2012 Lesotho general election

General elections were held in Lesotho on 26 May 2012. The incumbent Prime Minister Pakalitha Mosisili's newly formed Democratic Congress won a majority of single-member seats. He also won his seat by the second-largest margin of victory.[1] However, they only had a plurality in the overall tally and coalition talks are taking place.

2012 Lesotho general election

26 May 2012

120 seats of the National Assembly of Lesotho
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Pakalitha Mosisili Tom Thabane Mothetjoa Metsing
Party DC ABC LCD
Leader's seat Qacha's Nek District-Tsoelike Maseru District-Abia Leribe District-Mahobong
Last election New 17 62
Seats won 48 30 26
Seat change 48 13 36[nb 1]

Prime Minister before election

Pakalitha Mosisili
DC

Elected Prime Minister

Tom Thabane
ABC

Background

As a result of the impact of the Arab Spring in 2011, protests occurred against the government in regard to unemployment, poverty and low salaries. The protests eventually had the support of taxi drivers, unions, students and opposition political parties. They also demanded to meet Prime Minister Pakalitha Mosisili, who had at times refused to do so.[2][3][4][5]

Parties and campaign

Before the election, the ruling Lesotho Congress for Democracy suffered a split because of Prime Minister Pakalitha Mosisili's refusal to cede power.[6] He then founded a new party called the Ntsu Democratic Congress, in reference to the founder of the LCD Ntsu Mokhehle. The LCD's secretary-general Mothetjoa Metsing then moved to lead the LCD.[7]

Tom Thabane leads another faction that broke away in 2006, the All Basotho Convention, which is expected to benefit from the infighting of the other two parties. Voters' primary demands were reportedly job creation and an improvement in "basic services."[8] The LCD's Metsing said that he would not take part in a national unity government.[9] In like measure ABC ruled out working with LCD.[10]

Opinion polls

Most polls predicted a plurality for the Democratic Congress. One tribal chief, Mohato Bereng, said that he would vote for change in supporting the Lesotho Congress for Democracy.[8] Incumbent Prime Minister Pakalitha Mosisili had an approval of rating of 39% a month before the election.[6] Two days before the election, Mosisili said that DC would get a simple majority.[11]

Conduct

Former Malawian President Bakili Muluzi, who headed the Commonwealth of Nations' electoral observer team, said that despite a history of coup d'etats he was assured by the army and police that there would be no interference.[12] There were also electoral monitoring teams from the African Union and the Southern African Development Community.[13]

Results

Voting centres were opened from 7:00 at 17:00. Vote counting started at the vote centres in Maseru before they closed. The official results were expected the day after the vote due to the remoteness of some communities.[8] Maliako Ralejoe of the Independent Electoral Commission said at the end of the day that: "Currently most of the urban areas have been counted, which is a good indicator. We have had challenges with the rural areas as some areas are still counting, but Maseru is complete. We estimate that [on 29 May] we will be able to announce the final verdict."[14] On 27 May, the IEC suspended the electoral count because of "serious logistical problems."[15] This caused tension in Maseru and opposition parties led by ABC pressured the IEC to release the result.[16][17]

Voter turnout was 564,451 or 50.04%.[18]

Party Votes % Seats
Constituency PR Total +/–
Democratic Congress218,36639.5841748New
All Basotho Convention138,91725.1826430+13
Lesotho Congress for Democracy121,07621.94121426–36
Basotho National Party23,7884.31055+2
Popular Front for Democracy11,1662.02123+2
National Independent Party6,8801.25022–19
Lesotho Peoples' Congress5,0210.910110
Basotho Democratic National Party3,4330.620110
Marematlou Freedom Party3,3000.600110
Basotho Congress Party2,5310.460110
Basotho Batho Democratic Party2,4400.440110
Lesotho Workers' Party2,4080.44011–9
All Democratic Corporation1,9330.350000
Lekhotla La Mekhoa le Moetlo1,6910.310000
Areka Covenant Front for Development1,2270.220000
Sankatana Social Democratic Party1,0810.200000
African Unity Movement7140.130000
White Horse Party2520.050000
Independents5,5021.000000
Invalid/blank votes12,725
Total564,45110080401200
Registered voters/turnout1,127,98050.04
Source: IEC, IEC, AED

List of elected MPs

Constituency
Number
DistrictConstituencyMP[1]Party
37Maseru DistrictAbiaMotsoahae Thomas ThabaneABC
33Maseru DistrictThetsaneMamothibe Bernice ChauleABC
35Maseru DistrictLithothengMajoro Nephtali MohapiABC
34Maseru DistrictQoalingChalane Clatus PhoriABC
32Maseru DistrictMaseru##Edward Haae PhoofoloABC
55Mafeteng DistrictMafeteng#Temeki Phoenix TsoloABC
24Berea DistrictTeya-Teyanang#Prince Maliehe MalieheABC
5Butha-Buthe DistrictButha-Buthe#Motlohi MalieheABC
28Berea DistrictKhubetsoanaThabiso Masenkane Samuel MonyatsiABC
2Butha-Buthe DistrictHololoTeboho Charles LetselaDC
58Mohales HoekMohale's Hoek#Retselisitsoe MasenyetsiDC
57Mohales HoekQhalasiPalo Alphoncis LeteeteDC
4Butha-Buthe DistrictQaloThabang Linus KholumoPFD
53Mafeteng DistrictLikhoeleKhotso LetsasiDC
14Leribe DistrictTsikoaneKhotso MatlaLCD
15Leribe DistrictMaputsoeMampho Marystella MokheleLCD
23Berea DistrictKhafungMotlalepula KhaahloeLCD
30Maseru DistrictMotimposoNovember Pitso MaisaABC
38Maseru DistrictThaba-BosiuBoomo Frank SofoniaABC
49Mafeteng DistrictKoloPaul Teboho LehloyenyaDC
54Mafeteng DistrictQalabaneMotlalentoa LetsosaDC
18Leribe DistrictKolonyamaLebesa MaloiLCD
17Leribe DistrictPekaTlali KhasuABC
16Leribe DistrictLikhetlaneTimothy Thahane ThahaneLCD
8Leribe DistrictThaba-Phats'oaMahala MolapoABC
9Leribe DistrictMahobongMothejoa MetsingLCD
11Leribe DistrictMatlakengMafalatsi Joyce LekhatlaLCD
22Berea DistrictMalimongMagents Leshoboro Joseph MohlajoaABC
25Berea DistrictTsoana-MakhuloJoseph Tsoeu MoliseABC
29Berea DistrictMabotePaul Sekhulumi NtsoaoleABC
42Maseru DistrictKoro-KoroThabiso Enerst LitšibaABC
48Mafeteng DistrictThaba-PhechelaMolahlehi MalefaneDC
52Mafeteng DistrictThabana-MorenaSelibe MochoboroaneLCD
56Mohales HoekTaungPhallang Monare**DC
71Qachas NekTsoelikePakalitha Bethuel MosisiliDC
12Leribe DistrictLeribeLeketekete Victor KetsoLCD
27Berea DistrictBereaMatela Solomon KhojaneABC
20Berea District'MakhoroanaCharles Nyebe TsibelaABC
13Leribe DistrictHlotse#Makabelo Priscilla MosothoaneLCD
3Butha-Buthe DistrictMoteteTumaole Clement LerafaDC
50Mafeteng DistrictMatelileMaimane Philemon MaphatheDC
26Berea DistrictThupa-KubuTsietsi Ezekiel LetholeABC
1Butha-Buthe DistrictMechachaneApesi RatseleLCD
10Leribe DistrictPela-Ts'oeuSolomon Montsuoe LethobaLCD
59Mohales HoekMekalingKamoho Joseph MoroengDC
41Maseru DistrictMaamaMankoe James MaimeABC
36Maseru DistrictLithabanengMatebatso DotiABC
6Leribe DistrictMaliba-MatsoFrancis Mokoto HloaeleDC
7Leribe DistrictMphosongBataung LelekaDC
31Maseru DistrictStadium AreaMoshoete Mophato MonyakeABC
39Maseru DistrictMachacheMonyane MolelekiDC
43Maseru DistrictQemeKali SeitLhekoDC
44Maseru DistrictRotheManthabiseng Arcylia PhohleliDC
45Maseru DistrictMatsieng’Matšepo Ramakoae***ABC
46Maseru DistrictMakhalengMootsi Samuel LehataDC
74Thaba-Tseka DistrictThaba-Tseka#Maneo Mathabo Nelly MoremoholoDC
19Berea DistrictMosalemaneLiau Amos Ntlele****DC
21Berea DistrictBela-BelaLitsoane Simon LitsoaneABC
51Mafeteng DistrictMaliepetsaneMichael Mpalipali MolefeABC
60Mohales HoekQaqatuLethusang Daniel KompiDC
64Quthing DistrictTeleNdiwuhleli Ndlomose*****DC
69Qachas NekQacha's Nek#Pontšo Matumelo Susan SekatleDC
40Maseru DistrictThaba-PutsoaTsukutlane Joel AuDC
61Mohales HoekMpharanePhutuhelo Daniel MaferekaDC
76Thaba-Tseka DistrictMashaiTšoeu Phineas MokeretlaDC
78Mokhotlong DistrictSenquLikeleli Tampane MonareDC
79Mokhotlong DistrictMokhotlong#Tlohang SekhamaneDC
65Quthing DistrictMoyeniMahooana Rapitso George KhatiDC
47Maseru DistrictMaletsunyaneLawson Kotiti DiholoDC
67Quthing DistrictMount MoorosiKose Julius MakoaDC
77Mokhotlong DistrictMalingoanengSerealong Kemuel QooDC
66Quthing DistrictSebapalaKabelo MafuraDC
68Quthing DistrictQhoaliMathibeli Edwin MokhothuDC
75Thaba-Tseka DistrictSemenaJobo Joseph SekautuDC
70Qachas NekLebakengHenry Semano Sekatle*DC
62Mohales HoekKetaneMarefuoe Alice MusoDC
63Mohales HoekHloahloengNtlhoi MotsamaiDC
72Thaba-Tseka DistrictMantsonyaneMasuthang Agnes TaoleDC
73Thaba-Tseka DistrictThaba-MoeaMokhokolI Bethuel SeutloaliDC
80Mokhotlong DistrictBobatsiMakhabane Gilbert MalukeDC

* Largest margin of victory by just over 92.9% of votes.
**Won by 33 votes over ABC's Ramoshebi Maboee Moletsane (39 ballots were "rejected").
***Won by 39 votes over DC's Mokhele Stephen Moletsane (19 ballots were "rejected").
****Won by 94 voted over ABC's Tsoinyana Samuel Rapapa (161 ballots were "rejected")
*****Smallest margin of victory by 14 votes over LCD's Doreen Chaoana-Mapetsa (47 ballots were "rejected")
#District capital
##District and national capital

Reactions

Ramahoana Matlosa, who lost his bid to become an MP from Maseru District, sad that the DC failed to attract the youth vote. "Of course we knew the ABC would be strong in urban areas. But if you add our numbers to the LCDs, we would have beaten them. It's just that the ABC had an advantage because their number stayed the same and we split." The AU and SADC monitoring teams said of the election that "we are delighted that the voting and counting took place in an atmosphere of peace and tranquility."[13]

Electoral observers said the election was largely free and fair. The Commonwealth of Nations' Bakili Muluzi said that "we chose democracy in Africa. And we should allow democracy to prevail.[19]

Government formation

An unnamed senior party member of DC said that they had begun coalition talks with ABC, but would also look to open talks with LCD if those failed. He also said that the party could try to lure in individual MPs from the other parties if all options failed, while adding that "we are confident that we will lead the new government. We are also not political buffoons not to know that we have to start serious engagements with any coalition partners immediately."[10] DC upped their attempts to build a coalition with LCD upon realising they would not get a majority after proportional seats were allocated.[20] Confidantes to ABC's Thabane said that he was confident of winning the seats necessary to head a coalition government with the other parties, who could possibly get a share of the proportionally allocated seats. An unnamed party member said that "we are in serious discussions with the LCD but most will depend on the final tally of the seats. The LCD is our first preference for any coalition as we have all been in the opposition," but that this was subject to the proportional seats being allocated "properly."[10]

On 30 May, ABC's Thabane told the BBC that he had formed a coalition to give him a majority in parliament.[21] His coalition included the LCD, Basotho National Party, Popular Front for Democracy and the Marematlou Freedom Party.[22] He also said that the government's priorities would be "poverty, lack of jobs, lack of school opportunities, absence of schools at the right places, lack of proper infrastructure, particularly health services. We have gone way below what we were a few years ago, and that's inexplicable. We put power in the hands of the wrong people and we are taking it away from them."[21]

Mosisili resigned on 31 May and would be the Leader of the Opposition. Following this Lincoln Ralechate Mokose, the secretary general of DC, said the party would seek coalition partners and that "we will either succeed or fail. [If the party fails] our stand is to concede and work in parliament as opposition." ABC's secretary-general, Thabiso Litšiba, said it could be a week before the new parliament meets and officially chooses the new Prime Minister.[19]

Analysis

Prior to the vote, Hoolo 'Nyane, the director of the Transformation Resource Centre, said that the lack of a governing coalition "would be a very disturbing scenario. [A repeat of the 1998 stand-off and violence which led to the death of 58 locals and eight South African soldiers, as well as large damages in Maseru were] not completely unlikely."[12] He added that "the entire young and urban vote is in revolt against Mosisili."[13]

The coordinator of development for Peace Education, which monitored the election, Sofonea Shale, said that "maybe the politics of arrogance have come to an end, and we'd be turning a new page based on politics of negotiation. A coalition government is highly likely, which is why I'm saying it's time for a new era. A coalition needs parties to negotiate."[23]

On 29 May, the Lesotho Times reported that the LCD were likely to be "heavily compensated" by the proportionally allotted seats due to finishing second in many constituencies.[9] Most DC votes were in rural areas, while politicians and observers said that an ABC-LCD coalition was likely.[10]

Notes

  1. The change figure does not account for the defected MPs who left with Mosisili to join the Democratic Congress, but instead is represents the change from the seats won by the LCD as a party in the previous election.

References

  1. "IEC Live Results 2012". Iec.org.ls. Archived from the original on 2012-06-01. Retrieved 2012-05-29.
  2. "Coletu protests reduced student intake at NUL". Lestimes.com. 2011-06-30. Retrieved 2012-05-29.
  3. "Taxi operators to join protest". Lestimes.com. 2011-04-28. Retrieved 2012-05-29.
  4. "Lesotho CSOs, political parties to hold mass protest Monday". Afriqueavenir.org. 2011-08-14. Retrieved 2012-05-29.
  5. "Lesotho's Mother of All Protests". Open Society Initiative of Southern Africa. 2011-11-23. Archived from the original on 2012-05-08. Retrieved 2012-05-29.
  6. "Lesotho votes in tight three-way race". Daily Times. Retrieved 2012-05-29.
  7. "Lesotho: Jumping Before He's Pushed". allAfrica.com. 2012-02-21. Retrieved 2012-05-29.
  8. "Polls close in Lesotho's general election". Al Jazeera English. 2011-10-04. Retrieved 2012-05-29.
  9. 29 May 2012. "Lesotho: Election Results Force Leaders to Moot Coalition". allAfrica.com. Retrieved 2012-05-31.
  10. Basildon Peta (2010-05-05). "DC extend lead in Lesotho poll". IOL.co.za. Retrieved 2012-05-31.
  11. "Mosisili says DC set to surpass simple majority : Lesotho Times". Lestimes.com. 2012-05-24. Archived from the original on 2013-06-29. Retrieved 2012-05-31.
  12. "Lesotho holds tense election". Reuters. Retrieved 2012-05-29.
  13. Mcgroarty, Patrick. "Lesotho Vote Likely to Yield Coalition - WSJ.com". Online.wsj.com. Retrieved 2012-05-31.
  14. "Lesotho opposition takes early election lead". Al Jazeera English. 2011-10-04. Retrieved 2012-05-29.
  15. "Results announcement suspended : Lesotho Times". Lestimes.com. Archived from the original on 2013-01-27. Retrieved 2012-05-31.
  16. "Emotions run high on streets of Maseru : Lesotho Times". Lestimes.com. Archived from the original on 2012-09-05. Retrieved 2012-05-31.
  17. "Parties pressure IEC to release results : Lesotho Times". Lestimes.com. Archived from the original on 2013-01-29. Retrieved 2012-05-31.
  18. "Voter Turnout by District". Iec.org.ls. Archived from the original on 2012-06-01. Retrieved 2012-05-31.
  19. https://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5jcstP_pElJrdPh6209-w1UOGgx8w?docId=f5636dfc774d4fd39ad72e6531fba1ab
  20. "DC moves to court LCD : Lesotho Times". Lestimes.com. Archived from the original on 2013-01-27. Retrieved 2012-05-31.
  21. "BBC News - Lesotho election: Tom Thabane's ABC 'to form coalition'". Bbc.co.uk. Retrieved 2012-05-31.
  22. "Capital News » Lesotho opposition agrees to form coalition to oust PM". Capitalfm.co.ke. Retrieved 2012-05-31.
  23. "Lesotho election neck-and-neck, say observers ahead of result". BusinessGhana. Retrieved 2012-05-29.
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