Opinion polling for the 2022 Brazilian general election
Since the previous elections in 2018, polling companies have published surveys tracking voting intention for the 2022 Brazilian general election. The results of these surveys are listed below in reverse chronological order and include parties whose candidates frequently poll above 3% of the vote as well as the incumbent President of Brazil Jair Bolsonaro.
Presidential election
First round
Active candidates |
Jair Bolsonaro (PSL/Ind.) |
Lula (PT) |
Fernando Haddad (PT) |
Ciro Gomes (PDT) |
João Doria (PSDB) |
Sérgio Moro (Ind.) |
Luciano Huck (Ind.) |
Others |
Abstentions/Undecided |
2021
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro PSL/APB |
Lula* PT |
Haddad PT |
Dino PCdoB |
Gomes PDT |
Boulos PSOL |
Doria PSDB |
Amoêdo NOVO |
MDB | Silva REDE |
PODE | Moro Indep. |
Huck Indep. |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Exame/IDEIA | 24−28 Jan | 1,200 | 36% | 17% | − | − | 11% | 8% | 6% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 22% | 19% |
33% | 15% | − | − | 10% | 5% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 10% | − | 26% | 18% | |||
32% | 17% | − | 3% | 10% | 5% | 3% | − | − | − | − | 7% | 8% | 1% | 15% | 15% | |||
Paraná Pesquisas | 22−26 Jan | 2,002 | 30.5% | − | 9.5% | − | 10.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | − | − | − | 12% | 8.1% | − | 17.4% | 18.5% |
31% | 17.3% | − | − | 9.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | − | 2.3% | − | 12.1% | − | − | 15.8% | 13.7% | |||
33.7% | − | 11.7% | 1% | 12.1% | − | 6.7% | 3.1% | − | − | − | − | 9.4% | 3.8% | 19.1% | 21.6% | |||
Atlas Político | 20−24 Jan | 3,073 | 34.4% | − | 13.4% | − | 11.6% | − | 4.3% | − | − | − | − | 11.6% | − | 4.8% | 19.9% | 21% |
34.5% | 22.3% | − | 1.4% | 8.8% | − | 3.6% | − | − | − | − | 11.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | |||
XP/Ipespe | 11−14 Jan | 1,000 | 28% | − | 11% | − | 11% | 5% | 4% | 3% | − | − | − | 12% | 7% | - | 18% | 16% |
*Former president Lula is ineligible.[1] |
2020
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro PSL/APB |
Lula* PT |
Haddad PT |
Dino PCdoB |
Gomes PDT |
Boulos PSOL |
Doria PSDB |
Amoêdo NOVO |
Silva REDE |
Moro Indep. |
Huck Indep. |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PoderData | 21−23 Dec | 2,500 | 36% | − | 13% | 1% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | − | 7% | 9% | 1% | 12% | 23% |
XP Investimentos | 7−9 Dec | 1,000 | 29% | − | 12% | − | 9% | 5% | 4% | 3% | − | 11% | 7% | 2% | 19% | 17% |
Exame/IDEIA | 30 Nov−3 Dec | 1,200 | 28% | 16% | − | 1% | 7% | − | 4% | 1% | 1% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 24% | 12% |
Paraná Pesquisas | 28 Nov−1 Dec | 2,036 | 33.3% | − | 8.8% | − | 10% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | − | 11.8% | 7.8% | − | 16% | 21.5% |
32.9% | 17.8% | − | − | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 11.9% | − | − | 15.2% | 15.1% | |||
35.8% | − | 11.5% | 1.2% | 12.1% | − | 4.8% | 3.5% | − | − | 9.5% | 2.7% | 19.1% | 23.7% | |||
XP Investimentos | 18−20 Nov | 1.000 | 29% | − | 13% | − | 8% | 5% | 3% | 4% | − | 13% | 7% | 3% | 19% | 16% |
XP Investimentos | 8−11 Oct | 1,000 | 31% | − | 14% | − | 10% | − | 3% | 3% | − | 11% | 5% | 3% | 20% | 17% |
Exame/IDEIA | 5−8 Oct | 1,200 | 30% | 18% | − | 1% | 9% | − | 4% | 1% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 19% | 12% |
PoderData | 14−16 Sep | 2,500 | 35% | − | 10% | 4% | 7% | − | 5% | − | − | 13% | − | 7% | 19% | 22% |
35% | 21% | − | 3% | 3% | − | 4% | − | − | 11% | − | 5% | 18% | 14% | |||
Exame/IDEIA | 24−31 Aug | 1,235 | 31% | 17% | - | 1% | 6% | − | 3% | 3% | 2% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 14% | 14% |
Fórum/Offerwise | 21−24 Aug | 1,000 | 41.7% | − | 14.8% | 1.2% | 7.7% | − | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 1.6% | − | 26.9% |
PoderData | 3−5 Aug | 2,500 | 38% | − | 14% | 3% | 6% | − | 4% | − | − | 10% | − | 5% | 20% | 24% |
Paraná Pesquisas | 18−21 Jul | 2,030 | 29% | − | 13.4% | − | 9.9% | − | 4.0% | 3.4% | − | 17.1% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 14.9% | 11.9% |
27.5% | 21.9% | − | − | 8.3% | − | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 16.8% | − | 1.6% | 14.1% | 5.6% | |||
30.7% | − | 14.5% | 1.6% | 10.7% | − | 4.6% | 4% | − | − | 8.3% | 6.6% | 18.9% | 16.2% | |||
Quaest | 14−17 Jun | 1,000 | 22% | − | 13% | − | 12% | − | 2% | − | − | 19% | 5% | 3% | 23% | 3% |
Paraná Pesquisas | 27–29 Apr | 2,006 | 27% | − | 14.1% | − | 10.3% | − | 3.7% | 4% | − | 18.1% | 6% | 2.2% | 14.6% | 8.9% |
26.3% | 23.1% | − | − | 8.1% | − | 3.8% | 4% | 2.3% | 17.5% | − | 1.9% | 13% | 3.2% | |||
29.1% | − | 15.4% | 1.4% | 11.1% | − | 4.4% | 4.5% | − | − | 8.1% | 7.9% | 18.1% | 13.7% | |||
Veja/FSB | 7–10 Feb | 2,000 | 37% | − | 13% | − | 11% | − | 3% | 5% | − | − | 12% | − | 21% | 24% |
31% | 28% | − | − | 8% | − | 4% | 5% | − | − | 11% | − | 12% | 3% | |||
28% | − | 15% | − | 9% | − | 3% | 4% | − | 17% | 13% | − | 12% | 11% | |||
− | − | 14% | − | 12% | − | 4% | 5% | − | 31% | 16% | − | 19% | 15% | |||
− | 28% | − | − | 9% | − | 3% | 5% | − | 33% | 10% | − | 13% | 5% | |||
Atlas Político | 7–9 Feb | 2,000 | 41% | − | − | 13% | − | − | 2.5% | − | − | − | 14% | − | 27% | 27% |
32% | 28% | − | 3% | − | − | 0.6% | − | − | 20% | 14% | − | 9% | 4% | |||
CNT/MDA | 15–18 Jan | 2,002 | 29.1% | 17% | 2.3% | − | 3.5% | − | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 2.7% | 40.7% | 12.2% |
2018 general election | 7 Oct | − | 46.03% | − | 29.28% | − | 12.47% | 0.58% | 4.76% | 2.50% | 1.00% | − | − | 3.38% | − | 16.75% |
*Former president Lula is ineligible.[2] |
2019
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro PSL/APB |
Lula* PT |
Haddad PT |
Gomes PDT |
Doria PSDB |
Amoêdo NOVO |
Moro Indep. |
Huck Indep. |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Veja/FSB | 11 Nov–2 Dec | 2,000 | 33% | − | 15% | 11% | 3% | 5% | − | 12% | − | 22% | 18% |
32% | 29% | − | 9% | 4% | 5% | − | 9% | − | 12% | 3% | |||
28% | − | 16% | 11% | 2% | 4% | 15% | 13% | − | 12% | 12% | |||
− | − | 16% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 32% | 15% | − | 17% | 16% | |||
− | 29% | − | 9% | 4% | 5% | 32% | 10% | − | 11% | 3% | |||
Veja/FSB | 11–14 Oct | 2,000 | 34% | − | 17% | 9% | 3% | 5% | − | 11% | − | 21% | 18% |
24% | − | 14% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 17% | 15% | − | 13% | 7% | |||
− | − | 16% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 30% | 16% | − | 17% | 14% | |||
Veja/FSB | 16–18 Aug | 2,000 | 35% | − | 17% | 11% | 3% | 5% | − | 11% | − | 18% | 18% |
− | − | 18% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 27% | 13% | − | 19% | 9% | |||
2018 general election | 7 Oct | − | 46.03% | − | 29.28% | 12.47% | 4.76% | 2.50% | − | − | 4.96% | − | 16.75% |
*Former president Lula is ineligible.[1] |
2021
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro PSL/APB |
Lula* PT |
Haddad PT |
Gomes PDT |
Boulos PSOL |
Doria PSDB |
Amoêdo NOVO |
MDB | REDE | PODE | Moro Indep. |
Huck Indep. |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Exame/IDEIA | 24−28 Jan | 1,200 | 45% | 28% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 26% | 17% |
41% | − | − | 34% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 26% | 7% | |||
45% | − | − | − | − | 30% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 24% | 15% | |||
41% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 38% | − | 21% | 3% | |||
Paraná Pesquisas | 22−26 Jan | 2,002 | 42.4% | 35.7% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 21.9% | 6.7% |
39.1% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 37.6% | − | − | 23.3% | 1.5% | |||
43.7% | − | − | 34.3% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 22.1% | 9.4% | |||
44.9% | − | − | − | − | 29.4% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 25.8% | 15.5% | |||
42.7% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 33.2% | − | 24.1% | 9.5% | |||
XP/Ipespe | 11−14 Jan | 1,000 | 38% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 34% | − | 28% | 4% |
33% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 36% | − | − | 31% | 3% | |||
40% | − | − | 37% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 23% | 3% | |||
44% | − | − | − | 31% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 25% | 13% | |||
42% | − | 37% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 22% | 5% | |||
- | − | 30% | − | − | - | − | − | − | − | 43% | − | − | 28% | 13% | |||
*Former president Lula is ineligible.[1] |
2020
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro PSL/APB |
Lula* PT |
Haddad PT |
Gomes PDT |
Boulos PSOL |
Doria PSDB |
Moro Indep. |
Huck Indep. |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PoderData | 21−23 Dec | 2,500 | 44% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 38% | − | 18% | 6% |
43% | − | − | − | − | − | 36% | − | − | 21% | 7% | |||
44% | − | − | 35% | − | − | − | − | − | 21% | 9% | |||
46% | − | − | − | 34% | − | − | − | − | 20% | 12% | |||
48% | − | 35% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 17% | 13% | |||
46% | − | − | − | − | 31% | − | − | − | 23% | 15% | |||
XP Investimentos | 7−9 Dec | 1,000 | 36% | − | − | − | − | − | 34% | − | − | 30% | 2% |
45% | − | 35% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 21% | 10% | |||
40% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 33% | − | 27% | 7% | |||
43% | − | − | 36% | − | − | − | − | − | 22% | 7% | |||
47% | − | − | − | 31% | − | − | − | − | 22% | 16% | |||
− | − | 27% | − | − | − | 46% | − | − | 28% | 19% | |||
Exame/IDEIA | 30 Nov−3 Dec | 1,200 | 37% | 32% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 31% | 5% |
44% | − | − | − | − | − | 29% | − | − | 27% | 15% | |||
38% | − | − | − | − | 22% | − | − | − | 40% | 16% | |||
37% | − | − | 36% | − | − | − | − | − | 27% | 1% | |||
36% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 32% | − | 32% | 4% | |||
Paraná Pesquisas | 28 Nov−1 Dec | 2,036 | 47% | 33.4% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 19.7% | 13.6% |
44.9% | − | − | − | − | − | 34.7% | − | − | 20.5% | 10.2% | |||
48.5% | − | − | 31% | − | − | − | − | − | 20.6% | 17.5% | |||
51.1% | − | − | − | − | 23.8% | − | − | − | 25.1% | 27.3% | |||
48.6% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 29.7% | − | 21.7% | 18.9% | |||
XP Investimentos | 18−20 Nov | 1.000 | 33% | − | − | − | − | − | 38% | − | − | 28% | 5% |
43% | − | 37% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 20% | 6% | |||
− | − | 25% | − | − | − | 46% | − | − | 29% | 21% | |||
40% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 33% | − | 27% | 7% | |||
42% | − | − | 39% | − | − | − | − | − | 19% | 3% | |||
45% | − | − | − | 31% | − | − | − | − | 24% | 14% | |||
XP Investimentos | 8-11 Oct | 1,000 | 42% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 30% | 28% | 12% |
43% | − | − | 35% | − | − | − | − | − | 22% | 8% | |||
42% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 28% | − | 30% | 14% | |||
43% | − | 35% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 22% | 8% | |||
35% | − | − | − | − | − | 36% | − | − | 29% | 1% | |||
− | − | 26% | − | − | − | 43% | − | − | 31% | 17% | |||
Exame/IDEIA | 5-8 Oct | 1,200 | 43% | 33% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 25% | 10% |
42% | − | − | − | − | 21% | − | − | − | 38% | 21% | |||
41% | − | − | − | − | − | 35% | − | − | 25% | 6% | |||
PoderData | 14-16 Sep | 2,500 | 45% | − | − | − | − | 32% | − | − | − | 23% | 13% |
48% | − | − | 33% | − | − | − | − | − | 19% | 15% | |||
40% | − | − | − | − | − | 37% | − | − | 23% | 3% | |||
45% | − | 38% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 17% | 7% | |||
41% | 41% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 18% | Tie | |||
Exame/IDEIA | 24-31 Aug | 1,235 | 42% | 31% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 27% | 11% |
41% | − | − | − | − | 17% | − | − | − | 42% | 24% | |||
38% | − | − | − | − | − | 31% | − | − | 31% | 7% | |||
PoderData | 3-5 Aug | 2,500 | 44% | − | − | − | − | 30% | − | − | − | 26% | 14% |
42% | − | 34% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 24% | 8% | |||
41% | − | − | − | − | − | 41% | − | − | 18% | Tie | |||
Paraná Pesquisas | 18-21 Jul | 2,030 | 46.6% | − | 32% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 21.4% | 14.6% |
44.7% | − | − | − | − | − | 35% | − | − | 20.2% | 9.7% | |||
45.6% | 36.4% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 18% | 9.2% | |||
48.1% | − | − | 31.1% | − | − | − | − | − | 20.9% | 17% | |||
51.7% | − | − | − | − | 23% | − | − | − | 25.4% | 28.7% | |||
50.8% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 27.6% | − | 21.6% | 23.2% | |||
Veja/FSB | 7–10 Feb | 2,000 | 51% | − | 33% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 16% | 18% |
50% | − | − | − | − | 25% | − | − | − | 26% | 25% | |||
45% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 37% | − | 17% | 8% | |||
48% | 40% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 11% | 8% | |||
37% | − | − | − | − | − | 39% | − | − | 25% | 2% | |||
− | − | 30% | − | − | − | 53% | − | − | 17% | 23% | |||
− | 40% | − | − | − | − | 49% | − | − | 12% | 9% | |||
− | − | 30% | − | − | − | − | 37% | − | 34% | 7% | |||
− | − | − | − | − | − | 51% | 32% | − | 16% | 19% | |||
2018 general election | 28 Oct | − | 55.13% | − | 44.87% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 10.26% | |
*Former president Lula is ineligible.[1] |
2019
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro PSL/APB |
Lula* PT |
Haddad PT |
Doria PSDB |
Moro Indep. |
Huck Indep. |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quaest | 26-27 Dec | 1,000 | 46% | 32% | − | − | − | − | − | 22% | 14% |
Veja/FSB | 11 Nov–2 Dec | 2,000 | 45% | 40% | − | − | − | − | − | 16% | 5% |
47% | − | 32% | − | − | − | − | 21% | 15% | |||
45% | − | − | 26% | − | − | − | 28% | 19% | |||
44% | − | − | − | − | 36% | − | 19% | 8% | |||
36% | − | − | − | 36% | − | − | 28% | Tie | |||
− | − | 29% | − | 52% | − | − | 18% | 23% | |||
− | 39% | − | − | 48% | − | − | 12% | 9% | |||
− | − | − | − | 50% | 31% | − | 18% | 19% | |||
− | − | 29% | − | − | 39% | − | 33% | 10% | |||
Veja/FSB | 11–14 Oct | 2,000 | 47% | − | 34% | − | − | − | − | 20% | 13% |
46% | − | − | 26% | − | − | − | 29% | 20% | |||
46% | 38% | − | − | − | − | − | 17% | 8% | |||
43% | − | − | − | − | 39% | − | 19% | 7% | |||
Veja/FSB | 16–18 Aug | 2,000 | 48% | − | 35% | − | − | − | − | 18% | 13% |
45% | − | − | 29% | − | − | − | 23% | 16% | |||
− | − | 37% | 33% | − | − | − | 31% | 4% | |||
2018 general election | 28 Oct | − | 55.13% | − | 44.87% | − | − | − | − | − | 10.26% |
*Former president Lula is ineligible.[1] |
References
- "Ex-presidente Lula é solto após 580 dias preso na Polícia Federal em Curitiba". Folha de S.Paulo. 8 November 2019.
- "Ex-presidente Lula é solto após 580 dias preso na Polícia Federal em Curitiba". Folha de S.Paulo. 8 November 2019. Archived from the original on 15 December 2019. Retrieved 6 December 2019.
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