2016 Saskatchewan general election
The 2016 Saskatchewan general election, was held on April 4, 2016, to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan. The Lieutenant Governor dissolved the Legislature on March 8, 2016, setting the election date for April 4. The election resulted in the Saskatchewan Party winning its third majority government. This is the first time in 90 years that a party other than the Saskatchewan New Democratic Party (NDP) or its predecessor, the Saskatchewan Co-operative Commonwealth Federation (CCF) has won three consecutive majority governments in Saskatchewan. It is also the first time that a centre-right party has won three consecutive elections in the province.
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61 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan 31 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Turnout | 57.8% [1] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Riding names are listed at the bottom of the map. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Date
Under The Legislative Assembly Act, 2007 (Saskatchewan), the election "must be held" on the first Monday of November in the fourth calendar year following the previous election. As the last election was held in 2011, that date would be November 2, 2015. However, the act also provides that if the election period would overlap with a federal election period, the provincial election is to be postponed until the first Monday of the following April.[2] Under the federal fixed-term act, the 42nd general election occurred on October 19, 2015, overlapping election periods by approximately two weeks. Because the federal Conservatives called the election on August 2, 2015 for October 19, the Saskatchewan election was held on April 4, 2016, even though the Lieutenant Governor retained the power to dissolve the Legislative Assembly early on the Premier's advice.
Results
Due to an increase in the number of ridings (from 58 to 61), both parties increased their total number of seats.
The Saskatchewan Party maintained its sweep of the southern and central rural ridings, and also held on to a majority of seats in Regina and Saskatoon. The NDP seemed to have some momentum after winning federal seats for the first time in a decade at the 2015 federal election. However, it was unable to recover much of the ground it lost in its severe defeat of almost five years earlier. The NDP gained one seat each in Regina and Prince Albert but lost one in Saskatoon for an overall net gain of one seat, and for the second consecutive election saw its leader unseated in his own riding; Cam Broten was defeated in the reconfigured riding of Saskatoon Westview by a slim margin of 232 votes. The results reflected the opinion polling done prior to the election, with the popular vote falling within the margins of error, though the Saskatchewan Party won more seats than what was projected.[3]
Election summary
Summary of the April 4, 2016 Saskatchewan Legislature election
Party | Leader | Candidates[4] | Seats | Popular vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2011 | Dissol. | 2016 | +/- | Votes | % | % change | ||||
Saskatchewan | Brad Wall | 61 | 49 | 47 | 51 | +2 | 270,776 | 62.53% | -1.72 | |
New Democratic | Cam Broten | 61 | 9 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 131,137 | 30.28% | -1.69 | |
Liberal | Darrin Lamoureux | 61 | – | – | 0 | – | 15,568 | 3.60% | +3.04 | |
Green | Victor Lau | 58 | – | – | 0 | – | 7,967 | 1.84% | -1.03 | |
Progressive Conservative | Rick Swenson | 18 | – | – | 0 | – | 5,571 | 1.29% | +0.96 | |
Western Independence | Frank Serfas | 4 | – | – | 0 | – | 318 | +0.06% | ||
Independent | 5 | – | – | 0 | – | 1,693 | +0.38% | |||
Vacant | – | 2 | N/A | |||||||
Total | 268 | 58 | 58 | 61 | 433,030 | 100% |
Percentages
Detailed analysis
Party | Candidates | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saskatchewan | 61 | 51 | 10 | – | – | – | |
New Democratic | 61 | 10 | 50 | 1 | – | – | |
Liberal | 61 | – | – | 46 | 8 | 6 | |
Green | 58 | – | – | 4 | 47 | 5 | |
Progressive Conservative | 18 | – | – | 10 | 5 | 3 | |
Western Independence | 4 | – | – | – | 1 | 1 | |
Independents | 5 | – | 1 | – | – | 4 |
Incumbents not contesting their seats
Retiring incumbents
- Saskatchewan Party
- Bob Bjornerud, Melville-Saltcoats[5]
- June Draude, Kelvington-Wadena[6]
- Yogi Huyghebaert, Wood River[7]
- Don Toth, Moosomin[8]
- Ken Krawetz, Canora-Pelly[9]
- Doreen Eagles, Estevan[10]
- Wayne Elhard, Cypress Hills[11]
- Russ Marchuk, Regina Douglas Park[12]
- New Democrats
Lost nomination election
- Saskatchewan Party
Resigned before election
- Saskatchewan Party
- Darryl Hickie, Prince Albert Carlton (Resigned March 9, 2015)[15]
- Rob Norris, Saskatoon Greystone (Resigned Dec. 31, 2015)[16]
Opinion polls
Polling Firm | Date of Polling | Link | Saskatchewan | New Democratic | Green | Liberal | PC | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | April 1–2, 2016 | 60.8 | 30.1 | 3.3 | 5.5 | 0.4 | ||
Insights West | March 31–April 2, 2016 | HTML | 61 | 29 | 4 | 4 | ||
Mainstreet Research | March 31, 2016 | HTML | 60 | 31 | 5 | 4 | ||
Insightrix | March 28–30, 2016 | HTML | 60 | 30 | 3 | 5 | 3 | |
Insights West | March 23–25, 2016 | HTML | 56 | 34 | 3 | 6 | ||
Insightrix | March 14–16, 2016 | HTML | 61 | 29 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
Mainstreet Research | March 15, 2016 | HTML | 53 | 35 | 4 | 8 | ||
Insightrix | March 8–10, 2016 | HTML | 57 | 29 | 7 | |||
Mainstreet Research | March 8, 2016 | HTML | 51 | 37 | 3 | 8 | ||
Forum Research | March 7, 2016 | 57 | 33 | 3 | 7 | |||
Mainstreet Research | March 1, 2016 | HTML | 55 | 33 | 3 | 9 | ||
Mainstreet Research | February 23, 2016 | HTML | 52 | 34 | 4 | 10 | ||
Mainstreet Research | February 11, 2016 | HTML | 56 | 32 | 4 | 8 | ||
Mainstreet Research | January 4, 2016 | HTML | 59 | 28 | 3 | 7 | 2 | |
Insightrix | November 10–12, 2015 | HTML | 54 | 25 | 4 | 14 | 3 | |
Mainstreet Research | October 6, 2015 | HTML | 57 | 32 | 3 | 8 | ||
Oracle | May 19–25, 2015 | 60.8 | 26.7 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 3.7 | ||
Insightrix | April 7–9, 2015 | HTML | 58 | 31 | 3 | 6 | 2 | |
Insightrix | April 9–13, 2014 | HTML | 63.2 | 27.4 | 3.8 | 5.1 | 0.5 | |
Insightrix | July 6–13, 2013 | HTML | 60.1 | 28.7 | 6 | 5 | ||
Insightrix | May 1–8, 2013 | HTML | 60.7 | 29.4 | 3 | 4 | ||
Insightrix | June 4–8, 2012 | HTML | 60.8 | 29.4 | 4.3 | 1 | 0.2 | |
2011 election | November 7, 2011 | 64.25 | 31.97 | 2.87 | 0.56 | 0.33 | 0.02 |
Riding-by-riding results
People in bold represent cabinet ministers and the speaker. Party leaders are italicized. The symbols ** indicates MLAs who are not running again.
Northwest Saskatchewan
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SK Party | New Democratic | Liberal | Green | PC | ||||
Athabasca | Philip Elliott 644 |
Buckley Belanger 1,756 |
Michael Wolverine 262 |
Max Morin 53 |
Buckley Belanger | |||
Cut Knife-Turtleford | Larry Doke 5,765 |
Danica Lorer 958 |
Rod Gopher 255 |
Tammy Fairley Saunders 90 |
Rick Cline 154 |
Larry Doke | ||
Lloydminster | Colleen Young 4,350 |
Michelle Oleksyn 432 |
Dolores Pahtayken 202 |
Lisa Grant 65 |
Colleen Young | |||
Meadow Lake | Jeremy Harrison 4,395 |
Dwayne Lasas 1,430 |
Eric McCrimmon 305 |
Eric Schalm 107 |
Jeremy Harrison | |||
Rosthern-Shellbrook | Scott Moe 4,792 |
Rose Freeman 1,288 |
Orrin M. Greyeyes 468 |
Jade Duckett 119 |
Scott Moe | |||
The Battlefords | Herb Cox 4,296 |
Rob Feist 2,260 |
Dexter Gopher 438 |
Josh Hunt 83 |
Herb Cox |
Northeast Saskatchewan
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SK Party | New Democratic | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||
Batoche | Delbert Kirsch 4,471 |
Clayton DeBray 2,211 |
Graham Tweten 216 |
B Garneau I 103 |
Delbert Kirsch | |||
Canora-Pelly | Terry Dennis 4,318 |
Theresa Wilson 1,323 |
Kyle Budz 216 |
Rachel Gregoire 102 |
Merv Malish (PC) 414 David Sawkiw (WIP) |
Ken Krawetz** | ||
Carrot River Valley | Fred Bradshaw 5,104 |
Sandy Ewen 1,369 |
Karalasingham Sadadcharam 131 |
Koreena Fibke 115 |
Fred Bradshaw | |||
Cumberland | Thomas Sierzycki 1,610 |
Doyle Vermette 3,375 |
George Morin 352 |
Michael Taylor-Lessard 79 |
Doyle Vermette | |||
Kelvington-Wadena | Hugh Nerlien 5,133 |
Dan Hiscock 1,354 |
Bernie Yuzdepski 132 |
Owen Swiderski 108 |
Tim Atchison (PC) 390 Walter Hrappsted (WIP) |
June Draude** | ||
Melfort | Kevin Phillips 5,579 |
Linsey Thornton 1,406 |
Bruce Ber 150 |
Tanner Wallace 102 |
Kevin Phillips | |||
Prince Albert Carlton | Joe Hargrave 3,353 |
Shayne Lazarowich 2,670 |
Winston McKay 199 |
Asia Yellowtail 60 |
Vacant | |||
Prince Albert Northcote | Victoria Jurgens 2,491 |
Nicole Rancourt 2,752 |
Jonathan Fraser 272 |
Trace Yellowtail 88 |
Victoria Jurgens | |||
Saskatchewan Rivers | Nadine Wilson 4,584 |
Lyle Whitefish 2,010 |
Brenda McKnight 244 |
Nadine Wilson |
West Central Saskatchewan
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SK Party | New Democratic | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||
Arm River | Greg Brkich 6,187 |
Denise Leduc 1,457 |
Russ Collicott 207 |
Dale Dewar 241 |
Raymond Carrick (PC) 338 |
Greg Brkich Arm River-Watrous | ||
Biggar-Sask Valley | Randy Weekes 5,972 |
Dan Richert 1,453 |
Faiza Kanwal 194 |
Ryan Lamarche 162 |
Randy Weekes Biggar | |||
Humboldt-Watrous | Donna Harpauer 5,818 |
Adam Duke 1,588 |
Robert Tutka 212 |
Lori Ellen Harper 187 |
Donna Harpauer Humboldt | |||
Kindersley | Bill Boyd 4,802 |
Charles Jedlicka 522 |
Darren Donald 171 |
Jason Dearborn (Ind.) 1,249 Terry Smith (PC) |
Bill Boyd | |||
Martensville-Warman | Nancy Heppner 6,854 |
Jasmine Calix 1,477 |
Michael McAteer 179 |
Darcy Robilliard 91 |
Pamela Spencer (WIP) 26 |
Nancy Heppner Martensville | ||
Rosetown-Elrose | Jim Reiter 5,939 |
Glenn Wright 1,380 |
Adrian Janssens 146 |
Yvonne Potter Pihach 182 |
Jim Reiter |
Southwest Saskatchewan
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SK Party | New Democratic | Liberal | Green | PC | ||||
Cypress Hills | Doug Steele 5,774 |
Barb Genert 875 |
Charles Tait 99 |
Marie Crowe 133 |
John Goohsen 382 |
Wayne Elhard** | ||
Lumsden-Morse | Lyle Stewart 6,256 |
Rhonda Phillips 1,655 |
Gerry Hiebert 242 |
Patricia Crowther 179 |
Lyle Stewart Thunder Creek | |||
Moose Jaw North | Warren Michelson 4,425 |
Corey Atkinson 2,517 |
Brenda Colenutt 194 |
Caleb MacLowich 142 |
Warren Michelson | |||
Moose Jaw Wakamow | Greg Lawrence 3,514 |
Karen Purdy 2,819 |
Terry Gabel 182 |
Shaun Drake 106 |
Greg Lawrence | |||
Swift Current | Brad Wall 6,071 |
Hailey Clark 1,112 |
Glenn Smith 78 |
George Watson 103 |
Brad Wall | |||
Wood River | Dave Marit 6,125 |
Brenda Shenher 991 |
Edward Ives 191 |
Judy Mergel 200 |
Brian Archer 544 |
Yogi Huyghebaert** |
Southeast Saskatchewan
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SK Party | New Democratic | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||
Cannington | Dan D'Autremont 6,444 |
Nathaniel Cole 674 |
Patrick Dennie 133 |
Tierra Lemieux 133 |
Kurt Schmidt (PC) 245 |
Dan D'Autremont | ||
Estevan | Lori Carr 5,454 |
Tina Vuckovic 635 |
Oskar Karkabatov 118 |
Branden Schick 89 |
Paul Carroll (PC) 618 Cam Robock (Ind.) |
Doreen Eagles** | ||
Indian Head-Milestone | Don McMorris 5,118 |
Ashley Nemeth 1,848 |
David Delainey 264 |
Andrea Huang 143 |
Sheila Olson (PC) 225 |
Don McMorris | ||
Last Mountain-Touchwood | Glen Hart 4,274 |
Mary Ann Harrison 1,572 |
David Buchocik 212 |
Justin Stranack 104 |
Rick Swenson (PC) 689 Frank J. Serfas (WIP) |
Glen Hart | ||
Melville-Saltcoats | Warren Kaeding 5,311 |
Leonard Dales 1,595 |
Igor Riabchyk 138 |
Diana Lowe (PC) 192 Trever Ratti (Ind.) |
Bob Bjornerud** | |||
Moosomin | Steven Bonk 5,142 |
Ashlee Hicks 1,032 |
Janice Palmer 191 |
Kate Ecklund 244 |
Lloyd Hauser (PC) 284 Trevor Bearance (Ind.) |
Don Toth** | ||
Weyburn-Big Muddy | Dustin Duncan 6,177 |
Karen Wormsbecker 1,260 |
Dylan Hart 122 |
Barry Dickie 155 |
Glenn Pohl (PC) 131 |
Dustin Duncan | ||
Yorkton | Greg Ottenbreit 4,584 |
Greg Olson 1,432 |
Aaron Sinclair 184 |
Chad Gregoire 118 |
Greg Ottenbreit |
Saskatoon
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SK Party | New Democratic | Liberal | Green | PC | |||||
Saskatoon Centre | Brad Hoffmann 1,929 |
David Forbes 3,005 |
Roman Todos 203 |
Kathryn McDonald 129 |
David Forbes | ||||
Saskatoon Churchill-Wildwood | Lisa Lambert 3,978 |
Tanya Dunn-Pierce 3,044 |
Chris Chovin 414 |
Colleen Kennedy 128 |
Vacant Saskatoon Greystone | ||||
Saskatoon Eastview | Corey Tochor 4,169 |
Jesse Todd 3,198 |
Ana Ashraf 272 |
Shawn Setyo 170 |
Corey Tochor | ||||
Saskatoon Fairview | Jennifer Campeau 2,951 |
Vicki Mowat 2,769 |
Shah Rukh 308 |
Debbie McGraw 89 |
Jennifer Campeau | ||||
Saskatoon Meewasin | Roger Parent 3,500 |
Nicole White 2,977 |
Constance Sacher 307 |
Daeran Gall 148 |
Roger Parent | ||||
Saskatoon Northwest | Gordon Wyant 4,514 |
Dennel Pickering 2,004 |
Eric Steiner 254 |
Nylissa Valentine 121 |
Gordon Wyant | ||||
Saskatoon Nutana | Jamie Brandrick 2,474 |
Cathy Sproule 3,822 |
Robin Schneider 275 |
Jaime Fairley 190 |
Cathy Sproule | ||||
Saskatoon Riversdale | Marv Friesen 2,432 |
Danielle Chartier 2,691 |
Robert Rudachyk 354 |
Julia MacKay 107 |
Danielle Chartier | ||||
Saskatoon Silverspring-Sutherland | Paul Merriman 4,482 |
Zaigham Kayani 2,003 |
James Gorin 303 |
Evangeline Godron 127 |
Jeff Wortman 122 |
New District | |||
Saskatoon Southeast | Don Morgan 5,247 |
Michael Karras 2,169 |
Pradipta Das 225 |
Deanna Robilliard 104 |
Don Morgan | ||||
Saskatoon Stonebridge-Dakota | Bronwyn Eyre 6,584 |
Steve Jimbo 2,300 |
Kevin Ber 377 |
Michelle Wendzina 149 |
New District | ||||
Saskatoon University | Eric Olauson 3,080 |
Jennifer Bowes 2,732 |
Ezaz Jaseem 370 |
Garnet Hall 129 |
Rose Buscholl 101 |
Paul Merriman‡ Saskatoon Sutherland | |||
Saskatoon Westview | David Buckingham 3,892 |
Cam Broten 3,675 |
Naveed Anwar 240 |
Tammy McDonald 124 |
Cam Broten Saskatoon Massey Place | ||||
Saskatoon Willowgrove | Ken Cheveldayoff 6,603 |
Tajinder Grewal 2,196 |
Jason Gorin 229 |
Sarah Risk 129 |
Ken Cheveldayoff Saskatoon Silver Springs |
Regina
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SK Party | New Democratic | Liberal | Green | Other | |||||
Regina Coronation Park | Mark Docherty 3,008 |
Ted Jaleta 2,861 |
Tara Jijian 245 |
Melvin Pylypchuk 103 |
Douglas Hudgin (Ind.) 70 |
Mark Docherty | |||
Regina Douglas Park | CJ Katz 2,531 |
Nicole Sarauer 3,242 |
Curt Schroeder 332 |
Victor Lau 401 |
Russ Marchuk** | ||||
Regina Elphinstone-Centre | Bill Stevenson 1,351 |
Warren McCall 2,648 |
Patrick Denis 297 |
Dianna Holigroski 178 |
Warren McCall | ||||
Regina Gardiner Park | Gene Makowsky 4,259 |
Faycal Haggui 2,459 |
Jesse Albanez 294 |
Liam Becker Lau 138 |
Gene Makowsky Regina Dewdney | ||||
Regina Lakeview | Dan Cooper 2,715 |
Carla Beck 4,358 |
Stewart Kerr 391 |
Larry Neufeld 251 |
John Nilson** | ||||
Regina Northeast | Kevin Doherty 3,920 |
Kathleen O’Reilly 2,912 |
Hafeez Chaudhuri 186 |
Marlene Macfarlane 155 |
Kevin Doherty | ||||
Regina Pasqua | Muhammad Fiaz 3,929 |
Heather McIntyre 3,631 |
Darrin Lamoureux 962 |
Mike Wright 186 |
Desmond Bilsky (PC) 174 |
New District | |||
Regina Rochdale | Laura Ross 5,769 |
Brett Estey 3,554 |
Nadeem Islam 293 |
Billy Patterson 155 |
Laura Ross Regina Qu'Appelle Valley | ||||
Regina Rosemont | Kevin Dureau 3,101 |
Trent Wotherspoon 3,994 |
Reid Hill 162 |
Sara Piotrofsky 146 |
Trent Wotherspoon | ||||
Regina University | Tina Beaudry-Mellor 3,418 |
Aleana Young 3,001 |
Silvia Volodko 401 |
Yordanos Tesfamariam 165 |
Bill Hutchinson** Regina South | ||||
Regina Walsh Acres | Warren Steinley 3,575 |
Gloria Patrick 2,976 |
Reina Sinclair 312 |
Leonie Williams 106 |
Warren Steinley | ||||
Regina Wascana Plains | Christine Tell 6,107 |
Kaytlyn Criddle 2,525 |
Gulraiz Tariq 287 |
Jeremy O'Connor 153 |
Allen Mryglod (PC) 245 |
Christine Tell |
References
- "Voter turnout figures for 28th Saskatchewan election released". Elections Saskatchewan. 2016-04-16. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
- "The Legislative Assembly Act, 2007" (PDF). The Queen's Printer (Saskatchewan). 2015. Retrieved April 4, 2016.
- Grenier, Éric. "Poll Tracker: 2016 Saskatchewan provincial election". CBC Saskatchewan. CBC News. Retrieved 10 April 2016.
- "Former agriculture minister and Sask. Party founder Bob Bjornerud to retire". Global Regina. Canadian Press. May 12, 2014. Retrieved June 11, 2014.
- "Social Services Minister June Draude to retire". CTV Regina News. Canadian Press. April 30, 2014. Retrieved July 22, 2014.
- "Veteran Sask. MLA Yogi Huyghebaert says he won't run again in 2016". CTV Regina News. Canadian Press. February 26, 2014. Retrieved July 22, 2014.
- Jennifer Graham (April 28, 2014). "Deputy Premier Ken Krawetz set to retire after this term". Global Regina. Canadian Press. Retrieved June 11, 2014.
- "Doreen Eagles will not seek re-election in Estevan". Estevan Mercury. December 17, 2014. Retrieved March 11, 2016.
- "Longtime Sask. Party MLA Wayne Elhard won't seek re-election". CTV Regina News. 2015-04-29. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
- "Former education minister Russ Marchuk retiring". CTV Regina News. Retrieved December 16, 2015.
- "Veteran NDP MLA John Nilson won't run in next election". CBC News. 2014-12-19. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
- "Bill Hutchinson loses nomination bid". CBC. 29 April 2015. Retrieved 2 August 2015.
- "Darryl Hickie set to quit MLA post, rejoin police work in March". CBC News. 2015-02-13. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
- "MLA Rob Norris returning to University of Saskatchewan". CBC News. 2015-12-18. Retrieved 2018-05-14.