2019 Indian general election in West Bengal

The 2019 Indian general election were held in India between April and May 2019 to constitute the 17th Lok Sabha. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) made major inroads into the state by winning nearly half the seats, which has been termed a "paradigm shift" in the state's political narrative.[1][2]

2019 Indian general election in West Bengal
11 April 2019 to 19 May 2019
42 seats
Turnout81.76%
  First party Second party
 
Leader Mamata Banerjee Dilip Ghosh
Party AITC BJP
Alliance Federal Front NDA
Leader since 1998 2015
Leader's seat did not contest Medinipur
Last election 34 2
Seats won 22 18
Seat change 12 16
Popular vote 24,757,345 23,028,517
Percentage 43.3% 40.7%
Swing 3.48% 22.76
  Third party Fourth party
 
Leader Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury Surya Kanta Mishra
Party INC CPI (M)
Alliance UPA Left Front
Leader since 2015 2011
Leader's seat Baharampur did not contest
Last election 4 2
Seats won 2 0
Seat change 2 2
Popular vote 3,210,491 3,594,283
Percentage 5.67% 6.33%
Swing 4.03% 16.66%

Surveys and Polls
Main article: Opinion polling for the 2019 Indian general election

Vote share
Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA AITC Left Front
Jan 2019 Republic TV - C Voter[3] 31.8% 9.6% 43.7% 14.4% 11.9%

Seat projections
Poll Type Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA AITC Left Front
Exit poll

[4][5]

 ABP - Nielson 16 2 24 0 8
Times Now - VMR 11 2 28 1 17
Republic TV- Jan Ki Baat 11 2 29 0 18
India Today - AxisMyIndia 19-23 1 19-22 0 1
NewsX - CNX 14 2 26 0 8
News24 - Today's Chanakya 18 1 23 0 5
Opinion poll 06 Apr 2019 India TV - CNX[6] 12 1 28 1 16
05 Apr 2019 Republic TV - Jan ki Baat[7] 13 3 25 1 12
Mar 2019 ABP News- Nielsen[8] 8 3 31  – 23
Jan 2019 Spick Media[9] 8 4 30 0 22
Jan 2019 Republic TV - Cvoter[3] 7 1 34 0 27
Nov 2018 Spick Media[10] 5 4 32 1 27
Nov 2018 ABP News - C Voter[11] 9 1 32  – 23

Candidates

Trinamool Congress

On 12 March 2019, party president Mamata Banerjee announced the party candidates for the election.[12] 41% of the candidates were women. Notable exclusions from the list were the party's general secretary Subrata Bakshi and Sugata Bose. Bose did not get permission from Harvard University, where he is a professor, to contest the election.[13] Notable inclusions were Bengali actresses Mimi Chakraborty and Nusrat Jahan.[14]

#ConstituencyReserved for

(SC/ST/None)

 Candidates Name
All India Trinamool Congress Bharatiya Janata Party Indian National Congress Left Front
1 Cooch BeharSCParesh Chandra Adhikary Nisith Pramanik Priya Roy Choudhury Gobinda Roy
2 AlipurduarsSTDasrath Tirkey John Barla Mohan Lal Basumuta Mili Oraon
3 JalpaiguriSCBijoy Chandra Barman Jayanta Ray Mani Kumar Darnal Bhagirath Roy
4 DarjeelingNoneAmar Singh Rai Raju Singh Bisht Shankar Malakar Saman Pathak
5 RaiganjNoneKanaia Lal Agarwal Deboshree Chaudhary Deepa Dasmunshi Mohammed Salim
6 BalurghatNoneArpita Ghosh Sukanta Majumdar Sadik Sarkar Ranen Burman
7 Maldaha UttarNoneMausam Noor Khagen Murmu Isha Khan Chowdhury Biswanath Ghosh
8 Maldaha DakshinNoneMoazzem Hossain Sreerupa Mitra Chaudhury Abu Hasem Khan Choudhury
9 JangipurNoneKhalilur Rehman Mafuja Khatun Abhijit Mukherjee Zulfikar Ali
10 BaharampurNoneApurba Sarkar Krishna Juardar Arya Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury
11 MurshidabadNoneAbu Taher Khan Humayun Kabir Abu Hena Badaruddoza Khan
12 KrishnanagarNoneMahua Moitra Kalyan Chaubey Intaj Ali Shah Shantanu Jha
13 RanaghatSCRupaali Biswas Jagannath Sarkar Minati Biswas Ruma Biswas
14 BangaonSCMamata Bala Thakur Shantanu Thakur Sourav Prasad Alokesh Das
15 BarrackpurNoneDinesh Trivedi Arjun Singh Mohammad Alam Gargi Chatterjee
16 Dum DumNoneSougata Roy Samik Bhattacharya Saurav Saha Nepaldeb Bhattacharya
17 BarasatNoneKakoli Ghosh Dastidar Mrinal Kanthi Debnath Subrota (Rashu) Dutta Haripada Biswas
18 BasirhatNoneNusrat Jahan Sayantan Basu Quazi Abdur Rahim Pallab Sengupta
19 JaynagarSCPratima Mondal Ashok Kandari Tapan Mondal Subhash Naskar
20 MathurapurSCChoudhury Mohan Jatua Shyamaprasad Halder Krittibas Sardar Sarat Haldar
21 Diamond HarbourNoneAbhishek Banerjee Nilanjan Roy Soumya Aich Roy Fuad Halim
22 JadavpurNoneMimi Chakraborty Anupam Hazra Support Left Candidate Bikash Ranjan Bhattacharya
23 Kolkata DakshinNoneMala Roy Chandra Kumar Bose Mita Chakraborty Nandini Mukherjee
24 Kolkata UttarNoneSudip Bandyopadhyay Rahul Sinha Syed Shahid Imam Kaninika Bose (Ghosh)
25 HowrahNonePrasun Banerjee Rantideb Sen Gupta Suvra Ghosh Sumitra Adhikari
26 UluberiaNoneSajda Ahmed Joy Banerjee Shoma Ranisree Roy Maqsuda Khatun
27 SeramporeNoneKalyan Banerjee Debajit Sarkar Debabrata Biswas Tirthankor Roy
28 HooghlyNoneRatna De (Nag) Locket Chatterjee Pratul Saha Pradip Saha
29 ArambaghSCAparupa Poddar Tapan Roy Jyoti Das Shaktimohan Mullick
30 TamlukNoneSuvendu Adhikari Siddhartha Naskar Lakshman Chandra Seth Sheikh Ibrahim Ali
31 ContaiNoneSisir Adhikari Debasish Samant Dipak Kumar Das Paritosh Patnaik
32 GhatalNoneDev Bharati Ghosh Khandakar Mohammad Saifullah Tapan Ganguly
33 JhargramSTBirbaha Soren Kunar Hembram Jagyeswar Hembram Debolina Hembrom
34 MedinipurNoneManas Bhunia Dilip Ghosh Sambhunath Chatterjee Biplab Bhatt
35 PuruliaNoneMriganko Mahato Jyotirmoy Mahto Nepal Mahato Bir Singh Mahato
36 BankuraNoneSubrata Mukherjee Subhash Sarkar Support Left Candidate Amiyo Patro
37 BishnupurSCShyamal Santra Saumitra Khan Narayan Chandra Khan Sunil Khan
38 Bardhaman PurbaSCSunil Kumar Mandal Paresh Chandra Das Siddhartha Majumder Ishwar Chandra Das
39 Bardhaman-DurgapurNoneMamtaz Sanghamita S. S. Ahluwalia Ranajit Mukherjee Abhas Roy Choudhury
41 AsansolNoneMoon Moon Sen Babul Supriyo Biswarup Mondal Gouranga Chatterjee
41 BolpurSCAsit Kumar Mal Ram Prashad Das Abhijit Saha Ram Chandra Dome
42 BirbhumNoneSatabdi Roy Dudh Kumar Mondal Imam Hossain Rezaul Karim

Party-wise Result
22 18 2
AITC BJP INC
Party AITC BJP INC CPI(M)
Leader Mamata Banerjee Dilip Ghosh Somen Mitra Surya Kanta Mishra
Votes 43.69%, 2,47,57,345 40.64%, 2,30,28,517 5.67%, 32,10,491 6.34%, 35,94,283
Seats 22 (52.38%) 18 (42.86%) 2 (4.76%) 0 (0.00%)
22 / 42
18 / 42
2 / 42
0 / 42
Name of Party Vote Share % Change % Seats won Change
All India Trinamool Congress 43.69% 3.48 22 12
Bharatiya Janata Party 40.64% 22.25 18 16
Indian National Congress 5.67% 4.09 2 2
Communist Party of India (Marxist) 6.34% 16.72 0 2

Constituency-wise Results
# Constituency Turnout[15] Winner Party Margin
1 Cooch Behar 84.08 Nisith Pramanik Bharatiya Janata Party 54,231
2 Alipurduars 83.79 John Barla Bharatiya Janata Party 2,43,989
3 Jalpaiguri 86.51 Jayanta Kumar Roy Bharatiya Janata party 1,84,004
4 Darjeeling 78.80 Raju Singh Bisht Bharatiya Janata Party 4,13,443
5 Raiganj 79.82 Debasree Chaudhuri Bharatiya Janata Party 60,574
6 Balurghat 83.69 Sukanta Majumder Bharatiya Janata Party 33,293
7 Maldaha Uttar 80.39 Khagen Murmu Bharatiya Janata Party 84,288
8 Maldaha Dakshin 81.24 Abu Hasem Khan Choudhury Indian National Congress 8,222
9 Jangipur 80.72 Khalilur Rahman All India Trinamool Congress 2,45,782
10 Baharampur 79.41 Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury Indian National Congress 80,696
11 Murshidabad 84.29 Abu Taher Khan All India Trinamool Congress 2,26,417
12 Krishnanagar 83.75 Mahua Moitra All India Trinamool Congress 63,218
13 Ranaghat 84.26 Jagannath Sarkar Bharatiya Janata Party 2,33,428
14 Bangaon 82.64 Shantanu Thakur Bharatiya Janata Party 1,11,594
15 Barrackpur 76.91 Arjun Singh Bharatiya Janata Party 14,857
16 Dum Dum 76.92 Saugata Roy All India Trinamool Congress 53,002
17 Barasat 81.26 Kakoli Ghosh Dastidar All India Trinamool Congress 1,09,983
18 Basirhat 85.43 Nusrat Jahan All India Trinamool Congress 3,50,369
19 Jaynagar 82.29 Pratima Mondal All India Trinamool Congress 3,16,775
20 Mathurapur 84.86 Choudhury Mohan Jatua All India Trinamool Congress 2,03,974
21 Diamond Harbour 81.98 Abhishek Banerjee All India Trinamool Congress 3,20,594
22 Jadavpur 79.11 Mimi Chakraborty All India Trinamool Congress 2,95,239
23 Kolkata Dakshin 69.82 Mala Roy All India Trinamool Congress 1,55,192
24 Kolkata Uttar 65.83 Sudip Bandyopadhyay All India Trinamool Congress 1,27,095
25 Howrah 74.83 Prasun Banerjee All India Trinamool Congress 1,03,695
26 Uluberia 81.18 Sajda Ahmed All India Trinamool Congress 2,15,359
27 Serampore 78.54 Kalyan Banerjee All India Trinamool Congress 98,536
28 Hooghly 82.57 Locket Chatterjee Bharatiya Janata Party 73,362
29 Arambagh 83.44 Aparupa Poddar All India Trinamool Congress 1,142
30 Tamluk 85.38 Dibyendu Adhikari All India Trinamool Congress 1,90,165
31 Kanthi 85.83 Sisir Adhikari All India Trinamool Congress 1,11,668
32 Ghatal 82.74 Deepak Adhikari (Dev) All India Trinamool Congress 1,07,973
33 Jhargram 85.71 Kunar Hembram Bharatiya Janata Party 11,767
34 Medinipur 84.24 Dilip Ghosh Bharatiya Janata Party 88,952
35 Purulia 82.38 Jyotirmoy Singh Mahato Bharatiya Janata Party 2,04,732
36 Bankura 83.25 Subhash Sarkar Bharatiya Janata Party 1,74,333
37 Bishnupur 87.34 Saumitra Khan Bharatiya Janata Party 78,047
38 Bardhaman Purba 84.78 Sunil Kumar Mondal All India Trinamool Congress 89,311
39 Bardhaman-Durgapur 82.67 S. S. Ahluwalia Bharatiya Janata Party 2,439
40 Asansol 76.62 Babul Supriyo Bharatiya Janata Party 1,97,637
41 Bolpur 85.74 Asit Kumar Mal All India Trinamool Congress 1,06,402
42 Birbhum 85.34 Shatabdi Roy All India Trinamool Congress 88,924

Impact

There has been a major political shift from the left to the right in the 2019 general elections in West Bengal. The Statesman says, “Making an aggressive penetration in Bengal for the first time since its inception in 1980, BJP alone has dramatically increased its vote share close to 40 percent this time. Thus, it has virtually made the CPI-M into a mere marginalised political party and at the same time the saffron party set a strong challenge before the Trinamool Congress hardly two years ahead of the Assembly elections scheduled in 2021 in the state.” This obviously is the most important impact of the general elections in the state visible in the voting pattern right across the state, irrespective of who won or lost a particular seat.[16][17]

Analysis

Assembly segments wise lead of Parties
Party Assembly segments Position in Assembly (as of 2016 election)[18]
Bharatiya Janata Party 121 3
Indian National Congress 9 44
All India Trinamool Congress 164 211
Left Front 0 32
Others 0 1
Total 294

TMC won 3 out of 3 assembly seats in the next assembly by-elections in November 2019. Even the seat of State BJP president Dilip Ghosh which fell vacant due to Dilip Ghosh's win in loksabha election,Kharagpur Sadar was won by TMC by a lead of 22000 votes. TMC was trailing in that seat by 158000 votes in 2019 general elections.

Postal Ballot wise lead of Parties
Party No. of Constituencies
All India Trinamool Congress 2
Left Front 1
Bharatiya Janata Party 39
Indian National Congress 0
Total 42

References
  1. Election results 2019: Bengal votes for the BJP, breaks many stereotypes, The Hindu BusinessLine, 23 May 2019.
  2. WB Election Result Highlights: BJP creates history in Bengal, livemint, 24 May 2019.
  3. "National Approval Ratings: Despite BJP's West Bengal push, Mamata's TMC projected to dominate elections". Republicworld.com. Retrieved 26 February 2019.
  4. "WB Exit Polls 2019 Highlights: Didi to rule but BJP set to make massive gains". Live Mint. 19 May 2019.
  5. "West Bengal exit poll 2019 for Lok Sabha Elections". Business Insider. 19 May 2019.
  6. IndiaTV (6 April 2019). "पूरे India का ओपिनियन पोल सभी 543 Lok Sabha Seats पर - IndiaTv-CNX Opinion Poll 2019" – via YouTube.
  7. "Jan Ki Baat (@jankibaat1) - Twitter". twitter.com.
  8. "BJP in West Bengal: BJP may win 8, Trinamool to shine in West Bengal: ABP-Nielsen". m.economictimes.com. Archived from the original on 2019-04-13. Retrieved 2019-11-01.
  9. Network, Spick Media (21 February 2019). "#BJP shows improvement at #WestBengal. Ruling Trinamool Congress to stay as Single Largest Party in state. #LokSabhaElections2019 @AITCofficial : 30 (38.56%) @BJP4Bengal : 08 (19.44%) @INCWestBengal : 04 (15.39%) #Others : 00 (26.61%) : #FON #FOWB #AITC #BJP #CPIM #Congresspic.twitter.com/6IyDl0cvMZ". Twitter. Retrieved 26 February 2019.
  10. "Fate of West Bengal : Spick Media - IE Tech - Fate of Nation survey - Fate of west bengal (august - september, 2018)" (PDF). Img1.wsimg.com. Archived from the original (PDF) on 4 November 2018. Retrieved 26 February 2019.
  11. न्यूज, एबीपी (1 November 2018). "अभी देश का मूड पीएम मोदी के साथ, यूपी में महागठबंधन नहीं बना तो एनडीए को 300 सीट: एबीपी न्यूज-सी वोटर सर्वे". Abpnews.abplive.in. Retrieved 26 February 2019.
  12. "Mamata releases TMC list for all 42 WB seats; alleges attempt to bribe voters". The Economic Times. 12 March 2019. Retrieved 17 March 2019.
  13. Rakshit, Avishek (12 March 2019). "Lok Sabha polls 2019: Trinamool Congress' election list out, 41% women". Business Standard. Retrieved 17 March 2019.
  14. Kumar, Sweety. "Lok Sabha polls: TMC's two new faces from Tollywood caught in middle of a social media storm". The Indian Express. Retrieved 17 March 2019.
  15. Final voter turnout of Phase 1 and Phase 2 of the Lok Sabha Elections 2019, The Election Commission of India (20 April 2019, updated 4 May 2019)
  16. "West Bengal election results 2019: left veers into political oblivion". The Statesman, 24 May 2019. Retrieved 30 May 2019.
  17. "Analysis: In West Bengal, Left's vote-reduction will benefit BJP but to what extent?". The Hindu 23 May 2018. Retrieved 30 May 2019.
  18. Lok Sabha results: Numbers point to tough fight ahead in West Bengal assembly polls


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