2021 Hong Kong legislative election
The 2021 Hong Kong Legislative Council election is scheduled on 5 September 2021 for the 7th Legislative Council of Hong Kong (LegCo).[1] A total of 70 members, which 35 from directly elected geographical constituencies (GCs) and 35 from indirectly elected functional constituencies (FCs), will be returned.
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All 70 seats to the Legislative Council 36 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Registered | 4,466,944 (GC)[lower-alpha 1] 18.20% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Originally scheduled on 6 September 2020, Chief Executive Carrie Lam announced on 31 July 2020 the invocation of the Emergency Regulations Ordinance which gave her to the emergency powers to postpone the election, citing the recent resurgence of the COVID-19 cases and denying any political calculation behind it.[2] The delay was seen as a blow to the pro-democrats who aimed to achieve "35+" majority by riding to 2019 District Council landslide on a wave of massive protests against the government and concerns about the sweeping new national security law legislated by the Beijing government. It has been described as the latest decision in a series of measures to thwart their momentum and sideline the pro-democracy movement.[3]
Background
Postponement
Originally scheduled on 6 September 2020, the recent resurgence of the COVID-19 cases in July sparked the speculation of the possible delay of the election. Tam Yiu-chung, the sole representative from Hong Kong on National People's Congress Standing Committee (NPCSC), suggested that the government should not rule out postponing the upcoming election, denying any criticism that the pro-Beijing camp was afraid of losing the election.[4][5]
On 31 July the last day of the nomination period, Chief Executive Carrie Lam announced the invocation of the Emergency Regulations Ordinance which gave her to the emergency powers to postpone the election. She said the elections would involve "a large-scale gathering and an immense infection risk", adding that many registered voters in mainland China and oversea would be unable to take part in the elections while border quarantine measures were in place and denied any political calculation behind it.[2][6] On 11 August the NPCSC unanimously passed a decision to extend the incumbent 6th Legislative Council to extend its term for no less than one year.[7][8]
The delay was seen as a blow to the pro-democrats who aimed to achieve "35+" majority by riding to 2019 District Council landslide on a wave of massive anti-government protests and concerns about the sweeping new national security law imposed by Beijing on Hong Kong. It was also seen as the latest in a quick series of aggressive moves by the Beijing authorities to thwart their momentum and sideline the pro-democracy movement.[3] The pro-democrats accused Lam of using the pandemic as a pretext to stop people from voting and warned that doing so would "trigger a constitutional crisis in the city."[9]
The Hong Kong Bar Association also questioned legal and evidential basis for the decision as it effectively invited "the central government to override Article 69 of the Basic Law and Hong Kong legislation."[10] Various governments including the United States, the United Kingdom and the European Union slammed the government decision. Germany also announced it was suspending its extradition treaty with Hong Kong.[11]
Disqualifications and mass resignations
On 11 November 2020, the NPCSC ruled in a decision which bars Legislative Council members from supporting Hong Kong independence, refusing to recognise Beijing's sovereignty over Hong Kong, seeking help from "foreign countries or foreign forces to interfere in the affairs of the region" or committing "other acts that endanger national security". As a result, four sitting legislators, Alvin Yeung, Kwok Ka-ki, Dennis Kwok and Kenneth Leung whose candidacies were invalidated by the Returning Officers in the later-postponed September election, were ousted from the legislature with immediate effect. After the disqualification, the 15 remaining pro-democracy legislators announced their resignation in protest of the decision. Adding to the previous disqualifications and resignations, the total number of vacancies jumped to 27 with virtually no opposition in the Legislative Council as a result.[12]
Retiring incumbents
Constituency | Departing incumbents | Party | First elected | Reason | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kowloon West | Ann Chiang[13] | DAB | 2012 | Did not contest in the intra-party primary | |
Kowloon East | Wilson Or[14] | DAB | 2016 | Withdrew due to family reason | |
New Territories West | Leung Che-cheung[15] | DAB | 2012 | ||
New Territories East | Eunice Yung[16] | NPP/CF | 2016 | Did not contest in the intra-party primary | |
Labour | Poon Siu-ping[17] | FLU | 2012 | ||
Tourism | Yiu Si-wing[18] | Independent | 2012 | ||
Sports, Performing Arts, Culture and Publication | Ma Fung-kwok[19] | New Forum | 1996 | ||
Import and Export | Wong Ting-kwong[20] | DAB | 2004 | ||
District Council (First) | Lau Kwok-fan[21] | DAB | 2016 | Lost his North District Council seat in 2019 DC election | |
Opinion polling
By camps
Date(s) conducted |
Polling source | Sample size | Pro-democracy | Pro-Beijing | Undecided/Not Voting/Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19–22 October 2020 | HKPORI | 1,020 | 46% | 13% | 35% | 33% |
30 August 2020 | HKPORI | 1,007 | 57% | 25% | 19% | 32% |
15–18 June 2020 | HKPORI | 1,002 | 53% | 29% | 18% | 24% |
17–20 March 2020 | HKPORI | 1,001 | 58% | 22% | 20% | 36% |
4 September 2016 | 2016 election results | 55.0% | 40.2% | 4.9% | 14.9% |
Notes
- 2020 voter registration figure
References
- "Hong Kong postpones election for a year as coronavirus cases surge". CNBC. 31 July 2020.
- "LegCo General Election postponed for a year". Hong Kong Government. 31 July 2020.
- "Hong Kong Delays Election, Citing Coronavirus. The Opposition Isn't Buying It". New York Times. 31 July 2020.
- "Tam Yiu-chung suggests readying to put off polls". The Standard. 20 July 2020.
- "Politicians debate postponing Hong Kong election". Asia Times. 21 July 2020.
- "Decision to delay election not political". Hong Kong Government. 31 July 2020.
- "Beijing decides current Hong Kong lawmakers can remain on until postponed election". Hong Kong Free Press. 11 August 2020.
- Lindberg, Kari; Lung, Natalie (11 August 2020). "China Extends Term of Hong Kong Lawmakers by a Year, Reports Say". Bloomberg. Retrieved 11 August 2020.
- "Hong Kong's Elections Were Already Rigged. Now They Won't Happen". The Diplomat. 1 August 2020.
- "Hong Kong barristers have 'serious doubts' over legality of postponing Legislative Council elections". South China Morning Post. 3 August 2020.
- "Germany suspends extradition treaty with Hong Kong citing election delay – minister". Hong Kong Free Press. 31 July 2020.
- "Hong Kong's pro-democracy legislators to resign en masse". Aljazeera. Retrieved 11 November 2020.
- "立法會9月換屆 蔣麗芸不參加黨內初選 (19:58)". Ming Pao (in Chinese). 1 February 2020. Archived from the original on 11 February 2020. Retrieved 10 February 2020.
- "【立法會選舉】柯創盛家庭為由宣佈棄選九東 交代決定時多次哽咽". 經濟日報. 1 June 2020.
- "告別議會|梁志祥專訪:問責制不改,做建制派仍是「有辱無榮」". Hong Kong 01. 9 July 2020. Retrieved 11 July 2020.
- "【政情】容海恩批初選內定拒抬轎 黨友讚退選「難得」聰明". now TV. 1 March 2020. Archived from the original on 30 March 2020. Retrieved 30 March 2020.
- "【立會選舉】勞工界潘兆平棄連任 被稱「隱形人」:只向工友交代". 香港01. 8 January 2020. Archived from the original on 16 February 2020. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
- "【立法會選舉●旅遊界】中旅社姚思榮撐姚柏良接棒:我哋同一間公司㗎嘛!". Apple Daily. 16 July 2020. Retrieved 17 July 2020.
- "【立會選戰】霍啟剛時隔八年接父棒戰「體演文出」 嘉賓盼以留住郭晶晶魄力為業界爭取成續". 香港獨立媒體. 2 July 2020.
- "民建聯「登六」議員被點名交棒". 信報. 2 July 2018. Archived from the original on 20 July 2018. Retrieved 10 January 2019.
- "公布立會參選名單 民建聯12路大軍戰立會". 香港G報. 1 July 2020.
External links
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