2019 Manitoba general election

The 2019 Manitoba general election was held on September 10, 2019, to elect the 57 members to the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba.[1]

2019 Manitoba general election
September 10, 2019
57 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba
29 seats are needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  First party Second party
 
Leader Brian Pallister Wab Kinew
Party Progressive Conservative New Democratic
Leader since July 30, 2012 September 16, 2017
Leader's seat Fort Whyte Fort Rouge
Last election 40 seats, 53.01% 14 seats, 25.73%
Seats before 38 12
Seats won 36 18
Seat change 2 6
Popular vote 221,007 149,868
Percentage 47.07% 31.38%
Swing 6.03% 5.65%
  Third party Fourth party
 
Leader Dougald Lamont James Beddome
Party Liberal Green
Leader since October 21, 2017 November 15, 2014
Leader's seat St. Boniface ran in Fort Rouge (lost)
Last election 3 seats, 14.46% 0 seats, 5.07%
Seats before 4 0
Seats won 3 0
Seat change 1
Popular vote 67,978 22,188
Percentage 14.48% 6.43%
Swing 0.08% 1.36%
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Riding names are listed to the right.
Premier before election

Brian Pallister
Progressive Conservative

 Premier after election

Brian Pallister
Progressive Conservative

The incumbent Progressive Conservatives, led by Premier Brian Pallister, were re-elected to a second majority government with a loss of two seats. The NDP, led by Wab Kinew, gained six seats and retained their position as the official opposition. The Liberals, led by Dougald Lamont, won the remaining three seats.

Background

Date

Under the Manitoba Elections Act, a general election must be held no later than the first Tuesday of October in the fourth calendar year following the previous election.[2] As the previous election was held in 2016, the latest possible date for the election was October 6, 2020, or if that would have overlapped with a federal election period, the latest possible date would be April 20, 2021.[3]

However, incumbent Premier Brian Pallister announced instead in June 2019 that he would seek to hold the election over a year early, on September 10, 2019, in order to seek "a new mandate to keep moving Manitoba forward." Pallister visited Lieutenant Governor Janice Filmon on August 12 to officially drop the writ and begin the campaign period.[4]

It had been speculated that Pallister would call an early election in order to take advantage of a large lead in opinion polls, and to get the vote out of the way before new and potentially unpopular budget cuts took effect. A poll taken by the Winnipeg Free Press found that while most respondents disagreed with the early election and agreed that Pallister had moved up the date for partisan reasons, such sentiments were unlikely to imperil Pallister's re-election.[5]

Electoral boundaries

By law, Manitoba's electoral boundaries are reviewed every 10 years. The latest review was completed the end of 2018, meaning the 2019 elections were the first ones contested using the new boundaries.[6][7]

Timeline

2016

2017

2018

2019
  • April 3: Progressive Conservative MLA for Kildonan, Nic Curry announces that he will not seek re-election.[11]
  • May 22: MLA Steven Fletcher resigns as leader of the Manitoba First party.[12]
  • August 12: Premier Pallister visits the lieutenant governor and calls the election for September 10.[13]
  • September 10: The election is held.

Legislature summary

Manitoba Legislature

Party Leader Candidates Seats Popular vote
2016 Dissolution 2019 +/- Votes % +/-
Progressive Conservative Brian Pallister 57403836-2221,00747.07%
New Democratic Wab Kinew 57141218+6149,86831.38%
Liberal Dougald Lamont 57343-167,97814.48%
Green James Beddome 43––––30,1756.43%
  Manitoba Forward Wayne Sturby 7––––1,3210.28%
  Manitoba First Douglas Petrick 6–1–-16380.14%
Communist Darrell Rankin 5––––1910.04%
  Independents 3–2–-29300.2%
  Vacant 0–
Blank and invalid votes 3,495
Total 575757482,421
Registered voters/turnout 870,137
Popular vote
PC
 
 47.07%
New Democratic
 
 31.38%
Liberal
 
 14.48%
Green
 
 6.43%
Others
 
 0.64%
Seat summary
PC
 
 63.16%
New Democratic
 
 31.58%
Liberal
 
 5.26%

Incumbents not running for reelection
Riding Incumbent at dissolution and subsequent nominee New MLA
Assiniboia   Steven Fletcher[14] (elected as PC) none   Scott Johnston
Fort Garry-Riverview (redistributed to Fort Garry)   James Allum[15] Mark Wasyliw[16]   Mark Wasyliw
Kildonan (redistributed to Kildonan-River East)   Nic Curry[17] Cathy Cox   Cathy Cox
Logan (redistributed to Notre Dame and Union Station)   Flor Marcelino[18] Uzoma Asagwara   Uzoma Asagwara
Wolseley   Rob Altemeyer[19] Lisa Naylor[20]   Lisa Naylor
Minto (redistributed to Notre Dame)   Andrew Swan[21] Malaya Marcelino   Malaya Marcelino
Keewatinook   Judy Klassen[22] Jason Harper   Ian Bushie

Candidates by riding
  • Note that names in bold type represent Cabinet members, while italics represent party leaders.

Northern Manitoba
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 PC NDP Liberal GreenOther
Flin Flon Theresa Wride
1,294		 Tom Lindsey
2,435		 James Lindsay
270		 Saara Murnick
203		 Tom Lindsey
Keewatinook Arnold Flett
355		 Ian Bushie
1,723		 Jason Harper
530		 Judy Klassen
Swan River Rick Wowchuk
5,529		 Shelley Wiggins
2,064		 David Teffaine
417		 Rick Wowchuk
The Pas-Kameesak Ron Evans
1,324		 Amanda Lathlin
3,054		 Ken Brandt
178		 Ralph McLean
780		 Amanda Lathlin
The Pas
Thompson Kelly Bindle
1,750		 Danielle Adams
2,651		 Darla Contois
294		 Meagan Jemmett
177		 Kelly Bindle

Westman/Parkland
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 PC NDP Liberal GreenOther
Agassiz Eileen Clarke
5,688		 Kelly Legaspi
954		 Hector Swanson
462		 Liz Clayton
417		 Eileen Clarke
Turtle Mountain Doyle Piwniuk
6,162		 Angie Herrera-Hildebrand
990		 Richard Davies
607		 David M. Neufeld
1,350		 Doyle Piwniuk
Arthur-Virden
Brandon East Len Isleifson
3,272		 Lonnie Patterson
2,311		 Kim Longstreet
799		 Len Isleifson
Brandon West Reg Helwer
4,307		 Nick Brown
1,747		 Sunday Frangi
564		 Robert Brown
744		 Reg Helwer
Dauphin Brad Michaleski
4,799		 Darcy Scheller
4,022		 Cathy Scofield-Singh
674		 Brad Michaleski
Riding Mountain Greg Nesbitt
6,117		 Wayne Chacun
1,961		 Jordan Fleury
454		 Mary Lowe
723		 Greg Nesbitt
Spruce Woods Cliff Cullen
5,657		 Justin Shannon
1,316		 Jennifer Harcus
515		 Gordon Beddome
816		 Cliff Cullen

Central Manitoba
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 PC NDP Liberal GreenOther
Borderland Josh Guenter
4,885		 Liz Cronk
287		 Loren Braul
1,226		 Ken Henry
250		 Cliff Graydon
739 [23]		 Cliff Graydon
Emerson
Interlake-Gimli Derek Johnson
6,199		 Sarah Pinsent
3,472		 Mary Lou Bourgeois
400		 Dwight Harfield
473		 Jeff Wharton‡
Gimli
Merged District
Derek Johnson
Interlake
Lakeside Ralph Eichler
6,394		 Dan Rugg
2,054		 Ilsa Regelsky
854		 Ralph Eichler
Midland Blaine Pedersen
6,700		 Cindy Friesen
1,370		 Julia Sisler
860		 Blaine Pedersen
Morden-Winkler Cameron Friesen
6,096		 Robin Dalloo
365		 David Mintz
277		 Mike Urichuk
769		 Cameron Friesen
Springfield-Ritchot Ron Schuler
5,661		 Sam Okoi
1,976		 Sara Mirwaldt
813		 Garrett Hawgood
1,065		 Shannon Martin
Morris
Portage la Prairie Ian Wishart
4,489		 Andrew Podolecki
1,521		 Charles Huband
843		 Ian Wishart

Eastman
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 PC NDP Liberal GreenOther
Dawson Trail Bob Lagassé
4,548		 Echo Asher
1,783		 Robert Rivard
1,874		 Bob Lagassé
Lac du Bonnet Wayne Ewasko
6,170		 Sidney Klassen
1,793		 Terry Hayward
1,373		 Wayne Ewasko
La Verendrye Dennis Smook
5,305		 Erin McGee
1,052		 Lorena Mitchell
929		 Dennis Smook
Steinbach Kelvin Goertzen
6,237		 Rob Jessup
614		 LeAmber Kensley
369		 Janine Gibson
417		 Kelvin Goertzen
Red River North Jeff Wharton
5,566		 Chris Pullen
2,387		 Noel Ngo
732		 Graham Hnatiuk
739		 Jocelyn Burzuik (MF)
173		 Ron Schuler
St. Paul
Selkirk Alan Lagimodiere
4,736		 Mitch Obach
3,319		 Philip Olcen
480		 Tony Hill
713		 Alan Lagimodiere

Northwest Winnipeg
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 PC NDP Liberal GreenOther
Burrows Jasmine Brar
1,680		 Diljeet Brar
2,536		 Sarbjit Singh Gill
1,170		 Edda Pangilinan (MB Fwd.)
1,020		 Cindy Lamoureux‡
Kildonan-River East Cathy Cox
5,514		 Elliot Macdonald
3,673		 Kathryn Braun
1,602		 Nic Curry
Kildonan
Merged District
Cathy Cox
River East
McPhillips Shannon Martin
3,307		 Greg McFarlane
3,202		 John Cacayuran
1,476		 Jason Smith
406
Dave Wheeler (MF)
237		 New Riding
Point Douglas Michelle Redmond
757		 Bernadette Smith
3,002		 Richard Sanderson
565		 Jenn Kess
398		 Fagie Fainman (CPC-M)
44
Michael Wenuik (MB Fwd.)
66		 Bernadette Smith
St. Johns Ray Larkin
1,665		 Nahanni Fontaine
3,526		 Eddie Calisto-Tavares
1,092		 Joshua McNeil
601		 Nahanni Fontaine
The Maples Aman Sandhu
1,824		 Mintu Sandhu
2,744		 Amandeep Brar
2,070		 Kiran Gill
405		 Mohinder Saran
Tyndall Park Daljit Kainth
991		 Ted Marcelino
2,447		 Cindy Lamoureux
4,293		 Fleur Mann
154
Frank Komarniski (CPC-M)
22		 Ted Marcelino

Northeast Winnipeg
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 PC NDP Liberal GreenOther
Concordia Andrew Frank
2,290		 Matt Wiebe
4,284
Maria Albo
605		 Matt Wiebe
Elmwood Mayra Dubon
2,533		 Jim Maloway
3,862
Regan Wolfrom
739		 Nicolas Geddert
763		 German Lombana (CPC-M)
45		 Jim Maloway
Radisson James Teitsma
4,523		 Raj Sandhu
3,534		 Tanya Hansen Pratt
997		 Carlianne Runions
576		 James Teitsma
Rossmere Andrew Micklefield
4,362		 Andy Regier
3,608		 Isaiah Oyeleru
707		 Amanda Bazan
613		 Andrew Micklefield
St. Boniface Megan Hoskins
1,889		 Laurissa Sims
2,939		 Dougald Lamont
4,077		 Jaclyn Jeanson
840		 Simone Fortier (MB Fwd.)
76		 Dougald Lamont
Transcona Blair Yakimoski
3,914		 Nello Altomare
4,029		 Dylan Bekkering
716		 Blair Yakimoski

West Winnipeg
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 PC NDP Liberal GreenOther
Assiniboia Scott Johnston
4,102		 Joe McKellep
3,303		 Jeff Anderson
1,224		 John Delaat
631		 Steven Fletcher
Roblin Myrna Driedger
6,075		 Sophie Brandt-Murenzi
1,886		 Michael Bazak
1,728		 Kevin Nichols
1,209		 Myrna Driedger
Charleswood
Kirkfield Park Scott Fielding
5,435		 Kurt Morton
2,767		 Ernie Nathaniel
1,695		 Dennis Bayomi
901		 Scott Fielding
St. James Michelle Richard
2,767		 Adrien Sala
4,009		 Bernd Hohne
965		 Jeff Buhse
805		 Scott Johnston‡
Tuxedo Heather Stefanson
4,587		 Carla Compton
1,919		 Marc Brandson
2,225		 Kristin Lauhn-Jensen
822		 Abby Al-Sahi (MF)
60		 Heather Stefanson

Central Winnipeg
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 PC NDP Liberal GreenOther
Fort Garry Nancy Cooke
2,998		 Mark Wasyliw
3,994		 Craig Larkins
1,716		 Casey Fennessy
722		 James Allum
Fort Garry-Riverview
Fort Rouge Edna Nabess
1,854		 Wab Kinew
5,031		 Cyndy Friesen
1,285		 James Beddome
1,579		 Michael McCracken (MF)
54
Bradley Hebert (MB Fwd.)
29		 Wab Kinew
Notre Dame Marsha Street
789		 Malaya Marcelino
3,361		 Donovan Martin
702		 Martha Jo Willard
263		 Andrew Taylor (CPC-M)
32
Margaret Sturby (MB Fwd.)
28		 Andrew Swan
Minto
River Heights Susan Boulter
2,276		 Jonathan Niemczak
1,346		 Jon Gerrard
5,038		 Nathan Zahn
661		 Jon Gerrard
Union Station Tara Fawcett
908		 Uzoma Asagwara
2,635		 Harold Davis
949		 Andrea Shalay
473		 Elsa Cubas (CPC-M)
48
James Yau (MB Fwd.)
32		 Flor Marcelino
Logan
Wolseley Elizabeth Hildebrand
831		 Lisa Naylor
4,253		 Shandi Strong
770		 David Nickarz
3,336		 Eddie Hendrickson
129		 Rob Altemeyer

South Winnipeg
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 PC NDP Liberal GreenOther
Fort Richmond Sarah Guillemard
3,241		 George Wong
1,701		 Tanjit Nagra
2,361		 Cameron Proulx
379		 Sarah Guillemard
Fort Whyte Brian Pallister
5,609		 Beatrice Bruske
1,755		 Darrel Morin
1,729		 Sara Campbell
665		 Jason Holenski (MF)
54		 Brian Pallister
Lagimodière Andrew Smith
5,182		 Billie Cross
2,789		 Jake Sacher
1,481		 Bob Krul
557		 New Riding
Riel Rochelle Squires
4,734		 Mike Moyes
3,744		 Neil Johnston
1,471		 Roger Schellenberg
630		 Rochelle Squires
Seine River Janice Morley-Lecomte
4,363		 Durdana Islam
2,513		 James Bloomfield
2,147		 Bryanne Lamoureux
658		 Janice Morley-Lecomte
Southdale Audrey Gordon
4,486		 Karen Myshkowsky
3,955		 Spencer Duncanson
1,422		 Katherine Quinton
584		 Robert Cairns (MB Fwd.)
70		 Andrew Smith‡
St. Vital Colleen Mayer
3,211		 Jamie Moses
4,081		 Jeffrey Anderson
1,271		 Elizabeth Dickson
499		 David Sutherland (MF)
60
Baljeet Sharma
62		 Colleen Mayer
Waverley Jon Reyes
3,265		 Dashi Zargani
1,865		 Fiona Haftani
1,070		 James Ducas
325		 Jon Reyes
St. Norbert

Opinion polls
Polling Firm Last Date of Polling Link PC NDP Liberal Green Other
Forum Research September 9, 2019 URL 43 29 17 10 1
Research Co. September 9, 2019 URL 44 31 16 7 1
Mainstreet Research September 4, 2019 URL 43.3 34.2 15.1 6.2 1.2
Research Co. August 29, 2019 URL 46 30 14 8 1
Probe Research Inc August 24, 2019 URL 40 29 18 10 3
Mainstreet Research August 19, 2019 URL 42.5 34.7 11.9 9.6 1.4
Converso August 7, 2019 URL 35.0 21.0 12.0 8.0 1.0
Probe Research Inc June 17, 2019 URL 42 26 16 14 3
Probe Research Inc March 24, 2019 PDF 42 30 18 7
Mainstreet Research March 24, 2019 URL 44.8 32.1 13.1 6.7 3.3
Mainstreet Research January 16, 2019 URL 44.6 28.0 16.8 4.6 6.0
Probe Research Inc December 6, 2018 PDF 44 27 21 5 3
Mainstreet Research November 5, 2018 URL 42.3 28.7 18.1 6.0 4.9
Probe Research Inc September 28, 2018 PDF 44 25 20 8
Mainstreet Research July 17, 2018 URL 44.9 29.3 13.6 8.7 3.4
Probe Research Inc June 19, 2018 PDF 42 30 16 11
Mainstreet Research April 18, 2018 URL 45.6 30.2 13.0 7.8
Probe Research Inc April 13, 2018 PDF 44 28 19 8
Mainstreet Research January 6, 2018 URL 39.6 36.7 13.3 10.4
Probe Research Inc December 14, 2017 PDF 40 26 25 8
Probe Research Inc October 10, 2017 URL 36 30 24 8
Probe Research Inc June 18, 2017 URL 42 30 20 7
Mainstreet Research April 7, 2017 URL 47 23 19 11
Probe Research Inc March 28, 2017 URL 43 27 20 8
Probe Research Inc December 12, 2016 PDF 49 24 19 8
Probe Research Inc September 26, 2016 PDF 48 20 26 5
Probe Research Inc June 16, 2016 PDF 46 27 18 8
2016 election April 19, 2016 53.0 25.7 14.5 5.1 1.7

References
  1. Voting in a Manitoba Provincial Election Archived February 22, 2012, at the Wayback Machine. Retrieved June 24, 2012.
  2. Elections Act, sec. 49.1(2).
  3. Elections Act, sec. 49.1(3).
  4. Hatherly, Dana (August 12, 2019). "Pallister makes it official: Manitoba election is Sept. 10". CBC News. Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
  5. Robertson, Dylan (June 25, 2019). "No hard feelings on early Manitoba election: poll". Winnipeg Free Press. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
  6. "2018 Manitoba Electoral Divisions". Manitoba Electoral Divisions Boundaries Commission. Retrieved June 28, 2019.
  7. "Proposed 2018 Electoral Division Names, Populations and Variations". Manitoba Electoral Divisions Boundaries Commission. Retrieved June 28, 2019.
  8. https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/rob-altemeyer-quitting-1.4587149
  9. "Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission - Final Report 2018". Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission. Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission. Retrieved December 14, 2018.
  10. "Manitoba NDP's James Allum to finish term, won't seek re-election". The Province. December 14, 2018. Retrieved June 28, 2019.
  11. "Manitoba Tory MLA Nic Curry won't seek re-election". CBC.ca. April 3, 2019. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
  14. "Manitoba MLA Steven Fletcher to run for People's Party of Canada". CBC News. May 22, 2019. Retrieved June 11, 2019.
  15. "Manitoba NDP's James Allum to finish term, won't seek re-election". The Canadian Press via The Province. December 14, 2018. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
  16. "Winnipeg school trustee upset with province over funding to seek NDP nomination". The Canadian Press via CBC Manitoba. March 19, 2019. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
  17. "Manitoba Tory MLA Nic Curry won't seek re-election". CBC.ca. April 3, 2019. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
  18. Froese, Ian (June 3, 2019). "Former interim NDP leader Flor Marcelino won't run for re-election". CBC Manitoba. Retrieved June 7, 2019.
  19. "Wolseley MLA Rob Altemeyer won't run in next provincial election". CBC Manitoba. March 21, 2018. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
  20. "News in Brief - Naylor wins Wolseley NDP nomination". Winnipeg Free Press. March 21, 2018. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
  21. "Longtime former Manitoba NDP cabinet minister will not seek re-election". CBC Manitoba. May 17, 2019. Retrieved July 16, 2019.
  22. Schroeder, Lara (April 11, 2019). "MLA Judy Klassen sets sights on federal seat, saying 'proper representation' would save lives". CBC News. Retrieved September 2, 2019.
  23. Lambert, Steve (July 22, 2019). "Ousted Manitoba politician to run as Independent, denies groping allegation". CBC Manitoba/The Canadian Press. Retrieved July 23, 2019.
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