Opinion polling for the 2002 New Zealand general election

Opinion polling was commissioned throughout the duration of the 46th New Zealand Parliament in the lead up to the 2002 election by various organisations.

Party vote

Polls are listed in the table below in chronological order. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between survey firms.

Graphical summary

2-point average trend line of poll results leading up to the 2002 general election.
  Labour
  ACT
  Green

Individual polls

Poll Date[nb 1] Labour National Alliance ACT Green NZ First United
Future
Prog
1999 election result[1]27 Nov 1999 38.7430.507.747.045.164.26N/A[nb 2]
TV3/CM Research poll[2] 28 Feb 2000 51305443
One News Colmar Brunton[2] 28 Feb 2000 50314.354.32.1
TV3/CM Research poll[3] 18 Apr 2000 53283451
TV3/CM Research poll[4] 26 Jun 2000 46344452
Herald-DigiPoll 30 Jun 2000 433281036
June 2000 – Dover Samuels resigns from Cabinet pending an investigation into alleged sex crimes committed before he entered politics.
TV3/CM Research poll[5] 22 Aug 2000 47363452
NBR-Compaq 7–10 Sep 2000 3641647
TV3/CM Research poll[6] 31 Oct 2000 44395342
TV3/CM Research poll[7] 20 Feb 2001 49344.53.64.71.5
TV3-NFO 9 Apr 2001 50323.74.2520.5
NBR-Compaq 5 May 2001 4332566.5
One News Colmar Brunton 14 May 2001 444126
TV3-NFO 11 Jun 2001 49313.5273.3
8 October 2001 – Bill English is elected leader of the National Party.
One News Colmar Brunton 9–12 Oct 2001 463923.153.5
NBR-Compaq 19 Oct 2001 43333.85.283.6
One News Colmar Brunton 12 Nov 2001 44404352
TV3/CM Research poll[8] 17 Dec 2001 45353363
TV3/CM Research poll[9] 27 Feb 2002 54302.2362.2
April 2002 – Jim Anderton leaves the Alliance and Laila Harré replaces him as leader.
NBR HP-Invent 7 Jun 2002 53290.54.57.23.31.3
TV3-NFO 10 Jun 2002 56241.23.993.1<0.5<0.5
Herald-DigiPoll 10 Jun 2002 49.931.20.14.77.72.50.10.7
One News Colmar Brunton 17 Jun 2002 53270.54932
Herald-DigiPoll 26 Jun 2002 52.125.70.54.48.33.82
Herald-DigiPoll 3 Jul 2002 51.224.60.45.79.64.40.11.4
TV3-NFO 5 Jul 2002 51241.1510.85.71.1
Herald-DigiPoll 11 Jul 2002 4824.50.45.810.16.40.71.5
TV3-NFO 11 Jul 2002 48241.26.37.97.90.90.8
One News Colmar Brunton 15 Jul 2002 462718961
Herald-DigiPoll 17 Jul 2002 46.723.10.45.511.38.31.11.3
TV3-NFO 18 Jul 2002 46251.46980.70.7
Herald-DigiPoll 22 Jul 2002 40.823.60.48.16.910.26.61.3
One News Colmar Brunton 25 Jul 2002 44211781040.5
TV3-NFO 25 Jul 2002 43211.48983.91.2
Herald-DigiPoll 26 Jul 2002 38.823.21.38.999.65.41.4
2002 election result[10]27 Jul 2002 41.2620.931.277.147.0010.386.691.70

Preferred Prime Minister

Individual polls

Poll Date[nb 1] Helen Clark Jenny Shipley Winston Peters Jim Anderton
TV3/CM Research poll[2] 28 Feb 2000 3613--
One News Colmar Brunton[2] 28 Feb 2000 4316--
TV3/CM Research poll[3] 18 Apr 2000 4213--
TV3/CM Research poll[5] 22 Aug 2000 3116--
TV3/CM Research poll[6] 18 Apr 2000 2814--
TV3/CM Research poll[4] 20 Feb 2001 3516--
TV3/CM Research poll[7] 20 Feb 2001 3013--
TV3-NFO 9 Apr 2001 3611
One News Colmar Brunton 14 May 2001 37173
Poll Date[nb 1] Helen Clark Bill English Winston Peters Jim Anderton
One News Colmar Brunton 9–12 Oct 2001 4121
One News Colmar Brunton 12 Nov 2001 4019
TV3/CM Research poll[8] 17 Dec 2001 4117--
TV3/CM Research poll[9] 27 Feb 2002 411053
One News Colmar Brunton 17 Jun 2002 521742
One News Colmar Brunton 15 Jul 2002 481972

Electorate polling

Candidate vote

Poll Date[nb 1] Marian Hobbs Hekia Parata Robert Reid
Dominion Post BRC 2-4 Jul 2002 32151

Candidate vote

Poll Date[nb 1] Jim Anderton Mike Mora Alex Neil Sean Gourley
UMR Research 22 Jul 2002 40.626.4192

Candidate vote

Poll Date[nb 1] Lynne Pillay Laila Harré Marie Hasler
Consumer Link 24 Jul 2002 332524

Candidate vote

Poll Date[nb 1] Sandra Goudie Max Purnell Jeanette Fitzsimons
Consumer Link 24 Jul 2002 332724

Candidate vote

Poll Date[nb 1] Dover Samuels Mere
Mangu
Marae DigiPoll 6–17 Jul 2002 449

See also

Notes

  1. These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.
  2. United Future was founded in 2000 and Jim Anderton's Progressive Party was founded in 2002, thus neither party contested the 1999 general election.

References

  1. "1999 GENERAL ELECTION - Summary of Overall Results". Wellington: Electoral Commission. 27 November 1999. Retrieved 15 December 2017.
  2. "Labour rockets up the polls with Clark top choice". Waikato Times. 29 February 2000. p. 2.
  3. "PM, Labour honeymoon continues". The Press. 18 April 2000. p. 7.
  4. "Labour support falls - poll". The Evening Post. 27 June 2000. p. 2.
  5. "Labour retains lead". The Press. 22 August 2000. p. 2.
  6. "Labour dips but still ahead - poll". The Evening Post. 31 October 2000. p. 2.
  7. "Labour further ahead despite controversy". Waikato Times. 20 February 2001. p. 11.
  8. "Latest poll sees Labour maintain lead". Waikato Times. 17 December 2001. p. 2.
  9. "Poll news birthday lift for PM". The Press. 27 February 2002. p. 6.
  10. "Official Count Results -- Overall Status". Wellington: Electoral Commission. 10 August 2002. Retrieved 15 December 2017.
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