Canadian federal election results in Midwestern Ontario

This is page shows results of Canadian federal elections in Midwestern Ontario, which is roughly from Woodstock to Milton, and from Lake Erie to Goderich.

Electoral history
2015
2011
2008
2006
2004
2000
1997
1993
1988
1984
1980
1979
1974
1972
1968
1965
1963
1962
1958
1957
1953
1949
1945
1940
1935
1930
1926
1925

Regional profile

Before the late 1950s, Midwestern Ontario had not leaned towards either the Progressive Conservatives (Tories) or the Liberals (Grits) on a regular basis as there was wide variation in each party's results election to election. Since the late 1950s, Midwestern Ontario has been a primarily conservative-voting area. Even from the 1963 to 1980 elections when the Liberals formed the federal government after every election except one, the Progressive Conservatives usually won the majority of seats, and in the 1979 Progressive Conservative election plurality, the only seat the Tories did not win was won by the New Democrats (NDP). The NDP usually claimed one seat from the mid-1960s until the 1993, usually in the riding of Brant.

Vote splitting allowed the Liberals to win all of the seats in the Midwestern Ontario from 1993 to 2000 in their province-wide sweeps, although one seat was lost to the Conservative Party (which replaced the Progressive Conservatives) in a 2003 by-election. The Conservatives picked up four more seats in the 2004 election, another in the 2006 election, and four more in 2008, leaving Guelph as the only Liberal (and non-Conservative) seat in the region from 2008 to 2015. In the 2015 Liberal majority government win, the Conservatives still took one more seat in the area than the Liberals as they swept the rural areas.

The Conservatives are weaker in the larger cities of Kitchener-Waterloo and Guelph, partly because they have prominent universities (University of Waterloo, University of Guelph, Wilfrid Laurier University) with large student populations. The Liberals retained three of the four ridings in those cities by significant margins in 2006 despite the Conservatives forming the government and won four of the five seats available there in the 2015 election, the exceptions in both elections being the partially rural Kitchener-Conestoga riding, although both wins in the riding were only narrow victories for the Conservatives. Even in the 2008 election victory by the Conservatives, the ridings of Kitchener Centre and Kitchener-Waterloo were only won by the Conservatives by less than 300 votes. The riding of the more suburban city of Cambridge has generally leaned Conservative dating back decades whereas the riding of Brant-Brantford has switched from being strongly NDP, to Liberal to Conservative in the last three decades.

In 2019 the Greens were able to gain over 25 percent of the vote in two urban ridings, Guelph and Kitchener Centre. However, the Liberals held both seats by over a 10% margin.

2015 - 42nd General Election

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Conservative NDP Liberal Green LibertarianOther
Brantford—Brant Phil McColeman
25,874
40.89%
Marc Laferriere
15,715
24.84%
Danielle Takacs
19,422
30.70%
Kevin Brandt
1,582
2.50%
Rob Ferguson
515
0.81%
The Engineer Turmel
(Ind.)
164
0.26%
Phil McColeman
Brant
Cambridge Gary Goodyear
20,613
38.65%
Bobbi Stewart
7,397
13.87%
Bryan May
23,024
43.17%
Michele Braniff
1,723
3.23%
Manuel Couto
(M-L)
108
0.20%
Lee Sperduti
(Ind.)
474
0.89%
Gary Goodyear
Guelph Gloria Kovach
18,407
26.35%
Andrew Seagram
8,392
12.01%
Lloyd Longfield
34,303
49.10%
Gord Miller
7,909
11.32%
Alexander Fekri
520
0.74%
Tristan Dineen
(Comm.)
144
0.21%
Kornelis Klevering
(Mar.)
193
0.28%
Frank Valeriote
Haldimand—Norfolk Diane Finley
24,714
44.14%
John Harris
7,625
13.62%
Joan Mouland
20,487
36.59%
Wayne Ettinger
1,857
3.32%
Leslie Bory
(Ind.)[note 1]
151
0.27%
Dave Bylsma
(CHP)
884
1.58%
Dustin Wakeford
(Ind.)
272
0.49%
Diane Finley
Huron—Bruce Ben Lobb
26,174
44.94%
Gerard Creces
7,544
12.95%
Allan Thompson
23,129
39.71%
Jutta Splettstoesser
1,398
2.40%
Ben Lobb
Kitchener Centre Stephen Woodworth
15,872
30.36%
Susan Cadell
8,680
16.60%
Raj Saini
25,504
48.78%
Nicholas Wendler
1,597
3.05%
Slavko Miladinovic
515
0.99%
Julian Ichim
(M-L)
112
0.21%
Stephen Woodworth
Kitchener—Conestoga Harold Albrecht
20,649
43.29%
James Villeneuve
4,653
9.75%
Tim Louis
20,398
42.76%
Bob Jonkman
1,314
2.75%
Richard Hodgson
685
1.44%
Harold Albrecht
Kitchener South—Hespeler Marian Gagné
17,544
36.68%
Lorne Bruce
7,440
15.56%
Marwan Tabbara
20,215
42.27%
David Weber
1,767
3.69%
Nathan Lajeunesse
772
1.61%
Elaine Baetz
(M-L)
91
0.19%
New District
Oxford Dave MacKenzie
25,966
45.67%
Zoe Kunschner
9,406
16.55%
Don McKay
18,299
32.19%
Mike Farlow
2,004
3.53%
Melody Ann Aldred
(CHP)
1,175
2.07%
Dave MacKenzie
Perth—Wellington John Nater
22,255
42.92%
Ethan Rabidoux
7,756
14.96%
Stephen McCotter
19,480
37.57%
Nicole Ramsdale
1,347
2.60%
Irma DeVries
(CHP)
794
1.53%
Roger Fuhr
(NA)
219
0.42%
Gary Schellenberger
Waterloo Peter Braid
19,318
32.28%
Diane Freeman
8,928
14.92%
Bardish Chagger
29,752
49.71%
Richard Walsh
1,713
2.86%
Emma Hawley-Yan
(Animal All.)
138
0.23%
Peter Braid
Kitchener—Waterloo
Wellington—Halton Hills Michael Chong
32,482
50.90%
Anne Gajerski-Cauley
5,321
8.34%
Don Trant
23,279
36.48%
Brent Allan Bouteiller
2,547
3.99%
Harvey Edward Anstey
(CAP)
183
0.29%
Michael Chong

2011 - 41st General Election

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Conservative Liberal NDP GreenOther
Brant Phil McColeman

28,045
48.90%

Lloyd St. Amand

10,780
18.80%

Marc Laferrière

16,351
28.51%

Nora Fueten

1,858
3.24%

Leslie Bory (Ind.)174 0.30%
Martin Sitko (Ind.) 138 0.24%
Phil McColeman
Cambridge Gary Goodyear

29,394
53.40%

Bryan May

8,285
15.05%

Susan Galvao

15,238
27.68%

Jacques Malette

1,978
3.59%

Manuel Couto (M-L)

153 0.28%

Gary Goodyear
Guelph Marty Burke

19,252
32.65%

Frank Valeriote

25,574
43.37%

Bobbi Stewart

9,836
16.68%

John Lawson

3,711
6.29%

Phillip Bender (Lib.) 192 0.33%

Kornelis Klevering (Mar.) 171 0.29%
Karen Levenson (AAEVP) 123 0.21%
Drew Garvie (Comm) 104 0.18%

Frank Valeriote
Haldimand—Norfolk Diane Finley

25,655
50.94%

Bob Speller

12,549
24.92%

Ian Nichols

10,062
19.98%

Anne Faulkner

1,665
3.31%

Steven Elgersma (CHP)

435 0.86%

Diane Finley
Huron—Bruce Ben Lobb

29,255
54.95%

Charlie Bagnato

8,784
16.50%

Grant Robertson

13,493
25.34%

Eric Shelley

1,455
2.73%

Dennis Valenta (Ind.)

254 0.48%

Ben Lobb
Kitchener Centre Stephen Woodworth

21,119
42.40%

Karen Redman

15,592
31.30%

Peter Thurley

10,742
21.57%

Byron Williston

1,972
3.96%

Alan Rimmer (Ind.) 199 0.40%

Martin Suter (Comm) 93 0.19%
Mark Corbiere (M-L) 92 0.18%

Stephen Woodworth
Kitchener—Conestoga Harold Albrecht

28,874
54.08%

Robert Rosehart

10,683
20.01%

Lorne Bruce

11,653
21.82%

Albert Ashley

2,184
4.09%

Harold Albrecht
Kitchener—Waterloo Peter Braid

27,039
40.86%

Andrew Telegdi

24,895
37.62%

Bill Brown

10,606
16.03%

Cathy MacLellan

3,147
4.76%

Steven Bradley Scott (Pirate) 245 0.37%

Richard Walsh-Bowers (Ind.) 174 0.26%
Julian Ichim (M-L) 66 0.10%

Peter Braid
Oxford Dave MacKenzie

27,973
58.90%

Tim Lobzun

4,521
9.52%

Paul Arsenault

12,164
25.61%

Mike Farlow

2,058
4.33%

John Markus (CHP)

776 1.63%

Dave MacKenzie
Perth—Wellington Gary Schellenberger

25,281
54.47%

Bob McTavish

8,341
17.97%

Ellen Papenburg

9,879
21.29%

John Cowling

2,102
4.53%

Irma DeVries (CHP)

806 1.74%

Gary Schellenberger
Wellington—Halton Hills Michael Chong

35,132
63.70%

Barry Peters

9,034
16.38%

Anastasia Zavarella

7,151
12.97%

Brent Bouteiller

3,515
6.37%

Jeffrey Streutker (CHP)

316 0.57%

Michael Chong

2008 - 40th General Election

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Conservative Liberal NDP GreenOther
Brant Phil McColeman

22,628

Lloyd St. Amand

17,839

Brian Van Tilborg

9,297

Nora Fueten

3,805

John Gots (CHP) 369 Lloyd St. Amand
Cambridge Gary Goodyear

24,883

Gord Zeilstra

11,970

Max Lombardi

10,018

Scott Cosman

4,261

Gary Goodyear
Guelph Gloria Kovach

17,185

Frank Valeriote

18,977

Thomas King

9,709

Mike Nagy

12,456

Kornelis Klevering (MJ) 172
Philip Bender (LTN) 159
Drew Garvie (COM) 77
Karen Levenson (Animal All.) 73
John Turmel (IND) 58
Manuel Couto (MXL) 29
Vacant
Haldimand—Norfolk Diane Finley

19,657

Eric Hoskins

15,577

Ian Nichols

5,549

Stephana Johnston

2,041

Gary McHale (Ind.) 4,821
Steven Elgersma (CHP) 501
Diane Finley
Huron—Bruce Ben Lobb

22,202

Greg McClinchey

16,346

Tony McQuail

7,426

Glen Smith

2,617

Dave Joslin (CHP) 747
Dennis Valenta (Ind.) 242
Paul Steckle
Kitchener Centre Stephen Woodworth

16,480

Karen Redman

16,141

Oscar Cole Arnal

8,122

John Bithell

3,818

Amanda Lamka (Ind.) 215
Martin Suter (Com.) 127
Karen Redman
Kitchener—Conestoga Harold Albrecht

23,275

Orlando Da Silva

11,761

Rod MacNeil

7,132

Jamie Kropf

5,119

Harold Albrecht
Kitchener—Waterloo Peter Braid

21,830

Andrew Telegdi

21,813

Cindy Jacobsen

8,920

Cathy MacLellan

7,329

Jason Cousineau (LTN) 333
Mark Corbiere (IND) 108
Ramon Portillo (COM) 108
Kyle James Huntingdon (CAP) 107
Andrew Telegdi
Oxford Dave MacKenzie

23,330

Martha Dennis

8,584

Diane Abbott

7,982

Cathy Mott

3,455

Shaun MacDonald (CHP) 1,036 Dave MacKenzie
Perth—Wellington Gary Schellenberger

20,709

Sandra Gardiner

10,225

Kerry McManus

7,324

John Cowling

3,884

Irma DeVries (CHP) 898
Julian Ichim (MXL) 84
Gary Schellenberger
Wellington—
Halton Hills
Michael Chong

29,191

Bruce Bowser

11,312

Noel Duignan

4,747

Brent Bouteiller

4,997

Jeffrey Streutker (CHP) 414 Michael Chong

2006 - 39th General Election

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal Conservative NDP GreenOther
Brant Lloyd St. Amand

22,077

Phil McColeman

21,495

Lynn Bowering

12,713

Adam King

2,729

John H. Wubs
(CHP) 526

John Turmel
(Ind.) 213

Lloyd St. Amand
Cambridge Janko Peric

19,419

Gary Goodyear

25,337

Donna Reid

9,794

Gareth White

3,017

David M. Pelly
(CAP) 217
Gary Goodyear
Guelph Brenda Chamberlain

23,662

Brent Barr

18,342

Phil Allt

13,561

Mike Nagy

5,376

Peter Ellis
(CHP) 538

Scott Gilbert
(Comm.) 111
Manuel Couto
(M–L) 45

Brenda Chamberlain
Haldimand—Norfolk Bob Speller

18,363

Diane Finley

25,885

Valya Roberts

6,858

Carolyn Van Nort

1,894

Steven Elgersma
(CHP) 559
Diane Finley
Huron—Bruce Paul Steckle

21,260

Ben Lobb

20,289

Grant J. Robertson

8,696

Victoria Serda

1,829

Dave Joslin
(CHP) 1,019

Dennis Valenta
(Ind.) 270

Paul Steckle
Kitchener Centre Karen Redman

21,714

Steven Cage

16,131

Richard Walsh-Bowers

9,253

Tony Maas

2,822

Martin Suter
(Comm.) 274
Karen Redman
Kitchener—Conestoga Lynn Myers

19,246

Harold Albrecht

20,615

Len Carter

7,445

Kristine Yvonne Stapleton

2,706

  Lynn Myers
Kitchener—Waterloo Andrew Telegdi

31,136

Ajmer Mandur

18,817

Edwin Laryea

11,889

Pauline Richards

4,298

Ciprian Mihalcea
(Ind.) 173

Julian Ichim
(M–L) 144

Andrew Telegdi
Oxford Greig Mordue

13,961

Dave MacKenzie

23,140

Zoe Kunschner

8,639

Ronnee Sykes

1,566

John Markus
(CHP) 1,434

James Bender
(Mar.) 771
Kaye Sargent
(Libert.) 204

Dave MacKenzie
Perth—Wellington David Cunningham

12,301

Gary Schellenberger

22,004

Keith Dinicol

8,876

John Day Cowling

3,117

Irma DeVries
(CHP) 1,396
Gary Schellenberger
Wellington—Halton Hills Rod Finnie

16,065

Michael Chong

27,907

Noel Duignan

6,785

Brent Bouteiller

3,362

Carol Ann Krusky
(CHP) 606

Mike Wisniewski
(Ind.) 355

Michael Chong

2004 - 38th General Election

Key map
  1. Brant
  2. Cambridge
  3. Guelph
  4. Haldimand-Norfolk
  5. Huron-Bruce
  6. Kitchener Centre
  7. Kitchener-Conestoga
  8. Kitchener-Waterloo
  9. Oxford
  10. Perth-Wellington
  11. Wellington-Halton Hills
Conservative Party of Canada
Green Party of Canada
New Democratic Party

Notes

  1. Bory is leader of The Maple Party[1] which was ineligible to be on the ballot; he chose to be listed as an Independent.

References

  1. Pearce, Daniel R. (4 September 2015). "Independent candidate leads own party". Simcoe Reformer. Canoe Sun Media Community Newspapers. Retrieved 22 September 2015.
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