Kaduwela Polling Division

The Kaduwela Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Colombo Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Kaduwela
Polling Division
Coordinates: 6.902157°N 79.978949°E / 6.902157; 79.978949
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictColombo Electoral District
Area
 • Total93.17 km2 (35.97 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total252,041
 • Density2,705/km2 (7,010/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-01J

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kaduwela has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Kaduwela is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Kaduwela Colombo Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 11.96% SLPP 12.95%
2015 UPFA NDF 6.95% NDF 2.55%
2010 UPFA UPFA 9.07% UPFA 3.84%
2005 UPFA UNP 9.75% UPFA 7.24%
1999 PA PA 6.64% PA 5.08%
1994 PA PA 2.72% PA 5.16%
1988 SLFP UNP 8.04% UNP 9.26%
1982 UNP UNP 8.13% UNP 4.30%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 7.91% 8/8 6.30%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Kaduwela[4] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 98,807 65.35% 727,713 53.19% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 41,747 27.61% 559,921 40.92% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 7,605 5.03% 53,803 3.93% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 3,029 2.00% 26,740 1.95% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 151,188 99.02% 1,368,177 98.89% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 1,498 0.98% 15,333 1.11% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 152,686 83.08% 1,383,510 82.82% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 183,787 1,670,403 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Kaduwela[5] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 70,970 50.46% 562,614 43.40% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 68,886 48.98% 725,073 55.93% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 786 0.56% 8,673 0.67% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 140,642 98.92% 1,296,360 98.83% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,534 1.08% 15,334 1.17% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 142,176 82.01% 1,311,694 81.34% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 173,355 1,612,660 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Kaduwela[6] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 76,103 62.24% 614,740 52.93% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 45,082 36.87% 533,022 45.90% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,091 0.89% 13,620 1.17% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 122,276 99.31% 1,161,382 99.03% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 850 0.69% 11,394 0.97% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 123,126 77.57% 1,172,776 76.09% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 158,736 1,541,242 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Kaduwela[7] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 65,829 57.84% 534,431 47.96% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 47,025 41.32% 569,627 51.12% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 951 0.84% 10,192 0.91% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 113,805 98.95% 1,114,250 98.86% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 1,209 1.05% 12,879 1.14% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 115,014 77.48% 1,127,129 75.85% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 148,435 1,486,021 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Kaduwela[8] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 50,535 55.24% 474,310 49.18% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 32,951 36.02% 425,185 44.08% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 6,170 6.74% 44,009 4.56% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 918 1.00% 12,821 1.33% 140,825 1.67%
SMBP 916 1.00% 8,209 0.85% 35,854 0.43%
Valid Votes 91,490 97.31% 964,534 97.06% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 2,530 2.69% 29,197 2.94% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 94,020 74.55% 993,731 73.39% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 126,119 1,354,025 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Kaduwela[9] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 51,876 67.44% 557,708 64.82% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 23,475 30.52% 288,741 33.56% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,566 2.04% 13,937 1.62% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 76,917 98.16% 860,386 98.17% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,445 1.84% 16,060 1.83% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 78,362 69.24% 876,446 69.59% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 113,173 1,259,484 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Kaduwela[10] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 30,600 55.06% 339,958 46.23% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 22,872 41.15% 361,337 49.14% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 2,108 3.79% 34,020 4.63% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 55,580 98.57% 735,315 98.49% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 806 1.43% 11,295 1.51% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 56,386 64.30% 746,610 67.53% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 87,693 1,105,583 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Kaduwela[11] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 27,963 48.80% 436,290 57.86% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 25,275 44.11% 274,476 36.40% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 3,338 5.83% 28,580 3.79% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 721 1.26% 14,685 1.95% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 57,297 98.76% 754,031 98.95% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 719 1.24% 7,990 1.05% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 58,016 79.47% 762,021 76.88% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 73,006 991,194 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kaduwela has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Kaduwela is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Kaduwela Colombo Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UNP 8.78% UNP 3.64%
2010 UPFA UPFA 8.73% UPFA 2.49%
2004 UPFA UNP 8.93% UPFA 5.36%
2001 UNP UNP 6.99% UNP 2.72%
2000 PA UNP 5.55% PA 1.70%
1994 PA PA 4.76% PA 6.76%
1989 UNP UNP 6.24% UNP 4.76%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 5/7 7.14% 7/7 3.92%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Kaduwela[14] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 62,136 47.29% 474,063 39.25% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 56,154 42.74% 640,743 53.04% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 11,971 9.11% 81,391 6.74% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,128 0.86% 11,752 0.97% 93,045 0.84%
Valid Votes 131,389 97.30% 1,207,949 96.46% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 3,536 2.62% 43,372 3.46% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 135,029 77.89% 1,252,271 78.93% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 173,355 1,586,598 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Kaduwela[15] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 56,539 59.39% 480,896 51.23% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 23,546 24.73% 339,750 36.19% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 14,460 15.19% 110,683 11.79% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 652 0.68% 7,292 0.78% 48,240 0.60%
Valid Votes 95,197 95.72% 938,723 94.85% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 4,193 4.22% 50,354 5.09% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 99,450 62.65% 989,729 64.17% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 158,736 1,542,457 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Kaduwela[16] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 53,065 50.50% 414,688 39.20% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 32,772 31.19% 441,841 41.77% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 18,485 17.59% 190,618 18.02% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 749 0.71% 10,713 1.01% 90,868 0.98%
Valid Votes 105,071 96.94% 1,057,860 96.47% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,316 3.06% 38,605 3.52% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 108,393 75.46% 1,096,571 74.71% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 143,644 1,467,751 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Kaduwela[17] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 43,330 42.60% 546,417 51.62% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 39,238 38.58% 353,401 33.39% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 16,602 16.32% 117,404 11.09% 815,353 9.10%
SU 1,541 1.52% 16,970 1.60% 50,665 0.57%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,001 0.98% 24,289 2.29% 510,616 5.70%
Valid Votes 101,712 96.93% 1,058,481 96.28% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,218 3.07% 40,901 3.72% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 104,930 77.41% 1,099,382 76.31% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 135,550 1,440,682 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Kaduwela[18] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 43,474 45.15% 394,146 38.86% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 35,792 37.17% 440,684 43.45% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 11,268 11.70% 78,133 7.70% 518,725 6.03%
SU 4,701 4.88% 49,671 4.90% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,047 1.09% 51,586 5.09% 375,083 4.36%
Valid Votes 96,282 N/A 1,014,220 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Kaduwela[19] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 46,899 55.97% 469,642 50.94% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 30,668 36.60% 385,100 41.77% 3,498,370 44.04%
MEP 4,327 5.16% 42,734 4.64% 68,538 0.86%
SLPF 1,541 1.84% 11,454 1.24% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 357 0.43% 13,003 1.41% 51,995 0.65%
Valid Votes 83,792 96.53% 921,933 96.18% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 3,010 3.47% 36,635 3.82% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 86,802 76.70% 958,568 76.04% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 113,173 1,260,686 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Kaduwela[20] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 25,849 45.47% 374,530 51.67% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 21,306 37.48% 205,053 28.29% 1,785,369 31.90%
MEP 7,241 12.74% 76,966 10.62% 90,480 1.62%
USA 1,850 3.25% 31,873 4.40% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 602 1.06% 36,420 5.02% 269,739 4.82%
Valid Votes 56,848 95.83% 724,842 95.36% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,473 4.17% 35,271 4.64% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 59,321 68.95% 760,113 69.87% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 86,029 1,087,891 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Kaduwela Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (95.6%) . In comparison, the Colombo Electoral District (which contains the Kaduwela Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (76.5%), a significant Moor population (10.7%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (10.1%) [1]

Ethnicity in Kaduwela[1]

  Sinhalese (95.6%)
  Other (2.5%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (1.9%)

Religion

The Kaduwela Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (90.4%) . In comparison, the Colombo Electoral District (which contains the Kaduwela Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (70.2%) and a significant Muslim population (11.8%) [1]

Religion in Kaduwela[1]

  Buddhist (90.4%)
  Roman Catholic (5.0%)
  Other Christian (1.5%)
  Muslim (1.5%)
  Hindu (1.4%)
  Other (0.2%)

References
  1. "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kaduwela and the Colombo Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kaduwela and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kaduwela and the Colombo Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kaduwela and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.


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