2003 Aragonese regional election
The 2003 Aragonese regional election was held on Sunday, 25 May 2003, to elect the 6th Cortes of the autonomous community of Aragon. All 67 seats in the Cortes were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in 12 other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
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All 67 seats in the Cortes of Aragon 34 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Opinion polls | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Registered | 1,019,644 0.2% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 717,457 (70.4%) 5.8 pp | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Constituency results map for the Cortes of Aragon | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The election saw the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), which had ruled Aragon since the previous election, becoming the largest party in the Courts for the first time since the 1991 election. The PSOE gains came at the expense of the People's Party (PP), which saw a drop of 7 points on its vote share. The Aragonese Union (CHA) made gains and overtook the Aragonese Party (PAR) as the third largest party in the Courts. For the PAR, this was the fourth consecutive election where it lost ground. United Left (IU) held its single seat, albeit with a slightly reduced vote share.
The PSOE and PAR maintained the coalition administration formed after the previous election. As a result, Marcelino Iglesias was re-elected as President of Aragon.
Overview
Electoral system
The Cortes of Aragon were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Aragon, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Aragonese Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Government.[1] Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered in Aragon and in full enjoyment of their political rights.
The 67 members of the Cortes of Aragon were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 3 percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Parties not reaching the threshold were not taken into consideration for seat distribution. Additionally, the use of the D'Hondt method might result in an effective threshold over three percent, depending on the district magnitude.[2] Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Huesca, Teruel and Zaragoza. Each constituency was entitled to an initial minimum of 13 seats, with the remaining 28 allocated among the constituencies in proportion to their populations on the condition that the seat to population ratio in the most populated province did not exceed 2.75 times that of the least populated one.[1][3]
The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in the constituency for which they sought election. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[3][4][5]
Election date
The term of the Cortes of Aragon expired four years after the date of their previous election. Elections to the Cortes were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 13 June 1999, setting the election date for the Cortes on Sunday, 25 May 2003.[1][3][4][5]
The President of the Government had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Aragon and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Cortes were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.[1][6]
Opinion polls
The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 34 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Aragon.
- Color key:
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2003 regional election | 25 May 2003 | N/A | 70.4 | 30.7 22 |
37.9 27 |
11.2 8 |
13.7 9 |
3.1 1 |
7.2 |
Sigma Dos/Antena 3[p 1] | 25 May 2003 | ? | ? | ? 23/25 |
? 24/26 |
? 6/8 |
? 8/10 |
? 1/3 |
? |
Ipsos–Eco/RTVE[p 2] | 25 May 2003 | ? | ? | ? 23/25 |
? 24/26 |
? 7/8 |
? 9/10 |
? 1 |
? |
C&J/El Periódico[p 3] | 12–17 May 2003 | ? | ? | 29.0 20/21 |
37.9 27/28 |
13.8 9/10 |
13.3 9/10 |
? 1 |
8.9 |
CIS[p 4][p 5] | 22 Mar–28 Apr 2003 | 1,339 | 68.6 | 30.4 22 |
35.6 26 |
13.9 10 |
14.5 8 |
3.9 1 |
5.2 |
C&J/El Periódico[p 6] | 27 Apr 2003 | ? | ? | 28.0 19/20 |
38.1 27/28 |
15.2 9/10 |
? 9/10 |
? 0/1 |
10.1 |
CIS[p 7][p 8][p 9] | 9 Sep–9 Oct 2002 | 492 | 71.6 | 35.1 | 33.1 | 10.7 | 15.3 | 4.1 | 2.0 |
2000 general election | 12 Mar 2000 | N/A | 71.4 | 47.2 34 |
31.1 24 |
5.4 3 |
10.4 5 |
3.5 1 |
16.1 |
1999 regional election | 13 Jun 1999 | N/A | 64.6 | 38.2 28 |
30.8 23 |
13.3 10 |
11.0 5 |
3.9 1 |
7.4 |
Results
Overall
Parties and coalitions | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 270,468 | 37.94 | +7.13 | 27 | +4 | |
People's Party (PP) | 219,058 | 30.73 | –7.48 | 22 | –6 | |
Aragonese Union (CHA) | 97,763 | 13.71 | +2.67 | 9 | +4 | |
Aragonese Party (PAR) | 79,670 | 11.18 | –2.07 | 8 | –2 | |
United Left of Aragon (IU) | 21,795 | 3.06 | –0.80 | 1 | ±0 | |
The Greens–SOS Nature (LV–SOS)1 | 4,308 | 0.60 | +0.05 | 0 | ±0 | |
Aragonese Initiative (INAR) | 1,703 | 0.24 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Family and Life Party (PFyV) | 1,300 | 0.18 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Democratic and Social Centre (CDS) | 1,056 | 0.15 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Republican Left (IR) | 519 | 0.07 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Humanist Party (PH) | 330 | 0.05 | –0.10 | 0 | ±0 | |
Blank ballots | 14,874 | 2.09 | +0.01 | |||
Total | 712,844 | 67 | ±0 | |||
Valid votes | 712,844 | 99.36 | +0.07 | |||
Invalid votes | 4,613 | 0.64 | –0.07 | |||
Votes cast / turnout | 717,457 | 70.36 | +5.76 | |||
Abstentions | 302,187 | 29.64 | –5.76 | |||
Registered voters | 1,019,644 | |||||
Sources[7][8][9] | ||||||
Aftermath
Investiture Marcelino Iglesias (PSOE) | ||
Ballot → | 3 July 2003 | |
---|---|---|
Required majority → | 34 out of 67 | |
35 / 67 | ||
31 / 67 | ||
Abstentions
|
1 / 67 | |
Absentees | 0 / 67 | |
Sources[9] |
References
- Opinion poll sources
- "El sondeo de Sigma Dos determina una lucha codo a codo entre populares y socialistas en Madrid". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 25 May 2003. Archived from the original on 25 May 2019. Retrieved 19 May 2019.
- "Sondeo a pie de urna de Ipsos Eco Consulting para TVE". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 25 May 2003. Archived from the original on 7 December 2017. Retrieved 11 December 2017.
- "El PSOE ganará en Aragón e Iglesias podrá repetir si le apoyan PAR o CHA". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). 18 May 2003.
- "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas, 2003. CA de Aragón (Estudio nº 2484. Marzo-Abril 2003)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 17 May 2003.
- "La guerra pasa factura electoral al PP". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 18 May 2003.
- "Iglesias podrá elegir entre PAR y CHA para un nuevo pacto". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). 27 April 2003.
- "Instituciones y autonomías, II. CA de Aragón (Estudio nº 2455. Septiembre-Octubre 2002)". CIS (in Spanish). 19 November 2002.
- "El PP, partido más votado en diez Comunidades Autónomas" (PDF). El Mundo (in Spanish). 19 November 2002.
- "El PP ganaría las autonómicas en diez Comunidades y el PSOE en cuatro, según el CIS". ABC (in Spanish). 20 November 2002.
- Other
- "Statute of Autonomy of Aragon of 1982". Organic Law No. 8 of 10 August 1982. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 September 2017.
- Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
- "Autonomous Community of Aragon Electoral Law of 1987". Law No. 2 of 12 February 1987. Official Gazette of Aragon (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 September 2017.
- "General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 28 December 2016.
- "Representation of the people Institutional Act". www.juntaelectoralcentral.es. Central Electoral Commission. Retrieved 16 June 2017.
- "Statute of Autonomy of Aragon Reform of 1996". Organic Law No. 5 of 30 December 1996. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 September 2017.
- "Cortes of Aragon election results, 25 May 2003" (PDF). www.juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of Aragon. 20 June 2003. Retrieved 26 September 2017.
- "Aragon Electoral Archive. Cortes of Aragon election, 2003. Autonomous Community of Aragon". servicios.aragon.es (in Spanish). Government of Aragon. Retrieved 26 September 2017.
- "Elecciones a las Cortes de Aragón (1983 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 26 September 2017.