2023 Madeiran regional election

A regional election will be held in Madeira no later than October 2023, to determine the composition of the Legislative Assembly of the Autonomous Region of Madeira. The election will replace all 47 members of the Madeira Assembly, and the new members will then elect the President of the Autonomous Region.

Next Madeiran regional elections
No later than October 2023
47 seats to the Legislative Assembly of Madeira
24 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader Miguel Albuquerque Paulo Cafôfo Rui Barreto
Party PSD PS CDS–PP
Leader since 10 January 2015 25 July 2020 22 July 2018
Last election 21 seats, 39.4% 19 seats, 35.8% 3 seats, 5.8%
Current seats 21 19 3
 
Leader Élvio Sousa Edgar Silva
Party JPP CDU
Leader since 27 January 2015 1996
Last election 3 seats, 5.5% 1 seats, 1.8%
Current seats 3 1
Incumbent President

Miguel Albuquerque
PSD

The current president, Miguel Albuquerque from the Social Democratic Party, is currently leading a coalition government between the Social Democrats and the CDS – People's Party, and will defend the dominance of the Social Democratic Party in the islands since 1976.

Electoral system

The current 47 members of the Madeiran regional parliament are elected in a single constituency by proportional representation under the D'Hondt method, coinciding with the territory of the Region.[1]

Parties

Current composition

The table below lists parties represented in the Legislative Assembly of Madeira before the election.

Name Ideology Leader 2019 result
Votes (%) Seats
PSD Social Democratic Party
Partido Social Democrata		 Liberal conservatism Miguel Albuquerque 39.4%
21 / 47
PS Socialist Party
Partido Socialista		 Social democracy Paulo Cafôfo[2] 35.8%
19 / 47
CDS-PP CDS – People's Party
Centro Democrático Social – Partido Popular		 Conservatism Rui Barreto 5.8%
3 / 47
JPP Together for the People
Juntos pelo Povo		 Centrism Élvio Sousa 5.5%
3 / 47
PCP Portuguese Communist Party
Partido Comunista Português		 Communism Edgar Silva 1.8%
[lower-alpha 1]
1 / 47

Opinion polls

Graphical summary

Polling
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout JPP CDU O Lead
Aximage 5–8 Jun 2020 415 ? 42.2 27.5 2.3 N/A 2.1 2.1 23.8 14.7
2019 Legislative Election 6 Oct 2019 N/A 50.3 37.2 33.4 6.1 5.5 2.1 5.2 10.6 3.8
2019 Regional Election 22 Sep 2019 N/A 55.5 39.4
21		 35.8
19		 5.8
3		 5.5
3		 1.8
1		 1.7
0		 10.0
0		 3.6

See also

Notes
  1. The Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) and the Ecologist Party "The Greens" (PEV) contested the 2019 election jointly as the Unitary Democratic Coalition, and won a combined 1.8% of the vote and elected 1 MP to parliament.

References
  1. Comissão Nacional de Eleições - Eleição para a Assembleia Legislativa da Região Autónoma da Madeira 2007
  2. Paulo Cafôfo eleito presidente do PS-M com 1.431 votosDiário Notícias da Madeira, 25 July 2020. Retrieved 25 July 2020.
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