Canadian federal election results in Brampton, Mississauga and Oakville

Electoral history
2019
2015
2011
2008
2006
2004
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1925

Regional profile

This suburban area had leaned Progressive Conservative from 1979 until 1993 when it swung hard to the Liberals primarily due to the rapid growth of the Greater Toronto Area and high immigrant populations, just like the suburbs to the north of Toronto. After winning just one seat (Mississauga East) in 1988, the Liberals swept every seat in this region from 1993 to 2006. The new Conservative Party (replacing the Progressive Conservatives) won their first seats in the area in 2008, picking up Oakville and Mississauga—Erindale before sweeping the region when they formed a majority government in 2011. However, the Liberals swept the region in 2015, and again in 2019.

In 2004, the Liberals won a majority of the vote in every Mississauga and Oakville based seat, while won just under 50% in each of the three Brampton based seats. Their strongest riding was Mississauga East—Cooksville (57%), while their weakest seat was Brampton West (45%). In 2006, the Liberals won a majority of the votes in just three seats, with their strongest seat this time being Mississauga—Brampton South (54%) with their weakest seat being Oakville (43%), which they won by fewer than 800 votes. In 2008, the strongest Liberal seat was again Mississauga East—Cooksville, the only seat in the region where they won a majority of the vote (50%). In 2011 they were shut out of the region, but nearly won Mississauga East—Cooksville, losing it by fewer than 700 votes.

The Conservatives came within 5 points of winning Brampton West, their best seat in 2004, thanks to star candidate Tony Clement. In 2006, their strongest seat was Oakville, which they nearly won. Oakville remained the Conservatives' best seat in 2008 and 2011. When they swept the region in 2011, Oakville was the only riding where they won a majority of the vote (54%). Thanks to a three-way vote split, the Conservatives still won Bramalea—Gore—Malton with just 34% of the vote.

The NDP has traditionally been very weak in the region. Thanks to a strong candidacy of Jagmeet Singh, the NDP placed second in Bramalea—Gore—Malton in 2011, with 33.5% of the vote, losing the riding by fewer than 600 votes.

2015 - 42nd General Election

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Conservative NDP Liberal GreenOther
Brampton Centre Bal Gosal
13,345
33.67%
Rosemary Keenan
5,993
15.12%
Ramesh Sangha
19,277
48.64%
Saul Marquard T. Bottcher
844
2.13%
Frank Chilelli
(M-L)
173
0.44%
New District
Brampton East Naval Bajaj
10,642
23.54%
Harbaljit Singh Kahlon
10,400
23.01%
Raj Grewal
23,652
52.32%
Kyle Lacroix
512
1.13%
Bal Gosal
Bramalea—Gore—Malton
Brampton North Parm Gill
15,888
32.99%
Martin Singh
7,946
16.50%
Ruby Sahota
23,297
48.37%
Pauline Thornham
915
1.90%
Harinderpal Hundal
(Comm.)
120
0.25%
Parm Gill
Brampton—Springdale
Brampton South Kyle Seeback
15,929
35.04%
Amarjit Sangha
4,843
10.65%
Sonia Sidhu
23,681
52.09%
Shaun Hatton
1,011
2.22%
New District
Brampton West Ninder Thind
13,068
30.11%
Adaoma Patterson
5,400
12.44%
Kamal Khera
24,256
55.89%
Karthika Gobinath
674
1.55%
Kyle Seeback
Mississauga Centre Julius Tiangson
17,431
33.62%
Farheen Khan
4,920
9.49%
Omar Alghabra
28,372
54.72%
Linh Nguyen
1,129
2.18%
New District
Mississauga East—Cooksville Wladyslaw Lizon
18,353
35.35%
Ali Naqvi
4,481
8.63%
Peter Fonseca
28,154
54.23%
Jaymini Bhikha
766
1.48%
Tim Sullivan
(M-L)
163
0.31%
Wladyslaw Lizon
Mississauga—Erin Mills Bob Dechert
21,716
39.24%
Michelle Bilek
5,206
9.41%
Iqra Khalid
27,520
49.72%
Andrew Roblin
905
1.64%
Bob Dechert
Mississauga—Erindale
Mississauga—Lakeshore Stella Ambler
24,435
41.22%
Eric Guerbilsky
4,735
7.99%
Sven Spengemann
28,279
47.71%
Ariana Burgener
1,397
2.36%
Dagmar Sullivan
(M-L)
111
0.19%
Paul Woodworth
(Libert.)
316
0.53%
Stella Ambler
Mississauga South
Mississauga—Malton Jagdish Grewal[note 1]
11,701
26.44%
Dianne Douglas
5,450
12.31%
Navdeep Bains
26,165
59.12%
Heather Mercer
737
1.67%
Naresh Tharani
(Ind.)
203
0.46%
Eve Adams§
Mississauga—Brampton South
Mississauga—Streetsville Brad Butt
22,621
40.40%
Fayaz Karim
5,040
9.00%
Gagan Sikand
26,792
47.84%
Chris Hill
1,293
2.31%
Yegor Tarazevich
(CHP)
253
0.45%
Brad Butt
Oakville Terence Young
27,497
42.50%
Che Marville
3,830
5.92%
John Oliver
31,956
49.39%
David Doel
1,420
2.19%
Terence Young
Oakville North—Burlington Effie Triantafilopoulos
26,342
43.33%
Janice Best
4,405
7.25%
Pam Damoff
28,415
46.74%
Adnan Shahbaz
968
1.59%
David Clement
(Libert.)
666
1.10%
Lisa Raitt
Halton

2011 - 41st General Election

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Conservative Liberal NDP GreenOther
Bramalea—Gore—Malton Bal Gosal

19,907
34.44%

Gurbax Malhi

16,402
28.38%

Jagmeet Singh Dhaliwal

19,368
33.51%

John Moulton

1,748
3.02%

Frank Chilelli (M-L)

371 0.64%

Gurbax Malhi
Brampton—Springdale Parm Gill

24,618
48.26%

Ruby Dhalla

14,221
27.88%

Manijit Grewal

10,022
19.65%

Mark Hoffberg

1,926
3.78%

Liz Rowley (Com)

219 0.43%

Ruby Dhalla
Brampton West Kyle Seeback

28,320
44.75%

Andrew Kania

22,128
34.97%

Jagtar Shergill

11,225
17.74%

Avtaar Soor

1,224
1.93%

Theodore Koum Njoh (Ind.)

387 0.61%

Andrew Kania
Mississauga—
Brampton South
Eve Adams

23,632
44.72%

Navdeep Bains

18,579
35.16%

Jim Glavin

9,465
17.91%

Benjamin Stone

1,044
1.98%

Tim Sullivan (M-L)

127 0.24%

Navdeep Bains
Mississauga East—Cooksville Wladyslaw Lizon

18,796
39.97%

Peter Fonseca

18,120
38.53%

Waseem Ahmed

8,836
18.79%

Jaymini Bhikha

1,032
2.19%

Pierre Chénier (CPC-ML)

241 0.51%

Albina Guarnieri
Mississauga—Erindale Bob Dechert

29,793
46.95%

Omar Alghabra

21,541
33.95%

Michelle Bilek

10,327
16.27%

John Fraser

1,694
2.67%

Dagmar Sullivan (CPC-ML)

99 0.16%

Bob Dechert
Mississauga South Stella Ambler

22,991
46.48%

Paul Szabo

18,393
37.18%

Farah Kabouneh

6,354
12.85%

Paul Simas

1,532
3.10%

Richard Barrett (Ind.)

194 0.39%

Paul Szabo
Mississauga—Streetsville Brad Butt

22,104
43.86%

Bonnie Crombie

18,651
37.01%

Aijaz Naqvi

7,834
15.55%

Christopher Hill

1,802
3.58%

Bonnie Crombie
Oakville Terence Young

30,068
51.65%

Max Khan

17,890
30.73%

James Ede

8,117
13.94%

Andrew Chlobowski

2,140
3.68%

Terence Young

2008 - 40th General Election

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Conservative Liberal NDP GreenOther
Bramalea—Gore—Malton Stella Ambler

18,350

Gurbax Malhi

22,214

Jashwant Singh Puniya

5,935

Mark Pajot

2,545

Frank Chilelli (MXL) 309 Gurbax Malhi
Brampton—Springdale Parm Gill

17,804

Ruby Dhalla

18,522

Mani Singh

5,320

Dave Finlay

3,524

Dimitrios Kabitsis (COM) 135 Ruby Dhalla
Brampton West Kyle Seeback

21,516

Andrew Kania

21,649

Jagtar Shergill

7,339

Patti Chmelyk

3,330

Colleen Beaumier
Mississauga—
Brampton South
Salma Ataullahjan

14,757

Navdeep Bains

21,220

Karanjit Pandher

5,358

Grace Yogaretnam

2,947

Tim Sullivan (MXL) 395 Navdeep Bains
Mississauga East—Cooksville Melissa Bhagat

13,215

Albina Guarnieri

20,371

Satish Balasunderam

4,614

Jaymini Bhikha

2,126

Pierre Chenier (MXL) 285 Albina Guarnieri
Mississauga—Erindale Bob Dechert

23,795

Omar Alghabra

23,556

Mustafa Rizvi

4,767

Richard Pietro

3,636

Dagmar Sullivan (MXL) 128 Omar Alghabra
Mississauga South Hugh Arrison

18,467

Paul Szabo

20,475

Matt Turner

4,102

Richard Laushway

3,427

Paul Szabo
Mississauga—Streetsville Wajid Khan

16,946

Bonnie Crombie

21,579

Keith Pinto

4,711

Otto Casanova

3,177

Ralph Bunag (IND) 511
Viktor Spanovic (IND) 430
Wajid Khan
Oakville Terence Young

26,011

Bonnie Brown

20,428

Michelle Bilek

4,143

Blake Poland

4,681

Bonnie Brown

2006 - 39th General Election

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal Conservative NDP GreenOther
Bramalea—Gore—Malton Gurbax Malhi

25,348

John Sprovieri

16,367

Cesar Martello

6,343

Ernst Braendli

1,721

Frank Chilelli
(M-L) 233
Gurbax Malhi
Brampton—Springdale Ruby Dhalla

22,294

Sam Hundal

14,492

Anna Mather

8,345

Ian Chiocchio

1,853

Upali Wannaku Rallage
(Comm.) 110
Ruby Dhalla
Brampton West Colleen Beaumier

27,988

Baljit Gosal

20,345

Jagtar Singh Shergill

6,310

Jaipaul Massey-Singh

2,340

  Colleen Beaumier
Mississauga—Brampton South Navdeep Bains

27,370

Arnjeet Sangha

15,605

Nirvan Balkissoon

5,521

Grace Yogaretnam

1,927

Tim Sullivan
(M-L) 319
Navdeep Bains
Mississauga East—Cooksville Albina Guarnieri

23,530

Carl DeFaria

14,326

Jim Gill

5,180

Rich Pietro

1,393

Mohamed Elrofaie
(Ind.) 496

Sally Wong
(CHP) 467
Pierre Chénier
(M-L) 164

Albina Guarnieri
Mississauga—Erindale Omar Alghabra

26,852

Bob Dechert

23,524

Ruprinder Brar

6,644

Adam Hunter

2,613

Ronnie Amyotte
(Ind.) 289
Carolyn Parrish
Mississauga South Paul Szabo

23,018

Phil Green

20,888

Mark de Pelham

5,607

Brendan Tarry

2,393

Paul D.J. McMurray
(CAP) 129

Dagmar Sullivan
(M-L) 74

Paul Szabo
Mississauga—Streetsville Wajid Khan

23,913

Raminder Gill

18,121

Jim Caron

6,929

Otto Casanova

2,334

Peter Creighton
(PC) 747
Wajid Khan
Oakville Bonnie Brown

25,892

Terence Young

25,148

Tina Agrell

5,815

Laura Domsy

2,872

  Bonnie Brown

2004 - 38th General Election

Key map
  1. Bramalea-Gore-Malton
  2. Brampton-Springdale
  3. Brampton West
  4. Mississauga-Brampton South
  5. Mississauga East-Cooksville
  6. Mississauga-Erindale
  7. Mississauga South
  8. Mississauga-Streetsville
  9. Oakville

References

  1. Thibedeau, Hannah (7 October 2015). "Expelled Conservative Jagdish Grewal says he's not homophobic". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. Retrieved 8 October 2015.

Notes

  1. Jagdish Grewal was expelled by the Conservative Party on 6 October; because no changes could be made to the list of confirmed candidates after 28 September, he was still listed as the Conservative candidate on the ballot.[1]
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