.6%
Seats won 101 42
Seat change 9 3
Popular vote 5,632,272 2,436,515
Percentage 47.7% 20.6%
Swing 4.3% 2.0%
  Third party Fourth party
 
Leader Hubert Aiwanger Margarete Bause
Party FW Green
Last election 21 seats, 10.2% 19 seats, 9.4%
Seats won 19 18
Seat change 2 1
Popular vote 1,062,244 1,018,652
Percentage 9.0% 8.6%
Swing 1.2% 0.8%
Results for the single-member constituencies in the election.
Minister-President before election

Horst Seehofer
CSU

 Minister-President designate

Horst Seehofer
CSU

As of 2020, this is the latest state or federal election in which a party managed to get an absolute majority. The CSU previously held an absolute majority, and therefore governed alone, from 1966 to 2008 and again from 2013 to 2018.

Parties

The table below lists parties represented in the 16th Landtag of Bavaria.

Name Ideology Leader(s) 2008 result
Votes (%) Seats
CSU Christian Social Union in Bavaria
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern		 Christian democracy Horst Seehofer 43.4%
92 / 187
SPD Social Democratic Party of Germany
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands		 Social democracy Christian Ude 18.6%
39 / 187
FW Free Voters of Bavaria
Freie Wähler Bayern		 Regionalism Hubert Aiwanger 10.2%
21 / 187
Grüne Alliance 90/The Greens
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen		 Green politics Margarete Bause 9.4%
19 / 187
FDP Free Democratic Party
Freie Demokratische Partei		 Classical liberalism Martin Zeil 8.0%
16 / 187

Opinion polling
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 CSU SPD FW Grüne FDP Linke Piraten Others Lead
2013 state election 15 Sep 2013 – 47.7 20.6 9.0 8.6 3.3 2.1 2.0 6.7 27.1
Emnid 4–5 Sep 2013 ~1,000 47 18 8 12 4 4 3 4 29
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 3–5 Sep 2013 1,010 48 20 8 10 4 – – 10 28
Infratest dimap 3–5 Sep 2013 1,006 47 21 7 11 3 3 – 8 26
GMS 30 Aug – 2 Sep 2013 1,009 47 18 8 13 5 3 2 4 29
Emnid 23–24 Aug 2013 1,000 48 18 8 13 4 3 3 3 30
Infratest dimap 11–15 Jul 2013 1,004 47 18 8 15 3 3 – 6 29
GMS 8–10 Jul 2013 1,007 47 19 10 11 5 2 2 4 28
Emnid 4–6 Jul 2013 1,000 47 19 9 11 5 3 3 3[lower-alpha 1] 28
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 10–12 Jun 2013 1,009 46 20 10 13 4 – – 7 26
GMS 3–10 Jun 2013 1,309 46 20 9 11 4 3 2 5 26
Forsa 8–25 May 2013 1,102 46 20 9 12 4 3 2 5 26
GMS 28–30 Apr 2013 1,008 47 20 8 13 3 2 2 5 27
INSA 15–17 Apr 2013 1,005 49 18 9 16 2 2 – 4 31
GMS 4–15 Feb 2013 1,004 48 21 8 12 3 3 2 ? 27
TNS Infratest 28 Jan – 6 Feb 2013 1,001 46 19 8 15 3 2 3 4 27
Emnid 5–7 Feb 2013 1,001 48 20 9 12 3 2 3 ? 28
Emnid ? ? 48 20 8 12 3 3 3 ? 28
Forsa 17 Dec 2012–8 Jan 2013 1,119 46 18 9 13 3 4 2 5 28
Infratest dimap 3–7 Jan 2013 1,000 47 19 9 14 3 2 3 3 28
GMS 4–7 Dec 2012 1,100 49 22 8 10 4 ? 4 ? 27
GMS 22–30 Oct 2012 ? 48 20 8 10 5 2 4 ? 28
GMS 16–18 Oct 2012 1,007 48 20 8 10 5 2 4 3 28
Emnid 26 Sep – 10 Oct 2012 1,001 48 21 8 10 4 2 4 3 27
Emnid ? ? 47 21 9 10 3 2 5 3 26
Emnid 27–30 Jul 2012 1,000 46 20 8 12 3 2 6 3 26
GMS June 2012 1,000 46 19 6/8[lower-alpha 2] 10 4 ? 9/7[lower-alpha 3] ? 27
Forsa 21–29 Jun 2012 1,150 43 23 9 11 2 2 6 4 20
Emnid 20–21 Jun 2012 1,000 44 22 6 13 3 1 7 4 22
Emnid 16–18 Apr 2012 1,000 46 20 7 12 2 2 8 3 26
Emnid 15–20 Mar 2012 1,001 46 20 8 13 2 2 5 4 26
Infratest dimap 2–3 Jan 2012 1,000 44 21 8 14 3 2 4 4 23
GMS 30 Dec 2011–3 Jan 2012 1,002 42 22 9 12 2 2 5 6 20
Emnid December 2012 1,000 44 21 9 13 2 2 5 ? 23
Forsa 26 Oct – 25 Nov 2011 1,002 41 24 9 10 3 3 6 4[lower-alpha 4] 17
Emnid September 2011 ? 43 20 9 17 2 3 – 6 23
Emnid 31 Aug – 1 Sep 2011 1,000 44 18 9 18 4 ? – ? 26
Forsa 15–26 Aug 2011 1,007 41 21 10 16 3 4 – 5 20
GMS 6–8 Jun 2011 1,002 42 19 6 18 4 4 – 7 23
Emnid 6–8 Jun 2011 1,000 45 15 8 20 4 4 – 4 25
Emnid 11–17 Mar 2011 1,000 46 17 7 17 4 4 – 5 29
Forsa 4–14 Jan 2011 1,048 40 16 10 20 4 4 – 6 20
Infratest dimap 6–10 Jan 2011 1,000 46 17 4 17 6 4 1 5 29
Emnid 10–12 Dec 2010 1,001 45 18 6 16 5 5 – 5 27
Infratest dimap 7–12 Jan 2010 1,001 41 17 6 15 11 3 – 5 24
2009 federal election 27 Sep 2009 – 42.6 16.8 ? 10.8 14.7 6.5 ? 8.6 25.8
Infratest dimap 8–11 Jan 2009 1,000 45 17 10 11 10 3 – 4 28
GMS 4–5 Jan 2009 1,002 45 19 8 10 8 4 – 6 26
GMS 12–17 Dec 2008 1,002 45 19 8 10 8 4 – 6 26
2008 state election 28 Sep 2008 – 43.4 18.6 10.2 9.4 8.0 4.3 – 6.1[lower-alpha 5] 24.8

Election result

The CSU regained an absolute majority of the seats, which they had lost in the 2008 election after 50 years of single-party government. The FDP, which had governed with the CSU since 2008, fell below the 5% threshold and lost all its seats. SPD, the Greens and Free Voters remained in opposition. A record number of 14.1% of the votes cast went unrepresented in the Landtag because of the 5% threshold.

Summary of the 15 September 2013 election results for the Landtag of Bavaria

Party Votes % +/- Seats +/- Seats %
Christian Social Union (CSU) 5,632,272 47.7 4.3 101 9 56.1
Social Democratic Party (SPD) 2,436,515 20.6 2.0 42 3 23.3
Free Voters of Bavaria (FW) 1,062,244 9.0 1.2 19 2 10.6
Alliance 90/The Greens (Grüne) 1,018,652 8.6 0.8 18 1 10.0
Free Democratic Party (FDP) 389,584 3.3 4.7 0 16 0
The Left (Linke) 251,086 2.1 2.2 0 ±0 0
Bavaria Party (BP) 247,282 2.1 1.0 0 ±0 0
Ecological Democratic Party (ÖDP) 239,235 2.0 0.0 0 ±0 0
Pirate Party Germany (Piraten) 234,221 2.0 New 0 New 0
The Republicans (REP) 117,633 1.0 0.4 0 ±0 0
Party for Franconia 87,237 0.7 New 0 New 0
National Democratic Party (NPD) 74,895 0.6 0.6 0 ±0 0
Others 22,019 0.2 0.2 0 ±0 0
Total 11,812,965 100.0 180 7
Voter turnout 63.6 5.5
Popular Vote
CSU
 
 47.68%
SPD
 
 20.63%
FW
 
 8.99%
B'90/GRÜNE
 
 8.62%
FDP
 
 3.30%
DIE LINKE
 
 2.13%
Other
 
 8.65%
Landtag seats
CSU
 
 56.11%
SPD
 
 23.33%
FW
 
 10.55%
B'90/GRÜNE
 
 10.00%

Notes
  1. 1% AfD, 2% Other
  2. The results of the poll differ between sources, and were not confirmed by the publisher.
  3. The results of the poll differ between sources, and were not confirmed by the publisher.
  4. 1% BP, 3% Other
  5. 2.0% ÖDP, 1.4% REP, 2.7% Other

References
  1. The winners and losers - 7 things you need to know about the Bavaria election. The Local de. (German edition). Published 15 October 2018. Retrieved 1 December 2018.
  2. http://www.wahlen.bayern.de/landtagswahlen/index.php
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