Opinion polling for the 2022 Brazilian general election

Since the previous elections in 2018, polling companies have published surveys tracking voting intention for the 2022 Brazilian general election. The results of these surveys are listed below in reverse chronological order and include parties whose candidates frequently poll above 3% of the vote as well as the incumbent President of Brazil Jair Bolsonaro.

Presidential election

First round

Polling aggregates
Active candidates
  Jair Bolsonaro (PSL/Ind.)
  Lula (PT)
  Fernando Haddad (PT)
  Ciro Gomes (PDT)
  João Doria (PSDB)
  Sérgio Moro (Ind.)
  Luciano Huck (Ind.)
  Others
  Abstentions/Undecided

2021

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Bolsonaro
PSL/APB
Lula*
PT
Haddad
PT
Dino
PCdoB
Gomes
PDT
Boulos
PSOL
Doria
PSDB
Amoêdo
NOVO
MDB Silva
REDE
PODE Moro
Indep.
Huck
Indep.
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Exame/IDEIA 24−28 Jan 1,200 36% 17% 11% 8% 6% 22% 19%
33% 15% 10% 5% 10% 26% 18%
32% 17% 3% 10% 5% 3% 7% 8% 1% 15% 15%
Paraná Pesquisas 22−26 Jan 2,002 30.5% 9.5% 10.6% 3.5% 5.4% 2.9% 12% 8.1% 17.4% 18.5%
31% 17.3% 9.2% 3.6% 5.3% 3.3% 2.3% 12.1% 15.8% 13.7%
33.7% 11.7% 1% 12.1% 6.7% 3.1% 9.4% 3.8% 19.1% 21.6%
Atlas Político 20−24 Jan 3,073 34.4% 13.4% 11.6% 4.3% 11.6% 4.8% 19.9% 21%
34.5% 22.3% 1.4% 8.8% 3.6% 11.3% 1.9% 3.4% 12.8% 12.2%
XP/Ipespe 11−14 Jan 1,000 28% 11% 11% 5% 4% 3% 12% 7% - 18% 16%
*Former president Lula is ineligible.[1]

2020

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Bolsonaro
PSL/APB
Lula*
PT
Haddad
PT
Dino
PCdoB
Gomes
PDT
Boulos
PSOL
Doria
PSDB
Amoêdo
NOVO
Silva
REDE
Moro
Indep.
Huck
Indep.
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
PoderData 21−23 Dec 2,500 36% 13% 1% 10% 5% 3% 3% 7% 9% 1% 12% 23%
XP Investimentos 7−9 Dec 1,000 29% 12% 9% 5% 4% 3% 11% 7% 2% 19% 17%
Exame/IDEIA 30 Nov−3 Dec 1,200 28% 16% 1% 7% 4% 1% 1% 10% 4% 4% 24% 12%
Paraná Pesquisas 28 Nov−1 Dec 2,036 33.3% 8.8% 10% 5.7% 3.7% 2.8% 11.8% 7.8% 16% 21.5%
32.9% 17.8% 7.7% 4.9% 3.8% 2.8% 2.9% 11.9% 15.2% 15.1%
35.8% 11.5% 1.2% 12.1% 4.8% 3.5% 9.5% 2.7% 19.1% 23.7%
XP Investimentos 18−20 Nov 1.000 29% 13% 8% 5% 3% 4% 13% 7% 3% 19% 16%
XP Investimentos 8−11 Oct 1,000 31% 14% 10% 3% 3% 11% 5% 3% 20% 17%
Exame/IDEIA 5−8 Oct 1,200 30% 18% 1% 9% 4% 1% 2% 10% 5% 3% 19% 12%
PoderData 14−16 Sep 2,500 35% 10% 4% 7% 5% 13% 7% 19% 22%
35% 21% 3% 3% 4% 11% 5% 18% 14%
Exame/IDEIA 24−31 Aug 1,235 31% 17% - 1% 6% 3% 3% 2% 13% 5% 5% 14% 14%
Fórum/Offerwise 21−24 Aug 1,000 41.7% 14.8% 1.2% 7.7% 3.7% 2.3% 4% 13.3% 9.7% 1.6% 26.9%
PoderData 3−5 Aug 2,500 38% 14% 3% 6% 4% 10% 5% 20% 24%
Paraná Pesquisas 18−21 Jul 2,030 29% 13.4% 9.9% 4.0% 3.4% 17.1% 6.5% 1.7% 14.9% 11.9%
27.5% 21.9% 8.3% 3.8% 3.4% 2.5% 16.8% 1.6% 14.1% 5.6%
30.7% 14.5% 1.6% 10.7% 4.6% 4% 8.3% 6.6% 18.9% 16.2%
Quaest 14−17 Jun 1,000 22% 13% 12% 2% 19% 5% 3% 23% 3%
Paraná Pesquisas 27–29 Apr 2,006 27% 14.1% 10.3% 3.7% 4% 18.1% 6% 2.2% 14.6% 8.9%
26.3% 23.1% 8.1% 3.8% 4% 2.3% 17.5% 1.9% 13% 3.2%
29.1% 15.4% 1.4% 11.1% 4.4% 4.5% 8.1% 7.9% 18.1% 13.7%
Veja/FSB 7–10 Feb 2,000 37% 13% 11% 3% 5% 12% 21% 24%
31% 28% 8% 4% 5% 11% 12% 3%
28% 15% 9% 3% 4% 17% 13% 12% 11%
14% 12% 4% 5% 31% 16% 19% 15%
28% 9% 3% 5% 33% 10% 13% 5%
Atlas Político 7–9 Feb 2,000 41% 13% 2.5% 14% 27% 27%
32% 28% 3% 0.6% 20% 14% 9% 4%
CNT/MDA 15–18 Jan 2,002 29.1% 17% 2.3% 3.5% 0.3% 1.1% 0.4% 2.4% 0.5% 2.7% 40.7% 12.2%
2018 general election 7 Oct 46.03% 29.28% 12.47% 0.58% 4.76% 2.50% 1.00% 3.38% 16.75%
*Former president Lula is ineligible.[2]

2019

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Bolsonaro
PSL/APB
Lula*
PT
Haddad
PT
Gomes
PDT
Doria
PSDB
Amoêdo
NOVO
Moro
Indep.
Huck
Indep.
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Veja/FSB 11 Nov–2 Dec 2,000 33% 15% 11% 3% 5% 12% 22% 18%
32% 29% 9% 4% 5% 9% 12% 3%
28% 16% 11% 2% 4% 15% 13% 12% 12%
16% 12% 4% 4% 32% 15% 17% 16%
29% 9% 4% 5% 32% 10% 11% 3%
Veja/FSB 11–14 Oct 2,000 34% 17% 9% 3% 5% 11% 21% 18%
24% 14% 10% 3% 4% 17% 15% 13% 7%
16% 11% 5% 5% 30% 16% 17% 14%
Veja/FSB 16–18 Aug 2,000 35% 17% 11% 3% 5% 11% 18% 18%
18% 13% 5% 5% 27% 13% 19% 9%
2018 general election 7 Oct 46.03% 29.28% 12.47% 4.76% 2.50% 4.96% 16.75%
*Former president Lula is ineligible.[1]

2021

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Bolsonaro
PSL/APB
Lula*
PT
Haddad
PT
Gomes
PDT
Boulos
PSOL
Doria
PSDB
Amoêdo
NOVO
MDB REDE PODE Moro
Indep.
Huck
Indep.
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Exame/IDEIA 24−28 Jan 1,200 45% 28% 26% 17%
41% 34% 26% 7%
45% 30% 24% 15%
41% 38% 21% 3%
Paraná Pesquisas 22−26 Jan 2,002 42.4% 35.7% 21.9% 6.7%
39.1% 37.6% 23.3% 1.5%
43.7% 34.3% 22.1% 9.4%
44.9% 29.4% 25.8% 15.5%
42.7% 33.2% 24.1% 9.5%
XP/Ipespe 11−14 Jan 1,000 38% 34% 28% 4%
33% 36% 31% 3%
40% 37% 23% 3%
44% 31% 25% 13%
42% 37% 22% 5%
- 30% - 43% 28% 13%
*Former president Lula is ineligible.[1]

2020

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Bolsonaro
PSL/APB
Lula*
PT
Haddad
PT
Gomes
PDT
Boulos
PSOL
Doria
PSDB
Moro
Indep.
Huck
Indep.
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
PoderData 21−23 Dec 2,500 44% 38% 18% 6%
43% 36% 21% 7%
44% 35% 21% 9%
46% 34% 20% 12%
48% 35% 17% 13%
46% 31% 23% 15%
XP Investimentos 7−9 Dec 1,000 36% 34% 30% 2%
45% 35% 21% 10%
40% 33% 27% 7%
43% 36% 22% 7%
47% 31% 22% 16%
27% 46% 28% 19%
Exame/IDEIA 30 Nov−3 Dec 1,200 37% 32% 31% 5%
44% 29% 27% 15%
38% 22% 40% 16%
37% 36% 27% 1%
36% 32% 32% 4%
Paraná Pesquisas 28 Nov−1 Dec 2,036 47% 33.4% 19.7% 13.6%
44.9% 34.7% 20.5% 10.2%
48.5% 31% 20.6% 17.5%
51.1% 23.8% 25.1% 27.3%
48.6% 29.7% 21.7% 18.9%
XP Investimentos 18−20 Nov 1.000 33% 38% 28% 5%
43% 37% 20% 6%
25% 46% 29% 21%
40% 33% 27% 7%
42% 39% 19% 3%
45% 31% 24% 14%
XP Investimentos 8-11 Oct 1,000 42% 30% 28% 12%
43% 35% 22% 8%
42% 28% 30% 14%
43% 35% 22% 8%
35% 36% 29% 1%
26% 43% 31% 17%
Exame/IDEIA 5-8 Oct 1,200 43% 33% 25% 10%
42% 21% 38% 21%
41% 35% 25% 6%
PoderData 14-16 Sep 2,500 45% 32% 23% 13%
48% 33% 19% 15%
40% 37% 23% 3%
45% 38% 17% 7%
41% 41% 18% Tie
Exame/IDEIA 24-31 Aug 1,235 42% 31% 27% 11%
41% 17% 42% 24%
38% 31% 31% 7%
PoderData 3-5 Aug 2,500 44% 30% 26% 14%
42% 34% 24% 8%
41% 41% 18% Tie
Paraná Pesquisas 18-21 Jul 2,030 46.6% 32% 21.4% 14.6%
44.7% 35% 20.2% 9.7%
45.6% 36.4% 18% 9.2%
48.1% 31.1% 20.9% 17%
51.7% 23% 25.4% 28.7%
50.8% 27.6% 21.6% 23.2%
Veja/FSB 7–10 Feb 2,000 51% 33% 16% 18%
50% 25% 26% 25%
45% 37% 17% 8%
48% 40% 11% 8%
37% 39% 25% 2%
30% 53% 17% 23%
40% 49% 12% 9%
30% 37% 34% 7%
51% 32% 16% 19%
2018 general election 28 Oct 55.13% 44.87% 10.26%
*Former president Lula is ineligible.[1]

2019

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Bolsonaro
PSL/APB
Lula*
PT
Haddad
PT
Doria
PSDB
Moro
Indep.
Huck
Indep.
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Quaest 26-27 Dec 1,000 46% 32% 22% 14%
Veja/FSB 11 Nov–2 Dec 2,000 45% 40% 16% 5%
47% 32% 21% 15%
45% 26% 28% 19%
44% 36% 19% 8%
36% 36% 28% Tie
29% 52% 18% 23%
39% 48% 12% 9%
50% 31% 18% 19%
29% 39% 33% 10%
Veja/FSB 11–14 Oct 2,000 47% 34% 20% 13%
46% 26% 29% 20%
46% 38% 17% 8%
43% 39% 19% 7%
Veja/FSB 16–18 Aug 2,000 48% 35% 18% 13%
45% 29% 23% 16%
37% 33% 31% 4%
2018 general election 28 Oct 55.13% 44.87% 10.26%
*Former president Lula is ineligible.[1]

See also

References

  1. "Ex-presidente Lula é solto após 580 dias preso na Polícia Federal em Curitiba". Folha de S.Paulo. 8 November 2019.
  2. "Ex-presidente Lula é solto após 580 dias preso na Polícia Federal em Curitiba". Folha de S.Paulo. 8 November 2019. Archived from the original on 15 December 2019. Retrieved 6 December 2019.
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