2019 Navarrese regional election

The 2019 Navarrese regional election was held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 10th Parliament of the Chartered Community of Navarre. All 50 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.

2019 Navarrese regional election

26 May 2019

All 50 seats in the Parliament of Navarre
26 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered511,225 2.0%[1]
Turnout350,362 (68.5%)
0.2 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Javier Esparza María Chivite Uxue Barkos
Party NA+ PSN–PSOE GBai
Leader since 30 November 2014 13 December 2014 3 October 2014
Last election 17 seats, 34.3%[lower-alpha 1] 7 seats, 13.4% 9 seats, 15.8%
Seats won 20 11 9
Seat change 3 4 0
Popular vote 127,346 71,838 60,323
Percentage 36.6% 20.6% 17.3%
Swing 2.3 pp 7.2 pp 1.5 pp

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Leader Bakartxo Ruiz Mikel Buil Marisa de Simón
Party EH Bildu Podemos I–E (n)
Leader since 30 May 2018 27 November 2018 9 March 2019
Last election 8 seats, 14.2% 7 seats, 13.7% 2 seats, 3.7%
Seats won 7 2 1
Seat change 1 5 1
Popular vote 50,631 16,518 10,472
Percentage 14.5% 4.7% 3.0%
Swing 0.3 pp 9.0 pp 0.7 pp

President before election

Uxue Barkos
GBai

Elected President

María Chivite
PSN–PSOE

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of Navarre was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the Chartered Community of Navarre, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Reintegration and Enhancement of the Foral Regime of Navarre Law, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[2]

Voting was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered in Navarre and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Navarrese abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[3] The 50 members of the Parliament of Navarre were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally. Parties not reaching the threshold were not taken into consideration for seat distribution.[4]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of Navarre expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Navarre (BON), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 24 May 2015, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 24 May 2019. The election decree was required to be published in the BON no later than 30 April 2019, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 23 June 2019.[2][4][5]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Navarre and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a three-month period from the election date, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[2]

Parliamentary status

The Parliament of Navarre was officially dissolved on 2 April 2019, after the publication of the dissolution decree in the Official Gazette of Navarre.[6] The table below shows the status of the different parliamentary groups in the Parliament at the time of dissolution.[7]

Parliamentary composition in April 2019[8]
Groups Parties Legislators
Seats Total
Navarrese People's Union Parliamentary Group UPN 15 15
Yes to the Future Parliamentary Group Zabaltzen 8 9
EAJ/PNV 1
EH Bildu Navarre Parliamentary Group EH Bildu 8 8
We Can–Now Yes Parliamentary Group Orain Bai 4[lower-alpha 2] 7
Podemos 3
Socialist Party of Navarre Parliamentary Group PSN–PSOE 7 7
Mixed Group PP 2 4
I–E (n) 2

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in Navarre, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[4][5]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances
Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Votes (%) Seats
NA+ Javier Esparza Regionalism
Christian democracy
Conservatism
Liberalism
34.33%[lower-alpha 1] 17 N [10]
[11]
[12]
GBai Uxue Barkos Basque nationalism
Social democracy
15.83% 9 Y [13]
EH Bildu Bakartxo Ruiz Basque independence
Left-wing nationalism
Socialism
14.25% 8 Y [14]
Podemos Mikel Buil Left-wing populism
Direct democracy
Democratic socialism
13.67% 7 N [15]
PSN–PSOE María Chivite Social democracy 13.37% 7 N [16]
I–E (n) Marisa de Simón Socialism
Communism
3.69% 2 Y [17]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 26 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Navarre.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Results

Summary of the 26 May 2019 Parliament of Navarre election results
Parties and coalitions Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
Sum Navarre (NA+)1 127,34636.57+2.24 20+3
Socialist Party of Navarre (PSN–PSOE) 71,83820.63+7.26 11+4
Yes to the Future (GBai) 60,32317.32+1.49 9±0
Basque Country Gather (EH Bildu) 50,63114.54+0.29 7–1
We Can (Podemos) 16,5184.74–8.93 2–5
Left (I–E (n)) 10,4723.01–0.68 1–1
Vox (Vox) 4,5461.31New 0±0
Equo–European Green Party (Equo) 1,5970.46–0.18 0±0
Navarrese Cannabis Representation (RCN/NOK) 1,2510.36–0.15 0±0
Navarrese Freedom (Ln) 5020.14–0.14 0±0
Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn) 4380.13–0.13 0±0
Blank ballots 2,7310.78–1.18
Total 348,193 50±0
Valid votes 348,19399.38+0.63
Invalid votes 2,1690.62–0.63
Votes cast / turnout 350,36268.53+0.27
Abstentions 160,86331.47–0.27
Registered voters 511,225
Sources[7][19]
Popular vote
NA+
36.57%
PSN–PSOE
20.63%
GBai
17.32%
EH Bildu
14.54%
Podemos
4.74%
I–E (n)
3.01%
Vox
1.31%
Others
1.09%
Blank ballots
0.78%
Seats
NA+
40.00%
PSN–PSOE
22.00%
GBai
18.00%
EH Bildu
14.00%
Podemos
4.00%
I–E (n)
2.00%

Aftermath

Investiture processes to elect the President of the Government of Navarre required for an absolute majority—more than half the votes cast—to be obtained in the first ballot. If unsuccessful, a new ballot would be held 24 hours later requiring only of a simple majority—more affirmative than negative votes—to succeed. If such majorities were not achieved, successive candidate proposals would be processed under the same procedure. In the event of the investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a three-month period from the election date, the Parliament would be automatically dissolved and a snap election called.[2]

Investiture
María Chivite (PSN)
Ballot → 1 August 2019 2 August 2019
Required majority → 26 out of 50 N Simple Y
23 / 50
23 / 50
27 / 50
22 / 50
0 / 50
5 / 50
Absentees
0 / 50
0 / 50
Sources[20][21]

Notes

  1. Results for Navarrese People's Union (27.44%), People's Party (3.93%) and Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (2.96%) in the 2015 election.
  2. Laura Pérez, Carlos Couso, Rubén Velasco and Fanny Carrillo.[9]
  3. Within NA+.
  4. Within Unidas Podemos.
  5. Within UPN.
  6. Within PP.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. "#emojiPanel Navarra (24M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 24 May 2019.
  2. "#emojiPanel Navarra (23M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 23 May 2019.
  3. "#emojiPanel Navarra (22M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 22 May 2019.
  4. "#emojiPanel Navarra (21M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 21 May 2019.
  5. "El PSOE gana en Madrid, pero la suma de PP, Cs y Vox lo aleja de Sol". La Razón (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
  6. "Resultados por comunidades. Encuesta mayo 2019" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
  7. "Encuesta electoral: Ajustada batalla entre bloques el 26-M". La Razón (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
  8. "Sumas complicadas para gobernar después del 26M". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
  9. "Sumas complicadas para gobernar después del 26M". inPactos (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
  10. "#electoPanel Navarra (20M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
  11. "Barkos lidera la mayoría de cambio, que afronta con ligera ventaja el tramo final en un escenario abierto". Diario de Noticias (in Spanish). 19 May 2019.
  12. "El PSOE deberá optar entre dar Navarra a los 'abertzales' o a la coalición PP-UPN-Cs". El Mundo (in Spanish). 17 May 2019.
  13. "#electoPanel Navarra (17M): Vox e IU pasan justos como en estafeta". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2019.
  14. "El cuatripartito podría revalidar la mayoría en el Parlamento de Navarra". EiTB (in Spanish). 18 May 2019.
  15. "#electoPanel Navarra (14M): suben Nav+ y Geroa Bai, pero ninguno da 'el chupinazo'". Electomanía (in Spanish). 14 May 2019.
  16. "El 68% avala la gestión del cambio, que se sitúa al borde de revalidar la mayoría absoluta". Diario de Noticias (in Spanish). 12 May 2019.
  17. "#electoPanel Navarra (11M): Navarra Suma, suma un escaño". Electomanía (in Spanish). 11 May 2019.
  18. "#electoPanel Navarra (8M): subida de Geroa Bai, que iguala al PSN". Electomanía (in Spanish). 8 May 2019.
  19. "ElectoPanel Navarra (5M): Navarra Suma baja del 30%, sorpasos del PSN a Geroa Bai con Bildu acercándose". Electomanía (in Spanish). 5 May 2019.
  20. "Estimaciones de voto en Comunidades Autónomas y grandes ciudades (Estudio nº 3245. Marzo-abril 2019)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 9 May 2019.
  21. "Navarra Suma ganaría y Geroa Bai y PSN se disputan ser segundos en Navarra". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 5 May 2019.
  22. "ElectoPanel autonómico (12A): las mayorías siguen en el aire". Electomanía (in Spanish). 12 April 2019.
  23. "ElectoPanel autonómicas (3A): Ciudadanos decidirá el bloque ganador en la mayoría de CCAA". Electomanía (in Spanish). 3 April 2019.
  24. "ElectoPanel autonómico (27M). Semana de retrocesos para Vox". Electomanía (in Spanish). 27 March 2019.
  25. "ElectoPanel Autonómico (20M): 'Navarra Suma' (PP-Cs-UPN) no suma para recuperar el Gobierno Foral". Electomanía (in Spanish). 20 March 2019.
  26. "ElectoPanel autonómico 13M: el PSOE es el más votado, pero la derecha suma en la mayoría de CCAA". Electomanía (in Spanish). 13 March 2019.
  27. "ElectoPanel autonómico: la irrupción de Vox en casi todas las CCAA posibilitaría a la derecha gobernar la mayoría de ellas". Electomanía (in Spanish). 6 March 2019.
  28. "Barómetro de opinión pública del Parlamento de Navarra 2018" (PDF). Departamento de Sociología Universidad Pública de Navarra (in Spanish). 14 December 2018.
  29. "Geroa Bai obtendría un fuerte ascenso y el cuatripartito reforzaría su posición". EiTB (in Spanish). 13 December 2018.
  30. "El cuatripartito perdería la mayoría en el Parlamento de Navarra, con Bildu y Podemos a la baja entre los votantes". Navarra.com (in Spanish). 8 November 2018.
  31. "Los partidos del cambio mantienen ventaja sobre el bloque conservador". Diario de Noticias (in Spanish). 16 September 2018.
  32. "Encuesta electoral prevé entrada de C's con 2-3 escaños en Parlamento Foral". Navarra Información (in Spanish). 16 September 2018.
  33. "Estimación Junio 2018. Navarra. Autonómicas 2019". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 28 June 2018.
  34. "NAVARRA. Elecciones autonómicas. Sondeo SyM Consulting. Junio 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 28 June 2018.
  35. "Una encuesta interna de Geroa Bai refleja la dura caída de Podemos en Navarra ante unas elecciones". Navarra.com (in Spanish). 6 June 2018.
  36. "Navarra: UPN ganaría con menos escaños y la coalición gobernante ampliaría su mayoría". EiTB (in Spanish). 6 June 2018.
  37. "Estimación Marzo 2018. Navarra. Autonómicas 2019". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 19 March 2018.
  38. "NAVARRA. Elecciones autonómicas. Sondeo SyM Consulting. Marzo 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 19 March 2018.
  39. "UPN gana, suben Geroa Bai y PSN y C's entra en el Parlamento foral". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 13 February 2018.
  40. "UPN gana, suben Geroa Bai y PSN y C's entra en el Parlamento foral". inPactos (in Spanish). 13 February 2018.
  41. "NAVARRA. Elecciones autonómicas. Sondeo Inpactos, Enero 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 13 February 2018.
  42. "Barómetro de opinión pública del Parlamento de Navarra 2017" (PDF). Departamento de Sociología Universidad Pública de Navarra (in Spanish). 20 December 2017.
  43. "II Barómetro de Opinión Pública del Parlamento de Navarra. Edición 2017" (PDF). Departamento de Sociología Universidad Pública de Navarra (in Spanish). 20 December 2017.
  44. "El Gobierno del cambio se reforzaría en Navarra y en Pamplona". EiTB (in Spanish). 4 June 2017.
  45. "Los grupos del cambio ganan terreno". Diario de Noticias (in Spanish). 28 May 2017.
  46. "Prospección electoral en unas posibles elecciones forales". Diario de Noticias (in Spanish). 28 May 2017.
  47. "Barómetro de opinión pública del Parlamento de Navarra 2016" (PDF). Departamento de Sociología Universidad Pública de Navarra (in Spanish). 6 December 2016.
  48. "I Barómetro de Opinión Pública del Parlamento de Navarra. Edición 2017" (PDF). Departamento de Sociología Universidad Pública de Navarra (in Spanish). 6 December 2016.
  49. "NAVARRA, Septiembre 2016. Sondeo UPNA (Navarrómetro)". Electograph (in Spanish). 6 December 2016.
Other
  1. "Elecciones municipales, autonómicas y al Parlamento Europeo de 26 de mayo de 2019" (PDF). ine.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 12 April 2019.
  2. "Ley Orgánica 13/1982, de 10 de agosto, de reintegración y amejoramiento del Régimen Foral de Navarra". Organic Law No. 13 of 10 August 1982. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 18 June 2017.
  3. Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  4. "Ley Foral 16/1986, de 17 de noviembre, reguladora de las elecciones al Parlamento de Navarra". Law No. 16 of 17 December 1986. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 18 June 2017.
  5. "Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 January 2020.
  6. "Decreto Foral 7/2019, de 1 de abril, de la Presidenta de la Comunidad Foral de Navarra, de convocatoria de elecciones al Parlamento de Navarra" (PDF). Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish) (79): 34039. 2 April 2019. ISSN 0212-033X.
  7. "Elecciones al Parlamento de Navarra (Nafarroako Parlamentua) (1979 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 15 August 2019.
  8. "Memoir 2018–2019" (PDF). www.parlamentodenavarra.es (in Spanish). Parliament of Navarre. Retrieved 23 July 2020.
  9. "'Orain bai-Ahora sí', nuevo nombre registrado por los críticos para el grupo parlamentario de Podemos". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 31 May 2018. Retrieved 29 January 2020.
  10. "Javier Esparza, candidato provisional de UPN a la presidencia del Gobierno foral en las próximas elecciones". Europa Press (in Spanish). 17 January 2018. Retrieved 30 January 2019.
  11. "UPN y PP irán juntos a las elecciones generales, al Parlamento de Navarra y a los ayuntamientos". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 2 March 2019. Retrieved 2 March 2019.
  12. "Gran coalición en Navarra: UPN y Ciudadanos concurrirán juntos a todas las elecciones". El Español (in Spanish). 10 March 2019. Retrieved 10 March 2019.
  13. "Uxue Barkos repetirá como candidata al no presentarse más candidaturas a las primarias de Geroa Bai". Navarra.com (in Spanish). 16 September 2018. Retrieved 30 January 2019.
  14. "Bakartxo Ruiz será la candidata de EH Bildu en las elecciones forales de 2019". Europa Press (in Spanish). 30 May 2018. Retrieved 30 January 2019.
  15. "Mikel Buil será el candidato de Podemos Navarra en las elecciones autonómicas". EiTB (in Spanish). 27 November 2018. Retrieved 30 January 2019.
  16. "María Chivite es proclamada oficialmente candidata del PSN a la presidencia del Gobierno". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 5 May 2018. Retrieved 30 January 2019.
  17. "IUN ratifica la candidatura de Marisa de Simón a la Presidencia del Gobierno de Navarra". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 9 March 2019. Retrieved 9 March 2019.
  18. "Navarra Suma ganaría (18-19) y el PSN (9-10) superaría a Geroa Bai (8-9)a". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 19 May 2019.
  19. "2019 Parliament of Navarre election". elecciones2019.navarra.es (in Spanish). Government of Navarre. Retrieved 26 May 2019.
  20. "Chivite no obtiene la mayoría absoluta necesaria para ser investida en primera votación". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 1 August 2019. Retrieved 1 August 2019.
  21. "La socialista María Chivite ya es presidenta de Navarra: EH Bildu se abstiene y deja sus responsabilidades de gobierno". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 2 August 2019. Retrieved 2 August 2019.
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