Next Navarrese regional election

The next Navarrese regional election will be held no later than Sunday, 25 June 2023, to elect the 11th Parliament of the Chartered Community of Navarre. All 50 seats in the Parliament will be up for election.

Next Navarrese regional election
No later than 25 June 2023
All 50 seats in the Parliament of Navarre
26 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader Javier Esparza María Chivite Uxue Barkos
Party NA+ PSN–PSOE GBai
Leader since 30 November 2014 13 December 2014 3 October 2014
Last election 20 seats, 36.6% 11 seats, 20.6% 9 seats, 17.3%
Current seats 20 11 9
Seats needed 6 15 17
 
Leader Bakartxo Ruiz Mikel Buil Marisa de Simón
Party EH Bildu Podemos I–E (n)
Leader since 30 May 2018 27 November 2018 9 March 2019
Last election 7 seats, 14.5% 2 seats, 4.7% 1 seat, 3.0%
Current seats 7 2 1
Seats needed 19 24 25
Incumbent President

María Chivite
PSN–PSOE

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of Navarre is the devolved, unicameral legislature of the Chartered Community of Navarre, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Reintegration and Enhancement of the Foral Regime of Navarre Law, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]

Voting is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over eighteen, registered in Navarre and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Navarrese abroad are required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2] The 50 members of the Parliament of Navarre are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of three percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied regionally. Parties not reaching the threshold are not taken into consideration for seat distribution.[3]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of Navarre expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it is dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Navarre (BON), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 26 May 2019, which means that the legislature's term will expire on 26 May 2023. The election decree must be published in the BON no later than 2 May 2023, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 25 June 2023.[1][3][4]

The president has the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Navarre and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process, no nationwide election is due and some time requirements are met: namely, that dissolution does not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year has elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a three-month period from the election date, the Parliament shall be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[1]

Parliamentary status
Further information: 10th Parliament of Navarre

The table below shows the status of the different parliamentary groups in the Parliament at the present time.

Current parliamentary composition[5]
Groups Parties Legislators
Seats Total
Sum Navarre Parliamentary Group UPN 15 20
Cs 3
PP 2
Socialist Party of Navarre Parliamentary Group PSN–PSOE 11 11
Yes to the Future Parliamentary Group Zabaltzen 5 9
EAJ/PNV 4
EH Bildu Navarre Parliamentary Group Sortu 4 7
EA 3
Mixed Group Podemos 2 3
I–E (n) 1

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 26 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Navarre.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 1] 15 Oct 2020 740 ? 37.4
21		 22.3
12		 13.8
7		 16.7
9		 3.2
1		 2.8
0		 2.0
0		 – 15.1
UPNA/Parliament of Navarre[p 2] 9–19 Sep 2020 1,200 72.2 36.4
20		 22.6
12		 16.2
8		 13.9
7		 4.0
2		 3.1
1		 1.5
0		 – 13.8
SyM Consulting[p 3][p 4] 21–23 May 2020 667 72.0 38.1
21		 19.7
10/11		 17.9
9/10		 14.7
8		 3.5
1		 2.4
0		 2.1
0		 – 18.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 5][p 6] 1 Apr–15 May 2020 ? ? 37.0
20		 22.5
12		 13.2
7		 17.1
9		 3.8
1		 3.0
1		 1.5
0		 – 14.5
November 2019 general election 10 Nov 2019 N/A 65.9 29.6
15		 25.0
13		 3.8
2		 16.9
9		 [lower-alpha 1] [lower-alpha 1] 5.8
3		 16.6
8		 4.6
2019 regional election 26 May 2019 N/A 68.5 36.6
20		 20.6
11		 17.3
9		 14.5
7		 4.7
2		 3.0
1		 1.3
0		 – 16.0

Notes
  1. Within Unidas Podemos.

References
Opinion poll sources
  1. "EP Autonómico (15oct): Page perdería Castilla-La Mancha. ERC sube, baja Junts y Vox roza el sorpasso a CUP en Cat. Bajada del PSN en Navarra". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 October 2020.
  2. "Barómetro de opinión pública del Parlamento de Navarra 2020" (PDF). UPNA (in Spanish). 21 December 2020.
  3. "Estimación Junio 2020. Navarra. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 5 June 2020.
  4. "NAVARRA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 05/06/2020: EH BILDU 14,7% (8), GBAI 17,9% (9/10), I-E 2,4%, PODEMOS 3,5% (1), PSOE 19,7% (10/11), NA+ 38,1% (21), VOX 2,1%". Electograph (in Spanish). 5 June 2020.
  5. "EP (17My): Navarra – Suben PSN, Nav+ y EH Bildu". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
  6. "MacroPanel Autonómico (17My): 8 gobiernos para PSOE+, 8 para PP+ y 3 para otros+". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
Other
  1. "Ley Orgánica 13/1982, de 10 de agosto, de reintegración y amejoramiento del Régimen Foral de Navarra". Organic Law No. 13 of 10 August 1982. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 18 June 2017.
  2. Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  3. "Ley Foral 16/1986, de 17 de noviembre, reguladora de las elecciones al Parlamento de Navarra". Law No. 16 of 17 December 1986. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 18 June 2017.
  4. "Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 January 2020.
  5. "Parliamentary groups". www.parlamentodenavarra.es/es (in Spanish). Parliament of Navarre. Retrieved 18 July 2020.
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