Kesbewa Polling Division

The Kesbewa Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Colombo Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Kesbewa
Polling Division
Coordinates: 6.814773°N 79.926797°E / 6.814773; 79.926797
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictColombo Electoral District
Area
 • Total66.25 km2 (25.58 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total245,232
 • Density3,702/km2 (9,590/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-01N

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kesbewa has matched the final country result 5 out of 8 times. Hence, Kesbewa is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Kesbewa Colombo Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 14.04% SLPP 15.02%
2015 UPFA NDF 10.99% NDF 6.57%
2010 UPFA UPFA 11.90% UPFA 6.65%
2005 UPFA UNP 12.69% UPFA 10.17%
1999 PA PA 8.03% PA 6.50%
1994 PA PA 5.07% PA 7.48%
1988 SLFP UNP 8.72% UNP 9.93%
1982 SLFP UNP 10.98% UNP 7.13%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/8 7/8 10.30% 8/8 8.68%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Kesbewa[4] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 99,062 67.68% 727,713 53.19% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 37,430 25.57% 559,921 40.92% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 7,343 5.02% 53,803 3.93% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,525 1.73% 26,740 1.95% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 146,360 99.02% 1,368,177 98.89% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 1,444 0.98% 15,333 1.11% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 147,804 84.54% 1,383,510 82.82% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 174,829 1,670,403 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Kesbewa[5] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 74,189 54.56% 562,614 43.40% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 61,116 44.94% 725,073 55.93% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 678 0.50% 8,673 0.67% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 135,983 98.99% 1,296,360 98.83% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,393 1.01% 15,334 1.17% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 137,376 83.37% 1,311,694 81.34% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 164,774 1,612,660 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Kesbewa[6] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 77,474 65.10% 614,740 52.93% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 40,474 34.01% 533,022 45.90% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,058 0.89% 13,620 1.17% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 119,006 99.33% 1,161,382 99.03% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 803 0.67% 11,394 0.97% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 119,809 80.57% 1,172,776 76.09% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 148,696 1,541,242 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Kesbewa[7] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 66,660 60.82% 534,431 47.96% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 42,042 38.36% 569,627 51.12% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 900 0.82% 10,192 0.91% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 109,602 99.00% 1,114,250 98.86% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 1,110 1.00% 12,879 1.14% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 110,712 79.03% 1,127,129 75.85% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 140,094 1,486,021 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Kesbewa[8] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 51,240 57.17% 474,310 49.18% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 31,302 34.93% 425,185 44.08% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 5,236 5.84% 44,009 4.56% 343,927 4.08%
SMBP 940 1.05% 8,209 0.85% 35,854 0.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 905 1.01% 12,821 1.33% 140,825 1.67%
Valid Votes 89,623 96.80% 964,534 97.06% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 2,967 3.20% 29,197 2.94% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 92,590 76.00% 993,731 73.39% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 121,836 1,354,025 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Kesbewa[9] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 54,327 70.03% 557,708 64.82% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 22,130 28.53% 288,741 33.56% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,121 1.44% 13,937 1.62% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 77,578 98.53% 860,386 98.17% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,159 1.47% 16,060 1.83% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 78,737 70.97% 876,446 69.59% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 110,948 1,259,484 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Kesbewa[10] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 35,184 55.88% 339,958 46.23% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 25,549 40.58% 361,337 49.14% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 2,228 3.54% 34,020 4.63% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 62,961 98.62% 735,315 98.49% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 879 1.38% 11,295 1.51% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 63,840 71.51% 746,610 67.53% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 89,277 1,105,583 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Kesbewa[11] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 26,553 47.92% 274,476 36.40% 2,546,348 39.05%
UNP 25,576 46.16% 436,290 57.86% 3,450,815 52.93%
JVP 2,248 4.06% 28,580 3.79% 273,428 4.19%
LSSP 851 1.54% 9,655 1.28% 58,531 0.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 179 0.32% 5,030 0.67% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 55,407 99.05% 754,031 98.95% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 530 0.95% 7,990 1.05% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 55,937 78.78% 762,021 76.88% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 71,002 991,194 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kesbewa has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Kesbewa is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Kesbewa Colombo Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UNP 12.30% UNP 7.02%
2010 UPFA UPFA 10.91% UPFA 3.71%
2004 UPFA UNP 10.88% UPFA 6.46%
2001 UNP UNP 6.84% UNP 2.54%
2000 PA UNP 5.35% PA 2.08%
1994 PA PA 6.90% PA 8.80%
1989 UNP UNP 7.81% UNP 6.32%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 5/7 8.71% 7/7 5.28%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Kesbewa[14] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 65,243 51.30% 474,063 39.25% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 49,637 39.03% 640,743 53.04% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 11,193 8.80% 81,391 6.74% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,110 0.87% 11,752 0.97% 93,045 0.84%
Valid Votes 127,183 97.32% 1,207,949 96.46% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 3,452 2.64% 43,372 3.46% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 130,692 79.32% 1,252,271 78.93% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 164,774 1,586,598 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Kesbewa[15] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 60,139 62.57% 480,896 51.23% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 21,953 22.84% 339,750 36.19% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 13,532 14.08% 110,683 11.79% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 493 0.51% 7,292 0.78% 48,240 0.60%
Valid Votes 96,117 95.79% 938,723 94.85% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 4,160 4.15% 50,354 5.09% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 100,339 67.48% 989,729 64.17% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 148,696 1,542,457 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Kesbewa[16] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 45,939 44.63% 414,688 39.20% 4,223,126 45.70%
JHU 29,850 29.00% 190,618 18.02% 552,723 5.98%
UNP 26,302 25.55% 441,841 41.77% 3,486,792 37.73%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 846 0.82% 10,713 1.01% 90,868 0.98%
Valid Votes 102,937 97.32% 1,057,860 96.47% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,831 2.68% 38,605 3.52% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 105,773 77.05% 1,096,571 74.71% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 137,285 1,467,751 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Kesbewa[17] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 42,260 42.54% 546,417 51.62% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 37,815 38.07% 353,401 33.39% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 16,045 16.15% 117,404 11.09% 815,353 9.10%
SU 2,170 2.18% 16,970 1.60% 50,665 0.57%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,049 1.06% 24,289 2.29% 510,616 5.70%
Valid Votes 99,339 96.73% 1,058,481 96.28% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,356 3.27% 40,901 3.72% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 102,695 78.05% 1,099,382 76.31% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 131,571 1,440,682 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Kesbewa[18] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 41,977 44.40% 394,146 38.86% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 34,978 37.00% 440,684 43.45% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 10,219 10.81% 78,133 7.70% 518,725 6.03%
SU 6,211 6.57% 49,671 4.90% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,148 1.21% 51,586 5.09% 375,083 4.36%
Valid Votes 94,533 N/A 1,014,220 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Kesbewa[19] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 49,342 59.16% 469,642 50.94% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 29,585 35.47% 385,100 41.77% 3,498,370 44.04%
MEP 2,709 3.25% 42,734 4.64% 68,538 0.86%
SLPF 1,418 1.70% 11,454 1.24% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 349 0.42% 13,003 1.41% 51,995 0.65%
Valid Votes 83,403 96.60% 921,933 96.18% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,932 3.40% 36,635 3.82% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 86,335 77.82% 958,568 76.04% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 110,948 1,260,686 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Kesbewa[20] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 27,415 45.83% 374,530 51.67% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 25,830 43.18% 205,053 28.29% 1,785,369 31.90%
MEP 4,351 7.27% 76,966 10.62% 90,480 1.62%
USA 1,890 3.16% 31,873 4.40% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 339 0.57% 36,420 5.02% 269,739 4.82%
Valid Votes 59,825 95.67% 724,842 95.36% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,710 4.33% 35,271 4.64% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 62,535 71.38% 760,113 69.87% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 87,609 1,087,891 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Kesbewa Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (97.3%) . In comparison, the Colombo Electoral District (which contains the Kesbewa Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (76.5%), a significant Moor population (10.7%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (10.1%) [1]

Ethnicity in Kesbewa[1]

  Sinhalese (97.3%)
  Other (1.6%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (1.1%)

Religion

The Kesbewa Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (93.0%) . In comparison, the Colombo Electoral District (which contains the Kesbewa Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (70.2%) and a significant Muslim population (11.8%) [1]

Religion in Kesbewa[1]

  Buddhist (93.0%)
  Roman Catholic (3.4%)
  Other (1.8%)
  Other Christian (1.7%)

References
  1. "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kesbewa and the Colombo Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kesbewa and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kesbewa and the Colombo Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kesbewa and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.


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