Opinion polling for the 2016 Philippine presidential election

Opinion polling, locally known as surveys, in the 2016 Philippine presidential and vice presidential elections is conducted by Social Weather Stations (SWS), Pulse Asia, and other pollsters. The last electoral votes will be cast on Monday, May 9, 2016.

As the positions of president and vice president are elected separately, pollsters usually have separate surveys for each position.

The figure representing the polling numbers for the candidate that topped each poll is emboldened unless two or more candidates tied, when they are all emboldened. Those figures which are within the margin of error are italicized.

Calendar
  • Filing of candidacies: October 12 to 16, 2015
  • Campaign period for candidates for president, vice president, senators and party-list representatives: February 9 to May 7, 2016
  • Campaign period for local positions and district representatives: March 26 to May 7, 2016
  • Casting of ballots for local absentee voters: April 27 to 29, 2016
  • Election day: May 9, 2016

Graphical summaries

For president

For vice president

Polling for president

Single-choice surveys
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size MoE Binay
UNA		 Poe
Ind		 Duterte
PDP-Laban		 Roxas
Lib		 Santiago
PRP		 Estrada
PMP		 Escudero
Ind		 Cayetano
Ind		 Marcos
Ind		 Gordon
Bagumbayan		 Drilon
Lib		 Lacson
Ind		 Legarda
NPC		 Revilla
Lakas		 Teodoro
Ind		 Others Refused Don't know None
Pulse Asia[1] Mar 19–26, 2014 1,200 ±3% 40 15 – 6 10 – 9 4 5 – – 2 – 3 –
5%
K. Aquino (Ind): 4%
Others: 1%
 0.03 0.2 0.4
Pulse Asia[2] Jun 24–Jul 6, 2014 1,200 ±3% 41 12 – 7 7 9 7 5 5 1 1 – – 2 – Others: 2% 1 0.5 1
Pulse Asia[3] Sep 8–15, 2014 1,200 ±3% 31 10 – 13 11 10 5 1 4 2 0.4 1 – 1 –
4%
Castro (Ind): 3%
Robredo (Lib): 1%
 –
Pulse Asia[4] Nov 14–20, 2014 1,200 ±3% 26 18 – 6 12 10 7 3 4 1 2 3 – 1 1
3.4%
Belmonte (Lib): 0.4%
Others: 3%
 0.3 0.5 0.2
Pulse Asia[5] Mar 1–7, 2015 1,200 ±3% 29 14 12 4 9 12 4 3 6 1 – 1 – – –
3%
Trillanes (Ind): 2%
Others: 1%
 1 0.1 2
Laylo [6] May 8–18, 2015 1,500 ±2.6% 28 24 10 8 8 10 4 3 3 – – 1 – – – –
IBON [7][8] May 13–23, 2015 1,496 ±3% 13.8 13.7 7.6 3.8 – – – – – – – – – – –
15.0%
B. Aquino (Lib) 4.2%
Others: 10.8%
 – 46.1
Pulse Asia[9] May 30–Jun 5, 2015 1,200 ±3% 22 30 15 10 6 10 – 2 – – – 2 – – – Others: 1% 1 0.4 1
RMN[10] Aug 11–18, 2015 4,718 ±2.5% 26.16 24.84 12.42 18.14 4.33 6 – 1.9 0.06 – – 1.83 – – – –
Pulse Asia[11] Aug 27–Sep 3, 2015 1,200 ±3% 21 27 15 18 4 5 – 1 5 – – 1 – – – –
SWS[12] Sep 2–5, 2015 1,200 ±3% 24 26 11 20 12 3 4 0.8 4 – – 8 0.8 – 8
3%
Villar (NP): 1%
Others/Refused/Don't know/None:2%
Pulse Asia[13] Sep 8–15, 2015 2,400 ±2% 19 26 16 20 3 5 – 1 – – – 2 6 – –
0.6%
Bello (Ind): 0.1%
Others: 0.5%
 3

Three-choice surveys

These surveys asked participants to rank up to three candidates.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size MoE Binay
UNA		 Poe
Ind		 Roxas
Lib		 Duterte
PDP-Laban		 Santiago
PRP		 Estrada
PMP		 Escudero
Ind		 Cayetano
Ind		 Marcos
Ind		 Lacson
Ind		 Trillanes
Ind		 Revilla
Lakas		 Villar
PN		 Pacquiao
UNA		 Drilon
Lib		 Legarda
NPC		 Pangilinan
Lib		 Others Don't know/refused None
SWS[14] Nov 27–Dec 1, 2014 1,800 ±2% 37 21 19 5 10 9 9 3 3 2 5 5 2 1 1 1 1 5 15 8
SWS[15] Mar 20–23, 2015 1,200 ±3% 36 31 15 15 11 11 8 4 7 1 3 1 3 1 1 1 – – 3 12
SWS[16] Jun 5–8, 2015 1,200 ±3% 34 42 21 20 4 7 4 2 3 7 1 – 1 – – 1 – 1 9 5
SWS[17] Sep 2–5, 2015 1,200 ±3% 35 47 39 16 2 3 6 1 5 1 – – 1 – – – – – 5 2

From the end of candidacy filing to the start of the campaign period
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size MoE Binay
UNA		 Poe
Ind		 Duterte
PDP-Laban		 Roxas
Lib		 Santiago
PRP		 David
AK		 Sabio
Ind		 Señeres
PMM		 Syjuko
Ind		 Others Refused Don't know None
RMN[18] Oct 25-Nov 5, 2015 3,604 ±2.5% 22.95 37.15 – 19.64 11.74 – – – – – – – 8.52
MBC– DZRH[19] Nov 27, 2015 7,436 ±1.14% 18.63 25.14 30.25 14.92 6.22 0.21 0.08 0.31 0.10 2.23 – – 1.92
Pulse Asia[20] Dec 4–11, 2015 1,500 ±2.6% 33 21 23 21 4 – 0.1 0 0 – 0.3 1 1
Standard[21] Dec 4–12, 2015 1,800 ±2% 23 28 19 22 3 – – – – 0.1 – – 4
SWS[22] Dec 12–14, 2015 1,200 ±3% 26 26 20 22 4 0.1 0.04 0 0 0.1 1
RMN[23] Jan 5-14, 2016 3,578 ±2.5% 21.49 28.59 27.86 15.12 5.14 – – – – – – – 1.79
SWS[24] Jan 8–10, 2016 1,800 ±2% 31 24 20 21 3 – 0 0.1 – 0 2
First round of oral arguments of Grace Poe's petition to the Supreme Court to overturn the disqualification against her candidacy (Jan 19, 2016).
Pulse Asia[25] Jan 24–28, 2016 1,200 ±3% 23 30 20 20 4 – – – – 0.1 0.4 1 1
Standard[26] Jan 27-Feb 4, 2016 3,000 ±1.8% 22 29 20 22 2 – – – – – – – 4
SWS[27] Feb 5-7, 2016 1,200 ±3% 29 24 24 18 4 – – – – – – – 2
Presidential candidate Roy Señeres dies of cardiac arrest (Feb 8, 2016).

From the start of the campaign period to Election Day
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size MoE Binay
UNA		 Poe
Ind		 Duterte
PDP-Laban		 Roxas
Lib		 Santiago
PRP		 Refused Don't know Undecided / None
Start of the campaign period (February 9th).
MBC–

DZRH [28][29]

 Feb 13, 2016 7,572 ±1.13% 23.2 27 26.4 19 3.9 – – 2.3
Pulse Asia [30] Feb 15-20, 2016 1,800 ±2% 25 26 21 21 3 – – 4
First presidential debate in Cagayan de Oro (February 21th).
Pulse Asia[31] Feb 16-27, 2016 5,200 ±1.4% 24 26 22 19 3 2 2 2
Pulse Asia[32] Feb 23-27, 2016 2,600 ±1.9% 22 25 23 20 3 – – –
Standard [33] Feb 24-Mar 1, 2016 3,000 ±1.8% 23 26 24 22 2 – – 4
Pulse Asia [34] Mar 1-6, 2016 2,600 ±1.9% 21 28 24 20 3 – – 6
SWS [35] Mar 4-7, 2016 1,800 ±2% 24 27 21 22 4 – – 1
The Supreme Court affirms Grace Poe's natural-born status and declares she is qualified to run (March 8th).
Pulse Asia [36] Mar 8-13, 2016 4,000 ±1.5% 22 26 25 20 3 – – 5
Pulse Asia [37] Mar 15-20, 2016 4,000 ±1.5% 23 28 24 19 2 – – 4
Second presidential debate in Cebu City (March 12th).
Standard [38] Mar 26–Apr 1, 2016 3,000 ±1.8% 18 27 30 21 2 – – 2
SWS[39] Mar 30–Apr 2, 2016 1,500 ±3% 20 23 27 18 3 – – –
MBC–

DZRH [40]

 Apr 2, 2016 7,490 ±1.13% 15.3 28.2 36 15.2 3.5 – – 1.8
Pulse Asia [41] Mar 29–Apr 3, 2016 4,000 ±1.5% 20 25 30 19 2 – – 4
The Center [42] Apr 1–7, 2016 1,800 ±2.5% 22 25 29 19 2 – – 2.3
Pulse Asia [43] Apr 5–10, 2016 4,000 ±1.5% 20 25 32 18 1 1 2 1
The Supreme Court declares their vote on Grace Poe's natural-born status and 10-year residency is final and executory, and she is eligible to the presidency (April 9th).
The Center [44] Apr 11–16, 2016 1,800 ±2.5% 23.25 26.25 26.75 20.75 2 – – 1
Pulse Asia [45] Apr 12–17, 2016 4,000 ±1.5% 19 22 34 18 2 1 3 4
D' Strafford [46] Apr 13–18, 2016 2,800 ±1.9% 19 26 20 26 4 – – 4
Pulse Asia [47] Apr 16–20, 2016 1,800 ±2.3% 16 23 35 17 2 0.3 – 5
Rodrigo Duterte makes a joke about a murdered and raped Australian kidnap victim in a campaign rally (April 17th).
SWS [48] Apr 18–20, 2016 1,800 ±2% 14 24 33 19 2 – 5 3
Pulse Asia [49] Apr 19–24, 2016 4,000 ±1.5% 18 22 33 20 2 – – 5
The Center [50] Apr 23–29, 2016 1,800 ±2.5% 23 25 29 21 2 – – –
Third presidential debate in Dagupan (April 24th).
D' Strafford [51] Apr 25–29, 2016 4,500 ±1.2% 17 24 25 28 3 – – 1
Pulse Asia [52] Apr 26–29, 2016 4,000 ±1.5% 17 21 33 22 2 – – 5
Antonio Trillanes' exposé on Rodrigo Duterte's alleged multimillion peso bank accounts and properties (April 27th).
Argus [53] Apr 28–30, 2016 6,000 ±1.9% 19 27 31 19 4 – – –
Standard [54] Apr 27-May 1, 2016 3,000 ±1.8% 15 25 32 22 2 – – 4
SWS[55] May 1–3, 2016 4,500 ±1.0% 13 22 33 20 2 – 6 4
D' Strafford [56] May 1–5, 2016 4,000 ±1.2% 16.6 22.5 25.4 30.5 3 – 0.3 1.7
SWS[57] Exit poll 45,123 N/A 13.5 19.2 39.3 24.0 3.1 N/A
Election results May 9, 2016 44,979,151 N/A 12.73 21.31 39.02 23.45 3.42 N/A


Polling for vice president

Until candidacy filing ended on 16 October 2015
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size MoE Poe
Ind		 Escudero
Ind		 Cayetano
Ind		 Duterte
PDP-Laban		 Marcos
Ind		 Binay
UNA		 Santiago
PRP		 Drilon
Lib		 Ji. Estrada
UNA		 Jo. Estrada
PMP		 Lacson
Ind		 Legarda
NPC		 Revilla
Lakas		 Robredo
Lib		 Roxas
Lib		 Santos
Lib		 Trillanes
Ind		 Others Refused Don't know None
Pulse Asia[1] Mar 19–26, 2014 1,200 ±3% 24 20 6 – 5 – – – 4 – 5 – 3 1 8 5 7
10.3%
K. Aquino (Ind): 5%
Bam Aquino (Lib): 3%
JV Ejercito (UNA): 2%
Others: 0.3%
 0.2 0.3 –
Pulse Asia[2] Jun 24–Jul 6, 2014 1,200 ±3% 26 22 14 – 8 – – 5 5 – – – 4 1 – 4 6 Others: 1% 1 1 1
Pulse Asia[3] Sep 8–15, 2014 1,200 ±3% 31 19 9 – 6 – – 5 5 – – – 3 3 – 6 7 –
Pulse Asia[4] Nov 14–20, 2014 1,200 ±3% 33 20 13 – 8 – – 6 5 – – – 3 1 – – 8
1.3%
Gatchalian (NPC): 0.3%
Others: 1%
 – 1 2
Pulse Asia[5] Mar 1–7, 2015 1,200 ±3% 29 16 13 11 11 – – 3 4 – – – 2 0.4 – – 6 1 0.2 1 2
SWS[58] Mar 20–23, 2015 1,200 ±3% 26 6 3 4 3 7 5 – 0.6 3 1.6 1.7 – – 12 0.6 3 5 – – 7
Laylo [6] May 8–18, 2015 1,500 ±2.6% 23 16 11 11 5 – – – – 7 7 – – – 5 6 –
IBON [7][8] May 13–23, 2015 1,496 ±3% 15.9 2.5 – – – 6.8 1.9 – – – – – – – 5.1 – – 7.8 13 60
Pulse Asia[9] May 30–Jun 5, 2015 1,200 ±3% 41 15 12 9 9 – – – – – 6 – – 1 – – 5 1 1 0.2 3
SWS[59] Jun 5–8, 2015 1,200 ±3% 21 7 2 3 1 7 2 – – 3 3 1.4 0.7 – 12 1 1.1
1.2%
Moreno (PMP): 0.7%
Pacquiao (UNA): 0.5%
 22 8
RMN[10] Aug 11–18, 2015 4,718 ±2.5% 36.01 21.36 – – 11.82 – – – – – – – – – – – –
Pulse Asia[11] Aug 27–Sep 3, 2015 1,200 ±3% 26 25 7 – 7 – – – – – – – – 2 – – – –
SWS[12] Sep 2–5, 2015 1,200 ±3% 27 20 5 9 7 24 – – 2 7 3 5 – 3 – 4 4
3.9%
Atienza (Buhay): 0.9%
Others/Refused/Don't know/None: 3%
Pulse Asia[13] Sep 8–15, 2015 2,400 ±2% 24 23 9 – 13 – – – – 4 5 – 3 – 5 4
9.1%
B. Aquino III (Lib): 6%
Pangilinan (Lib): 2%
Henares (Ind): 0.1%
Others: 1%
 3

From the end of candidacy filing to the start of the campaign period
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size MoE Escudero
Ind		 Marcos
NP–Ind		 Cayetano
NP–Ind		 Robredo
Lib		 Honasan
UNA		 Trillanes
NP–Ind		 Alba
AK		 Others Refused Don't know None
RMN[18] Oct 25-Nov 5, 2015 3,604 ±2.5% 38.10 18.70 11.90 13.65 5.94 5.38 – – – – 6.33
MBC– DZRH[19] Nov 27, 2015 7,436 ±1.14% 28.49 24.62 18.25 12.53 6.11 7.75 – – – – 2.25
Pulse Asia[20] Dec 4–11, 2015 1,500 ±2.6% 29 23 18 11 9 4 0.3 0.34 0.1 1 1
Standard[21] Dec 4–12, 2015 1,800 ±2% 33 19 18 19 6 7 – – – – 5
SWS[22] Dec 12–14, 2015 1,200 ±3% 30 19 17 14 8 5 0.8 0.64 1
RMN[23] Jan 5-14, 2016 3,578 ±2.5% 32.14 21.60 17.36 14.06 6.32 6.01 – – – – 2.52
SWS[24] Jan 8–10, 2016 1,800 ±2% 28 25 14 17 8 3 1 2.3 2
Pulse Asia[25] Jan 24–28, 2016 1,200 ±3% 33 23 14 18 5 4 – – 0.3 1 2
Standard[26] Jan 27-Feb 4, 2016 3,000 ±1.8% 31 25 15 20 5 4 – – – – –
SWS[27] Feb 5-7, 2016 1,200 ±3% 26 26 16 19 6 5 – – – – 2

From the start of the campaign period to Election Day
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size MoE Escudero
Ind		 Marcos
NP–Ind		 Cayetano
NP–Ind		 Robredo
Lib		 Honasan
UNA		 Trillanes
NP–Ind		 Refused Don't know Undecided / None
Start of the campaign period (February 9th).
MBC–

DZRH [28][29]

 Feb 13, 2016 7,572 ±1.13% 26.8 25.1 14.8 18.8 5.5 6.2 – – 2.7
Pulse Asia [30] Feb 15-20, 2016 1,800 ±2% 29 26 12 19 4 6 – – 3
Pulse Asia[31] Feb 16-27, 2016 5,200 ±1.4% 26 26 13 18 6 5 2 2 2
Pulse Asia[32] Feb 23-27, 2016 2,600 ±1.9% 25 26 12 21 6 4 – – –
Standard [33] Feb 24-Mar 1, 2016 3,000 ±1.8% 30 24 11 20 4 7 – – 5
Pulse Asia [34] Mar 1-6, 2016 2,600 ±1.9% 25 22 14 21 5 6 – – 6
SWS [35] Mar 4-7, 2016 1,800 ±2% 28 26 11 24 5 6 – – 2
Pulse Asia [36] Mar 8-13, 2016 4,000 ±1.5% 24 25 13 20 5 6 – – 6
Pulse Asia [37] Mar 15-20, 2016 4,000 ±1.5% 25 25 14 21 5 4 – – 5
Standard [38] Mar 26–Apr 1, 2016 3,000 ±1.8% 28 25 15 21 3 5 – – 4
SWS[39] Mar 30–Apr 2, 2016 1,500 ±3% 21 26 13 19 5 5 – – –
MBC–

DZRH [40]

 Apr 2, 2016 7,490 ±1.13% 22.6 29.8 18.4 17.8 4.3 5.5 – – 1.6
Pulse Asia [41] Mar 29–Apr 3, 2016 4,000 ±1.5% 21 28 15 22 4 5 – – 5
The Center [42] Apr 1–7, 2016 1,800 ±2.5% 22.5 28.5 16 23.5 4.25 3.75 – – 1.75
Pulse Asia [43] Apr 5–10, 2016 4,000 ±1.5% 23 27 17 21 4 3 1 2 1
First vice presidential debate in Manila (April 10th).
The Center [44] Apr 11–16, 2016 1,800 ±2.5% 23 29 15 25 4 3 – – 1
Pulse Asia [45] Apr 12–17, 2016 4,000 ±1.5% 20 29 16 23 4 3 1 3 1
D' Strafford [46] Apr 13–18, 2016 2,800 ±1.9% 23 25 17 32 1 2 – – –
Pulse Asia [47] Apr 16–20, 2016 1,800 ±2.3% 18 29 16 24 4 3 0.7 – 7
Second vice presidential debate in Quezon City (April 17th).
SWS [48] Apr 18–20, 2016 1,800 ±2% 18 25 16 26 2 5 – 3 5
Pulse Asia [49] Apr 19–24, 2016 4,000 ±1.5% 18 31 15 26 2 3 – – 5
The Center [50] Apr 23–29, 2016 1,800 ±2.5% 18 31 15 25 5 3 – – 3
D' Strafford [51] Apr 25–29, 2016 4,500 ±1.2% 18 28 16 34 2 1 – – 1
Pulse Asia [52] Apr 26–29, 2016 4,000 ±1.5% 18 28 15 30 3 2 – – 4
Antonio Trillanes' exposé on Rodrigo Duterte's alleged multimillion peso bank accounts and properties (April 27th).
Argus [53] Apr 28–30, 2016 6,000 ±1.9% 22 33 13 24 4 4 – – –
Standard [54] Apr 27-May 1, 2016 3,000 ±1.8% 20 30 12 29 3 3 – – 3
SWS[55] May 1–3, 2016 4,500 ±1.0% 15 29 13 28 3 3 – – 9
D' Strafford [56] May 1–5, 2016 4,000 ±1.2% 18 25 17 35 1 3 – – 1
SWS[57] Exit poll 45,123 N/A 11.0 34.6 14.9 32.8 2.5 2.1 N/A
Election results May 9, 2016 44,066,884 N/A 12.01 34.47 14.38 35.11 1.92 2.11 N/A

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