Opinion polling for the 2012 French presidential election
This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2012 French presidential election, which was held on 22 April 2012 with a run-off on 6 May 2012.
Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.
First round
Starting on 12 January 2012, Ifop-Fiducial published a "rolling" poll for Paris Match and Europe 1 which is listed in the tables below as "Ifop-Fiducial" without an asterisk, while separate polls not conducted as part of the "rolling" poll are listed with an asterisk (*).[1] Polls conducted specifically for subsample data are listed with two asterisks (**).
The publication of first-round polls was prohibited after midnight on 20 April 2012.[2]
Graphical summary
The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the eight major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).
Jean-Pierre Chevènement of the Citizen and Republican Movement (MRC) withdrew his candidacy on 1 February 2012 after failing to secure significant support.[3] Christine Boutin of the Christian Democratic Party (PCD) renounced her candidacy on 13 February and announced her support for Nicolas Sarkozy,[4] as did Hervé Morin of the New Centre (NC) on 16 February,[5] followed by Frédéric Nihous for Hunting, Fishing, Nature and Traditions (CPNT) on 22 February.[6] On 15 March, Dominique de Villepin of United Republic (RS) announced that he would not secure enough sponsorships to become a candidate "barring a republican miracle", effectively ending his campaign,[7] and Corinne Lepage of Cap21 was absent from the official list of candidates published on 19 March, having also failed to secure at least 500 sponsorships.[8]
Official campaign
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Arthaud LO |
Poutou NPA |
Mélenchon FG |
Hollande PS |
Joly EELV |
Bayrou MoDem |
Sarkozy UMP |
Dupont-Aignan DLR |
Le Pen FN |
Cheminade S&P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 election | 22 Apr 2012 | – | 20.52% | 0.56% | 1.15% | 11.10% | 28.63% | 2.31% | 9.13% | 27.18% | 1.79% | 17.90% | 0.25% |
| Ifop-Fiducial* | 18–20 Apr 2012 | 1,723 | 25% | 0.5% | 1% | 13.5% | 27.5% | 2.5% | 10% | 27% | 1.5% | 16.5% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 17–20 Apr 2012 | 2,592 | – | 0.5% | 1% | 13.5% | 27% | 3% | 10.5% | 27% | 1.5% | 16% | <0.5% |
| BVA | 18–19 Apr 2012 | 2,161 | 24% | <0.5% | 1.5% | 14% | 30% | 2% | 10% | 26.5% | 2% | 14% | <0.5% |
| CSA | 18–19 Apr 2012 | 1,005 | – | 1% | 1.5% | 14.5% | 28% | 2% | 10.5% | 25% | 1.5% | 16% | <0.5% |
| Harris Interactive | 18–19 Apr 2012 | 1,068 | – | 0.5% | 1.5% | 12% | 27.5% | 3% | 11% | 26.5% | 2% | 16% | <0.5% |
| Ipsos | 18–19 Apr 2012 | 1,021 | 17% | <0.5% | 1.5% | 14% | 29% | 2% | 10% | 25.5% | 1.5% | 16% | 0.5% |
| TNS Sofres | 18–19 Apr 2012 | 1,000 | 22% | <0.5% | 1% | 13% | 27% | 3% | 10% | 27% | 2% | 17% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 16–19 Apr 2012 | 2,588 | – | 0.5% | 1% | 13.5% | 26% | 2.5% | 11% | 28% | 1.5% | 16% | <0.5% |
| LH2 | 17–18 Apr 2012 | 956 | – | 1% | 1% | 15% | 27% | 2.5% | 10% | 26.5% | 1.5% | 15.5% | 0% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 14–18 Apr 2012 | 2,552 | – | 0.5% | 1% | 13.5% | 26% | 3% | 11% | 27.5% | 1.5% | 16% | <0.5% |
| BVA | 16–17 Apr 2012 | 1,161 | – | <0.5% | 1% | 13% | 29.5% | 2% | 12% | 27.5% | 1% | 14% | <0.5% |
| CSA | 16–17 Apr 2012 | 886 | – | 0.5% | 1% | 15% | 29% | 2% | 10% | 24% | 1.5% | 17% | <0.5% |
| OpinionWay | 16–17 Apr 2012 | 1,002 | 26% | 0.5% | 2% | 13% | 27.5% | 2% | 10% | 27.5% | 1.5% | 16% | 0% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 14–17 Apr 2012 | 1,709 | – | 0.5% | 1% | 13.5% | 26.5% | 3% | 10.5% | 27.5% | 1.5% | 16% | <0.5% |
| Harris Interactive | 12–16 Apr 2012 | 991 | – | 0.5% | 1% | 12% | 27% | 2% | 11% | 28% | 1.5% | 17% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial* | 12–15 Apr 2012 | 1,808 | – | 0.5% | 1% | 14.5% | 28% | 3% | 9.5% | 27% | 1% | 15.5% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 12–15 Apr 2012 | 1,711 | – | 1% | 1% | 14% | 27.5% | 2.5% | 10% | 27% | 1% | 16% | <0.5% |
| Ipsos | 13–14 Apr 2012 | 894 | 19% | 1% | 1% | 14.5% | 27% | 2.5% | 10% | 27% | 1% | 15.5% | 0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 10–13 Apr 2012 | 2,562 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 13% | 27% | 3% | 10.5% | 28% | 1% | 16% | 0.5% |
| BVA | 11–12 Apr 2012 | 885 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 13% | 30% | 2% | 11% | 27% | 0.5% | 15% | 0.5% |
| TNS Sofres | 11–12 Apr 2012 | 1,000 | 26% | 1% | 0.5% | 16% | 28% | 2.5% | 9% | 26% | 1% | 16% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 9–12 Apr 2012 | 2,562 | – | 0.5% | <0.5% | 13.5% | 27% | 3% | 10% | 28.5% | 1.5% | 16% | <0.5% |
| CSA | 10–11 Apr 2012 | 1,013 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 17% | 27% | 1.5% | 11% | 26% | 1% | 15% | 0.5% |
| LH2 | 10–11 Apr 2012 | 977 | – | 1% | 1% | 13% | 29.5% | 2.5% | 10.5% | 27% | 1.5% | 14% | <0.5% |
| OpinionWay | 10–11 Apr 2012 | 1,007 | – | 1% | 0.5% | 13% | 27% | 2.5% | 10% | 28% | 2% | 16% | 0% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 6–11 Apr 2012 | 2,285 | – | 0.5% | <0.5% | 14% | 27% | 3% | 10% | 28% | 1.5% | 16% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 6–10 Apr 2012 | 1,425 | – | 0.5% | <0.5% | 14% | 27.5% | 2.5% | 9.5% | 28% | 1.5% | 16.5% | <0.5% |
| Ipsos | 6–7 Apr 2012 | 955 | 19% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 14.5% | 28.5% | 1.5% | 9.5% | 29% | 1% | 15% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial* | 5–7 Apr 2012 | 1,869 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 14% | 27% | 2.5% | 9.5% | 28.5% | 1% | 16.5% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 5–7 Apr 2012 | 1,002 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 13.5% | 27% | 2.5% | 10% | 28% | 1% | 17% | <0.5% |
| Harris Interactive | 3–6 Apr 2012 | 1,033 | – | 1% | 1% | 13% | 27% | 3% | 10% | 28% | 1% | 16% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 3–6 Apr 2012 | 1,284 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 12.5% | 26.5% | 3% | 10% | 29% | 1.5% | 16.5% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 2–5 Apr 2012 | 1,060 | – | 0.5% | 1% | 13% | 26.5% | 3% | 10% | 28.5% | 1.5% | 16% | <0.5% |
| OpinionWay | 3–4 Apr 2012 | 969 | – | 0.5% | 1% | 14% | 26% | 2% | 11% | 28.5% | 1% | 16% | 0% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 31 Mar–4 Apr 2012 | 1,432 | – | 0.5% | 1% | 12.5% | 27% | 3% | 10.5% | 28.5% | 1% | 16% | <0.5% |
| CSA | 2–3 Apr 2012 | 884 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 15% | 29% | 1.5% | 10% | 30% | 0.5% | 13% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 31 Mar–3 Apr 2012 | 999 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 12.5% | 27.5% | 3% | 11% | 28.5% | 1% | 15.5% | <0.5% |
| Harris Interactive | 29 Mar–2 Apr 2012 | 1,059 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 14% | 26% | 3% | 10% | 29% | 1% | 16% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 29 Mar–2 Apr 2012 | 893 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 12.5% | 27.5% | 2.5% | 11% | 29% | 1% | 15.5% | <0.5% |
| Ipsos | 30–31 Mar 2012 | 881 | 20% | 1% | 0.5% | 14.5% | 27.5% | 2% | 10% | 29.5% | 1% | 14% | <0.5% |
| LH2 | 30–31 Mar 2012 | 973 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 15% | 28.5% | 2% | 12% | 27.5% | 0.5% | 13.5% | 0% |
| BVA | 29–31 Mar 2012 | 2,555 | – | 1% | 1% | 14% | 28% | 2% | 11% | 27% | 1% | 15% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 27–30 Mar 2012 | 957 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 13.5% | 27% | 2.5% | 10.5% | 28.5% | 1% | 16% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 26–29 Mar 2012 | 950 | – | 0.5% | <0.5% | 14% | 26.5% | 2.5% | 11% | 28% | 1% | 16.5% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 24–28 Mar 2012 | 1,211 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 14% | 26.5% | 2.5% | 11% | 27.5% | 1% | 16% | 0.5% |
| CSA | 26–27 Mar 2012 | 876 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 12.5% | 26% | 2.5% | 12.5% | 30% | 0.5% | 15% | <0.5% |
| OpinionWay | 26–27 Mar 2012 | 1,148 | – | 1% | 0.5% | 11% | 27% | 2% | 12% | 28% | 1% | 17% | 0.5% |
| TNS Sofres | 26–27 Mar 2012 | 1,000 | 26% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 13.5% | 28% | 2% | 10% | 29% | 1% | 15% | 0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 24–27 Mar 2012 | 902 | – | <0.5% | 0.5% | 13.5% | 26.5% | 2.5% | 11.5% | 28% | 1% | 16% | 0.5% |
| Harris Interactive | 22–26 Mar 2012 | 1,231 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 13% | 27% | 3% | 11% | 28% | 1% | 16% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial* | 22–25 Mar 2012 | 1,769 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 13% | 27% | 2% | 11.5% | 28.5% | 1% | 15.5% | 0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 22–25 Mar 2012 | 887 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 13% | 26.5% | 2.5% | 12% | 28.5% | 0.5% | 15.5% | 0.5% |
| Ipsos | 23–24 Mar 2012 | 978 | 21% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 13% | 28% | 2% | 11.5% | 27.5% | 1% | 16% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 20–23 Mar 2012 | 942 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 12% | 27% | 3% | 12% | 28.5% | 0.5% | 16% | <0.5% |
| BVA | 21–22 Mar 2012 | 926 | – | <0.5% | <0.5% | 14% | 29.5% | 2% | 12% | 28% | 1.5% | 13% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 19–22 Mar 2012 | 945 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 11% | 27.5% | 3% | 12% | 28% | 0.5% | 17% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 17–21 Mar 2012 | 1,195 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 10.5% | 28% | 2.5% | 12% | 28% | 1% | 17% | <0.5% |
| CSA | 19–20 Mar 2012 | 888 | – | <0.5% | <0.5% | 13% | 28% | 2% | 13% | 30% | 0.5% | 13.5% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 17–20 Mar 2012 | 876 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 10.5% | 28% | 2.5% | 12% | 27.5% | 1% | 17.5% | <0.5% |
17 October 2011 to 19 March 2012
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Arthaud LO |
Poutou NPA |
Mélenchon FG |
Chevènement MRC |
Hollande PS |
Joly EELV |
Bayrou MoDem |
Lepage Cap21 |
Villepin RS |
Morin NC |
Nihous CPNT |
Sarkozy UMP |
Boutin PCD |
Dupont-Aignan DLR |
Le Pen FN |
Cheminade S&P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Interactive | 15–19 Mar 2012 | 1,097 | – | 0.5% | 1% | 11% | – | 28% | 3% | 12% | 0.5% | – | – | – | 27% | – | 1% | 16% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 15–19 Mar 2012 | 881 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 10.5% | – | 27.5% | 3% | 12.5% | <0.5% | 0.5% | – | – | 27.5% | – | 0.5% | 17% | <0.5% |
| Ifop | 16–17 Mar 2012 | 961 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 11% | – | 27% | 2.5% | 13% | – | – | – | – | 27.5% | – | 0.5% | 17.5% | <0.5% |
| Ipsos | 16–17 Mar 2012 | 950 | 20% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 11.5% | – | 28.5% | 2% | 13% | <0.5% | – | – | – | 27.5% | – | 1.5% | 15% | <0.5% |
| LH2 | 16–17 Mar 2012 | 962 | – | 0% | 1% | 11% | – | 30.5% | 2.5% | 12.5% | – | – | – | – | 27.5% | – | 0.5% | 14.5% | 0% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 13–16 Mar 2012 | 928 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 10.5% | – | 26.5% | 3% | 13% | <0.5% | 1% | – | – | 27.5% | – | 0.5% | 17% | <0.5% |
| OpinionWay | 14–15 Mar 2012 | 1,183 | – | 0.5% | 1% | 10% | – | 27.5% | 2% | 13% | 0.5% | 1% | – | – | 27.5% | – | 1% | 16% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 12–15 Mar 2012 | 928 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 10% | – | 26.5% | 2.5% | 13.5% | <0.5% | 1% | – | – | 28% | – | 0.5% | 17% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 11–14 Mar 2012 | 1,187 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 10.5% | – | 27% | 2% | 13% | 0.5% | 1% | – | – | 28% | – | 0.5% | 16.5% | <0.5% |
| CSA | 12–13 Mar 2012 | 861 | – | 0.5% | <0.5% | 11% | – | 28% | 1% | 13% | 0.5% | 1% | – | – | 28% | – | 1% | 16% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 11–13 Mar 2012 | 875 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 10% | – | 27.5% | 2% | 12.5% | 0.5% | 1% | – | – | 28.5% | – | 0.5% | 16.5% | <0.5% |
| TNS Sofres | 12 Mar 2012 | 1,000 | 28% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 10% | – | 30% | 3% | 11.5% | <0.5% | 1.5% | – | – | 26% | – | 1% | 16% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial* | 11–12 Mar 2012 | 1,638 | – | 0.5% | <0.5% | 10% | – | 27% | 2.5% | 13% | 0.5% | 1% | – | – | 28.5% | – | 1% | 16% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 8–12 Mar 2012 | 874 | – | 0.5% | <0.5% | 9.5% | – | 28.5% | 2.5% | 12% | 0.5% | 1% | – | – | 28% | – | 1% | 16.5% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 6–9 Mar 2012 | 922 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 9.5% | – | 29% | 2.5% | 11.5% | 1% | 1% | – | – | 27% | – | 0.5% | 17% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 5–8 Mar 2012 | 924 | – | <0.5% | 0.5% | 9.5% | – | 29% | 2.5% | 12% | 1% | 1% | – | – | 26.5% | – | 0.5% | 17.5% | – |
| OpinionWay | 5–7 Mar 2012 | 1,098 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 8% | – | 29% | 3% | 13% | 0.5% | 1.5% | – | – | 26% | – | 1% | 17% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 3–7 Mar 2012 | 1,182 | – | <0.5% | <0.5% | 8.5% | – | 29.5% | 3% | 12.5% | 1% | 1% | – | – | 26% | – | 0.5% | 18% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 3–6 Mar 2012 | 877 | – | <0.5% | <0.5% | 8% | – | 29.5% | 3% | 12.5% | 1% | 1% | – | – | 26% | – | 0.5% | 18.5% | – |
| CSA | 5 Mar 2012 | 888 | – | <0.5% | <0.5% | 10% | – | 30% | 2% | 13% | 0.5% | 1.5% | – | – | 28% | – | <0.5% | 15% | – |
| Harris Interactive | 1–5 Mar 2012 | 975 | – | 1% | 1% | 9% | – | 27% | 3% | 13% | 1% | 1% | – | – | 25% | – | 1% | 18% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 1–5 Mar 2012 | 867 | – | 0.5% | <0.5% | 7.5% | – | 29% | 3% | 12% | 1% | 1% | – | – | 26% | – | 1% | 19% | – |
| BVA | 2–3 Mar 2012 | 761 | – | 1% | 1% | 8% | – | 33% | 2% | 13% | <0.5% | 2% | – | – | 25% | – | 1% | 14% | <0.5% |
| Ipsos | 2–3 Mar 2012 | 966 | 22% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 9.5% | – | 29.5% | 2% | 12.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | – | – | 25% | – | 1% | 17.5% | – |
| LH2 | 2–3 Mar 2012 | 971 | – | 1% | 1% | 8.5% | – | 30.5% | 4.5% | 15% | <0.5% | 1% | – | – | 23% | – | 0.5% | 15% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 28 Feb–2 Mar 2012 | 912 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 8% | – | 29% | 3% | 12% | 0.5% | 1.5% | – | – | 25.5% | – | 1% | 18.5% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 27 Feb–1 Mar 2012 | 929 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 8% | – | 29% | 3% | 12.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | – | – | 25.5% | – | 1% | 18% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 24–29 Feb 2012 | 1,187 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 8.5% | – | 28% | 3% | 12% | 0.5% | 1% | – | – | 26.5% | – | 1.5% | 18% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 24–28 Feb 2012 | 888 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 9% | – | 28% | 2.5% | 12% | 0.5% | 1% | – | – | 27% | – | 1% | 18% | – |
| TNS Sofres | 27 Feb 2012 | 1,000 | 26% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 9.5% | – | 30% | 2.5% | 10.5% | 1% | 1% | – | – | 28% | – | <0.5% | 17% | 0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial* | 23–26 Feb 2012 | 1,723 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 8.5% | – | 28.5% | 3% | 12.5% | 0.5% | 1% | – | – | 27% | – | 1% | 17% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 23–26 Feb 2012 | 882 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 9% | – | 28% | 3% | 12% | 0.5% | 1% | – | – | 27% | – | 1% | 17.5% | – |
| Ipsos | 24–25 Feb 2012 | 959 | 25% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 8% | – | 31.5% | 2.5% | 11.5% | 0.5% | 1% | – | – | 27% | – | 1% | 16% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 21–24 Feb 2012 | 931 | – | 0.5% | 1% | 8% | – | 27.5% | 3% | 12.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | – | <0.5% | 26.5% | – | 1% | 18% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 20–23 Feb 2012 | 931 | – | 0.5% | 1% | 8% | – | 28.5% | 2.5% | 11.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | – | <0.5% | 26.5% | – | 1% | 18.5% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 18–22 Feb 2012 | 1,180 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 8.5% | – | 29% | 2.5% | 11% | 1% | 1.5% | – | <0.5% | 27% | – | 0.5% | 18% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 18–21 Feb 2012 | 874 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 8.5% | – | 29% | 2.5% | 11% | 1% | 2% | – | <0.5% | 27% | – | 0.5% | 17.5% | – |
| CSA | 20 Feb 2012 | 891 | – | 0.5% | <0.5% | 9% | – | 28% | 3% | 11% | 0.5% | 2% | – | 0.5% | 27% | – | 1.5% | 17% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 16–20 Feb 2012 | 872 | – | 0.5% | <0.5% | 9% | – | 29% | 2.5% | 11% | 1% | 2% | – | <0.5% | 27% | – | 0.5% | 17.5% | – |
| Ipsos | 17–18 Feb 2012 | 969 | 23% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 9% | – | 32% | 3% | 11% | 1% | 1.5% | – | <0.5% | 25% | – | 0.5% | 16% | – |
| LH2 | 17–18 Feb 2012 | 967 | – | 1% | <0.5% | 8% | – | 32% | 3% | 13% | 0.5% | 1.5% | – | 0.5% | 26% | – | 0.5% | 14% | – |
| OpinionWay | 17–18 Feb 2012 | 975 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 8% | – | 29% | 2% | 13% | 0.5% | 2% | – | 0.5% | 27% | – | 0.5% | 16.5% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 14–17 Feb 2012 | 938 | – | 0.5% | <0.5% | 8.5% | – | 29.5% | 2.5% | 12% | 0.5% | 2.5% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 26% | – | 1% | 17% | – |
| BVA | 15–16 Feb 2012 | 930 | – | <0.5% | <0.5% | 9% | – | 31% | 3% | 13% | <0.5% | 2% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 26% | – | 1% | 15% | <0.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 13–16 Feb 2012 | 939 | – | 1% | <0.5% | 7.5% | – | 29.5% | 2.5% | 11.5% | 0.5% | 2.5% | <0.5% | 0.5% | 26.5% | – | 1% | 17% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 11–15 Feb 2012 | 1,174 | – | 0.5% | <0.5% | 8% | – | 30% | 3% | 11.5% | 1% | 2% | <0.5% | 0.5% | 25.5% | <0.5% | 0.5% | 17.5% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 11–14 Feb 2012 | 867 | – | 0.5% | <0.5% | 7.5% | – | 30% | 3.5% | 11.5% | 1% | 2% | <0.5% | 0.5% | 25.5% | <0.5% | 0.5% | 17.5% | – |
| Harris Interactive | 9–13 Feb 2012 | 954 | – | <0.5% | <0.5% | 8% | – | 28% | 4% | 13% | 1% | 1% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 24% | – | 1% | 20% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 9–13 Feb 2012 | 870 | – | <0.5% | 0.5% | 8% | – | 30% | 3% | 12% | 0.5% | 2% | <0.5% | 0.5% | 24.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 18% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial* | 9–12 Feb 2012 | 1,723 | – | <0.5% | 0.5% | 8.5% | – | 30% | 3% | 12.5% | 0.5% | 2% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 25% | <0.5% | 0.5% | 17.5% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 7–10 Feb 2012 | 923 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 8% | – | 31% | 3% | 10.5% | <0.5% | 2% | 0.5% | <0.5% | 24.5% | <0.5% | 0.5% | 19% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 6–9 Feb 2012 | 913 | – | 1% | <0.5% | 8% | – | 31% | 3% | 10% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | <0.5% | 24.5% | <0.5% | 0.5% | 19.5% | – |
| OpinionWay | 6–8 Feb 2012 | 1,215 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 7% | – | 29% | 3% | 13% | 0.5% | 1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 25.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 18% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 4–8 Feb 2012 | 1,179 | – | 1% | <0.5% | 8% | – | 30.5% | 3% | 10.5% | 0.5% | 1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 24% | <0.5% | 0.5% | 20% | – |
| CSA | 6–7 Feb 2012 | 869 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 8% | – | 30% | 2% | 13% | <0.5% | 1% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 26% | 0.5% | 1% | 17.5% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 4–7 Feb 2012 | 871 | – | 1% | <0.5% | 8% | – | 30% | 2.5% | 11% | 0.5% | 1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 24% | <0.5% | 0.5% | 20.5% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 2–6 Feb 2012 | 876 | – | 1% | 0.5% | 8.5% | – | 30% | 2.5% | 11.5% | <0.5% | 1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 23.5% | <0.5% | 1% | 19.5% | – |
| BVA | 3–4 Feb 2012 | 779 | – | <0.5% | <0.5% | 7% | – | 34% | 2% | 14% | <0.5% | 1% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 26% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 16% | <0.5% |
| Ipsos | 3–4 Feb 2012 | 953 | 26% | 1% | 0.5% | 8.5% | – | 32% | 2% | 12.5% | <0.5% | 2% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 25% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 16% | – |
| 3% | 1% | 10% | – | 33.5% | 3% | 16% | <0.5% | 2% | 0.5% | <0.5% | 28.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | – | – | ||||
| LH2 | 3–4 Feb 2012 | 955 | – | 1% | – | 7.5% | – | 34% | 3% | 12% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 0% | – | 25.5% | 0.2% | – | 15% | – |
| Ifop | 31 Jan–3 Feb 2012 | 922 | – | 1% | 1% | 9% | – | 33% | 3% | 17% | – | – | – | – | 33% | – | 3% | – | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 0.5% | 0.5% | 8% | – | 29.5% | 2.5% | 12.5% | <0.5% | 1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 24.5% | <0.5% | 1% | 19% | – | |||
| Ifop-Fiducial | 30 Jan–2 Feb 2012 | 917 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 7.5% | <0.5% | 30.5% | 2.5% | 12.5% | <0.5% | 1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 24.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 18.5% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 29 Jan–1 Feb 2012 | 1,166 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 8% | 0.5% | 30.5% | 2.5% | 12% | <0.5% | 1% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 24.5% | 0.5% | <0.5% | 19.5% | – |
| BVA | 30–31 Jan 2012 | 1,407 | – | <0.5% | <0.5% | 8% | <0.5% | 34% | 3% | 12% | <0.5% | 2% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 25% | <0.5% | 1% | 15% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 29–31 Jan 2012 | 866 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 7.5% | 0.5% | 31% | 2.5% | 12% | <0.5% | 1% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 23.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 20% | – |
| TNS Sofres | 30 Jan 2012 | 1,000 | 26% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 9% | <0.5% | 31.5% | 3% | 12% | 0.5% | 1.5% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 26% | <0.5% | 0.5% | 16% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial* | 29–30 Jan 2012 | 1,387 | – | 0.5% | <0.5% | 7.5% | 0.5% | 31% | 3% | 11.5% | 0.5% | 1% | 0.5% | <0.5% | 24.5% | <0.5% | 0.5% | 19% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 27–30 Jan 2012 | 871 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 8% | 0.5% | 29.5% | 2.5% | 12.5% | 0.5% | 1% | 0.5% | <0.5% | 23% | <0.5% | 0.5% | 20.5% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 24–27 Jan 2012 | 935 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 8% | 0.5% | 28% | 3% | 13.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1% | <0.5% | 22% | <0.5% | 0.5% | 20.5% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 23–26 Jan 2012 | 926 | – | <0.5% | 0.5% | 8% | 0.5% | 27% | 3.5% | 13.5% | 0.5% | 2% | 0.5% | <0.5% | 23% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 20% | – |
| OpinionWay | 23–25 Jan 2012 | 1,087 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 8% | 0.5% | 27.5% | 3% | 14% | 1% | 1% | 1% | – | 24% | 1% | 1% | 17% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 21–25 Jan 2012 | 1,178 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 7.5% | 0.5% | 27.5% | 3% | 13% | 0.5% | 2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 23% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 20% | – |
| CSA | 23–24 Jan 2012 | 898 | – | <0.5% | <0.5% | 9% | <0.5% | 31% | 2% | 15% | <0.5% | 1% | <0.5% | – | 25% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 17% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 21–24 Jan 2012 | 864 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 7.5% | 0.5% | 27.5% | 3% | 13% | 0.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 23.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 19% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 20–23 Jan 2012 | 877 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 7% | 0.5% | 27% | 2.5% | 13.5% | 0.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 23.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 20% | – |
| Harris Interactive | 19–22 Jan 2012 | 1,029 | – | 0.5% | <0.5% | 8% | <0.5% | 27% | 4% | 14% | <0.5% | 1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 23% | 0.5% | 1% | 20% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 17–20 Jan 2012 | 937 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 8% | 0.5% | 26.5% | 3.5% | 13% | <0.5% | 3% | 0.5% | <0.5% | 23% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 21% | – |
| BVA | 18–19 Jan 2012 | 959 | – | 0.5% | <0.5% | 7% | <0.5% | 30% | 4% | 13% | <0.5% | 1.5% | 1% | <0.5% | 23% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 18% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 16–19 Jan 2012 | 923 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 8.5% | <0.5% | 27% | 3.5% | 12% | 0.5% | 2.5% | 1% | <0.5% | 23% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 21% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 14–18 Jan 2012 | 1,168 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 8% | 0.5% | 28% | 3% | 12.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1% | <0.5% | 24% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 20% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 14–17 Jan 2012 | 864 | – | <0.5% | 0.5% | 7.5% | 0.5% | 28.5% | 2.5% | 12.5% | 1% | 1.5% | 1% | <0.5% | 24.5% | <0.5% | 0.5% | 19.5% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 13–16 Jan 2012 | 872 | – | <0.5% | <0.5% | 7% | 0.5% | 28.5% | 3% | 12.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | <0.5% | 25% | <0.5% | 1% | 20% | – |
| Ipsos | 13–14 Jan 2012 | 948 | 23% | 1% | <0.5% | 7.5% | <0.5% | 29% | 3% | 14% | 0.5% | 3% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 23% | <0.5% | 0.5% | 18% | – |
| LH2 | 13–14 Jan 2012 | 966 | – | 0.5% | 0% | 8.5% | 0.5% | 30% | 3% | 14% | 0.5% | 2% | 0% | – | 23.5% | 0.5% | 0% | 17% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial* | 11–13 Jan 2012 | 1,550 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 7.5% | 0.5% | 28% | 3% | 12.5% | <0.5% | 2% | 0.5% | <0.5% | 24% | <0.5% | 1% | 20% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 10–13 Jan 2012 | 942 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 6.5% | 0.5% | 27% | 3.5% | 12.5% | <0.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 24% | <0.5% | 1% | 21.5% | – |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 9–12 Jan 2012 | 943 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 6.5% | 0.5% | 27% | 3.5% | 13% | <0.5% | 2% | 1% | <0.5% | 23.5% | <0.5% | 0.5% | 21.5% | – |
| OpinionWay | 10–11 Jan 2012 | 967 | – | 0.5% | 1% | 6% | 0.5% | 27% | 3% | 15% | 0.5% | 2% | 1% | – | 25% | 0.5% | 1% | 17% | – |
| CSA | 9–10 Jan 2012 | 875 | – | <0.5% | 0.5% | 7% | <0.5% | 29% | 2% | 13% | <0.5% | 3% | <0.5% | – | 26% | 0.5% | <0.5% | 19% | – |
| TNS Sofres** | 6–9 Jan 2012 | 2,007 | – | 0.5% | <0.5% | 7% | 1% | 30% | 4% | 11% | 0.5% | 2.5% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 25% | <0.5% | 0.5% | 18% | – |
| BVA | 6–7 Jan 2012 | 815 | – | 1% | <0.5% | 8% | 1% | 28% | 4% | 11% | 1% | 4% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 24% | 1% | <0.5% | 17% | – |
| Ifop | 4–6 Jan 2012 | 1,163 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 6% | <0.5% | 28% | 3% | 12% | 0.5% | 2.5% | 1% | <0.5% | 26% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 19% | – |
| OpinionWay | 16–19 Dec 2011 | 913 | – | 0.5% | 1% | 7.5% | 0.5% | 27% | 4% | 14% | 0.5% | 2% | 1% | – | 24% | 1% | 1% | 16% | – |
| Harris Interactive | 13–15 Dec 2011 | 1,031 | – | 0.5% | <0.5% | 6% | 1% | 28% | 4% | 11% | 0.5% | 3% | 0.5% | <0.5% | 25% | 0.5% | 1% | 19% | – |
| Ifop | 13–15 Dec 2011 | 937 | – | <0.5% | <0.5% | 6.5% | 0.5% | 27.5% | 5% | 11% | 1% | 3.5% | 0.5% | <0.5% | 24% | <0.5% | 0.5% | 20% | – |
| OpinionWay | 13–15 Dec 2011 | 912 | – | 0.5% | 1% | 6% | 0.5% | 29% | 3% | 11% | 0.5% | 3% | 1% | – | 25% | 1% | 1.5% | 17% | – |
| CSA | 12–13 Dec 2011 | 859 | – | 1% | 0.5% | 6% | 1% | 32% | 3% | 11% | 0.5% | 2% | <0.5% | – | 26% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 16% | – |
| LH2 | 9–10 Dec 2011 | 953 | – | <0.5% | <0.5% | 6.5% | 0.5% | 31.5% | 4.5% | 13% | <0.5% | 1% | 1% | – | 26% | 1% | 1% | 13.5% | – |
| BVA | 2–3 Dec 2011 | 798 | – | <0.5% | <0.5% | 7% | 1% | 35% | 3% | 9% | 1% | 1% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 24.5% | 1% | 0.5% | 17% | – |
| Ipsos | 2–3 Dec 2011 | 955 | 24% | 1% | <0.5% | 7.5% | 0.5% | 32% | 6% | 7% | 0.5% | 2% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 25.5% | <0.5% | 0.5% | 17% | – |
| Ifop | 29–30 Nov 2011 | 934 | – | <0.5% | <0.5% | 7.5% | 0.5% | 29.5% | 4% | 8.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1% | <0.5% | 26% | 0.5% | 1% | 19.5% | – |
| TNS Sofres | 25–26 Nov 2011 | 1,003 | 30% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 8% | 0.5% | 31% | 5% | 7% | 0.5% | 1% | 0.5% | – | 28% | <0.5% | 1% | 16.5% | – |
| OpinionWay | 23–24 Nov 2011 | 952 | – | 1% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 30% | 5% | 7% | – | 1% | 1% | – | 26% | 1% | 1% | 18% | – |
| BVA | 18–19 Nov 2011 | 784 | – | <0.5% | <0.5% | 5% | 3% | 32% | 4% | 7% | – | 2% | 1% | <0.5% | 27% | <0.5% | 1% | 18% | – |
| LH2 | 18–19 Nov 2011 | 830 | – | 0.5% | 0% | 7% | 1.5% | 30% | 6% | 7% | 0.5% | 2% | 0.5% | – | 29% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 15% | – |
| Ifop | 14–16 Nov 2011 | 1,146 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 7% | <0.5% | 32.5% | 4% | 6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 26% | 0.5% | 1% | 19% | – |
| CSA | 14–15 Nov 2011 | 822 | – | 1% | 0.5% | 5% | 1% | 34% | 4% | 7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1% | – | 27% | 0.5% | 1% | 16% | – |
| BVA | 4–5 Nov 2011 | 796 | – | <0.5% | <0.5% | 5% | 1% | 36% | 5% | 6% | – | 3% | <0.5% | <0.5% | 25% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 18% | – |
| Ifop | 2–4 Nov 2011 | 1,843 | – | <0.5% | 0.5% | 6% | <0.5% | 32.5% | 4.5% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 1% | <0.5% | 25.5% | <0.5% | 1% | 19% | – |
| Ipsos | 28–29 Oct 2011 | 970 | 25% | 1% | 1% | 6% | – | 35% | 6% | 5.5% | – | 2% | – | – | 24% | – | 0.5% | 19% | – |
| LH2 | 21–22 Oct 2011 | 813 | – | 0.5% | 0% | 6.5% | – | 39% | 5% | 8.5% | 0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | – | 24% | 0% | 0.5% | 14% | – |
| Ifop | 18–20 Oct 2011 | 941 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 6% | <0.5% | 35% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 0.5% | 2% | 1% | 0.5% | 25% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 17% | – |
| BVA | 17–18 Oct 2011 | 753 | – | 2% | <0.5% | 6% | – | 39% | 4% | 7% | – | – | – | – | 23% | – | – | 19% | – |
| CSA | 17 Oct 2011 | 859 | – | 1% | 0.5% | 5% | – | 35% | 3% | 9% | 0.5% | 2% | 1% | – | 25% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 16% | – |
8 July to 16 October 2011
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Arthaud LO |
Poutou NPA |
Mélenchon FG |
Chevènement MRC |
Hollande PS |
Aubry PS |
Royal PS |
Strauss-Kahn PS |
Joly EELV |
Bayrou MoDem |
Villepin RS |
Borloo PR |
Nihous CPNT |
Sarkozy UMP |
Fillon UMP |
Juppé UMP |
Boutin PCD |
Dupont-Aignan DLR |
Le Pen FN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipsos | 30 Sep–1 Oct 2011 | 962 | 27% | 1% | 0.5% | 8% | – | 32% | – | – | – | 5% | 5.5% | 4% | 6.5% | – | 21% | – | – | – | 0.5% | 16% |
| 2% | 0.5% | 7% | – | – | 29% | – | – | 5% | 6% | 5% | 7% | – | 22% | – | – | – | 0.5% | 16% | ||||
| 1.5% | 0.5% | 9% | – | – | – | 22% | – | 7% | 8.5% | 4% | 8% | – | 23% | – | – | – | 0.5% | 16% | ||||
| LH2 | 30 Sep–1 Oct 2011 | 843 | – | 0.5% | 0% | 8% | – | 31% | – | – | – | 7% | 8% | 2% | 7% | – | 21% | – | – | 0.5% | 0% | 15% |
| 1% | 0% | 10% | – | – | 25% | – | – | 7.5% | 9% | 3% | 9% | – | 21% | – | – | 0% | 0% | 14.5% | ||||
| 0.5% | 0% | 8.5% | – | 30% | – | – | – | 7.5% | 7.5% | 3% | 11% | – | – | 15% | – | 1% | 1% | 15% | ||||
| 0% | 0% | 9% | – | 30% | – | – | – | 8.5% | 8% | 3% | 9% | – | – | – | 16% | 0% | 0.5% | 16% | ||||
| CSA | 19–20 Sep 2011 | 835 | – | 1.5% | 0.5% | 6% | – | 28% | – | – | – | 4% | 7% | 5% | 5% | – | 24% | – | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 18% |
| 0.5% | 0.5% | 6% | – | – | 27% | – | – | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | – | 25% | – | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 19% | ||||
| 1% | 0.5% | 8% | – | – | – | 19% | – | 6% | 7% | 5% | 6% | – | 26% | – | – | 1% | 0.5% | 20% | ||||
| Harris Interactive | 31 Aug–5 Sep 2011 | 888 | – | 1% | <1% | 3% | – | 28.5% | – | – | – | 8% | 7% | 3% | 7% | – | 23.5% | – | – | – | 1% | 18% |
| 1% | <1% | 5% | – | – | 24% | – | – | 7% | 8% | 3% | 7% | – | 24% | – | – | – | 1% | 20% | ||||
| <1% | 1% | 7% | – | – | – | 15% | – | 10% | 9% | 4% | 9% | – | 24% | – | – | – | 1% | 20% | ||||
| Ipsos | 2–3 Sep 2011 | 963 | 31% | 2% | 0.5% | 5% | – | 30% | – | – | – | 5% | 6% | 4.5% | 7% | – | 22% | – | – | – | 1% | 17% |
| 2.5% | 0.5% | 5.5% | – | – | 27% | – | – | 6% | 6% | 3.5% | 7% | – | 23% | – | – | – | 1% | 18% | ||||
| 2% | 0.5% | 8.5% | – | – | – | 19% | – | 7% | 7% | 5% | 9% | – | 23% | – | – | – | 1% | 18% | ||||
| LH2 | 2–3 Sep 2011 | 818 | – | 0.5% | 0% | 4% | – | 35% | – | – | – | 6% | 6% | 2% | 6% | – | 27% | – | – | 2% | 0.5% | 11% |
| 0.5% | 0% | 5% | – | – | 30% | – | – | 4.5% | 6% | 3.5% | 8.5% | – | 27% | – | – | 2% | 1% | 12% | ||||
| 1% | 0.5% | 5% | – | – | – | 18% | – | 10% | 8% | 4% | 10% | – | 29% | – | – | 2% | 0.5% | 12% | ||||
| Ifop | 30 Aug–2 Sep 2011 | 1,918 | – | <0.5% | 0.5% | 6% | 0.5% | 29% | – | – | – | 6% | 6% | 2.5% | 6% | 0.5% | 23.5% | – | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 18.5% |
| <0.5% | 0.5% | 6% | 1% | – | 25% | – | – | 6% | 6.5% | 3% | 6.5% | 1% | 24% | – | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 19.5% | ||||
| <0.5% | 0.5% | 7% | 1.5% | – | – | 17% | – | 9% | 8% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 25% | – | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 19% | ||||
| CSA | 22–23 Aug 2011 | 863 | – | 1% | 0.5% | 6.5% | – | 27% | – | – | – | 5% | 7% | 3% | 8% | – | 26% | – | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 15% |
| 0.5% | 0.5% | 7% | – | – | 26% | – | – | 5% | 7% | 4% | 8% | – | 26% | – | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 15% | ||||
| 1% | 1% | 9% | – | – | – | 19% | – | 7% | 9% | 4% | 8% | – | 26% | – | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 15% | ||||
| Ifop | 19–21 Jul 2011 | 948 | – | <0.5% | <0.5% | 4% | 0.5% | 28% | – | – | – | 7% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 7.5% | <0.5% | 23% | – | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 20% |
| 0.5% | 0.5% | 4% | 1% | – | 25% | – | – | 7% | 7.5% | 2% | 8% | <0.5% | 23.5% | – | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 20% | ||||
| 0.5% | 0.5% | 6% | 1% | – | – | 16% | – | 9.5% | 9% | 3% | 8.5% | <0.5% | 25% | – | – | 0.5% | <0.5% | 20.5% | ||||
| CSA | 11 Jul 2011 | 850 | – | 2% | 0.5% | 7% | – | 26% | – | – | – | 5% | 6% | 2% | 8% | – | 26% | – | – | 0.5% | 1% | 16% |
| 1% | 0.5% | 6.5% | – | – | 25% | – | – | 5% | 6% | 2% | 9% | – | 27% | – | – | 1% | 1% | 16% | ||||
| 1% | 0.5% | 8.5% | – | – | – | 17% | – | 7% | 6% | 2% | 11% | – | 28% | – | – | 1% | 1% | 17% | ||||
| BVA | 8–9 Jul 2011 | 782 | – | 1% | <0.5% | 4% | – | 31% | – | – | – | 5% | 6% | 4% | 9% | – | 23% | – | – | 1% | <0.5% | 16% |
| 1% | 1% | 5% | – | – | 28% | – | – | 5% | 7% | 4% | 7% | – | 24% | – | – | 1% | <0.5% | 17% | ||||
| 1% | <0.5% | 7% | – | – | – | – | 20% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 10% | – | 25% | – | – | 1% | <0.5% | 18% | ||||
| Ipsos | 8–9 Jul 2011 | 955 | 31% | 2% | 1% | 5% | – | 29% | – | – | – | 7.5% | 5% | 3% | 8% | – | 22% | – | – | – | 0.5% | 17% |
| 2% | 1% | 4.5% | – | – | 29% | – | – | 7% | 5% | 3% | 8% | – | 22% | – | – | – | 0.5% | 18% | ||||
| 3% | 1% | 7% | – | – | – | 17% | – | 9% | 6% | 3.5% | 11% | – | 24% | – | – | – | 0.5% | 18% | ||||
| LH2 | 8–9 Jul 2011 | 827 | – | 1% | 0.5% | 5% | 1% | 29% | – | – | – | 6% | 11% | 3% | 7.5% | – | 21% | – | – | 1% | 1% | 13% |
| 1.5% | 0% | 5% | 1% | – | 26% | – | – | 6% | 10% | 4.5% | 8% | – | 21.5% | – | – | 0.5% | 1% | 15% | ||||
| 1.5% | 0% | 7% | 2% | – | – | 13.5% | – | 10% | 13% | 4% | 10% | – | 23% | – | – | 0% | 1% | 15% |
13 May to 7 July 2011
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Arthaud LO |
(nominee) NPA |
Martin NPA |
Mélenchon FG |
Chevènement MRC |
Hollande PS |
Aubry PS |
Royal PS |
Delanoë PS |
Fabius PS |
Hulot SE |
Joly EELV |
Bayrou MoDem |
Villepin RS |
Borloo PR |
Sarkozy UMP |
Dupont-Aignan DLR |
Le Pen FN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ifop | 21–23 Jun 2011 | 937 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | – | 6.5% | 1.5% | 26.5% | – | – | – | – | 6.5% | – | 6% | 3% | 7% | 21% | <0.5% | 21% |
| 0.5% | 0.5% | – | 7% | 1% | 26% | – | – | – | – | – | 6.5% | 6% | 3% | 7.5% | 21% | 0.5% | 20.5% | ||||
| CSA | 20–21 Jun 2011 | 825 | – | 1% | 1.5% | – | 7% | – | 27% | – | – | – | – | 7% | – | 5% | 3% | 9% | 23% | 0.5% | 16% |
| 1% | 2% | – | 7% | – | – | 23% | – | – | – | 7.5% | – | 7% | 3% | 10% | 23% | 0.5% | 16% | ||||
| 1% | 2% | – | 10% | – | – | – | 15% | – | – | 9% | – | 8% | 4% | 10.5% | 24% | 0.5% | 16% | ||||
| 1% | 1.5% | – | 7% | – | 27% | – | – | – | – | – | 4% | 7% | 3% | 10% | 23% | 0.5% | 16% | ||||
| 1% | 2% | – | 7% | – | – | 25.5% | – | – | – | – | 4% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 23% | 0.5% | 16% | ||||
| 1% | 2% | – | 8.5% | – | – | – | 17% | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 4% | 13% | 24% | 0.5% | 16% | ||||
| Ipsos | 18–20 Jun 2011 | 965 | 30% | 1.5% | 0.5% | – | 7% | – | 32% | – | – | – | – | 7.5% | – | 5% | 3% | 7% | 19% | 0.5% | 17% |
| 1% | 0.5% | – | 7% | – | – | 30% | – | – | – | 7% | – | 5% | 4% | 8% | 19% | 0.5% | 18% | ||||
| 2% | 1% | – | 9.5% | – | – | – | 19% | – | – | 8.5% | – | 7% | 4.5% | 11% | 19% | 0.5% | 18% | ||||
| Ifop | 9–10 Jun 2011 | 923 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | – | 6% | 1.5% | 26% | – | – | – | – | 6% | – | 7% | 3% | 6% | 22% | 0.5% | 21% |
| 0.5% | 1% | – | 6.5% | 1% | – | 23% | – | – | – | 6% | – | 8% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 21.5% | 0.5% | 22% | ||||
| Harris Interactive | 3–5 Jun 2011 | 1,449 | – | 0% | – | 0% | 7% | – | 27% | – | – | – | – | 6% | – | 6% | 2% | 7% | 23% | 1% | 21% |
| 0% | – | 0% | 7% | – | – | 25% | – | – | – | 6% | – | 6% | 2% | 7% | 24% | 1% | 22% | ||||
| 0% | – | 0% | 8% | – | – | – | 17% | – | – | 7% | – | 7% | 3% | 9% | 26% | 1% | 22% | ||||
| BVA | 20–21 May 2011 | 960 | – | 1% | 1% | – | 6% | – | 27% | – | – | – | – | 12% | – | 4% | 5% | 6% | 21% | <0.5% | 17% |
| 1% | 1% | – | 5% | – | – | 24% | – | – | – | 12% | – | 6% | 5% | 7% | 22% | <0.5% | 17% | ||||
| 2% | 1% | – | 6% | – | 29% | – | – | – | – | 13% | – | 8% | – | – | 22% | – | 19% | ||||
| 2% | 1% | – | 6% | – | – | 26% | – | – | – | 13% | – | 10% | – | – | 23% | – | 19% | ||||
| TNS Sofres | 20–21 May 2011 | 960 | 32% | 1% | – | <0.5% | 3.5% | – | 31% | – | – | – | – | 8% | – | 5.5% | 3% | 7% | 22% | – | 19% |
| 1% | – | <0.5% | 3% | – | 28% | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 8% | 24% | – | 20% | ||||
| 1% | – | <0.5% | 4% | – | – | 28% | – | – | – | 9% | – | 5% | 3% | 7% | 24% | – | 19% | ||||
| 1% | – | <0.5% | 7% | – | – | – | 18% | – | – | 10.5% | – | 7% | 3.5% | 9% | 24% | – | 20% | ||||
| 1% | – | <0.5% | 5.5% | – | – | – | – | 17.5% | – | 12% | – | 6% | 3.5% | 9.5% | 24.5% | – | 20.5% | ||||
| 1% | – | 0.5% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | 15% | 11% | – | 8% | 4% | 9.5% | 24.5% | – | 20.5% | ||||
| Ifop | 17–19 May 2011 | 1,897 | – | 0.5% | 1% | – | 6% | 1% | 26% | – | – | – | – | 6% | – | 5% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 22.5% | 1% | 21% |
| Ipsos | 18 May 2011 | 1,014 | 27% | 2% | 0.5% | – | 4% | – | 29% | – | – | – | – | 11% | – | 5% | 3% | 9% | 19% | 0.5% | 17% |
| 1% | 0.5% | – | 4% | – | – | 27% | – | – | – | 11% | – | 5% | 4% | 9% | 21% | 0.5% | 17% | ||||
| 2% | 0.5% | – | 6% | – | – | – | 16% | – | – | 13% | – | 7% | 6% | 12% | 19% | 0.5% | 18% | ||||
| CSA | 16 May 2011 | 838 | – | 1% | 2% | – | 5% | – | 23% | – | – | – | – | 6% | – | 7% | 4% | 8% | 22% | 2% | 20% |
| 1% | 2% | – | 5% | – | – | 23% | – | – | – | 6% | – | 7% | 4% | 8% | 23% | 2% | 19% | ||||
| 1% | 2% | – | 5% | – | – | – | 18% | – | – | 6% | – | 9% | 4% | 10% | 23% | 2% | 20% | ||||
| Ipsos | 13–14 May 2011 | 948 | – | 2% | 1% | – | 6% | – | 26% | – | – | – | – | 11% | – | 5% | 4% | 8% | 19% | 1% | 17% |
| 2% | 1% | – | 5% | – | – | 25% | – | – | – | 9% | – | 6% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 1% | 18% | ||||
| 2% | 1% | – | 8% | – | – | – | 16% | – | – | 12% | – | 7% | 6% | 11% | 19% | 1% | 17% |
28 February to 12 May 2011
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Arthaud LO |
Besancenot NPA |
(nominee) NPA |
Mélenchon FG |
Chevènement MRC |
Strauss-Kahn PS |
Aubry PS |
Hollande PS |
Royal PS |
Hulot SE |
Joly EELV |
Bayrou MoDem |
Villepin RS |
Morin NC |
Borloo PR/UMP |
Sarkozy UMP |
Dupont-Aignan DLR |
Le Pen FN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ifop | 10–12 May 2011 | 933 | 0.5% | – | 1% | 5.5% | 1% | 26% | – | – | – | 7% | – | 5.5% | 4% | – | 5.5% | 21.5% | 0.5% | 22% |
| 0.5% | – | 1% | 5% | 1.5% | – | – | 23% | – | 7.5% | – | 6% | 3.5% | – | 6.5% | 22% | 0.5% | 23% | |||
| 0.5% | – | 1% | 5.5% | 1% | 28% | – | – | – | 6% | – | 7% | – | – | 6.5% | 22% | – | 22.5% | |||
| LH2 | 6–7 May 2011 | 575 | 1% | – | 1% | 4% | 3% | 23% | – | – | – | 11% | – | 8% | 6% | – | 9% | 16% | 1% | 17% |
| 565 | 0.5% | – | 1% | 4% | 2% | – | 22% | – | – | 11% | – | 7% | 4.5% | – | 11% | 19% | 1% | 17% | ||
| 575 | 0.5% | – | 1% | 4% | 2% | – | – | 21.5% | – | 11% | – | 7% | 5% | – | 10% | 19% | 1% | 18% | ||
| 560 | 0.5% | – | 1% | 6% | 2% | – | – | – | 15% | 13.5% | – | 8% | 5% | – | 11% | 20% | 1% | 17% | ||
| 561 | 1% | – | 0.5% | 5% | 1% | 24% | – | – | – | – | 9% | 8% | 5.5% | – | 9% | 18% | 1% | 18% | ||
| CSA | 26 Apr 2011 | 831 | 1% | 4% | – | 5% | – | 26% | – | – | – | 9% | – | 5% | 4% | – | 4% | 21% | 1% | 20% |
| 1% | 4% | – | 5% | – | 27% | – | – | – | 9% | – | 7% | 5% | – | – | 22% | 1% | 19% | |||
| 1% | 4% | – | 5% | – | 27% | – | – | – | 8% | – | 6% | – | – | 8% | 21% | 1% | 19% | |||
| 1% | 5% | – | 5% | – | 28% | – | – | – | 9% | – | 8% | – | – | – | 23% | 2% | 19% | |||
| Ifop | 20–21 Apr 2011 | 917 | 0.5% | 4% | – | 5% | – | 27% | – | – | – | 7% | – | 5% | 4% | – | 7.5% | 20% | 1% | 19% |
| 0.5% | 4% | – | 4.5% | – | – | 20% | – | – | 8.5% | – | 6.5% | 4% | – | 9.5% | 21.5% | 1% | 20% | |||
| 1% | 4.5% | – | 4.5% | – | – | – | 21% | – | 8% | – | 6% | 4.5% | – | 8.5% | 21% | 1% | 20% | |||
| 0.5% | 4% | – | 6% | – | – | – | – | 16% | 9% | – | 6.5% | 5% | – | 11% | 21% | 1% | 20% | |||
| 1% | 5% | – | 5.5% | – | 30% | – | – | – | 8.5% | – | 7% | – | – | – | 22.5% | – | 20.5% | |||
| 0.5% | 5% | – | 5% | – | 25% | – | – | – | – | 5.5% | 6% | 4% | – | 8% | 21% | 1% | 19% | |||
| Harris Interactive | 19–20 Apr 2011 | 926 | 1% | 4% | – | 4% | – | 30% | – | – | – | 6% | – | 4% | 3% | – | 7% | 19% | 1% | 21% |
| 1% | 5% | – | 5% | – | – | 21% | – | – | 5% | – | 5% | 5% | – | 9% | 20% | 1% | 23% | |||
| 1% | 5% | – | 5% | – | – | – | 22% | – | 6% | – | 5% | 5% | – | 8% | 19% | 1% | 23% | |||
| 1% | 5% | – | 6% | – | – | – | – | 15% | 8% | – | 7% | 6% | – | 10% | 19% | 1% | 22% | |||
| OpinionWay | 6–7 Apr 2011 | 991 | 0.8% | 2.9% | – | 4.2% | 1.9% | – | 21.7% | – | – | – | 7.4% | 8.5% | 3.7% | – | 7.8% | 19.1% | 1.4% | 20.6% |
| CSA | 28–29 Mar 2011 | 841 | 1% | 9% | – | 4% | – | 33% | – | – | – | – | 3% | 7% | 4.5% | 2% | – | 18% | 0.5% | 18% |
| 0.5% | 9% | – | 3% | – | – | 26% | – | – | – | 3% | 8% | 7% | 2% | – | 22% | 0.5% | 19% | |||
| 0.5% | 11% | – | 3.5% | – | – | – | 24% | – | – | 4% | 6% | 7% | 2% | – | 22% | 1% | 19% | |||
| 0.5% | 9% | – | 6% | – | – | – | – | 17% | – | 5% | 10% | 7.5% | 3% | – | 22% | 1% | 19% | |||
| BVA | 25–26 Mar 2011 | 826 | 1% | 7% | – | 4% | – | 29% | – | – | – | 7% | – | 4% | 6% | 5% | – | 17% | 1% | 19% |
| 0.5% | 6% | – | 4% | – | – | 24% | – | – | 8% | – | 5% | 7% | 6% | – | 19% | 0.5% | 20% | |||
| Ipsos | 25–26 Mar 2011 | 965 | 1% | 6% | – | 4% | – | 34% | – | – | – | – | 5% | 5% | 5% | 1% | – | 17% | 1% | 21% |
| 1% | 6% | – | 4% | – | – | 25% | – | – | – | 5% | 7% | 8% | 1% | – | 20% | 1% | 22% | |||
| 1% | 6% | – | 5% | – | – | – | 23% | – | – | 5% | 7% | 8% | 1% | – | 21% | 1% | 22% | |||
| 2% | 7% | – | 6% | – | – | – | – | 17% | – | 7% | 8% | 9% | 1% | – | 20% | 1% | 22% | |||
| Ipsos | 14 Mar 2011 | 948 | 2% | 6% | – | 5% | – | 33% | – | – | – | – | 5% | 5% | 5% | 1% | – | 18% | 1% | 19% |
| 2% | 6% | – | 5% | – | – | 23% | – | – | – | 5% | 8% | 7% | 1% | – | 21% | 1% | 21% | |||
| 2% | 7% | – | 5% | – | – | – | 23% | – | – | 5% | 8% | 6% | 1% | – | 21% | 1% | 21% | |||
| 2% | 7% | – | 6% | – | – | – | – | 17% | – | 7% | 10% | 7% | 1% | – | 21% | 1% | 21% | |||
| CSA | 9–10 Mar 2011 | 853 | 1% | 8% | – | 6% | – | 30% | – | – | – | – | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | – | 19% | 1% | 21% |
| 1% | 8% | – | 5% | – | – | 22% | – | – | – | 3% | 6% | 6% | 1% | – | 24% | 1% | 23% | |||
| 1% | 8% | – | 5% | – | – | – | 18% | – | – | 5% | 8% | 7% | 1% | – | 24% | 1% | 22% | |||
| 1% | 8% | – | 5% | – | – | – | – | 19% | – | 6% | 7% | 6% | 1% | – | 24% | 1% | 22% | |||
| Ifop | 7–9 Mar 2011 | 1,046 | 1% | 4% | – | 5% | – | 29% | – | – | – | – | 5.5% | 6% | 3% | 1% | – | 23% | 1.5% | 21% |
| 1% | 4% | – | 5% | – | – | 24% | – | – | – | 6% | 7% | 4.5% | 1.5% | – | 24% | 1% | 22% | |||
| 1% | 4% | – | 5% | – | – | – | 23% | – | – | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4% | 2% | – | 24% | 1% | 22% | |||
| 1% | 5% | – | 6% | – | – | – | – | 19% | – | 7% | 8% | 5% | 2% | – | 24% | 1% | 22% | |||
| Harris Interactive | 5–6 Mar 2011 | 1,347 | 1% | 6% | – | 7% | – | 23% | – | – | – | – | 7% | 6% | 4% | 1% | – | 20% | 1% | 24% |
| 1% | 6% | – | 6% | – | – | – | 20% | – | – | 7% | 8% | 5% | 1% | – | 21% | 1% | 24% | |||
| Harris Interactive | 28 Feb–3 Mar 2011 | 1,618 | 1% | 5% | – | 5% | – | – | 21% | – | – | – | 7% | 8% | 7% | 1% | – | 21% | 1% | 23% |
20 August 2010 to 27 February 2011
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Schivardi POI |
Arthaud LO |
Besancenot NPA |
Mélenchon FG |
Strauss-Kahn PS |
Aubry PS |
Hollande PS |
Royal PS |
Montebourg PS |
Hulot SE |
Joly EELV/EE |
Bayrou MoDem |
Villepin RS/UMP |
Morin NC |
Borloo PR/UMP |
Sarkozy UMP |
Fillon UMP |
Copé UMP |
Dupont-Aignan DLR |
Le Pen FN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSA | 21–22 Feb 2011 | 1,005 | – | 1% | 8% | 6% | 28% | – | – | – | – | – | 4% | 5.5% | 5% | 1% | – | 23% | – | – | 0.5% | 18% |
| – | 1% | 8% | 6% | 33% | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 4.5% | 5% | 1% | – | – | 18% | – | 0.5% | 18% | |||
| – | 1% | 8% | 6% | 34% | – | – | – | – | – | 4% | 5.5% | 9% | 1% | – | – | – | 12% | 0.5% | 19% | |||
| – | 1% | 8% | 7% | 33% | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 5.5% | 9% | 1% | 12% | – | – | – | 0.5% | 18% | |||
| TNS Sofres | 18–19 Feb 2011 | 1,000 | – | 1% | 7% | 6.5% | 29% | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 5% | 3.5% | 4% | – | 21% | – | – | – | 17% |
| – | 0.5% | 7% | 7% | – | 24% | – | – | – | – | 6% | 5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | – | 24% | – | – | – | 17.5% | |||
| – | 1% | 8% | 7% | – | – | 22% | – | – | – | 6.5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | – | 23% | – | – | – | 18.5% | |||
| – | 1% | 8% | 7.5% | – | – | – | 19% | – | – | 8% | 5% | 5% | 5% | – | 24% | – | – | – | 17.5% | |||
| – | 1% | 8% | 7.5% | – | – | – | – | 15% | – | 8% | 6% | 5.5% | 5% | – | 25% | – | – | – | 19% | |||
| Ifop | 16–17 Feb 2011 | 949 | – | 1% | 5.5% | 6% | 26% | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 7% | 4% | 2% | – | 22% | – | – | 0.5% | 19% |
| – | 1% | 5% | 5.5% | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | 7% | 8% | 5% | 2.5% | – | 23% | – | – | 1% | 20% | |||
| CSA | 14–15 Feb 2011 | 1,005 | – | 1% | 7% | 6% | 29% | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 8% | 4% | – | – | 22% | – | – | 1% | 17% |
| – | 1% | 7% | 6% | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 5% | – | – | 26% | – | – | 1% | 17% | |||
| – | 1% | 7% | 7% | – | – | 20% | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 5% | – | – | 26% | – | – | 1% | 17% | |||
| – | 1% | 7% | 8% | – | – | – | 18% | – | – | 7% | 10% | 5% | – | – | 26% | – | – | 1% | 17% | |||
| OpinionWay | 20–21 Jan 2011 | 982 | 0% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 29% | – | – | – | – | 6% | – | 5% | – | – | – | 25% | – | – | 2% | 18% |
| 0% | 1% | 5% | 8% | – | 25% | – | – | – | 6% | – | 7% | – | – | – | 28% | – | – | 2% | 18% | |||
| 0% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 28% | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | 25% | – | – | 2% | 18% | |||
| 0% | 1% | 4% | 7% | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 8% | – | – | – | 28% | – | – | 2% | 18% | |||
| CSA | 17–18 Jan 2011 | 847 | – | 2% | 5% | 5% | 30% | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 6% | 5% | – | – | 23% | – | – | 1% | 17% |
| – | 1% | 6% | 5% | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 6% | – | – | 27% | – | – | 1% | 17% | |||
| – | 1% | 6% | 5% | – | – | 20% | – | – | – | 8% | 9% | 7% | – | – | 26% | – | – | 1% | 17% | |||
| – | 1% | 4% | 5% | – | – | – | 21% | – | – | 8% | 10% | 7% | – | – | 26% | – | – | 1% | 17% | |||
| BVA | 14–15 Jan 2011 | 804 | – | <0.5% | 7% | 4% | 31% | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 5% | 3% | – | 2% | 25% | – | – | – | 17% |
| – | <0.5% | 7% | 5% | – | 23% | – | – | – | – | 5% | 6% | 5% | – | 5% | 27% | – | – | – | 17% | |||
| Ifop | 12–13 Jan 2011 | 830 | – | 1% | 3.5% | 6.5% | – | 23% | – | – | – | 6% | – | 8% | 6% | 2% | – | 26.5% | – | – | 1% | 16.5% |
| CSA | 7–8 Jan 2011 | 1,001 | – | 1% | 7% | 5% | 30% | – | – | – | – | – | 4% | 6% | 3% | – | – | 25% | – | – | 1% | 18% |
| – | 1% | 6% | 6% | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | 4% | 9% | 6% | – | – | 28% | – | – | 1% | 17% | |||
| TNS Sofres | 19–20 Nov 2010 | 1,000 | – | 1.5% | 6.5% | 6% | 27% | – | – | – | – | – | 6.5% | 6% | 4% | – | 5% | 24% | – | – | – | 13.5% |
| – | 1% | 6.5% | 6% | – | 23% | – | – | – | – | 8% | 7% | 4% | – | 6.5% | 25% | – | – | – | 13% | |||
| – | 1% | 7% | 6.5% | – | – | 16.5% | – | – | – | 8% | 8% | 5% | – | 8.5% | 25.5% | – | – | – | 14% | |||
| – | 1% | 6.5% | 7% | – | – | – | 17% | – | – | 9% | 7% | 4% | – | 8.5% | 26% | – | – | – | 14% | |||
| Ifop | 18–19 Nov 2010 | 811 | – | 1% | 4.5% | 6% | 29% | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 7.5% | 6% | 2% | – | 24% | – | – | 1% | 13% |
| – | 1% | 5% | 6% | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | 7.5% | 9% | 7% | 2.5% | – | 27% | – | – | 1% | 12% | |||
| – | 1% | 6% | 7% | – | – | 18% | – | – | – | 8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 2% | – | 27% | – | – | 1% | 12% | |||
| – | 1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | – | – | – | 18% | – | – | 8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 2% | – | 27% | – | – | 1% | 13% | |||
| Ifop | 16–18 Nov 2010 | 931 | – | 0.5% | 4% | 6.5% | – | 23% | – | – | – | – | 7% | 7% | 5% | – | 7% | 26% | – | – | 1% | 13% |
| Harris Interactive | 9–10 Nov 2010 | 910 | – | 0.5% | 4.5% | 7% | – | 20% | – | – | – | – | 11% | 8% | 9% | – | – | 26% | – | – | – | 14% |
| – | 0.5% | 4.5% | 7% | – | 20% | – | – | – | – | 11% | 9% | 8% | – | – | – | 26% | – | – | 14% | |||
| Ifop | 12–14 Oct 2010 | 930 | – | 1% | 5% | 5% | – | 25% | – | – | – | – | 7% | 8.5% | 7% | – | – | 26% | – | – | 1.5% | 14% |
| BVA | 10–11 Sep 2010 | 962 | – | 2% | 7% | 5% | 28% | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 8% | 8.5% | 1.5% | – | – | 20% | – | – | 11% |
| – | 1% | 5% | 4% | – | 25% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 10% | 10% | 3% | – | – | 21% | – | – | 11% | |||
| TNS Sofres | 20–21 Aug 2010 | 1,000 | – | 1% | 9% | 5% | 25% | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 6% | 6% | 1% | – | 26% | – | – | – | 12% |
| – | 1% | 7% | 4% | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | 9% | 7% | 7% | 2% | – | 28% | – | – | – | 13% | |||
| – | 1% | 8% | 5% | – | – | 16% | – | – | – | 11% | 7% | 8% | 2% | – | 29% | – | – | – | 13% | |||
| – | 1% | 8% | 5% | – | – | – | 16% | – | – | 12% | 7% | 7% | 2% | – | 29% | – | – | – | 13% |
29 October 2009 to 19 August 2010
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Arthaud LO |
Besancenot NPA |
Buffet PCF |
Mélenchon FG |
Strauss-Kahn PS |
Aubry PS |
Hollande PS |
Royal PS |
Duflot EE/LV |
Joly EE |
Tapie PRG |
Bayrou MoDem |
Villepin RS/UMP |
Morin NC |
Borloo PR/UMP |
Sarkozy UMP |
Fillon UMP |
Dupont-Aignan DLR |
Le Pen FN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ifop | 8–9 Jul 2010 | 834 | 1% | 7% | – | 5% | – | 26% | – | – | 4% | – | – | 9% | 10% | – | – | 26% | – | 1% | 11% |
| CSA | 7–8 Jul 2010 | 809 | 0.5% | 7% | 2.5% | – | – | 30% | – | – | 5% | – | – | 9% | – | 2% | – | 31% | – | – | 13% |
| Ifop | 3–4 Jun 2010 | 981 | 1% | 5% | – | 6% | – | 24% | – | – | 5% | – | 3% | 8% | 7% | – | – | 27% | – | 1% | 13% |
| Ifop | 27–28 May 2010 | 814 | 1% | 7% | – | 5% | 29% | – | – | – | 5% | – | – | 8% | 6% | – | – | 25% | – | 1% | 13% |
| 1% | 5% | – | 5% | – | 24% | – | – | 5% | – | – | 11% | 8% | – | – | 27% | – | 1% | 13% | |||
| 2% | 7% | – | 6% | – | – | 18% | – | 5% | – | – | 12% | 9% | – | – | 27% | – | 2% | 12% | |||
| 1% | 7% | – | 6% | – | – | – | 18% | 6% | – | – | 12% | 9% | – | – | 28% | – | 1% | 12% | |||
| CSA | 19–20 May 2010 | 779 | 1% | 6% | 3% | – | – | 30% | – | – | 5% | – | – | 8% | – | – | – | 36% | – | – | 11% |
| BVA | 23–24 Apr 2010 | 947 | 1% | 5% | – | 6% | – | 24% | – | – | – | 12% | – | 7% | – | – | 6% | 28% | – | – | 11% |
| Ifop | 20–22 Apr 2010 | 934 | 1% | 3% | – | 6% | – | 25% | – | – | 8% | – | – | 7% | 7% | – | 3% | 25% | – | 2% | 13% |
| Ifop | 25–26 Mar 2010 | 855 | 1% | 5% | – | 6% | – | 27% | – | – | 9% | – | – | 7% | 6% | – | – | 26% | – | 2% | 11% |
| CSA | 24–25 Mar 2010 | 843 | 2% | 5% | 2% | – | – | 31% | – | – | 6% | – | – | 7% | – | – | – | 35% | – | – | 12% |
| CSA | 2–3 Mar 2010 | 757 | 3% | 6% | 3% | – | 27% | – | – | – | 10% | – | – | 11% | 7% | – | – | – | 25% | – | 8% |
| 3% | 7% | 3% | – | – | 21% | – | – | 11% | – | – | 11% | 9% | – | – | – | 27% | – | 8% | |||
| CSA | 2–3 Feb 2010 | 802 | 1% | 7% | 3% | – | 22% | – | – | – | 9% | – | – | 10% | 10% | – | – | 29% | – | – | 9% |
| 1% | 6% | 3% | – | – | 19% | – | – | 8% | – | – | 12% | 10% | – | – | 32% | – | – | 9% | |||
| Ifop | 29–30 Oct 2009 | 892 | 1% | 9% | 3% | – | – | 20% | – | – | 5% | – | – | 14% | 8% | – | – | 28% | – | 1% | 11% |
31 October 2007 to 28 October 2009
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Schivardi PT |
Laguiller LO |
Besancenot LCR/NPA |
Buffet PCF |
Bové SE |
Royal PS |
Aubry PS |
Voynet LV |
Nihous CPNT |
Bayrou MoDem |
Sarkozy UMP |
Villiers MPF |
Le Pen FN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpinionWay | 17–18 Jun 2009 | 1,006 | – | 0.5% | 1% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 21% | – | 4% | 0.5% | 13% | 33% | 3% | 9% |
| 0.5% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 5% | – | 19% | 4% | 0.5% | 14% | 33% | 3% | 9% | ||||
| OpinionWay | 29–30 Apr 2009 | 1,014 | – | 0.5% | 2% | 9% | 2% | 1% | 21% | – | 3% | 0.5% | 20% | 30% | 4% | 7% |
| Ifop | 23–24 Apr 2009 | 854 | – | 1% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 20.5% | – | 4% | 2% | 19% | 28% | 4% | 7.5% |
| OpinionWay | 30 Apr–2 May 2008 | 1,005 | – | 0% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 27% | – | 1% | 1% | 16% | 33% | 2% | 7% |
| CSA | 26 Feb 2008 | 856 | – | <0.5% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 26% | – | 1% | <0.5% | 19% | 32% | 1% | 9% |
| Ifop | 31 Oct–2 Nov 2007 | 1,008 | – | 0.5% | 1.5% | 7% | 2% | 1.5% | 22% | – | 1.5% | 1% | 17% | 35% | 2% | 9% |
| 2007 election | 22 Apr 2007 | – | 16.23% | 0.34% | 1.33% | 4.08% | 1.93% | 1.32% | 25.87% | – | 1.57% | 1.15% | 18.57% | 31.18% | 2.23% | 10.44% |
By region
- Corsica
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Arthaud LO |
Poutou NPA |
Mélenchon FG |
Hollande PS |
Joly EELV |
Bayrou MoDem |
Sarkozy UMP |
Dupont-Aignan DLR |
Le Pen FN |
Cheminade S&P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 election | 22 Apr 2012 | – | 25.73% | 0.31% | 1.17% | 9.85% | 24.28% | 2.29% | 5.01% | 31.41% | 1.07% | 24.39% | 0.21% |
| OpinionWay | 4–5 Apr 2012 | 502 | – | 0.5% | 1% | 12% | 28% | 3% | 10% | 32% | 0.5% | 13% | 0% |
- Réunion
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Arthaud LO |
Poutou NPA |
Mélenchon FG |
Hollande PS |
Joly EELV |
Bayrou MoDem |
Sarkozy UMP |
Dupont-Aignan DLR |
Le Pen FN |
Cheminade S&P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 election | 22 Apr 2012 | – | 34.41% | 0.60% | 0.87% | 6.73% | 53.29% | 2.13% | 6.83% | 17.96% | 1.00% | 10.31% | 0.29% |
| Ipsos | 12–16 Apr 2012 | 451 | – | 0.5% | 1% | 12% | 43% | 3.5% | 10.5% | 18.5% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| Ipsos | 20–27 Mar 2012 | 446 | – | 2% | 0.5% | 12.5% | 39% | 2.5% | 9.5% | 24% | 0.5% | 9.5% | 0% |
- French residents overseas
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Arthaud LO |
Poutou NPA |
Mélenchon FG |
Hollande PS |
Joly EELV |
Bayrou MoDem |
Lepage Cap21 |
Villepin RS |
Sarkozy UMP |
Dupont-Aignan DLR |
Le Pen FN |
Cheminade S&P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 election | 22 Apr 2012 | – | 60.93% | 0.28% | 0.70% | 8.31% | 28.32% | 5.44% | 11.37% | – | – | 38.01% | 1.25% | 5.95% | 0.36% |
| OpinionWay | 12–23 Mar 2012 | 2,031 | – | 0% | 0.5% | 8% | 27% | 4% | 13% | 0.5% | 2% | 37% | 1% | 7% | – |
By commune
- Aubagne
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Arthaud LO |
Poutou NPA |
Mélenchon FG |
Hollande PS |
Joly EELV |
Bayrou MoDem |
Sarkozy UMP |
Dupont-Aignan DLR |
Le Pen FN |
Cheminade S&P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 election | 22 Apr 2012 | – | 18.73% | 0.34% | 0.75% | 18.67% | 21.06% | 2.08% | 5.83% | 25.50% | 1.43% | 24.15% | 0.18% |
| CSA | 29–30 Mar 2012 | 801 | – | 1% | 1% | 24% | 22% | 2% | 6% | 23% | 0% | 21% | 0% |
Second round
Starting on 12 January 2012, Ifop-Fiducial published a "rolling" poll for Paris Match and Europe 1 which is listed in the tables below as "Ifop-Fiducial" without an asterisk, while separate polls not conducted as part of the "rolling" poll are listed with an asterisk (*).[1] Polls conducted specifically for subsample data are listed with two asterisks (**).
The publication of second-round polls was prohibited after midnight on 4 May 2012.[2]
Graphical summary
The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the eight major French pollsters. The graphs are 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).
Hollande–Sarkozy
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Hollande PS |
Sarkozy UMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 election | 6 May 2012 | – | 19.65% | 51.64% | 48.36% |
| Ifop-Fiducial* | 2–4 May 2012 | 1,766 | 18% | 52% | 48% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 1–4 May 2012 | 1,225 | – | 52% | 48% |
| BVA | 3 May 2012 | 2,161 | – | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| CSA | 3 May 2012 | 1,002 | – | 53% | 47% |
| Ipsos | 3 May 2012 | 1,018 | 18% | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| TNS Sofres | 3 May 2012 | 1,000 | 20% | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Harris Interactive | 2–3 May 2012 | 1,072 | – | 53% | 47% |
| OpinionWay | 2–3 May 2012 | 2,009 | – | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 30 Apr–3 May 2012 | 968 | – | 53% | 47% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 28 Apr–2 May 2012 | 1,229 | – | 53% | 47% |
| LH2 | 27 Apr–2 May 2012 | 1,077 | – | 53% | 47% |
| BVA | 30 Apr–1 May 2012 | 1,387 | 20% | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 28 Apr–1 May 2012 | 904 | – | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 26–30 Apr 2012 | 898 | – | 54% | 46% |
| Ifop-Fiducial* | 26–29 Apr 2012 | 1,876 | – | 54% | 46% |
| Ipsos | 27–28 Apr 2012 | 988 | 18% | 53% | 47% |
| LH2 | 27–28 Apr 2012 | 958 | – | 54% | 46% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 24–27 Apr 2012 | 963 | – | 55% | 45% |
| Harris Interactive | 25–26 Apr 2012 | 1,032 | – | 55% | 45% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 23–26 Apr 2012 | 966 | – | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| BVA | 24–25 Apr 2012 | 2,285 | – | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| CSA | 24–25 Apr 2012 | 1,009 | – | 54% | 46% |
| TNS Sofres | 24–25 Apr 2012 | 1,000 | 21% | 55% | 45% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 22–25 Apr 2012 | 1,507 | – | 55% | 45% |
| OpinionWay | 23–24 Apr 2012 | 1,145 | – | 54% | 46% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 22–24 Apr 2012 | 1,185 | – | 55% | 45% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 22–23 Apr 2012 | 865 | – | 55% | 45% |
| BVA | 22 Apr 2012 | 678 | – | 53% | 47% |
| CSA | 22 Apr 2012 | 1,009 | – | 56% | 44% |
| Harris Interactive | 22 Apr 2012 | 1,088 | – | 54% | 46% |
| Ifop-Fiducial* | 22 Apr 2012 | 1,004 | – | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| Ipsos | 22 Apr 2012 | 1,090 | 19% | 54% | 46% |
| OpinionWay | 22 Apr 2012 | 7,900 | – | 54% | 46% |
| Ifop-Fiducial* | 18–20 Apr 2012 | 1,723 | – | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 17–20 Apr 2012 | 2,592 | – | 54% | 46% |
| BVA | 18–19 Apr 2012 | 2,161 | – | 57% | 43% |
| CSA | 18–19 Apr 2012 | 1,005 | – | 57% | 43% |
| Harris Interactive | 18–19 Apr 2012 | 1,068 | – | 54% | 46% |
| Ipsos | 18–19 Apr 2012 | 1,021 | – | 56% | 44% |
| TNS Sofres | 18–19 Apr 2012 | 1,000 | – | 55% | 45% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 16–19 Apr 2012 | 2,588 | – | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| LH2 | 17–18 Apr 2012 | 956 | – | 56% | 44% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 14–18 Apr 2012 | 2,552 | – | 54% | 46% |
| BVA | 16–17 Apr 2012 | 1,161 | – | 56% | 44% |
| CSA | 16–17 Apr 2012 | 886 | – | 58% | 42% |
| OpinionWay | 16–17 Apr 2012 | 1,002 | 26% | 55% | 45% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 14–17 Apr 2012 | 1,709 | – | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| Harris Interactive | 12–16 Apr 2012 | 991 | – | 53% | 47% |
| Ifop-Fiducial* | 12–15 Apr 2012 | 1,808 | – | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 12–15 Apr 2012 | 1,711 | – | 55% | 45% |
| Ipsos | 13–14 Apr 2012 | 894 | – | 56% | 44% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 10–13 Apr 2012 | 2,562 | – | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| BVA | 11–12 Apr 2012 | 885 | – | 56% | 44% |
| TNS Sofres | 11–12 Apr 2012 | 1,000 | – | 56% | 44% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 9–12 Apr 2012 | 2,562 | – | 54% | 46% |
| CSA | 10–11 Apr 2012 | 1,013 | – | 57% | 43% |
| LH2 | 10–11 Apr 2012 | 977 | – | 55% | 45% |
| OpinionWay | 10–11 Apr 2012 | 1,007 | – | 54% | 46% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 6–11 Apr 2012 | 2,285 | – | 54% | 46% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 6–10 Apr 2012 | 1,425 | – | 54% | 46% |
| Ipsos | 6–7 Apr 2012 | 955 | – | 55% | 45% |
| Ifop-Fiducial* | 5–7 Apr 2012 | 1,869 | – | 53% | 47% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 5–7 Apr 2012 | 1,002 | – | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Harris Interactive | 3–6 Apr 2012 | 1,033 | – | 53% | 47% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 3–6 Apr 2012 | 1,284 | – | 53% | 47% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 2–5 Apr 2012 | 1,060 | – | 53% | 47% |
| OpinionWay | 3–4 Apr 2012 | 969 | – | 53% | 47% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 31 Mar–4 Apr 2012 | 1,432 | – | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| CSA | 2–3 Apr 2012 | 884 | – | 54% | 46% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 31 Mar–3 Apr 2012 | 999 | – | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Harris Interactive | 29 Mar–2 Apr 2012 | 1,059 | – | 53% | 47% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 29 Mar–2 Apr 2012 | 893 | – | 54% | 46% |
| Ipsos | 30–31 Mar 2012 | 881 | – | 55% | 45% |
| LH2 | 30–31 Mar 2012 | 973 | – | 54% | 46% |
| BVA | 29–31 Mar 2012 | 2,555 | – | 56% | 44% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 27–30 Mar 2012 | 957 | – | 54% | 46% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 26–29 Mar 2012 | 950 | – | 54% | 46% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 24–28 Mar 2012 | 1,211 | – | 54% | 46% |
| CSA | 26–27 Mar 2012 | 876 | – | 53% | 47% |
| OpinionWay | 26–27 Mar 2012 | 1,148 | – | 54% | 46% |
| TNS Sofres | 26–27 Mar 2012 | 1,000 | – | 55% | 45% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 24–27 Mar 2012 | 902 | – | 54% | 46% |
| Harris Interactive | 22–26 Mar 2012 | 1,231 | – | 54% | 46% |
| Ifop-Fiducial* | 22–25 Mar 2012 | 1,769 | – | 54% | 46% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 22–25 Mar 2012 | 887 | – | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Ipsos | 23–24 Mar 2012 | 978 | – | 54% | 46% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 20–23 Mar 2012 | 942 | – | 54% | 46% |
| BVA | 21–22 Mar 2012 | 926 | – | 54% | 46% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 19–22 Mar 2012 | 945 | – | 55% | 45% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 17–21 Mar 2012 | 1,195 | – | 55% | 45% |
| CSA | 19–20 Mar 2012 | 888 | – | 54% | 46% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 17–20 Mar 2012 | 876 | – | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| Harris Interactive | 15–19 Mar 2012 | 1,097 | – | 56% | 44% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 15–19 Mar 2012 | 881 | – | 54% | 46% |
| Ifop | 16–17 Mar 2012 | 961 | – | 54% | 46% |
| Ipsos | 16–17 Mar 2012 | 950 | – | 56% | 44% |
| LH2 | 16–17 Mar 2012 | 962 | – | 55% | 45% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 13–16 Mar 2012 | 928 | – | 54% | 46% |
| OpinionWay | 14–15 Mar 2012 | 1,183 | – | 55% | 45% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 12–15 Mar 2012 | 928 | – | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 11–14 Mar 2012 | 1,187 | – | 54% | 46% |
| CSA | 12–13 Mar 2012 | 861 | – | 54% | 46% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 11–13 Mar 2012 | 875 | – | 54% | 46% |
| TNS Sofres | 12 Mar 2012 | 1,000 | – | 58% | 42% |
| Ifop-Fiducial* | 11–12 Mar 2012 | 1,638 | – | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 8–12 Mar 2012 | 874 | – | 55% | 45% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 6–9 Mar 2012 | 922 | – | 55% | 45% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 5–8 Mar 2012 | 924 | – | 55% | 45% |
| OpinionWay | 5–7 Mar 2012 | 1,098 | – | 56% | 44% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 3–7 Mar 2012 | 1,182 | – | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 3–6 Mar 2012 | 877 | – | 56% | 44% |
| CSA | 5 Mar 2012 | 888 | – | 56% | 44% |
| Harris Interactive | 1–5 Mar 2012 | 975 | – | 56% | 44% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 1–5 Mar 2012 | 867 | – | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| BVA | 2–3 Mar 2012 | 761 | – | 59% | 41% |
| Ipsos | 2–3 Mar 2012 | 966 | – | 58% | 42% |
| LH2 | 2–3 Mar 2012 | 971 | – | 58% | 42% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 28 Feb–2 Mar 2012 | 912 | – | 57% | 43% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 27 Feb–1 Mar 2012 | 929 | – | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 24–29 Feb 2012 | 1,187 | – | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 24–28 Feb 2012 | 888 | – | 55% | 45% |
| TNS Sofres | 27 Feb 2012 | 1,000 | – | 57% | 43% |
| Ifop-Fiducial* | 23–26 Feb 2012 | 1,723 | – | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 23–26 Feb 2012 | 882 | – | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| Ipsos | 24–25 Feb 2012 | 959 | – | 58% | 42% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 21–24 Feb 2012 | 931 | – | 56% | 44% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 20–23 Feb 2012 | 931 | – | 56% | 44% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 18–22 Feb 2012 | 1,180 | – | 56% | 44% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 18–21 Feb 2012 | 874 | – | 56% | 44% |
| CSA | 20 Feb 2012 | 891 | – | 56% | 44% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 16–20 Feb 2012 | 872 | – | 56% | 44% |
| Ipsos | 17–18 Feb 2012 | 969 | – | 59% | 41% |
| LH2 | 17–18 Feb 2012 | 967 | – | 55% | 45% |
| OpinionWay | 17–18 Feb 2012 | 975 | – | 56% | 44% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 14–17 Feb 2012 | 938 | – | 56% | 44% |
| BVA | 15–16 Feb 2012 | 930 | – | 56% | 44% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 13–16 Feb 2012 | 939 | – | 56% | 44% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 11–15 Feb 2012 | 1,174 | – | 57% | 43% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 11–14 Feb 2012 | 867 | – | 57% | 43% |
| Harris Interactive | 9–13 Feb 2012 | 954 | – | 57% | 43% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 9–13 Feb 2012 | 870 | – | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial* | 9–12 Feb 2012 | 1,723 | – | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 7–10 Feb 2012 | 923 | – | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 6–9 Feb 2012 | 913 | – | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| OpinionWay | 6–8 Feb 2012 | 1,215 | – | 56% | 44% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 4–8 Feb 2012 | 1,179 | – | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| CSA | 6–7 Feb 2012 | 869 | – | 60% | 40% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 4–7 Feb 2012 | 871 | – | 57% | 43% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 2–6 Feb 2012 | 876 | – | 58% | 42% |
| BVA | 3–4 Feb 2012 | 779 | – | 58% | 42% |
| Ipsos | 3–4 Feb 2012 | 953 | – | 59% | 41% |
| LH2 | 3–4 Feb 2012 | 955 | – | 57% | 43% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 31 Jan–3 Feb 2012 | 922 | – | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 30 Jan–2 Feb 2012 | 917 | – | 57% | 43% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 29 Jan–1 Feb 2012 | 1,166 | – | 57% | 43% |
| BVA | 30–31 Jan 2012 | 1,407 | – | 57% | 43% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 29–31 Jan 2012 | 866 | – | 58% | 42% |
| TNS Sofres | 30 Jan 2012 | 1,000 | – | 58% | 42% |
| Ifop-Fiducial* | 29–30 Jan 2012 | 1,387 | – | 58% | 42% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 27–30 Jan 2012 | 871 | – | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 24–27 Jan 2012 | 935 | – | 57% | 43% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 23–26 Jan 2012 | 926 | – | 56% | 44% |
| OpinionWay | 23–25 Jan 2012 | 1,087 | – | 56% | 44% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 21–25 Jan 2012 | 1,178 | – | 57% | 43% |
| CSA | 23–24 Jan 2012 | 898 | – | 60% | 40% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 21–24 Jan 2012 | 864 | – | 57% | 43% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 20–23 Jan 2012 | 877 | – | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| Harris Interactive | 19–22 Jan 2012 | 1,029 | – | 55% | 45% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 17–20 Jan 2012 | 937 | – | 57% | 43% |
| BVA | 18–19 Jan 2012 | 959 | – | 57% | 43% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 16–19 Jan 2012 | 923 | – | 57% | 43% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 14–18 Jan 2012 | 1,168 | – | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 14–17 Jan 2012 | 864 | – | 56% | 44% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 13–16 Jan 2012 | 872 | – | 56% | 44% |
| Ipsos | 13–14 Jan 2012 | 948 | – | 59% | 41% |
| LH2 | 13–14 Jan 2012 | 966 | – | 57% | 43% |
| Ifop-Fiducial* | 11–13 Jan 2012 | 1,550 | – | 57% | 43% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 10–13 Jan 2012 | 942 | – | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 9–12 Jan 2012 | 943 | – | 57% | 43% |
| OpinionWay | 10–11 Jan 2012 | 967 | – | 55% | 45% |
| CSA | 9–10 Jan 2012 | 875 | – | 57% | 43% |
| TNS Sofres** | 6–9 Jan 2012 | 2,007 | – | 59% | 41% |
| BVA | 6–7 Jan 2012 | 815 | – | 57% | 43% |
| Ifop | 4–6 Jan 2012 | 1,163 | – | 54% | 46% |
| OpinionWay | 16–19 Dec 2011 | 913 | – | 57% | 43% |
| Harris Interactive | 13–15 Dec 2011 | 1,031 | – | 57% | 43% |
| Ifop | 13–15 Dec 2011 | 937 | – | 56% | 44% |
| OpinionWay | 13–15 Dec 2011 | 912 | – | 57% | 43% |
| CSA | 12–13 Dec 2011 | 859 | – | 58% | 42% |
| LH2 | 9–10 Dec 2011 | 953 | – | 57% | 43% |
| BVA | 2–3 Dec 2011 | 798 | – | 59% | 41% |
| Ipsos | 2–3 Dec 2011 | 955 | – | 60% | 40% |
| Ifop | 29–30 Nov 2011 | 934 | – | 56% | 44% |
| TNS Sofres | 25–26 Nov 2011 | 1,003 | – | 60% | 40% |
| OpinionWay | 23–24 Nov 2011 | 952 | – | 58% | 42% |
| BVA | 18–19 Nov 2011 | 784 | – | 58% | 42% |
| LH2 | 18–19 Nov 2011 | 830 | – | 58% | 42% |
| CSA | 14–15 Nov 2011 | 822 | – | 59% | 41% |
| BVA | 4–5 Nov 2011 | 796 | – | 61% | 39% |
| Ifop | 2–4 Nov 2011 | 1,843 | – | 57% | 43% |
| Ipsos | 28–29 Oct 2011 | 970 | – | 62% | 38% |
| LH2 | 21–22 Oct 2011 | 813 | – | 60% | 40% |
| Ifop | 18–20 Oct 2011 | 941 | – | 60% | 40% |
| BVA | 17–18 Oct 2011 | 753 | – | 64% | 36% |
| CSA | 17 Oct 2011 | 859 | – | 62% | 38% |
| LH2 | 30 Sep–1 Oct 2011 | 843 | – | 60% | 40% |
| LH2 | 2–3 Sep 2011 | 818 | – | 57% | 43% |
| Ifop | 30 Aug–2 Sep 2011 | 1,918 | – | 59% | 41% |
| Ifop | 19–21 Jul 2011 | 948 | – | 57% | 43% |
| BVA | 8–9 Jul 2011 | 782 | – | 58% | 42% |
| LH2 | 8–9 Jul 2011 | 827 | – | 60% | 40% |
| Harris Interactive | 3–5 Jun 2011 | 1,449 | – | 60% | 40% |
| BVA | 20–21 May 2011 | 960 | – | 62% | 38% |
| TNS Sofres | 20–21 May 2011 | 960 | – | 58% | 42% |
| LH2 | 6–7 May 2011 | 576 | – | 60% | 40% |
| Ifop | 20–21 Apr 2011 | 917 | – | 56% | 44% |
| TNS Sofres | 18–19 Feb 2011 | 1,000 | – | 56% | 44% |
| CSA | 14–15 Feb 2011 | 1,005 | – | 54% | 46% |
| CSA | 17–18 Jan 2011 | 847 | – | 55% | 45% |
| TNS Sofres | 19–20 Nov 2010 | 1,000 | – | 55% | 45% |
| Ifop | 18–19 Nov 2010 | 811 | – | 53% | 47% |
| TNS Sofres | 20–21 Aug 2010 | 1,000 | – | 50% | 50% |
| CSA | 4–5 Nov 2009 | 910 | – | 43% | 57% |
By first round vote
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Jean-Luc Mélenchon (11.10% in the first round) |
François Bayrou (9.13% in the first round) |
Marine Le Pen (17.90% in the first round) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hollande | Sarkozy | No vote | Hollande | Sarkozy | No vote | Hollande | Sarkozy | No vote | |||
| Ifop-Fiducial* | 2–4 May 2012 | 1,766 | 84% | 4% | 12% | 29% | 42% | 29% | 16% | 54% | 30% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 1–4 May 2012 | 1,225 | 84% | 4% | 12% | 31% | 37% | 32% | 19% | 55% | 26% |
| BVA | 3 May 2012 | 2,161 | 87% | 4% | 9% | 36% | 40% | 24% | 22% | 57% | 21% |
| CSA | 3 May 2012 | 1,002 | 81% | 7% | 12% | 25% | 38% | 37% | 17% | 57% | 26% |
| Ipsos | 3 May 2012 | 1,018 | 76% | 6% | 18% | 30% | 38% | 32% | 15% | 54% | 31% |
| TNS Sofres | 3 May 2012 | 1,000 | 85% | 2% | 13% | 37% | 32% | 31% | 7% | 52% | 41% |
| Harris Interactive | 2–3 May 2012 | 1,072 | 91% | 4% | 5% | 42% | 41% | 17% | 20% | 58% | 22% |
| OpinionWay | 2–3 May 2012 | 2,009 | 77% | 9% | 14% | 35% | 39% | 26% | 19% | 50% | 31% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 30 Apr–3 May 2012 | 968 | 86% | 5% | 9% | 32% | 34% | 34% | 18% | 50% | 32% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 28 Apr–2 May 2012 | 1,229 | 82% | 5% | 10% | 26% | 32% | 42% | 16% | 45% | 39% |
| LH2 | 27 Apr–2 May 2012 | 1,077 | 93% | 2% | 5% | 39% | 31% | 30% | 22% | 50% | 28% |
| BVA | 30 Apr–1 May 2012 | 1,387 | 87% | 4% | 9% | 36% | 36% | 28% | 21% | 57% | 22% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 28 Apr–1 May 2012 | 904 | 85% | 6% | 9% | 28% | 32% | 40% | 15% | 46% | 39% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 26–30 Apr 2012 | 898 | 86% | 4% | 10% | 33% | 27% | 40% | 18% | 44% | 38% |
| Ifop-Fiducial* | 26–29 Apr 2012 | 1,876 | 80% | 6% | 14% | 28% | 31% | 41% | 18% | 43% | 39% |
| Ipsos | 27–28 Apr 2012 | 988 | 80% | 3% | 17% | 34% | 40% | 26% | 14% | 54% | 32% |
| LH2 | 27–28 Apr 2012 | 958 | 73% | 2% | 25% | 30% | 31% | 39% | 20% | 45% | 35% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 24–27 Apr 2012 | 963 | 85% | 4% | 11% | 33% | 31% | 36% | 23% | 45% | 32% |
| Harris Interactive | 25–26 Apr 2012 | 1,032 | 92% | 2% | 6% | 41% | 36% | 23% | 21% | 48% | 31% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 23–26 Apr 2012 | 966 | 81% | 5% | 14% | 33% | 37% | 30% | 23% | 45% | 32% |
| BVA | 24–25 Apr 2012 | 2,285 | 89% | 5% | 6% | 38% | 41% | 21% | 26% | 47% | 27% |
| CSA | 24–25 Apr 2012 | 1,009 | 85% | 5% | 10% | 42% | 36% | 22% | 23% | 53% | 24% |
| TNS Sofres | 24–25 Apr 2012 | 1,000 | 82% | 6% | 12% | 32% | 39% | 29% | 16% | 51% | 33% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 22–25 Apr 2012 | 1,507 | 81% | 3% | 16% | 40% | 35% | 25% | 21% | 44% | 35% |
| OpinionWay | 23–24 Apr 2012 | 1,145 | 91% | 2% | 7% | 36% | 41% | 23% | 27% | 47% | 26% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 22–24 Apr 2012 | 1,185 | 82% | 3% | 15% | 43% | 34% | 23% | 21% | 43% | 36% |
| Ifop-Fiducial | 22–23 Apr 2012 | 865 | 82% | 2% | 16% | 44% | 35% | 21% | 22% | 42% | 36% |
| BVA | 22 Apr 2012 | 678 | 90% | 6% | 4% | 36% | 39% | 25% | 20% | 57% | 23% |
| CSA | 22 Apr 2012 | 1,009 | 91% | 3% | 6% | 40% | 25% | 35% | 27% | 52% | 21% |
| Harris Interactive | 22 Apr 2012 | 1,088 | 83% | 2% | 15% | 38% | 32% | 30% | 17% | 44% | 39% |
| Ifop-Fiducial* | 22 Apr 2012 | 1,004 | 83% | 6% | 11% | 32% | 38% | 30% | 31% | 48% | 21% |
| Ipsos | 22 Apr 2012 | 1,090 | 86% | 3% | 11% | 33% | 32% | 35% | 18% | 60% | 22% |
| OpinionWay | 22 Apr 2012 | 7,900 | 77% | 5% | 18% | 34% | 37% | 29% | 18% | 37% | 45% |
By region
- Corsica
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Hollande PS |
Sarkozy UMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 election | 6 May 2012 | – | 23.67% | 44.13% | 55.87% |
| OpinionWay | 27–30 Apr 2012 | 404 | – | 47% | 53% |
- Réunion
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Hollande PS |
Sarkozy UMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 election | 6 May 2012 | – | 27.14% | 71.49% | 28.51% |
| Ipsos | 12–16 Apr 2012 | 451 | – | 74% | 26% |
| Ipsos | 20–27 Mar 2012 | 446 | – | 67% | 33% |
- French residents overseas
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Hollande PS |
Sarkozy UMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 election | 6 May 2012 | – | 57.82% | 46.95% | 53.05% |
| OpinionWay | 12–23 Mar 2012 | 2,031 | – | 74% | 26% |
By commune
- Aubagne
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Hollande PS |
Sarkozy UMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 election | 6 May 2012 | – | 19.10% | 48.59% | 51.41% |
| CSA | 29–30 Mar 2012 | 801 | – | 57% | 43% |
Aubry–Sarkozy
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Aubry PS |
Sarkozy UMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LH2 | 30 Sep–1 Oct 2011 | 843 | 57% | 43% |
| LH2 | 2–3 Sep 2011 | 818 | 54% | 46% |
| Ifop | 30 Aug–2 Sep 2011 | 1,918 | 54% | 46% |
| Ifop | 19–21 Jul 2011 | 948 | 53% | 47% |
| BVA | 8–9 Jul 2011 | 782 | 58% | 42% |
| LH2 | 8–9 Jul 2011 | 827 | 58% | 42% |
| Harris Interactive | 3–5 Jun 2011 | 1,449 | 58% | 42% |
| BVA | 20–21 May 2011 | 960 | 59% | 41% |
| TNS Sofres | 20–21 May 2011 | 960 | 56% | 44% |
| LH2 | 6–7 May 2011 | 565 | 56% | 44% |
| Ifop | 20–21 Apr 2011 | 917 | 55% | 45% |
| OpinionWay | 6–7 Apr 2011 | 991 | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| TNS Sofres | 18–19 Feb 2011 | 1,000 | 56% | 44% |
| CSA | 14–15 Feb 2011 | 1,005 | 54% | 46% |
| CSA | 17–18 Jan 2011 | 847 | 56% | 44% |
| BVA | 14–15 Jan 2011 | 804 | 57% | 43% |
| TNS Sofres | 19–20 Nov 2010 | 1,000 | 55% | 45% |
| Ifop | 18–19 Nov 2010 | 811 | 52% | 48% |
| Harris Interactive | 9–10 Nov 2010 | 910 | 51% | 49% |
| TNS Sofres | 20–21 Aug 2010 | 1,000 | 53% | 47% |
| CSA | 7–8 Jul 2010 | 809 | 52% | 48% |
| CSA | 19–20 May 2010 | 779 | 51% | 49% |
| CSA | 24–25 Mar 2010 | 843 | 52% | 48% |
| CSA | 2–3 Feb 2010 | 802 | 48% | 52% |
| CSA | 4–5 Nov 2009 | 910 | 47% | 53% |
Royal–Sarkozy
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Royal PS |
Sarkozy UMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LH2 | 2–3 Sep 2011 | 818 | – | 49% | 51% |
| Harris Interactive | 3–5 Jun 2011 | 1,449 | – | 51% | 49% |
| LH2 | 6–7 May 2011 | 554 | – | 50% | 50% |
| Ifop | 20–21 Apr 2011 | 917 | – | 51% | 49% |
| TNS Sofres | 18–19 Feb 2011 | 1,000 | – | 52% | 48% |
| CSA | 14–15 Feb 2011 | 1,005 | – | 50% | 50% |
| CSA | 17–18 Jan 2011 | 847 | – | 50% | 50% |
| TNS Sofres | 19–20 Nov 2010 | 1,000 | – | 52% | 48% |
| Ifop | 18–19 Nov 2010 | 811 | – | 53% | 47% |
| TNS Sofres | 20–21 Aug 2010 | 1,000 | – | 49% | 51% |
| CSA | 4–5 Nov 2009 | 910 | – | 45% | 55% |
| LH2 | 2–3 May 2008 | 1,004 | – | 53% | 47% |
| OpinionWay | 30 Apr–2 May 2008 | 1,005 | – | 50% | 50% |
| CSA | 26 Feb 2008 | 856 | – | 51% | 49% |
| Ifop | 31 Oct–2 Nov 2007 | 1,008 | – | 45% | 55% |
| 2007 election | 6 May 2007 | – | 16.03% | 46.94% | 53.06% |
Strauss-Kahn–Sarkozy
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Strauss-Kahn PS |
Sarkozy UMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BVA | 8–9 Jul 2011 | 782 | 54% | 46% |
| LH2 | 6–7 May 2011 | 574 | 65% | 35% |
| Ifop | 20–21 Apr 2011 | 917 | 61% | 39% |
| TNS Sofres | 18–19 Feb 2011 | 1,000 | 63% | 37% |
| CSA | 14–15 Feb 2011 | 1,005 | 61% | 39% |
| CSA | 17–18 Jan 2011 | 847 | 64% | 36% |
| BVA | 14–15 Jan 2011 | 804 | 64% | 36% |
| TNS Sofres | 19–20 Nov 2010 | 1,000 | 62% | 38% |
| Ifop | 18–19 Nov 2010 | 811 | 59% | 41% |
| TNS Sofres | 20–21 Aug 2010 | 1,000 | 59% | 41% |
| CSA | 2–3 Feb 2010 | 802 | 52% | 48% |
| CSA | 4–5 Nov 2009 | 910 | 51% | 49% |
Sarkozy–Le Pen
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Sarkozy UMP |
Le Pen FN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Interactive | 3–5 Jun 2011 | 1,449 | 63% | 37% |
| LH2 | 6–7 May 2011 | 517 | 74% | 26% |
| Ifop | 20–21 Apr 2011 | 917 | 73% | 27% |
| OpinionWay | 6–7 Apr 2011 | 991 | 63.3% | 36.7% |
Hollande–Le Pen
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Hollande PS |
Le Pen FN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LH2 | 6–7 May 2011 | 584 | 76% | 24% |
| Ifop | 20–21 Apr 2011 | 917 | 72% | 28% |
Aubry–Le Pen
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Aubry PS |
Le Pen FN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LH2 | 6–7 May 2011 | 562 | 71% | 29% |
| Ifop | 20–21 Apr 2011 | 917 | 69% | 31% |
| OpinionWay | 6–7 Apr 2011 | 991 | 63.2% | 36.8% |
Strauss-Kahn–Le Pen
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Strauss-Kahn PS |
Le Pen FN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LH2 | 6–7 May 2011 | 589 | 77% | 23% |
| Ifop | 20–21 Apr 2011 | 917 | 75% | 25% |
Aubry–Fillon
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Aubry PS |
Fillon UMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Interactive | 9–10 Nov 2010 | 910 | 49% | 51% |
| BVA | 10–11 Sep 2010 | 962 | 51% | 49% |
| CSA | 2–3 Mar 2010 | 757 | 51% | 49% |
Strauss-Kahn–Fillon
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Strauss-Kahn PS |
Fillon UMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BVA | 10–11 Sep 2010 | 962 | 55% | 45% |
| CSA | 2–3 Mar 2010 | 757 | 54% | 46% |
See also
References
- "" La présidentielle en temps réel " avec le rolling Ifop - Paris Match - Europe 1 - Fiducial" (PDF). Ifop. 11 January 2012. Retrieved 24 February 2018.
- "Communiqué du 20 avril 2012". Commission des sondages. 20 April 2012. Retrieved 24 February 2018.
- Sylvia Zappi (1 February 2012). "Sans moyens ni soutiens, Chevènement a tenté son baroud d'honneur". Le Monde. Retrieved 24 February 2018.
- Béatrice Houchard (13 February 2012). "Christine Boutin retire sa candidature". Le Figaro. Retrieved 24 February 2018.
- "Présidentielle : Hervé Morin se retire et se rallie à Nicolas Sarkozy". Sud Ouest. Agence France-Presse. 16 February 2012. Retrieved 24 February 2018.
- "Nihous renonce à se présenter et soutient Sarkozy". RTL. 22 February 2012. Retrieved 24 February 2018.
- ""Sauf miracle", Dominique de Villepin ne sera pas candidat à la présidentielle". Le Monde. Agence France-Presse. 15 March 2012. Retrieved 24 February 2018.
- "Dix candidats en lice pour l'élection présidentielle". Le Parisien. 19 March 2012. Retrieved 24 February 2018.
External links
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