Timeline of the 2024 United States presidential election
The following is a tentative timeline of major events leading up, during, and after the 2024 United States presidential election. This will be the first presidential election to be run with population data from the 2020 census. In addition to the dates mandated by the relevant federal laws such as those in the U.S. Constitution and the Electoral Count Act, several milestones have consistently been observed since the adoption of the conclusions of the 1971 McGovern–Fraser Commission.
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2020
- November 4: Kanye West announced his 2024 election campaign.[1]
- November 7: Joe Biden is declared the winner of the 2020 presidential election by a consensus of major news outlets projecting the results.[2]
- November 9: Howie Hawkins files for the Green Party nomination.[3]
- December 18: The U.S. Supreme Court delivers its per curiam decision in Trump v. New York regarding the 2020 United States census, effectively allowing Trump's July 2020 presidential memorandum to stand, which ordered the Department of Commerce exclude the estimated counts of illegal immigrants. The per curiam decision vacated the U.S District Court's previously ruling on the basis that the case was premature due to lack of standing and ripeness. Justice Stephen Breyer files a dissent, which was joined by Justices Sonia Sotomayor and Elena Kagan, arguing that the Court should have considered the case.[4]
- December 31: The U.S. Census Bureau misses the deadline to deliver the 2020 census results and the new apportionment counts to outgoing President Donald Trump.[5]
2021–22
- TBD 2021: The president formally reports on the 2020 apportionment counts to the office of the Clerk of the House of Representatives.[6] The Clerk of the House of Representatives then formally notifies each state the number of House seats, and thus indirectly the number of electoral votes, it is entitled to as a result of the 2020 census.[6] Except for those that have one at-large district, each state then proceeds with its redistricting process, depending on whether its state law mandates using an independent commission, a politician commission, or approval by its state legislature.
- January 20, 2021: Inauguration Day: Joe Biden is inaugurated as the 46th President.
- Early and mid-2021: The "invisible primary," in which presidential hopefuls "test the waters" by attending local events in early primary states, most notably Iowa and New Hampshire, and contacting potential donors, begins. Most have already set up personal political action committees in order to legally raise money for such a venture.[7][8]
- Fall 2021: Both Democratic and Republican national committees start the selection process for their national convention sites.
- Summer 2022: In the past, both major parties have announced their site selections by this time.
- Fall-winter 2022: Major candidates begin publicly announcing the formation of exploratory committees and in rare cases announcing their formal candidacies.
- November 2022: Midterm elections.
2023
- Winter-Spring: A full contingent of major candidates will have likely announced their runs by this time.
- Spring: The party out of power begins a series of presidential debates. The earliest one of these took place was on April 26, 2007.[9] The latest took place in May of a following year.
- Fall: Candidates begin filing for ballot places.[10]
2024
- January-February: For purposes of tradition, the following states have been exempted from the Democratic party's rules limiting the times that these contests may be held:
- Iowa caucuses
- New Hampshire primary
- Nevada caucuses
- South Carolina primary
- March 5 (the first Tuesday of March): Super Tuesday, the earliest that a candidate can clinch the nomination. The following states are holding primaries on this day:
- Virginia[11]
- Spring: Further primaries. The last time a Republican failed to clinch at the end of the primary season was 1976 and the last a Democrat was 1984, although several others were contested at the conventions.
- Summer: Conventions. Tradition states the party that holds the White House goes second.[12]
- Fall: General election campaign:
- September: First debate
- October: Vice presidential debate.
- October: Final two presidential debates.
- November 5 (the first Tuesday after November 1): Election Day.
- December 10 (at least six days prior to the first Monday after the second Wednesday in December): The "safe harbor" deadline under the Electoral Count Act, where states must finally resolve any controversies over the selection of their electors of the Electoral College.[13]
- December 16 (the first Monday after the second Wednesday in December): The electors meet in their respective state capitals (electors for the District of Columbia meet within the district) to formally vote for the president and vice president.[14] The number of states that prohibit faithless electors is subject to change. In 2020, 33 states and DC had such laws.[15]
2025
- January 6: Electoral votes formally counted before a joint session of Congress; the President of the Senate, expected to be Vice President Harris, formally announces the electoral result.[16]
- January 20: Inauguration Day.
References
- Ben Beaumont-Thomas (November 4, 2020). "Kanye West announces 'Kanye 2024' as he fails to make election impact". The Guardian. Retrieved November 14, 2020.
- Lemire, Jonathan; Miller, Zeke (November 7, 2020). "Biden defeats Trump for White House, says 'time to heal'". AP News. Retrieved November 7, 2020.
- "Statement of Candidacy". Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 13, 2020.
- "High court rules challenge to Trump census plan is premature". Associated Press. Retrieved December 18, 2020.
- Wang, Hansi Lo. "Census Missed Year-End Deadline For Delivering Numbers For House Seats". NPR. National Public Radio. Retrieved January 4, 2021.
- 2 U.S.C. § 2a
- Gilliland, Donald (July 7, 2019). "The 'invisible primary' has begun". The Hill.
- Aldrich, John (2009). "The Invisible Primary and Its Effects on Democratic Choice". PS: Political Science and Politics. 42 (1): 33–38 – via JSTOR.
- Dionne Gleaton. "Presidential debate at SCSU". The Times and Democrat.
- "South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Filing Fee is $40,000". Ballot Access News.
- "Election Planning Calendar" (PDF). essex-virginia.org. Essex County, Virginia. Retrieved February 6, 2016.
- Waldman, Katy (August 27, 2012). "Who Decides Which Party Goes First?". Slate.
- 3 U.S.C. § 5
- 3 U.S.C. § 7
- "Faithless Elector State Laws". Fair Vote. July 7, 2020. Retrieved November 27, 2020.
- 3 U.S.C. § 15
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