Agalawatta Polling Division

The Agalawatta Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kalutara Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Agalawatta
Polling Division
Coordinates: 6.471177°N 80.209978°E / 6.471177; 80.209978
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKalutara Electoral District
Area
 • Total612.57 km2 (236.51 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total142,098
 • Density232/km2 (600/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-03H

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Agalawatta has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Agalawatta is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Agalawatta Kalutara Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 1.61% SLPP 8.27%
2015 UPFA UPFA 3.62% NDF 8.50%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.35% UPFA 7.25%
2005 UPFA UPFA 1.81% UPFA 3.35%
1999 PA PA 2.89% PA 1.22%
1994 PA PA 2.61% PA 3.53%
1988 SLFP SLFP 1.23% UNP 2.80%
1982 UNP UNP 1.40% UNP 2.33%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 6/8 2.19% 8/8 4.66%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Agalawatta[4] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 52,400 61.36% 482,920 59.49% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 28,744 33.66% 284,213 35.01% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,319 2.72% 27,681 3.41% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,928 2.26% 16,949 2.09% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 85,391 99.43% 811,763 99.16% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 492 0.57% 6,847 0.84% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 85,883 86.33% 818,610 85.71% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 99,484 955,080 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Agalawatta[5] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 44,750 56.17% 395,890 52.65% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 33,995 42.67% 349,404 46.46% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 929 1.17% 6,690 0.89% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 79,674 98.76% 751,984 98.90% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,002 1.24% 8,381 1.10% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 80,676 80.64% 760,365 82.08% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 100,040 926,346 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Agalawatta[6] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 47,317 65.24% 412,562 63.06% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 23,717 32.70% 231,807 35.43% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,489 2.05% 9,880 1.51% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 72,523 99.33% 654,249 99.31% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 486 0.67% 4,541 0.69% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 73,009 77.69% 658,790 79.05% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 93,972 833,360 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Agalawatta[7] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 37,518 53.54% 341,693 55.48% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 31,449 44.88% 266,043 43.20% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,114 1.59% 8,124 1.32% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 70,081 99.07% 615,860 98.95% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 656 0.93% 6,517 1.05% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 70,737 78.62% 622,377 79.67% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 89,979 781,175 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Agalawatta[8] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 30,128 49.54% 281,217 52.88% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 26,506 43.59% 217,423 40.88% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 3,014 4.96% 23,770 4.47% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,165 1.92% 9,399 1.77% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 60,813 98.02% 531,809 97.83% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,226 1.98% 11,796 2.17% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 62,039 75.52% 543,605 78.23% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 82,145 694,860 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Agalawatta[9] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 32,467 58.77% 295,686 61.47% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 21,903 39.65% 178,466 37.10% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 876 1.59% 6,867 1.43% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 55,246 98.41% 481,019 98.50% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 893 1.59% 7,309 1.50% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 56,139 71.48% 488,328 73.97% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 78,540 660,191 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Agalawatta[10] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 15,255 48.71% 179,761 49.57% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 15,155 48.40% 169,510 46.74% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 905 2.89% 13,375 3.69% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 31,315 98.36% 362,646 98.23% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 521 1.64% 6,537 1.77% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 31,836 44.85% 369,183 64.20% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 70,991 575,008 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Agalawatta[11] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 25,681 50.35% 211,592 50.15% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 21,041 41.25% 185,874 44.06% 2,546,348 39.05%
LSSP 2,079 4.08% 8,613 2.04% 58,531 0.90%
JVP 2,043 4.01% 14,499 3.44% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 159 0.31% 1,314 0.31% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 51,003 98.18% 421,892 98.76% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 944 1.82% 5,290 1.24% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 51,947 82.60% 427,182 83.97% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 62,890 508,744 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Agalawatta has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Agalawatta is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Agalawatta Kalutara Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 2.28% UNP 5.23%
2010 UPFA UPFA 3.36% UPFA 5.35%
2004 UPFA UPFA 3.14% UPFA 5.31%
2001 UNP UNP 1.05% UNP 2.01%
2000 PA PA 2.41% PA 2.06%
1994 PA PA 1.57% PA 2.41%
1989 UNP UNP 4.14% UNP 5.56%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 2.56% 7/7 3.99%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Agalawatta[14] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 38,125 51.88% 338,801 48.58% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 31,731 43.18% 310,234 44.48% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 2,860 3.89% 38,475 5.52% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 776 1.06% 9,951 1.43% 85,579 0.77%
Valid Votes 73,492 96.42% 697,461 97.00% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,691 3.53% 21,366 2.97% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 76,219 76.19% 719,001 80.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 100,040 897,349 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Agalawatta[15] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 35,541 68.25% 313,836 63.74% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 14,402 27.66% 139,596 28.35% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,909 3.67% 36,722 7.46% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 223 0.43% 2,246 0.46% 34,923 0.44%
Valid Votes 52,075 88.27% 492,400 90.41% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 6,851 11.61% 51,751 9.50% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 58,994 62.78% 544,606 65.21% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 93,972 835,186 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Agalawatta[16] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 33,939 53.66% 291,208 51.72% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 26,456 41.83% 212,721 37.78% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 2,538 4.01% 56,615 10.06% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 313 0.49% 2,475 0.44% 49,030 0.53%
Valid Votes 63,246 93.13% 563,019 94.82% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 4,665 6.87% 30,741 5.18% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 67,911 77.05% 593,760 79.58% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 88,142 746,138 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Agalawatta[17] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 29,734 47.39% 254,339 45.94% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 25,147 40.08% 226,468 40.91% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 6,599 10.52% 60,451 10.92% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,266 2.02% 12,361 2.23% 137,091 1.53%
Valid Votes 62,746 92.67% 553,619 94.44% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 4,963 7.33% 32,617 5.56% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 67,709 78.64% 586,236 81.68% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 86,105 717,764 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Agalawatta[18] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 28,531 45.85% 255,175 46.86% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 27,665 44.45% 217,215 39.89% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 4,128 6.63% 38,373 7.05% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,073 1.72% 18,136 3.33% 321,730 3.74%
SU 835 1.34% 15,619 2.87% 127,859 1.49%
Valid Votes 62,232 N/A 544,518 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Agalawatta[19] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 31,009 52.41% 271,754 53.77% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 27,007 45.65% 221,115 43.75% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 693 1.17% 6,238 1.23% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 456 0.77% 6,253 1.24% 69,351 0.87%
Valid Votes 59,165 93.94% 505,360 95.21% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 3,818 6.06% 25,397 4.79% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 62,983 80.19% 530,757 80.20% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 78,540 661,793 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Agalawatta[20] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 16,311 56.59% 160,069 49.84% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 11,397 39.54% 131,510 40.94% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 679 2.36% 12,342 3.84% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 434 1.51% 17,272 5.38% 360,219 6.44%
Valid Votes 28,821 91.89% 321,193 94.10% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,545 8.11% 20,139 5.90% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 31,366 44.85% 341,332 59.86% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 69,937 570,193 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Agalawatta Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (94.7%) . In comparison, the Kalutara Electoral District (which contains the Agalawatta Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (86.8%) [1]

Ethnicity in Agalawatta[1]

  Sinhalese (94.7%)
  Indian Tamil (3.0%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (1.8%)
  Other (0.5%)

Religion

The Agalawatta Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (94.4%) . In comparison, the Kalutara Electoral District (which contains the Agalawatta Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (83.4%) [1]

Religion in Agalawatta[1]

  Buddhist (94.4%)
  Hindu (4.2%)
  Other (1.4%)

References
  1. "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Agalawatta and the Kalutara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Agalawatta and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Agalawatta and the Kalutara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Agalawatta and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.


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