January–August 2016 statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election

This article is a collection of statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election. The polls listed here, by state are from January 1 to August 31, 2016 and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate

For statewide polls conducted before 2016, see Pre-2016 statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election.
For the most recent statewide polls, see Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election.

Note: Some states had not conducted polling yet or no updated polls were present from January 1 to August 31, 2016.

Alabama

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 60%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
News-5/Strategy Poll[1] July 19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 33% Donald Trump 57% 24 4,100 ± 2.0%

Alaska

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–38%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Ivan Moore Research[2] June 16–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 45% 4 670 ?
Alaska Dispatch News/Ivan Moore Research[3] January 2016 Hillary Clinton 44.1% Donald Trump 49.3% 5.2 651 ?
Hillary Clinton 37.5% Ted Cruz 56.9% 19.4
Hillary Clinton 37.9% Marco Rubio 56.7% 18.8

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green Party % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Moore Information[4] August 27–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 29% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 4% 10 500 ± 4%
Ivan Moore Research[2] June 16–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 30% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 16% Jill Stein 6% 9 670 ?

Arizona

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[5] August 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 46% 3 837 ± 3.4%
CNN/ORC[6] August 18–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 49% 5 809 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[7] June 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 44% 4 691 ± 3.7%
OH Predictive Insights[8] June 20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 1,060 ± 3.01%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 45% 6 300 ± 5.66%
Public Policy Polling[10] May 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 45% 4 896 ± 3.3%
Bernie Sanders 45% Donald Trump 44% 1
Behavior Research Center[11] April 4–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 35% 7 564 ± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton 38% Ted Cruz 43% 5
Hillary Clinton 32% John Kasich 44% 12
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 33% 21
Bernie Sanders 48% Ted Cruz 34% 14
Bernie Sanders 47% John Kasich 33% 14
Merrill Poll/WestGroup[12] March 7–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 38% Tied 701 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 35% Ted Cruz 41% 6
Bernie Sanders 39% Donald Trump 36% 3
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Arizona Republic/Morrison/Cronkite News[13] August 17–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 1 704 ± 3.3%
OH Predictive Insights[14] August 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 1 728 ±3.63%
CNN/ORC[6] August 18–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 4% 7 809 ± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov[15] August 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 2 1,095 ± 4.8%
OH Predictive Insights[16][17] August 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 2 996 ±3.0%
Integrated Web Strategy[18] July 29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 8 679 ± 3.76%
Public Policy Polling[10] May 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 2 896 ± 3.3%
Bernie Sanders 42% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 3

Arkansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–37%

Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

 % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Talk Business/Hendrix College[19] June 21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 8% 11 751 ± 3.6%

California

55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 60%–37%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Field Research[20] June 8 – July 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 58% Donald Trump 28% 30 956 ± 3.2%
SurveyMonkey/USC/Los Angeles Times[21] June 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 59% Donald Trump 32% 27 1,553 ± 3%
CBS News/YouGov[22] May 31 – June 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 33% 15 1,187 ± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 32% 23
USC/Los Angeles Times[23] May 19–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump 30% 26 1,500 ± 2.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[24] May 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 31% 24 1,833 ± 2.3%
Bernie Sanders 62% Donald Trump 28% 34
Field Research[25] May 26–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 34% 19 1,002 ± 3.2%
Bernie Sanders 60% Donald Trump 31% 29
SurveyUSA/KABC/SCNG[26] May 19–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 38% 14 1,383 ± 2.7%
Public Policy Institute of California[27] May 13–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 39% 10 1,704 ± 4.3%
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 36% 17
SurveyUSA/KABC/SCNG[28] April 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump 34% 22 1,683 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 29% 28
Hillary Clinton 53% John Kasich 34% 19
SurveyUSA[29] March 30 – April 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 60% Donald Trump 26% 34 1,507 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 32% 25
Hillary Clinton 56% John Kasich 33% 23
Bernie Sanders 63% Donald Trump 24% 39
Bernie Sanders 61% Ted Cruz 26% 35
Bernie Sanders 57% John Kasich 28% 29
Field Research[30] March 24 – April 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 59% Donald Trump 31% 28 1,400 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 55% Ted Cruz 32% 23
USC Dornsife College/LA Times[31] March 16–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 59% Donald Trump 28% 31 1,503 ± %
Hillary Clinton 59% Ted Cruz 31% 28
Hillary Clinton 54% John Kasich 35% 19
Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

 % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Field Research[20] June 8 – July 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 26% Gary Johnson 10% 24 495 ± 4.4%
Hoover Institution/YouGov[32] May 4–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 4% 12 1,196 ± 3.97%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Institute of California[33] July 10–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 30% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 6% 16 1,703 ± 3.5%
SurveyMonkey/USC/Los Angeles Times[21] June 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 27% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 6% 24 1,553 ± 3%

Colorado

9 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–46%

Two-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[34] August 9–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 39% 10 830 ± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[35] August 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 32% 14 899 ± 3.3%
Fox News[36] July 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 34% 10 600 ± 4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[37] July 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 35% 8 794 ± 3.5%
Harper[38] July 7–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 38% 7 500 ± 4.38%
Gravis Marketing[39] July 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 41% 2 1,313 ± 2.7%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Magellan Strategies[40] August 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 3% 5 500 ± 4.38%
Quinnipiac University[34] August 9–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 16% Jill Stein 7% 8 830 ± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[35] August 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 29% Gary Johnson 15% Jill Stein 6% 12 899 ± 3.3%
Fox News[36] July 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 28% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 6% 9 600 ± 4%
Monmouth University[41] July 7–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 13 404 ± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[37] July 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 4% 6 794 ± 3.5%
Gravis Marketing[39] July 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 4% 1 1,313 ± 2.7%
CBS News/YouGov[42] June 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 1 996 ± 4.3%

Connecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[43] June 1–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 38% 7 1,330 ± 2.7%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 35% 19
Emerson College[44] April 10–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 40% 8 1,043 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 31% 21
Hillary Clinton 38% John Kasich 49% 11
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 40% 9
Bernie Sanders 55% Ted Cruz 30% 25
Bernie Sanders 40% John Kasich 48% 8
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[43] June 1–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 3% 5 1,330 ± 2.7%

Delaware

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 59%–40%

Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Fairleigh Dickinson University[45] July 20–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 9% 10 715 ± 4.1%

District of Columbia

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 92%–7%
(Democratic in 2012) 91%–7%

No polling was conducted in 2016

Florida
Further information: Opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election in Florida

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2012) 50%–49%

Georgia

16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Atlanta Journal-Constitution[46] August 1–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% 4 847 ± 4.0%
Public Policy Polling[47] May 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 49% 9 724 ± 3.6%
Bernie Sanders 40% Donald Trump 48% 8
Fox 5/Opinion Savvy[48] May 15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 44% 3 587 ± 4.0%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution[49] May 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 45% 4 822 ± 4.26%
Bernie Sanders 47% Donald Trump 42% 5
Landmark/RosettaStone[50] May 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 42% 1 570 ± 4.1%
Lake Research Partners[51] March 31 – April 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 37% 13 400 ± 4.9%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 40% 7
SurveyUSA[52] February 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 50% 9 1,261 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 50% 7
Hillary Clinton 42% Ted Cruz 49% 7
Bernie Sanders 41% Donald Trump 49% 8
Bernie Sanders 41% Marco Rubio 49% 8
Bernie Sanders 42% Ted Cruz 48% 6
Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta[53] August 17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 11% Tied 730 ± 3.6%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
CBS News/YouGov[54] August 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 4 988 ± 4.3%
JMC Analytics[55] August 6–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 7 615 ± 4.0%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution[46] August 1–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 2% 3 847 ± 4.0%
Landmark/RosettaStone[56] August 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% Tied 787 ± 3.5%
SurveyUSA[57] July 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 4 628 ± 4%
Landmark/RosettaStone[58] July 24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 2 500 ± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling[59] May 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 7 724 ± 3.6%
Bernie Sanders 36% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 10

Idaho

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%
(Republican in 2012) 64%–32%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Dan Jones & Associates[60] May 18 – June 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 32% Donald Trump 49% 17 603 ± 3.99%
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 46% 3
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green Party % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Dan Jones & Associates[61] August 18–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 23% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 2% 21 602 ± 4.0%
Dan Jones & Associates[62] July 5–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 23% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 21 601 ± 4.0%

Illinois

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Normington, Petts and Associates[63] August 1–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 32% 19 800 ± 3.5%
NBC News/WSJ/Marist[64] March 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 57% Donald Trump 32% 25 1,968 ± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 40% 11
Bernie Sanders 60% Donald Trump 30% 30
Bernie Sanders 55% Ted Cruz 35% 20
Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

 % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
The Illinois Observer[65] June 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 30% Gary Johnson 6% 18 732 ?
Capitol Fax/We Ask America[66] June 5–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 7% 12 1,231 RV ± 3%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green Party % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Victory Research[67] July 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 7% 17 1,200 ± 2.83%
Basswood Research[68] July 11–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 13 800 ± 3.5%

Indiana

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 54%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Tarrance Group[69] July 20–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 50% 14 503 ± 4.4%
Bellwether[70] May 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 31% Donald Trump 40% 9 600 ± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[71] April 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 48% 7 2,149 ± 2.1%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 50% 7
Hillary Clinton 37% John Kasich 56% 19
Bernie Sanders 46% Donald Trump 47% 1
Bernie Sanders 48% Ted Cruz 45% 3
Bernie Sanders 46% John Kasich 47% 1
POS /Howey Politics Indiana/WTHR Channel 13 [72] April 18–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 47% 8 500 ± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton 36% Ted Cruz 53% 17
Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

 % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Monmouth University[73] August 13–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 10% 11 403 ± 4.9%

Iowa

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[74] August 30–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% 2 827 ± 3.4%
Quinnipiac University[34] August 9–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 44% 3 846 ± 3.4%
Suffolk University[75] August 8–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 41% 1 500 ± 4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] August 3–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 37% 4 899 ± 3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[77] July 5–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 39% 3 822 ± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing[78] July 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 40% 2 1,318 ± 2.7%
Loras College[79] June 24–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 34% 14 600 ± 4%
Public Policy Polling[7] June 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 39% 2 897 ± 3.3%
Public Policy Polling[80] June 9–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 41% 3 630 ± 3.9%
Public Policy Polling[81] January 8–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Jeb Bush 43% 3 1,901 ± 2.3%
Hillary Clinton 42% Ben Carson 46% 4
Hillary Clinton 42% Ted Cruz 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 46% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 42% Tied
Bernie Sanders 47% Jeb Bush 39% 8
Bernie Sanders 44% Ben Carson 40% 4
Bernie Sanders 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Bernie Sanders 43% Marco Rubio 42% 1
Bernie Sanders 47% Donald Trump 42% 5
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[82] January 2–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 40% 8 1,470 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 47% 4
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 47% 5
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 38% 13
Bernie Sanders 47% Ted Cruz 42% 5
Bernie Sanders 44% Marco Rubio 44% Tied
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[83] August 31 – September 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 1% 5 600 ± 3.9%
CBS News/YouGov[84] August 17–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% Tied 987 ± 4%
Quinnipiac University[34] August 9–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 3% 2 846 ± 3.4%
Suffolk University[75] August 8–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 3% 1 500 ± 4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] August 3–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 6% Tied 899 ± 3.1%
CBS News/YouGov[85] July 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 1 998 ± 4.8%
Monmouth University[86] July 8–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% 2 401 ± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[77] July 5–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 4% Tied 822 ± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing[78] July 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 2 1,318 ± 2.7%
Loras College[79] June 24–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 13 600 ± 4.0%

Kansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
John Zogby Strategies[87] June 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 36% 7 433 ± 4.7%
Fort Hays State University[88] February 19–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 46% 10 440 ± 5.0%
Hillary Clinton 35% Ted Cruz 49% 14
Hillary Clinton 32% Marco Rubio 51% 19
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 42% 1
Bernie Sanders 38% Ted Cruz 44% 6
Bernie Sanders 36% Marco Rubio 46% 10
Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
SurveyUSA/KSN News[89] August 9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 8% 5 566 ±4.2%
Fort Hays State University[90] July 11–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 27% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 7% 17 542 ±4.4%
SurveyUSA/KSN News[91] July 8–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 8% 11 559 ± 4.2%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Remington Research Group[92] August 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 7 7,769 ± 1.5 %

Kentucky

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Bellwether[93] August 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 25% Donald Trump 41% 16 508 ± 4.0%
Bellwether[94] July 5–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 28% Donald Trump 34% 6 776 ± 3%


Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
RunSwitch PR/Harper[95] July 31 – August 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 13 500 ± 4.4%

Louisiana

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–41%

Two-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
JMC Analytics and Polling[96] May 5–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 52% 16 624 ± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders 32% Donald Trump 55% 23

Maine

4 electoral votes (Statewide vote worth 2 EVs; 1st and 2nd congressional districts worth 1 EV each)
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Univ. of N.H./PPH/Maine Sunday Telegram[97][98] June 15–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 35% 7 475 ± 4.5%
Bangor Daily News[99] March 3–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 34% 9 610 RV ± 3%
Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 31% 26

Maryland

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 62%–36%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[100] April 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 61% Donald Trump 28% 33 879 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 58% Ted Cruz 24% 34
Hillary Clinton 54% John Kasich 33% 21
Bernie Sanders 60% Donald Trump 29% 31
Bernie Sanders 62% Ted Cruz 24% 38
Bernie Sanders 52% John Kasich 32% 20
NBC4/Marist[101] April 5–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 63% Donald Trump 27% 36 2,563 ± 1.9%
Hillary Clinton 60% Ted Cruz 31% 29
Hillary Clinton 55% John Kasich 38% 17
Bernie Sanders 65% Donald Trump 26% 39
Bernie Sanders 63% Ted Cruz 28% 35
Bernie Sanders 55% John Kasich 36% 19
Washington Post/University of Maryland[102] March 30 – April 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 63% Donald Trump 28% 35 1,503 ± N/A%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
OpinionWorks[103] August 18–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 25% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 29 754 ± 3.6%

Massachusetts

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 61%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Boston Globe/Suffolk University[104] May 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 31% 24 500 ± 4.4%
Western New England University[105] April 1–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 62% Donald Trump 26% 36 497 ± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton 63% Ted Cruz 30% 33
Bernie Sanders 70% Donald Trump 23% 47
Bernie Sanders 71% Ted Cruz 24% 47

Michigan

16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[106] August 9–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 39% 10 1,314 ± 2.7%
EPIC-MRA[107] July 30 – August 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 36% 10 600 ± 4%
Mitchell Research[108] July 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 34% 6 600 ± 4.0%
Gravis Marketing[109] July 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 41% 7 1,562 ± 2.4%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 39% 11 300 ± 5.66%
Detroit News/WDIV-TV[110] May 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 39% 4 600 ± 4%
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 33% 19
SurveyUSA[111] March 23–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 38% 11 904 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 46% 5
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 36% 19
Bernie Sanders 56% Ted Cruz 35% 21
Bernie Sanders 47% John Kasich 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Mitt Romney 35% 13
Hillary Clinton 48% Paul Ryan 38% 10
EPIC-MRA[112] March 19–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 37% 10 600 ± 4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[113] March 1–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 36% 16 2,229 ± 2.1%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 41% 7
Bernie Sanders 56% Donald Trump 34% 22
Bernie Sanders 54% Ted Cruz 36% 18
Marketing Resource Group[114] February 22–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 39% 5 600 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 39% 5
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 43% 2%
EPIC-MRA[115] January 23–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 41% 2 600 ± 4%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

 % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 12% 15 300 ± 5.66%
Detroit News/WDIV-TV[110] May 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 12% 4 600 ± 4%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[116] August 25–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 5 800 ± 3.4%
Suffolk University[117] August 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 7 500 ± 4.4%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[106] August 9–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 5% 11 1,314 ± 2.7%
EPIC-MRA[107] July 30 – August 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 11 600 ± 4%
The Detroit News/WDIV-TV[118] July 30 – August 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 9 600 ± 4.0%
CBS News/YouGov[119] July 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 3 1,201 ± 4.1%
Marketing Resource Group[120] July 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 34% Donald Trump 29% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 5 800 ± 3.46%
Gravis Marketing[109] July 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% 3 1,562 ± 2.4%

Minnesota

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Star Tribune[121] April 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 35% 13 800 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 40% 9
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 38% 15
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 36% 14
Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon[122] January 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 38% 5 800 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 49% 9
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 37% 16

Missouri

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49.4%–49.2%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[123] August 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 47% 6 1,055 ± 3.0%
Public Policy Polling[124] August 8–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 45% 3 947 ± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling[125] July 11–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 50% 10 959 ± 3.2%
Missouri Scout[126] May 20–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 46% 6 1301 ± 2.8%
DFM Research[127] March 17–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 40% 2 674 ± 3.8%
Fort Hayes State University[128] March 3–10, 2016 Bernie Sanders 37% Marco Rubio 43% 6 475 ± 4.6%
Hillary Clinton 31% Marco Rubio 49% 18
Bernie Sanders 36% Ted Cruz 45% 9
Hillary Clinton 34% Ted Cruz 51% 17
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 40% 3
Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 43% 5

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Monmouth University[129] August 19–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 8% 1 401 ± 4.9%
SurveyUSA/KSDK[130] July 20–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 8% 10 1,943 ± 2.3%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Remington Research Group[131] August 5–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 2 1,280 ± 3%
St. Louis/Post-Dispatch[132] July 23–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 1% 1 625 ± 4%
Public Policy Polling[125] July 11–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 10 959 ± 3.2%

Nevada

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Two-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 47% 2 300 ± 5.66%
TargetPoint/Just Win Strategies[133] June 14–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 45% 1 200 ?
Gravis Marketing[134] May 24–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 47% 5 1 637 ± 2%

Three-way

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Suffolk [135][136][137] August 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% 2 500 ± 4.4%
KTNV/Rasmussen Reports[138] July 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 10% 1 750 ± 4%
KTNV/Rasmussen Reports[139] July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 8% 5 750 ± 4%
Monmouth University[140] July 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 5% 4 408 ± 4.9%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 9% Tied 300 ± 5.66%
Gravis Marketing[134] May 24–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 8% 3 1 637 ± 2%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
CBS News/YouGov[15] August 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3% 2 993 ± 4.6%

Five-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % IAPN % Unaffiliated % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Suffolk University[135][136][137] August 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43.8% Donald Trump 41.6% Gary Johnson 4.8% Darrell Castle 1% Rocky De La Fuente 1% 2.2 500 ± 4.4%

New Hampshire

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[141] August 30–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5 585 ± 4.1%
Public Policy Polling[142] August 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% 6 977 ± 3.1%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[143] August 20–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% 9 433 ± 4.7%
Public Policy Polling[144] August 5–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 37% 13 802 ± 3.5%
MassINC/WBUR[145] July 29 – August 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 34% 17 609 ± 4%
NH Journal July 19–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 48% 9 1,166 ± 5.1%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[146] July 9–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 37% 2 469 ± 4.5%
American Research Group[147] June 24–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 533 ± 4.2%
Public Policy Polling[7] June 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 39% 4 578 ± 4.1%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 47% 4 300 ± 5.66%
TargetPoint/Just Win Strategies[133] June 14–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% 4 200 ?
Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University[148] May 25–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied 405 ± 4.9%
MassINC/WBUR[149] May 12–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% 2 501 ± 4.4%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 38% 16
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[150] April 7–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 31% 19 553 ± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 34% 14
Hillary Clinton 36% John Kasich 50% 14
Bernie Sanders 58% Donald Trump 31% 27
Bernie Sanders 61% Ted Cruz 30% 31
Bernie Sanders 50% John Kasich 44% 6
Dartmouth College[151] April 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 34% Donald Trump 29% 5 362 ± 5.15%
Hillary Clinton 34% Ted Cruz 33% 1
Hillary Clinton 26% John Kasich 53% 27
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 28% 21
Bernie Sanders 48% Ted Cruz 26% 22
Bernie Sanders 39% John Kasich 44% 5
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[152] February 20–28, 2016 Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 34% 21 628 ± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders 60% Ted Cruz 28% 32
Bernie Sanders 54% Marco Rubio 35% 19
Bernie Sanders 48% John Kasich 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 39% 8
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 35% 11
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 37% John Kasich 47% 10
UMass Lowell/7News[153] February 5–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% 5 1,411 ± 2.99%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 44% 4
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 34% 21
Bernie Sanders 56% Ted Cruz 31% 25
Bernie Sanders 54% Marco Rubio 34% 20
UMass Lowell/7News[154] February 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% 6 1,413 ± 2.97%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 39% 6
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 45% 5
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 33% 22
Bernie Sanders 57% Ted Cruz 30% 27
Bernie Sanders 55% Marco Rubio 35% 20
UMass Lowell/7News[155] February 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 39% 7 1,421 ± 2.90%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 43% 1
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 34% 20
Bernie Sanders 57% Ted Cruz 30% 27
Bernie Sanders 54% Marco Rubio 35% 19
UMass Lowell/7News[156] February 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% 4 1,417 ± 2.89%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 44% 3
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 34% 20
Bernie Sanders 54% Ted Cruz 33% 21
Bernie Sanders 51% Marco Rubio 37% 14
CNN/WMUR[157] January 13–18, 2016 Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 34% 23 903 ± 3.4%
Bernie Sanders 56% Ted Cruz 33% 23
Bernie Sanders 55% Marco Rubio 37% 18
Bernie Sanders 57% Chris Christie 34% 23
Bernie Sanders 54% John Kasich 33% 21
Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 39% 9
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% John Kasich 43% Tied
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[158] January 2–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% 1 957 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 52% 12
Bernie Sanders 56% Donald Trump 37% 19
Bernie Sanders 55% Ted Cruz 36% 19
Bernie Sanders 50% Marco Rubio 41% 9
Public Policy Polling[159] January 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 40% 6 1,036 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 50% Ben Carson 39% 11
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 36% 14
Bernie Sanders 50% Jeb Bush 38% 12
Bernie Sanders 53% Ben Carson 34% 19
Bernie Sanders 55% Ted Cruz 35% 20
Bernie Sanders 51% Marco Rubio 37% 14
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 34% 20

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

 % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 10% Tied 300 ± 5.66%
MassInc/WBUR[149] May 12–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 33% Mitt Romney 21% 4 501 ± 4.4%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[150] April 7–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 22% Donald Trump 19% 22 553 ± 4.2%
Public Policy Polling[160] January 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 28% Donald Trump 18% 19 1,036 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 29% Donald Trump 20% 14

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[143] August 20–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 4% 11 433 ± 4.7%
CBS News/YouGov[54] August 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 9 990 ± 4.3%
Vox Populi[161] August 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 3% 10 820 ± 3.4%
MassInc/WBUR[145] July 29 – August 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 15 609 ± 4%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[162] July 9–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 5% Tied 469 ± 4.2%

New Jersey

14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Fairleigh Dickinson University[163] June 22–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 31% 21 712 ± 3.8%
CBS News/YouGov[164] May 31 – June 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 34% 15 1,194 ± 3.8%
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 34% 18
Monmouth University[165] May 23–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 34% 4 806 ± 3.7%
Fairleigh Dickinson University[166] May 18–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 37% 11 702 ± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 33% 24
Quinnipiac University[167] May 10–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 38% 7 1,989 ± 2.2%
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 37% 12
Rutgers[168] April 1–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 36% 14 738 ± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 35% 15
Hillary Clinton 43% John Kasich 43% Tied
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 34% 21
Fairleigh Dickinson University[169] February 24–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 36% 16 694 ± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 36% 15

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

 % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Fairleigh Dickinson University[163] June 22–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 9% 12 712 ± 3.8%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Monmouth University[165] May 23–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 4% 6 806 ± 3.7%

New Mexico

5 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–43%

Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[170] May 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 14% 8 802 ± 3.5%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[171] August 19–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 16% Jill Stein 4% 9 1,103 ± 3% [172]

New York

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Siena College[173] August 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 57% Donald Trump 27% 30 717 ± 4.3%
Gravis Marketing[174] August 4–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 36% 17 1,717 ±2.4%
Quinnipiac University[175] July 13–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 35% 12 1,104 ± 3%
Siena College[176] June 22–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 31% 23 803 ± 4.0%
Siena College[177] May 22–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 31% 21 825 ± 3.9%
Siena College[178] April 24–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump 30% 26 802 ± 4.1%
Emerson College[179] April 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 36% 19 1,047 ± 2.95%
Hillary Clinton 59% Ted Cruz 28% 31
Hillary Clinton 49% John Kasich 39% 10
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 37% 14
Bernie Sanders 58% Ted Cruz 27% 31
Public Policy Polling[180] April 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 35% 20 1,403 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 56% Ted Cruz 30% 26
Hillary Clinton 50% John Kasich 36% 14
Bernie Sanders 58% Donald Trump 33% 25
Bernie Sanders 59% Ted Cruz 27% 32
Bernie Sanders 54% John Kasich 35% 19
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[181] April 6–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 61% Donald Trump 32% 29 1,987 ± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton 61% Ted Cruz 31% 30
Hillary Clinton 53% John Kasich 38% 15
Bernie Sanders 64% Donald Trump 31% 33
Bernie Sanders 65% Ted Cruz 28% 37
Bernie Sanders 57% John Kasich 35% 22
NY1/Baruch College[182] April 5–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 35% 16 1,306 ± 2.9%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 32% 22
Emerson College[183] April 6–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 36% 18 864 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 58% Ted Cruz 30% 28
Hillary Clinton 48% John Kasich 41% 7
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 38% 13
Bernie Sanders 56% Ted Cruz 29% 27
Fox News[184] April 4–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 37% 16 1,403 ± 2.5%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 35% 19
Quinnipiac University[185] March 22–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 33% 20 1,667 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 53% Ted Cruz 32% 21
Hillary Clinton 46% John Kasich 41% 5
Bernie Sanders 56% Donald Trump 32% 24
Bernie Sanders 56% Ted Cruz 28% 28
Bernie Sanders 47% John Kasich 37% 10
Emerson College[186] March 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 36% 19 768 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 61% Ted Cruz 30% 31
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 36% 17
Siena College[187] February 28 – March 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 56% Marco Rubio 35% 21 800 ± 4.1%
Hillary Clinton 58% Ted Cruz 33% 25
Hillary Clinton 57% Donald Trump 34% 23
Hillary Clinton 49% John Kasich 42% 7
Bernie Sanders 58% Marco Rubio 32% 26
Bernie Sanders 63% Ted Cruz 26% 37
Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 33% 24
Bernie Sanders 54% John Kasich 35% 19
Siena College[188] January 31 – February 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Marco Rubio 37% 17 930 ± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 34% 23
Hillary Clinton 57% Donald Trump 32% 25
Hillary Clinton 57% Jeb Bush 33% 24
Hillary Clinton 57% John Kasich 31% 26
Hillary Clinton 55% Chris Christie 36% 19
Bernie Sanders 56% Marco Rubio 34% 22
Bernie Sanders 60% Ted Cruz 30% 30
Bernie Sanders 63% Donald Trump 30% 33
Bernie Sanders 61% Jeb Bush 30% 31
Bernie Sanders 59% John Kasich 29% 30
Bernie Sanders 58% Chris Christie 35% 23

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

 % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Siena College[187] February 28 – March 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 25% Michael Bloomberg 26% 16 800 ± 4.1%
Bernie Sanders 42% Donald Trump 24% Michael Bloomberg 28% 14

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian
Independence		 % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[189] August 28–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 18 800 ± 3.4%
Siena College[173] August 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 25% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 6% 25 717 ± 4.3%
Gravis Marketing[174] August 4–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 4% 14 1,717 ±2.4%
Quinnipiac University[175] July 13–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 4% 12 1,104 ± 3%

North Carolina

15 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 50%–48%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[190] August 29 – September 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 43% 4 751 ± 3.6%
Public Policy Polling[191] August 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% 1 1,177
CNN/ORC[192] August 18–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 47% 1 803 ± 3.5%
Gravis Marketing[193] August 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 43% 1 723 ± 3.6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[35] August 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 39% 9 921 ± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling[194] August 5–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 46% 1 830 ± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[37] July 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 38% 6 907 ± 3.3%
Public Policy Polling[195] June 20–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 48% 2 942 ± 3.2%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 41% 10 300 ± 5.66%
Public Policy Polling[196] May 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 47% 4 928 3.2%
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 44% 4
Civitas[197] April 23–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 37% 12 600 4.0%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 35% 19
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 40% 6
Bernie Sanders 52% Ted Cruz 36% 16
Public Policy Polling[198] April 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied 960 3.2
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 39% John Kasich 46% 7
Bernie Sanders 46% Donald Trump 43% 3
Bernie Sanders 46% Ted Cruz 38% 8
Bernie Sanders 41% John Kasich 43% 2
Elon University[199] April 10–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% 6 621 3.96
Hillary Clinton 41% Ted Cruz 44% 3
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 38% 13
Bernie Sanders 49% Ted Cruz 39% 10
Public Policy Polling[200] March 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% 2 843 3.4
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 49% 8
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 41% 7
Bernie Sanders 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Bernie Sanders 41% John Kasich 44% 3
Elon University[201] February 15–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 41% 6 1,530 2.51
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 46% Tied
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 48% 3
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 40% 8
Bernie Sanders 47% Ted Cruz 43% 4
Bernie Sanders 43% Marco Rubio 46% 3
SurveyUSA[202] February 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 45% 2 1,250 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 48% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 49% 7
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied
Bernie Sanders 46% Ted Cruz 42% 4
Bernie Sanders 45% Marco Rubio 44% 1
Public Policy Polling[203] February 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 44% 2 1,291 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 49% 9
Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 44% 1
Bernie Sanders 43% Jeb Bush 42% 1
Bernie Sanders 43% Ted Cruz 43% Tied
Bernie Sanders 41% Marco Rubio 45% 4
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 42% 2
Public Policy Polling[204] January 18–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 45% 2 948 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ben Carson 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 47% 5
Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 45% 2
Bernie Sanders 41% Jeb Bush 42% 1
Bernie Sanders 40% Ben Carson 44% 4
Bernie Sanders 38% Ted Cruz 43% 5
Bernie Sanders 39% Marco Rubio 43% 4
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 44% 1

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

 % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[190] August 29 – September 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 15% 4 751 ± 3.6%
Monmouth University[205] August 20–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 7% 2 401 ± 4.9%
CNN/ORC[192] August 18–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 9% Tied 803 ± 3.5%
Civitas/SurveyUSA[206] July 31 – August 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 6% 4 400 ± 5.0%
Civitas[207] June 21–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 6% 2 600 ± 4.0%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 8% 10 300 ± 5.66%
Civitas[208] May 21–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 8% 3 600 ± 4.0%
Public Policy Polling[203] February 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 39% Michael Bloomberg 14% 2 1,291 ± 2.7%
Bernie Sanders 34% Donald Trump 40% Michael Bloomberg 16% 6
Public Policy Polling[204] January 18–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 41% Michael Bloomberg 10% 1 948 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 42% Jim Webb 7% 2

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
CBS News/YouGov[209] August 30 – September 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 4 1,088 ± 4%
Emerson College[210] August 27–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 2 800 ± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing[193] August 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 2% 1 723 ± 3.6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[35] August 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 2% 9 921 ± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling[194] August 5–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 2 830 ± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[37] July 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 6 907 ± 3.3%
CBS News/YouGov[211] June 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% 2 988 ± 4%
Public Policy Polling[195] June 20–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% Tied 947 ± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling[196] May 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 2 928 3.2%
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 3

Ohio

18 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–48%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[190] August 29 – September 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 46% 1 775 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[212] August 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% 4 1,134 ± 2.9%
OnMessage August 13–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 45% Tied 600 ± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] August 3–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 38% 5 889 ± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University[213] July 30 – August 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 45% 4 812 ± 3.4%
Public Policy Polling[214] July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 45% Tied 1,334 ± 2.7%
Suffolk University[215] July 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied 500 ± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University[216] June 30 – July 11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 41% Tied 955 ± 3.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[217] July 5–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 39% Tied 848 ± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing/One America News[218] June 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 47% 1 1,270 ± 2.8%
Public Policy Polling[7] June 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% 4 708 ± 3.7%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 48% 1 300 ± 5.66%
Quinnipiac University[219] June 8–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 40% Tied 971 ± 3.1%
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 38% 10
Zogby Analytics[220] May 18–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% 6 679 ± 3.8%
CBS News/YouGov[221] May 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 39% 5 992 ± 3.7%
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 39% 9
Quinnipiac University[222] April 27 – May 8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 43% 4 1,042 ± 3.0%
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 42% 2
Public Policy Polling[223] April 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 42% 3 799 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 35% 9
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 43% 2
Bernie Sanders 45% Donald Trump 41% 4
Bernie Sanders 44% Ted Cruz 35% 9
Bernie Sanders 37% John Kasich 47% 10
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[224] March 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 42% 6 2,052 ± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 47% 2
Hillary Clinton 36% John Kasich 57% 21
Bernie Sanders 50% Donald Trump 41% 9
Bernie Sanders 45% Ted Cruz 44% 1
Public Policy Polling[225] March 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 40% 5 1,248 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 37% John Kasich 52% 15
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% 5
Bernie Sanders 44% Ted Cruz 38% 6
Bernie Sanders 34% John Kasich 54% 20
Bernie Sanders 42% Marco Rubio 38% 4
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 40% 4
CNN/ORC[226] March 2–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 43% 7 884 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 46% 2
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 42% 9
Quinnipiac University[227] February 16–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 46% 3 1,539 2.5%
Hillary Clinton 37% John Kasich 54% 17
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 47% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% 2
Bernie Sanders 44% Ted Cruz 42% 2
Bernie Sanders 35% John Kasich 54% 19
Bernie Sanders 42% Marco Rubio 44% 2
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

 % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 14% Tied 300 ± 5.66%
Public Policy Polling[225] March 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 15% Tied 1,248 ± 2.8%
Bernie Sanders 38% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 13% 1
Quinnipiac University[227] February 16–20, 2016 Bernie Sanders 37% Ted Cruz 37% Michael Bloomberg 11% Tied 1,539 ± 2.5%
Bernie Sanders 35% Donald Trump 38% Michael Bloomberg 13% 3

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[190] August 29 – September 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 14% Jill Stein 4% 4 775 ± 3.5%
Emerson College[116] August 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 2% Tied 800 ± 3.4%
Monmouth University[228] August 18–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein <1% 4 402 ± 4.9%
CBS News/YouGov[84] August 17–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 6 997 ± 3.9%
OnMessage August 13–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% Tied 600 ± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] August 3–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 4% 4 889 ± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University[213] July 30 – August 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 2 812 ± 3.4%
Public Policy Polling[214] July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 3 1,334 ± 2.7%
Suffolk University[215] July 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 4 500 ± 4.4%
CBS News/YouGov[229] July 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 4 1,104 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[216] June 30 – July 11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 6% 1 955 ± 3.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[217] July 5–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 3 848 ± 3.4%
Quinnipiac University[219] June 8–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 2 971 ± 3.1%

Oklahoma

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 67%–33%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

 % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
SoonerPoll[230] July 20–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 29% Donald Trump 53% Gary Johnson 7% 24 298 ± 4.91%
Cole Hargrave[231] May 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 28% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 6% 20 500 ± 4.3%

Oregon

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–42%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Portland Tribune/iCitizen[232] June 23–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 32% 14 555 ± 4.0%
Clout Research[233] May 10–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% 2 657 ± 3.82%
DHM Research[234] May 6–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 32% 11 901 ± 3.3%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Clout Research[235] July 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 3% 3 701 ± 3.7%

Pennsylvania

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–47%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[190] August 29 – September 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% 5 778 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[236] August 30–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 814 ± 3.4%
GBA Strategies[237] August 21–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% 5 1,200 ± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling[238] August 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% 5 1,194 ± %
Franklin & Marshall College[239] August 25–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 40% 7 496 ± 5.6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] August 3–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 37% 11 834 ± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University[213] July 30 – August 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 42% 10 815 ± 3.4%
Susquehanna/ABC27 News[240] July 31 – August 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 37% 10 772 ± 3.53%
Franklin & Marshall College[241] July 29 – August 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 38% 11 389 ± 6.3%
Public Policy Polling[242] July 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 45% 4 1,505 ± 2.5%
Suffolk University[243] July 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 41% 9 500 ± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University[216] June 30 – July 11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 43% 2 982 ± 3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[244] July 5–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% 9 829 ± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[245] June 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 47% 1 1,958 ± 2.2%
Public Policy Polling[7] June 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% 4 980 ± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University[219] June 8–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 41% 1 950 ± 3.2%
Bernie Sanders 47% Donald Trump 40% 7
Public Policy Polling[246] June 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied 1,106 ± 3.0%
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 39% 12
Quinnipiac University[222] April 27 – May 8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 42% 1 1,077 ± 3.0%
Bernie Sanders 47% Donald Trump 41% 6
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[247] April 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 39% 15 2,606 ± 1.9%
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 41% 11
Hillary Clinton 45% John Kasich 48% 3
Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 37% 20
Bernie Sanders 58% Ted Cruz 36% 22
Bernie Sanders 50% John Kasich 44% 6
Fox News[248] April 4–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied 1,607 ± 2.5%
Quinnipiac University[249] March 30 – April 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 42% 3 1,737 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 43% Tied
Hillary Clinton 35% John Kasich 51% 16
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 40% 8
Bernie Sanders 46% Ted Cruz 38% 8
Bernie Sanders 40% John Kasich 46% 6
Franklin & Marshall College[250] March 14–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 33% 13 828 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 35% 10
Mercyhurst University[251] March 1–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 35% 8 421 ± 4.8%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 36% John Kasich 49% 13
Hillary Clinton 39% Marco Rubio 47% 8
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 37% 12
Bernie Sanders 48% Ted Cruz 40% 8
Bernie Sanders 42% John Kasich 46% 4
Bernie Sanders 41% Marco Rubio 46% 5
Harper Polling[252] March 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% 5 662 ± 3.75%
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 40% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 37% 11

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
GBA Strategies[237] August 21–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 10% 6 1,200 ± 4.4%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 13% 9 300 ± 5.66%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[190] August 29 – September 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 5 778 ± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov[253] August 30 – September 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 8 1,091 ± 4.1%
Monmouth University[254] August 26–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% 8 402 ± 4.9%
Franklin & Marshall College[239] August 25–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 3 736 ± 4.6%
Emerson College[116] August 25–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 3 800 ± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] August 3–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 9 834 ± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University[213] July 30 – August 7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 9 815 ± 3.4%
Susquehanna/ABC27 News[240] July 31 – August 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 9 772 ± 3.53%
Franklin & Marshall College[241] July 29 – August 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 13 496 ± 6.1%
Public Policy Polling[242] July 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 3 1,505 ± 2.5%
Suffolk University[243] July 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 9 500 ± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University[216] June 30 – July 11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 34% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 6 982 ± 3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[244] July 5–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 8 829 ± 3.4%
Quinnipiac University[219] June 8–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 4% 3 950 ± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling[246] June 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 3% 1 1,106 ± 3.0%
Bernie Sanders 45% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 9

South Carolina

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Feldman[255] August 18–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 45% 2 600 ± 4%
Gravis Marketing[256] August 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 46% 4 768 ± 3.5%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
First Tuesday Strategies[257] August 30 – September 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 50% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 12 775 ± 3.5%
Feldman[255] August 18–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% Tied 600 ± 4%
Gravis Marketing[256] August 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 4 768 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[258] August 9–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 2 1,290 ± 2.7%

Tennessee

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 59%–39%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
iCitizen[259] July 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 33% Donald Trump 49% 16 655 ± N/A%
Vanderbilt University/PSRA[260] April 25 – May 11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 44% 9 1,001 ± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton 34% Ted Cruz 44% 10


Texas

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2012) 57%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[261] August 12–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 50% 6 944 ± 3.2%
KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Poll[262] August 8–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 46% 11 1,018 ± 3.1%
Texas Tribune/YouGov[263] June 10–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 33% Donald Trump 41% 8 1,200 ± 2.83%
SurveyUSA[264] February 21–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 47% 3 1,289 ± 3%
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 42% Ted Cruz 50% 8
Bernie Sanders 41% Ted Cruz 50% 9
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 51% 10
Bernie Sanders 40% Marco Rubio 50% 10

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Texas Tribune/YouGov[263] June 10–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 32% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 7% 7 1,200 ± 2.83%
Leland Beatty[265] June 13–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 30% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 3% 7 998 ± 3.1%

Five-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[261] August 12–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% Evan McMullin 0% 6 944 ± 3.2%

Utah

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 73%–25%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[266] August 19–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 33% Donald Trump 53% 20 1,018 ± 3.1%
Gravis Marketing[267] May 31 – June 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 29% Donald Trump 36% 7 1,519 ± 2.5%
Dan Jones & Associates[268] May 2–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 30% Donald Trump 43% 13 588 ± 4.04%
Bernie Sanders 37% Donald Trump 43% 6
Dan Jones & Associates[269] March 23 – April 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 38% Tied 600 ± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton 26% Ted Cruz 67% 41
Hillary Clinton 23% John Kasich 68% 45
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 35% 14
Bernie Sanders 32% Ted Cruz 63% 31
Bernie Sanders 30% John Kasich 64% 34
Dan Jones & Associates[270] March 8–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 36% 2 500 ± 4.38%
Hillary Clinton 32% Ted Cruz 60% 28
Hillary Clinton 29% John Kasich 59% 30
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 37% 11
Bernie Sanders 39% Ted Cruz 53% 14
Bernie Sanders 35% John Kasich 54% 19
Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
SurveyUSA/Salt Lake Tribune[271] June 2–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 13% Tied 1,238 ± 2.8%
Bernie Sanders 37% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 12% 2
Gravis Marketing[267] May 31 – June 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 26% Donald Trump 29% Gary Johnson 16% 3 1,519 ± 2.5%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Dan Jones & Associates[272] July 18 – August 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 25% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 16% Jill Stein 1% 12 858 ± 3.34%
Dan Jones & Associates[273] June 8–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 27% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 2% 9 614 ± 3.95%
Six-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Constitution % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[266] August 19–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 24% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 5% Darrell Castle 2% Evan McMullin 9% 15 1,018 ± 3.1%

Vermont

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%
(Democratic in 2012) 67%–31%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
VPR[274] July 11–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 17% Gary Johnson 5% 22 637 ±3.9%
FM3 Research[275] June 27 – July 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 24% Gary Johnson 10% 15 600 ± ?%

Virginia

13 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–47%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Hampton University[276] August 24–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 41% 2 801 ± 4.7%
Roanoke College[277] August 7–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 36% 19 803 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[34] August 9–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 38% 12 808 ± 3.5%
Washington Post[278] August 11–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 43% 8 707 ± 4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[35] August 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 33% 13 897 ± 3.3%
RABA Research[279] July 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 46% 4 655 ± 3.8%
Fox News[280] July 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 37% 7 601 ± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[37] July 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 35% 9 876 ± 3.3%
Hampton University[281] July 6–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 39% Tied 805 ± 4.6%
Public Policy Polling[282] June 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 45% 3 1,032 ± 3.1%
Gravis Marketing[283] May 24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 41% 4 1,728 ± 2%
Roanoke College[284] May 9–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 38% Tied 610 ± 4.0%
Christopher Newport University[285] March 23 – April 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 35% 9 1,167 ± 3.1%
Roanoke College[286] January 18–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 35% 17 524 ± 4.3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 41% 4
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 33% 22
Bernie Sanders 48% Marco Rubio 38% 10
Bernie Sanders 49% Ted Cruz 37% 12

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

 % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
CBS News/YouGov[15] August 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 7% 12 1,181 ± 3.7%
Gravis Marketing[283] May 24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 6% 6 1,728 ± 2%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[83] August 30 – September 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 3% 1 800 ± 3.4%
Roanoke College[277] August 7–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 16 803 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[34] August 9–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 5% 11 808 ± 3.5%
Washington Post[278] August 11–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 7 707 ± 4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[35] August 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 5% 12 897 ± 3.3%
Fox News[280] July 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 4% 5 601 ± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[37] July 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 2% 7 876 ± 3.3%
Public Policy Polling[282] June 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 3 1,032 ± 3.1%

Washington

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Elway Poll[287] August 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 24% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 4% 19 500 ± 4.5%

West Virginia

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 62%–36%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[288] April 29 – May 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 30% Donald Trump 57% 27 1,201 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 31% Ted Cruz 44% 13
Hillary Clinton 27% John Kasich 52% 25
Bernie Sanders 35% Donald Trump 56% 21
Bernie Sanders 39% Ted Cruz 40% 1
Bernie Sanders 31% John Kasich 48% 17

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green Party % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Repass Research[289] August 9–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 31% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 4% 18 386 4.7%

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[290] August 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 41% 7 1,054
Marquette University[291] August 25–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 42% 3 615 ± 5.0%
Marquette University[292] August 4–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 36% 10 805 ± 4.6%
Marquette University[293] July 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 41% 4 629 ± 4.5%
Public Policy Polling[7] June 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 39% 8 843 ± 3.4%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 36% 11 300 ± 5.66%
Marquette University[294] June 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 37% 9 666 ± 4.9%
Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 33% 24
Public Opinion Strategies[295] May 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 31% 12 600 ± 4.0%
St. Norbert College/WPR/WPT[296] April 12–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 34% 12 616 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 44% 1
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 33% 19
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 40% 10
Emerson College[297] March 30 – April 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 37% 10 1,198 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 38% John Kasich 52% 14
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 37% 14
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 41% 9
Fox News[298] March 28–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 35% 14 1,602 ± 2.5%
Marquette University[299] March 24–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 37% 10 1,405 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 44% Tied
Hillary Clinton 39% John Kasich 48% 9
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 35% 19
Bernie Sanders 52% Ted Cruz 39% 13
Bernie Sanders 46% John Kasich 44% 2
Emerson College[300] March 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 38% 9 922 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 45% 1
Bernie Sanders 47% Donald Trump 39% 9
Marquette University[301] February 18–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 37% 10 802 ± 4.5%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 43% Tied
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 43% 1
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 34% 20
Bernie Sanders 53% Ted Cruz 35% 18
Bernie Sanders 53% Marco Rubio 35% 18
Marquette University[302] January 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 38% 9 806 ± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 44% 1
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 34% 18
Bernie Sanders 49% Marco Rubio 38% 11
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 38% 12

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 16% 12 300 ± 5.66%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Monmouth University[303] August 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 5 404 ± 4.9%
Marquette University[291] August 25–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 4% 3 615 ± 5.0%
Marquette University[292] August 4–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 4% 9 805 ± 4.6%
Marquette University[293] July 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 6 629 ± 4.5%
CBS News/YouGov[304] June 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 5 993 ± 4.3%

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