Statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election
This article provides a collection of statewide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2012 United States presidential election, which was won by incumbent President Barack Obama. The polls show the status between Republican nominee Mitt Romney and President Obama. Also included are three- and four-way race polls with the Republican and Democratic nominees against various third party candidates.
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Leading Presidential 2012 candidate by electoral vote count. States in gray have no polling data. Polls from lightly shaded states are older than August 1, 2012 (and no more recent polls are available). | |||
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 218
183
130
No data* 13
(270 electoral votes needed to win) * 2 of Maine's congressional electoral votes and 2 of Nebraska's congressional electoral votes have not been polled. | |||
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 2012 U.S. presidential election | |
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| Democratic Party | |
| Republican Party | |
| Related races | |
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Opinion polling: Obama vs Romney
Sample size key:
LV – Likely Voters
RV – Registered Voters.
Poll source key
(R) – Source polls normally for Republicans
(D) – Source polls normally for Democrats
Alabama
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 60%–38%
Alaska
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–35%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–37%
No polls conducted
Arizona
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 2–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 7 | 1080 LV | ±3.0% |
| YouGov | October 31–November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 8 | 702 LV | ±4.1% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 9 | 469 LV | ±5.4% |
| Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) | October 4–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 2 | 523 LV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 1–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 9 | 595 LV | ±4.0% |
| Moore Information/HighGround (R) | September 25–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Purple Strategies | September 15–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 10 | 628 LV | Not reported |
| Public Policy Polling | September 7–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 9 | 993 | ±3.1% |
Arkansas
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Arkansas Poll | October 9–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 31% | Mitt Romney | 58% | 27 | 642 LV | ±4% |
| Talk Business/Hendrix College | September 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 34.5% | Mitt Romney | 55.5% | 21 | 2228 LV | ±2% |
California
55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 15 | 1,575 LV | Not reported |
| Field Research | October 17–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 15 | 1,566 LV | ±2.6% |
| CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies | October 21–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55.9% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 22.9 | 2,115 LV | ±3% |
| USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint | October 15–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 17 | 1,400 LV | Not reported |
| Public Policy Institute of California | October 14–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 12 | 993 LV | ±4.0% |
| Reason-Rupe Public Opinion/Princeton Survey Research Associates International | October 11–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 15 | 508 LV | ±5.1% |
| YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 58% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 19 | 1169 LV | ±3.5% |
| CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies | October 7–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 32.9% | 21.1 | 830 LV | ±3.4% |
| SurveyUSA | October 7–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 14 | 539 LV | ±4.3% |
| Field Research Corporation/UC Berkeley (Field Poll) | September 5 – 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 58% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 24 | 848 LV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Institute of California | September 9 – 16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 14 | 995 LV | ±4.4% |
| YouGov | September 7 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 17 | 1,361 LV | Not reported |
| CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies | September 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55.4% | Mitt Romney | 33.4% | 22 | 802 LV | ±3.5% |
| SurveyUSA | September 9–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 22 | 524 LV | ±4.3% |
Colorado
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reuters/Ipsos | November 3–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 774 LV | ±4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | 1,096 LV | ±3% |
| Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs | November 2–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 603 LV | ±4% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | November 2–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 676 LV | ±4.3% |
| USAction/Lake Research Partners (D) | October 31–November 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 400 LV | ±5% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | November 1–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 973 LV | ±3.6% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 752 LV | ±4.1% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | October 31 – November 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 46% | Tied | 1,052 LV | ±3.4% |
| League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 31 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 825 LV | Not reported |
| Reuters/Ipsos | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 694 LV | ±4.2% |
| Denver Post/SurveyUSA | October 28–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 695 LV | ±3.8% |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation | October 26–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 2 | 764 LV | ±3.5% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | October 29–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 744 LV | ±4.1% |
| We Ask America | October 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 1,246 LV | ±2.9% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 28–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| American Research Group | October 25–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 23–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 904 LV | ±3.3% |
| Purple Strategies | October 23–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs | October 23–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 502 LV | ±4.4% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | October 23–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 1,128 LV | ±2.9% |
| Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 23–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 1000 LV | ±3.1% |
| Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 15–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| We Ask America | October 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,206 LV | ±2.9% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 5–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 2,089 LV | ±2.2% |
| Denver Post/SurveyUSA | October 9–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 614 LV | ±4.0% |
| New York Times/CBS News/Quinnipiac University | October 4–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,254 LV | ±3.0% |
| American Research Group | October 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| University Of Denver/Selzer & Co. | October 4–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 604 LV | ±4.0% |
| American Conservative Union/McLaughlin & Associates (R) | September 30 – October 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 4 | 300 LV | ±5.7% |
| We Ask America | September 25 – 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,273 LV | ±2.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 20–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 6 | 940 LV | ±3.2% |
| Purple Strategies | September 15 – 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 971 LV | ±3.1% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| New York Times/CBS News/Quinnipiac University | September 11–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 1,497 LV | ±2.5% |
| American Research Group | September 10–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Project New America/Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs (D) | September 10–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | 503 LV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 31 – September 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,001 LV | ±3.1% |
Three way race
| Poll source | Date | Democratic | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | September 20–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 6 | 740 | ±3.2% |
Connecticut
7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 15 | 895 LV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 1 – 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 13 | 1,220 LV | ±2.8% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 19–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 14 | 1,412 LV | ±2.6% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 7 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| SurveyUSA | October 19–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 13 | 575 LV | ±4.2% |
| League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 15–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 9 | 1,015 LV | ±3.1% |
| University of Connecticut/Hartford Courant | October 11–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 14 | 574 LV | ±4.0% |
| Siena College Research Institute | October 4–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 15 | 552 LV | ±4.2% |
| YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 14 | 434 LV | ±5.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 28 – October 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 12 | 1,696 LV | ±2.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 24 – 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 13 | 801 LV | ±3.5% |
| University of Connecticut/Hartford Courant | September 11 – 16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 32% | 21 | 508 LV | ±4.4% |
| YouGov | September 7 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 13 | 634 LV | Not reported |
Delaware
3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
No polls conducted
District of Columbia
3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 89%–9%
(Democratic in 2008) 92%–7%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | October 12–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 88% | Mitt Romney | 8% | 80 | 1,222 LV | ±2.8% |
Florida
29 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing | November 4–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 49% | Tied | 1,060 LV | ±3.1% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | November 3–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 769 LV | ±4% |
| Florida Times-Union/Insider Advantage | November 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 5 | 437 LV | ±4.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 955 LV | ±3.2% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | November 2–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 46% | Tied | 743 LV | ±4.1% |
| Newsmax/Zogby (JZ Analytics) | November 1–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46.9% | Mitt Romney | 49.2% | 2.3 | 823 LV | ±3.5% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | November 1–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 49% | Tied | 525 LV | ±4.3% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | November 1–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 946 LV | ±3.6% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,621 LV | ±3% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | October 31 – November 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 985 LV | ±3.6% |
| Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) | October 30 – November 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 800 LV | ±3.4% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 1,545 LV | ±2.5% |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 6 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
| We Ask America | October 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48.9% | Mitt Romney | 49.8% | 0.9 | 1,146 LV | ±3% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 3 | 549 LV | ±4.2% |
| Newsmax/Zogby (JZ Analytics) | October 28–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47.7% | Mitt Romney | 47.4% | 0.3 | 825 LV | ±3.5% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 2 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
| USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 28–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 26–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 687 LV | ±3.7% |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation | October 25–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 1 | 770 LV | ±3.5% |
| CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University | October 23–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 1,073 LV | ±3% |
| WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSA | October 25–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 595 LV | ±4.1% |
| Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) | October 24–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 800 LV | ±3.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 2 | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48.8% | Mitt Romney | 49.7% | 0.9 | 1,182 LV | ±2.8% |
| Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 23–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Sunshine State News/Voter Survey Service | October 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 5 | 1,001 LV | ±3.1% |
| Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) | October 18–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 800 LV | ±3.4% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | October 18–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 5 | 502 LV | ±4.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 5 | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
| Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company | October 17–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 1,130 LV | ±3.0% |
| WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSA | October 17–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.1% |
| WPTV News/Scripps Treasure Coast Newspapers/Public Policy Polling | October 17–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 800 LV | ±4% |
| Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 17–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation | October 17–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 681 LV | ±4.0% |
| Newsmax/Zogby (JZ Analytics) | October 14–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 828 LV | Not reported |
| Gravis Marketing | October 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 617 LV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 12–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 791 LV | ±3.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 4 | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
| American Research Group | October 8–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 1,244 LV | ±4.0% |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | October 8–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 7 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | October 7–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 988 | ±3.1% |
| University of North Florida | October 1–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 653 LV | Not reported |
| We Ask America | October 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 3 | 1,200 LV | ±3.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 30 – October 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 1,191 LV | ±3.3% |
| Gravis Marketing | September 29 – 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49.03% | Mitt Romney | 48.42% | 0.61 | 914 LV | ±3.4% |
| WSVN-TV Miami/Suffolk University | September 27 – 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Southern Political Report/Florida Times-Union/InsiderAdvantage | September 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 540 LV | ±4.0% |
| CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University | September 18 – 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 9 | 1,196 LV | ±3.0% |
| Washington Post | September 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 769 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 20–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 861 LV | ±3.3% |
| American Research Group | September 20–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Miami Herald/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | September 17–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
| Purple Strategies | September 15 – 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company | September 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | 829 LV | ±3.0% |
| Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing | September 15–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47.1% | Mitt Romney | 47.7% | 0.6 | 1,728 LV | ±2.5% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 1,415 LV | Not reported |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Secure America Now/Caddell Associates/McLaughlin & Associates (R) | September 8–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 9–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | 980 LV | ±3.1% |
| Consensus Communications/OnSight Inc. (R) | September 8–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 42% | Tied | 606 LV | ±4.0% |
| Associated Industries of Florida/McLaughlin & Associates (R) | September 9–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSA | September 7–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 596 LV | ±4.1% |
| Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing | September 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46.7% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1.3 | 1,288 LV | ±2.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 31 – September 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 1,548 LV | ±2.5% |
Three-way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead Margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| We Ask America | September 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49.1% | Mitt Romney | 45.5% | Gary Johnson | 1.3% | 3.6% | 1,230 LV | ±2.82% |
Georgia
16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 8 | 1,070 LV | ±3.5% |
| 20/20 Insight | October 29–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 6 | 1,316 LV | ±2.7% |
| WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA | October 25–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 8 | 574 LV | ±4.2% |
| Atlanta Journal-Constitution/Abt SRBI | October 8–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 8 | 706 LV | ±5.0% |
| Fox 5 Atlanta/Insider Advantage | September 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 35% | Mitt Romney | 56% | 21 | 483 LV | ±4.5% |
| YouGov | September 7 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 7 | 1,020 LV | Not reported |
Hawaii
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 72%–27%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honolulu Civil Beat/Merriman River Group | October 24–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 61% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 27 | 1,218 LV | ±2.8% |
| Honolulu Civil Beat/Merriman River Group | September 26–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 62% | Mitt Romney | 30% | 32 | 1,648 LV | ±2.4% |
Idaho
4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 68%–30%
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | October 8–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 27% | Mitt Romney | 63% | 36 | 625 LV | ±4% |
Illinois
20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 55%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 19 | 1,126 LV | ±3.3% |
| We Ask America | October 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 16 | 1,198 LV | ±2.95% |
| YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 58% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 20 | 850 LV | ±3.9% |
| WGN-TV/Chicago Tribune | October 4–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 19 | 700 RV | ±3.7% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 23 | 1,086 LV | Not reported |
| We Ask America | September 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 17 | 1,382 LV | ±2.8% |
Indiana
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 7 | 768 LV | ±4.1% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 9 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Howey Politics/DePauw University/Bellwether Research/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | October 28–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 10 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
| Pharos Research Group | October 26–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 55% | 13 | 753 LV | ±3.5% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) | October 24–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 55% | 14 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 10–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 13 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Howey Politics/DePauw University/Bellwether Research/Garin-Hart-Yang-Research Group | September 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 12 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 5 | 628 LV | ±4.0% |
Iowa
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 2 | 1,122 LV | ±2.9% |
| American Research Group | November 2–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 1,040 LV | ±3.5% |
| USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | November 1–2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. | October 30 – November 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
| Gravis Marketing | November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 594 LV | ±4.0% |
| Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| We Ask America | October 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48.8% | Mitt Romney | 47.3% | 1.5 | 1,174 LV | ±3.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 750 LV | ±4% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 29–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 676 LV | ±3.8% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | October 28–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,142 LV | ±3% |
| University of Iowa | October 18–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44.4% | Mitt Romney | 45.2% | 0.8 | 320 LV | ±5.6% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 517 LV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 23–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 690 LV | ±3.7% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 18–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 660 LV | ±3.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 17–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 869 LV | ±3.3% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | October 15–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 1,137 LV | ±2.9% |
| We Ask America | October 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48.7% | Mitt Romney | 45.9% | 2.8 | 1,499 LV | ±2.6% |
| American Research Group | October 11–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| We Ask America | September 25–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47.5% | Mitt Romney | 43.7% | 3.8 | 1,064 LV | ±3.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 24–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 754 LV | ±3.6% |
| American Research Group | September 20 – 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 898 LV | ±3.3% |
Kansas
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–37%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
Kentucky
8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–40%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA | September 11–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 14 | 606 LV | ±4.1% |
Louisiana
8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magellan Strategies | October 2 – 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 36.2% | Mitt Romney | 58.8% | 22.6 | 2,682 LV | ±1.9% |
| Clarus Research Group | September 5 – 7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 16 | 602 LV | ±4.0% |
Maine
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maine People's Resource Center | November 1–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53.3% | Mitt Romney | 42.2% | 11.1 | 905 LV | ±3.26% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 1–2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 13 | 1,633 LV | ±2.4% |
| Critical Insights | October 30–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 613 LV | ±4% |
| Pan Atlantic SMS Group | September 24–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50.8% | Mitt Romney | 36.8% | 14 | 400 LV | ±4.9% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 12 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 17–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 16 | 804 LV | ±3.5% |
Maryland
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 56%–43%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 22 | 705 LV | ±4.1% |
| OpinionWorks | October 20 – 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 19 | 801 LV | ±3.5% |
| Washington Post | October 11 – 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 60% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 24 | 843 LV | ±4.0% |
| YouGov | October 4 – 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 58% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 21 | 498 LV | ±5.2% |
| Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies | September 17–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 19 | 813 RV | ±3.5% |
Massachusetts
11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Boston Herald/University of Massachusetts Lowell | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 20 | 800 LV | ±4.1% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 20 | 811 LV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 1 – 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 15 | 1,089 LV | ±3% |
| MassLive.com/Western New England University | October 26 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 58% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 18 | 535 LV | ±4% |
| Suffolk University | October 25 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 63% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 32 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire | October 24 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 14 | 583 LV | ±4.1% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 19 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| WBUR/MassINC Polling Group | October 21 – 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 20 | 516 LV | ±4.4% |
| Kimball Political Consulting | October 18 – 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 16 | 761 LV | ±3.48% |
| League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 15 – 16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 18 | 709 LV | ±3.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 9 – 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 14 | 1,051 LV | ±3.0% |
| YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 19 | 669 LV | ±4.9% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 15 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| University of Massachusetts Amherst/YouGov | October 2 – 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 21 | 437 LV | ±5.4% |
| WBUR/MassINC Polling Group | October 5 – 7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 16 | 501 LV | ±4.4% |
| Western New England University | September 28 – October 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 63% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 30 | 516 RV | ±4.3% |
| WBUR/MassINC Polling Group | September 26 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 60% | Mitt Romney | 32% | 28 | 504 LV | ±4.4% |
| Mass Insight Global Partnerships/Opinion Dynamics Corporation | September 25–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 60% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 26 | 405 RV | ±4.6% |
| Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire | September 21 – 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 30% | 27 | 502 LV | ±4.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 15 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| The Boston Herald/University of Massachusetts Lowell | September 13 – 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 60% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 24 | 497 LV | ±5.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 13 – 16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 18 | 876 LV | ±3.3% |
| Suffolk University | September 13 – 16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 64% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 33 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romny | 39% | 16 | 825 LV | Not reported |
| MassLive.com/Western New England University | September 6 – 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 60% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 22 | 444 LV | ±4.6% |
| Kimball Political Consulting | September 7 – 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 16 | 756 LV | ±3.5% |
Michigan
16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Research & Communications | November 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 1,305 LV | ±2.7% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | November 1 – 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 5 | 502 LV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 1 – 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | 700 LV | ±3.7% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 1,091 LV | ±3.3% |
| Fox 2 News Detroit/Foster McCollum White & Associates/Baydoun Consulting | November 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46.24% | Mitt Romney | 46.86% | 0.62 | 1,913 LV | ±2.24% |
| Rasmussen Reports | November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 5 | 750 LV | ±4% |
| USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 31 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 7 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 31 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 30–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Detroit News/Glengariff Group | October 27–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47.7% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2.7 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| EPIC-MRA | October 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Fox 2 News Detroit/Foster McCollum White & Associates/Baydoun Consulting | October 22–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46.92% | Mitt Romney | 46.56% | 0.36 | 1,122 LV | ±2.9% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | October 18–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 9 | 551 LV | ±4.2% |
| EPIC-MRA | October 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 7 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 10 | 895 LV | ±3.9% |
| Lambert, Edwards & Associates/Denno Research | October 9–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44.2% | Mitt Romney | 40.5% | 3.7 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Detroit News/Glengariff Group | October 6 – 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Capitol CorrespondentGravis Marketing | October 5 – 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | 1,122 LV | ±3.2% |
| EPIC-MRA | October 4 – 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Fox 2 News Detroit/Foster McCollum White/Baydoun Consulting | October 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49.3% | Mitt Romney | 45.85% | 3.45 | 1,122 LV | ±2.93% |
| We Ask America | September 25 – 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 39.9% | 12.1 | 1,064 LV | ±3.1% |
| Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing | September 21 – 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46.2% | 3.8 | 804 LV | ±3.3% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 12 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| National Resource Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D) | September 17–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 9 | 1021 LV | ±3.1% |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation | September 14–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 8 | 754 LV | ±3.5% |
| Detroit News/Glengariff Group | September 15–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 14 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Marketing Resource Group | September 10–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47.5% | Mitt Romney | 42.3% | 5.2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 9 | 1114 LV | Not reported |
| Foster McCollum White/Baydoun & Associates | September 12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45.49% | Mitt Romney | 43.65% | 1.84 | 1,156 LV | ±2.88% |
| EPIC-MRA | September 8–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 10 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 31 – September 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 815 LV | ±3.4% |
Minnesota
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 2–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 8 | 1,164 LV | ±2.9% |
| KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA | November 1–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 11 | 556 LV | ±4.2% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 7 | 790 LV | ±3.8% |
| League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 31 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 9 | 772 LV | Not reported |
| American Future Fund/NMB Research (R) | October 29–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.38% |
| KSTP-TV Minneapolis/Survey USA | October 26–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 7 | 574 LV | ±4.2% |
| Star Tribune Minnesota/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | October 23–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
| St. Cloud State University | October 15–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 8 | 601 LV | ±5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA | October 12 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 10 | 550 LV | ±4.3% |
| YouGov | October 4 – 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 8 | 683 LV | ±4.2% |
| American Future Fund/NMB Research (R) | October 7 – 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.38% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 10 | 937 LV | ±3.2% |
| Star Tribune Minnesota/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | September 10–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 824 LV | ±3.4% |
| KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA | September 6–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 10 | 551 LV | ±4.3% |
Mississippi
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
Missouri
10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 53%–46%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–49%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 2–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 8 | 835 LV | ±3.4% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 11 | 779 LV | ±3.8% |
| KSDK-TV St. Louis/KSHB-TV Kansas City/KSPR-TV Springfield/KYTV-TV Springfield/Survey USA | October 28 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 7 | 589 LV | ±4.1% |
| We Ask America | October 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42.2% | Mitt Romney | 53.8% | 11.6 | 1,217 LV | ±2.9% |
| Saint Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 13 | 624 LV | ±4% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 19 – 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 6 | 582 LV | ±4.1% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 12 – 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Wenzel Strategies | October 12 – 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41.1% | Mitt Romney | 54.9% | 13.8 | 1,000 LV | ±3.07% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 1 – 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 6 | 700 LV | ±3.7% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| We Ask America | September 25 – 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44.5% | Mitt Romney | 47.7% | 3.2 | 1,145 LV | ±2.9% |
| Missouri Scout/Chilenski Strategies | September 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 6 | 817 LV | ±3.4% |
| YouGov | September 7 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 7 | 734 LV | Not reported |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Montana
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 2–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 7 | 836 LV | ±3.4% |
| Billings Gazette/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | October 29–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 10 | 625 LV | ±4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 15 – 16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 10 | 806 LV | ±3.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 8 – 10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 11 | 737 LV | ±3.6% |
| Montana Jobs, Energy, and Technology/Mellman Group (D) | September 23 – 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 10–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 5 | 656 LV | ±3.8% |
Three way race
| Poll source | Date | Democratic | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Newspapers/Mason-Dixon Research & Polling | September 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 51% | Gary Johnson | 2% | 9 | 625 RV | ±4% |
Nebraska
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–33%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| We Ask America | November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 13 | 1,178 LV | ±2.95% |
| Wiese Research Associates | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 14 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
| Wiese Research Associates | September 17 – 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 11 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
2nd Congressional District
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiese Research Associates | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 5 | 679 LV | ±3.8% |
| Wiese Research Assocaites | September 17 – 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied | Not reported | Not reported |
Nevada
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 750 LV | ±3.6% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 732 LV | ±4.1% |
| Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) | October 29–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Los Vegas Review Journal/SurveyUSA | October 23–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 1,212 LV | ±2.9% |
| USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 27–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 955 LV | ±3.2% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | October 23–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 1,042 LV | ±3% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 636 LV | ±3.9% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| American Research Group | October 19 – 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) | October 15–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 15–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 7 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Los Vegas Review Journal/SurveyUSA | October 11–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 806 LV | ±3.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| YouGov | October 4 – 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 358 LV | ±6.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 8–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 594 LV | ±4% |
| KSNV-Nevada/Suffolk University | October 6–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Las Vegas Review Journal/SurveyUSA | October 3–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 1,222 LV | ±2.9% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,006 LV | ±3.1% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 984 LV | ±3.1% |
| American Research Group | September 20 – 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Retail Assocation of Nevada/Public Opinion Strategies (R) | September 19 – 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 46% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) | September 18 – 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 9 | 501 LV | ±4.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation | September 14–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 741 LV | ±3.5% |
Three way race
| Poll source | Date | Democratic candidate | % | Republican candidate | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WeAskAmerica | September 25-27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52.5% | Mitt Romney | 42% | Gary Johnson | 2.3% | 10.5 | 1,152 LV | ±3.1% |
New Hampshire
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | November 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 2 | 750 LV | ±4% |
| New England College | November 3–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 687 LV | ±3.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 2 | 1,550 LV | ±2.5% |
| American Research Group | November 2–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 49% | Tied | 600 LV | ±4% |
| University of New Hampshire | November 1–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 789 LV | ±3.5% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 690 LV | ±4.1% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | October 31 – November 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 502 LV | ±4.4% |
| Gravis Marketing | November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 497 LV | ±4.3% |
| New England College | October 29–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,017 LV | ±3.7% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | October 28–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 1,013 LV | ±3.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 26 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 874 LV | ±3.3% |
| USAction/Lake Research Partners (D) | October 24 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | 400 LV | ±5% |
| USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 24 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| New England College | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 571 LV | ±4.1% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| American Research Group | October 19 – 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| USAction/Lake Research Partners (D) | October 18 – 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 400 LV | ±4.9% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | October 17 – 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 9 | 773 LV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 17 – 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 1,036 LV | ±3.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| 7 News/Suffolk University | October 12 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| American Research Group | October 9 – 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | September 30 – October 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 559 LV | ±4.1% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | September 27 – 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 15 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| American Research Group | September 25 – 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Progressive Change Campaign Committee/Public Policy Polling (D) | September 24–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 862 LV | ±3.3% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 1,012 | ±3.1% |
| New Hampshire Democratic Party/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) | September 15 – 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 7 | 600 LV | ±4.9% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| American Research Group | September 15–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 463 LV | Not reported |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | 340 LV | Not reported |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | September 4–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 5 | 592 LV | ±4.0% |
New Jersey
14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 52%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 12 | 987 LV | ±3.4% |
| Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 10 | 601 LV | ±4.0% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 10 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 1,319 LV | ±2.7% |
| Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research | October 4 – 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 11 | 604 LV | ±4.0% |
| Rutgers University | September 27 – 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 17 | 645 LV | ±3.8% |
| Monmouth University | September 19 – 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 15 | 613 LV | ±4.0% |
| YouGov | September 7 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 12 | 1,040 LV | Not reported |
| Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research | September 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 14 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Quinnipiac University | August 27 – September 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 1,471 LV | ±2.6% |
New Mexico
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 650 LV | Not reported |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | October 30–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.38% |
| Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. | October 23–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 9 | 662 LV | ±3.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 23–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 9 | 727 LV | Not reported |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | October 21–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.38% |
| Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. | October 9–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 10 | 658 LV | ±3.8% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 2–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 9 | 778 LV | Not reported |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | September 25–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 7 | 500 LV | ±4.38% |
| NRDC Action Fund/Public Policy Polling (D) | September 17 – 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 9 | 3,111 LV | ±1.8% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 293 LV | Not reported |
| League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) | September 7–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 11 | 1,122 LV | ±2.9% |
| Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. | September 3–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 5 | 667 LV | ±3.8% |
Three way race
| Poll source | Date | Democratic | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | October 30–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 41% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.38% |
| Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. | October 23–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 41% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 9 | 662 LV | ±3.8% |
| Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. | October 9–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 39% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 10 | 658 LV | ±3.8% |
| We Ask America | September 25–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50.9% | Mitt Romney | 40.6% | Gary Johnson | 3.9% | 10.3 | 1,258 LV | ±2.58% |
| Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. | September 3–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 40% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 5 | 667 LV | ±3.8% |
New York
29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 23 | 1,430 LV | ±2.8% |
| WABC-TV New York/SurveyUSA | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 62% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 29 | 554 LV | ±4.1% |
| Siena College | October 22 – 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 24 | 750 LV | ±3.6% |
| Marist College | October 18 – 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 61% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 26 | 565 LV | ±4.1% |
| YouGov | October 4 – 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 24 | 1,142 LV | ±3.2% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 4–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 62% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 28 | 1,486 LV | ±2.5% |
North Carolina
15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing | November 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 4 | 1,130 LV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 49% | Tied | 926 LV | ±3.2% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 2 | 1,500 LV | ±2.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 29 – 31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 49% | Tied | 730 LV | ±3.6% |
| High Point University | October 22–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 403 LV | ±5% |
| WRAL-TV Raleigh/SurveyUSA | October 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 5 | 682 LV | ±3.8% |
| Elon University | October 21 – 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | 1,238 LV | ±2.79% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 880 LV | ±3.3% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 8 | 1,723 LV | ±2.4% |
| Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 23 – 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Civitas Institute/National Research (R) | October 20–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 17 – 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 12 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 2 | 1,084 LV | ±3.0% |
| North Carolina Republican Party/Tel Opinion Research (R) | October 12–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 810 LV | ±3.9% |
| University of North Carolina/High Point University | September 29 – October 10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 605 RV | ±4.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 6–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41.2% | Mitt Romney | 49.9% | 8.7 | 1,325 LV | ±2.9% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Survey USA | September 29 – October 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 573 LV | ±4.2% |
| American Research Group | September 28 – 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 27 – 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 981 LV | ±3.1% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 23–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 1,035 LV | ±3.0% |
| Civitas Institute/National Research (R) | September 18–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 600 RV | ±4% |
| Purple Strategies | September 15–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| FOX 8/High Point University | September 8–13, 15–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 448 RV | ±4.7% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 2 | 1,060 LV | Not reported |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 7–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,087 LV | ±3.0% |
| Civitas Institute/SurveyUSA | September 4–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 10 | 500 RV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 31 – Sept 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 1,012 LV | ±3.1% |
North Dakota
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 63%–36%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | October 26 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 14 | 625 LV | ±4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 17 – 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 14 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Forum Communications/Essman Research | October 12 – 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 32% | Mitt Romney | 57% | 25 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | October 3 – 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 14 | 625 LV | ±4.0% |
| North Dakota Democratic-NPL State Party/DFM Research (D) | September 24 – 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 12 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Ohio
18 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing | November 4–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,316 LV | ±2.7% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | November 3–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 680 LV | ±4.3% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | November 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 49% | Tied | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 5 | 1,000 LV | ±3.1% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | November 2–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 572 LV | ±4.1% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | November 2–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 712 LV | ±4.2% |
| WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA | November 1–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | 803 LV | ±3.5% |
| University of Cincinnati | October 31 – November 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 901 LV | ±3.3% |
| Newsmax/Zogby (JZ Analytics) | November 1–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50.2% | Mitt Romney | 42.3% | 7.9 | 827 LV | ±3.5% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | November 1–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 1,031 LV | ±3.5% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,620 LV | ±3% |
| Columbus Dispatch | October 24 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 2 | 1,501 LV | ±2.2% |
| USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | November 1–2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | October 31 – November 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 1,012 LV | ±3.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 49% | Tied | 750 LV | ±4% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 6 | 971 LV | ±3.1% |
| We Ask America | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50.2% | Mitt Romney | 45.8% | 4 | 1,649 LV | ±2.6% |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 796 LV | ±3.5% |
| Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R) | October 30–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 3 | 1,281 LV | ±2.7% |
| Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 29 – 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| University of Cincinnati | October 25 – 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 1,141 LV | ±2.9% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
| USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 28 – 29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Newsmax/Zogby (JZ Analytics) | October 27 – 29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 825 LV | ±3.5% |
| WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA | October 26 – 29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 603 LV | ±4.1% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 2 | 750 LV | ±4% |
| Pharos Research | October 26 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46.3% | 2.7 | 765 LV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 26 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 718 LV | ±3.7% |
| CBS News/Quinnipiac University | October 23 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 1,100 LV | ±3% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 730 LV | ±3.6% |
| Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 741 RV | ±3.5% |
| Purple Strategies | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| American Research Group | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| TIME/Abt SRBI | October 22 – 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | 783 LV | ±3% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
| USAction/Lake Research (D) | October 20 – 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Ohio Newspaper Organization/University of Cincinnati | October 18 – 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 49% | Tied | 1,015 LV | ±3.1% |
| WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA | October 20 – 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 609 LV | ±4.1% |
| Suffolk University | October 18 – 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| CBS News/Quinnipiac University | October 17–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 1,548 LV | ±3% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | October 18–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 550 LV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 18–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 532 LV | ±4.3% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 18 – 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 1,943 LV | ±2.2% |
| Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company | October 17–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 1,131 LV | ±3% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 1,000 LV | ±3.0% |
| WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA | October 12–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 3 | 613 LV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 12–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 880 LV | ±3.3% |
| YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 851 LV | ±4.8% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 6 – 10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45.1% | Mitt Romney | 45.9% | 0.8 | 1,313 LV | ±2.7% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | October 7 – 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 6 | 994 LV | ±3.1% |
| JZ Analytics/Newsmax | October 7 – 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 4 | 842 LV | ±3.4% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 1,000 LV | ±3.0% |
| WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA | October 5 – 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 808 LV | ±3.5% |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation | October 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 722 LV | ±3.5% |
| American Research Group | October 5 – 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R) | October 4–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47.3% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 0.7 | 1,072 LV | ±2.96% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 7 | 1,000 LV | ±3.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 30 – October 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 931 LV | ±3.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 27 – 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 897 LV | ±3.3% |
| Columbus Dispatch | September 19 – 29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 9 | 1,662 LV | ±2.2% |
| CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University | September 18 – 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 10 | 1,162 LV | ±3.0% |
| Washington Post | September 19 – 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 8 | 759 LV | ±4.5% |
| Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing | September 21 – 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45.2% | Mitt Romney | 44.3% | 0.9 | 594 LV | ±4.3% |
| Purple Strategies | September 15 – 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Ohio Newspaper Organization/University of Cincinnati | September 13 – 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 861 LV | ±3.3% |
| Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company | September 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 1,009 LV | ±3.0% |
| National Resource Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D) | September 14–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 2,890 LV | Not reported |
| Secure America Now/Caddell Associates/McLaughlin & Associates (R) | September 13–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 1,036 LV | Not reported |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| American Research Group | September 10–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 7 | 979 LV | ±3.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 7–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 1,072 LV | ±3.0% |
| Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing | September 7–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47.27% | Mitt Romney | 43.19% | 4.08 | 1,548 LV | ±2.7% |
| Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing | September 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43.7% | Mitt Romney | 46.8% | 3.1 | 1,381 RV | ±2.9% |
Three way race
| Poll source | Date | Democratic | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| We Ask America | October 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Gary Johnson | 1% | 1 | 1,200 LV | ±3% |
| Gravis Marketing | September 21–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 38% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 7 | 594 LV | ±4.3% |
| Gravis Marketing | September 7–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 43% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 2 | 1,548 LV | ±2.7% |
Oklahoma
7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2008) 67%–34%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SoonerPoll | October 18 – 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 33% | Mitt Romney | 59% | 26 | 305 LV | ±5.6% |
Oregon
7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | October 31 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | 921 LV | ±3.2% |
| Elway Research | October 25 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 6 | 405 LV | ±5% |
| Hoffman Research | October 24 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | 615 LV | ±3.9% |
| Survey USA | October 16 – 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 579 LV | ±4.2% |
| Survey USA | September 10–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 9 | 552 LV | ±4.3% |
Pennsylvania
20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing | November 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,060 LV | ±3% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | November 2 – 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 479 LV | Not reported |
| Public Policy Polling | November 2 – 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | 790 LV | ±3.5% |
| Morning Call/Muhlenberg College | November 1 – 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 430 LV | ±5% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 8 | 1,273 LV | ±3.3% |
| Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | October 29–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | October 23–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 547 LV | ±4.2% |
| Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc. | October 23–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 887 LV | ±3.3% |
| Morning Call/Muhlenberg College | October 17 – 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 444 LV | ±5.0% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | October 18 – 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 10 | 559 LV | ±4.2% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 12 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 1,519 LV | ±2.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 12 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Morning Call/Muhlenberg College | October 10 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 438 LV | ±5.0% |
| YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 967 LV | ±4.3% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
| Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc. | October 4–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Siena College | October 1 – 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 3 | 545 LV | ±4.2% |
| Morning Call/Muhlenberg College | September 22–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 427 LV | ±5.0% |
| CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University | September 18–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 12 | 1,180 LV | ±3.0% |
| Franklin and Marshall College | September 18–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 9 | 392 LV | ±4.9% |
| Tribune-Review/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | September 18–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 800 LV | ±3.46% |
| Mercyhurst University | September 12–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 8 | 522 LV | ±4.29% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 12 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| We Ask America | September 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48.1% | Mitt Romney | 42.2% | 5.9 | 1,214 LV | ±2.8% |
| National Research Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D) | September 17–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 12 | 2,051 LV | ±2.2% |
| Republican State Committee of Pennyslvania/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R) | September 15–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 800 LV | ±3.46% |
| Morning Call/Muhlenberg College | September 10–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 9 | 640 LV | ±4.0% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 9 | 1,139 LV | Not reported |
| Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc. | September 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 11 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Three-way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | October 4 – 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Gary Johnson | 3% | 2 | 725 LV | ±3.64% |
Four-way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R) | October 11–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 49% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 1,376 LV | ±2.64% |
Rhode Island
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–35%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPRI 12/Fleming & Associates | October 24–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 21 | 601 LV | ±4% |
| Brown University | September 26 – October 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 58.2% | Mitt Romney | 32.3% | 25.9 | 471 LV | ±4.4% |
| WPRI 12/Fleming & Associates | September 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57.3% | Mitt Romney | 33.1% | 24.2 | 501 LV | ±4.38% |
South Carolina
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
South Dakota
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neilson Brothers Polling | October 28–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 8 | 671 LV | ±3.78% |
Tennessee
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 11 | 697 LV | ±4% |
| Middle Tennessee State University | October 16 – 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 34% | Mitt Romney | 59% | 25 | 609 LV | ±4% |
| YouGov | October 4 – 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 9 | 484 LV | ±5% |
| YouGov | September 7 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 8 | 694 LV | Not reported |
Texas
38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 57% | 19 | 1,563 LV | ±3.2% |
| University of Texas at Austin/Texas Tribune/YouGov | October 15 – 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 55% | 16 | 540 LV | ±4.22% |
| YouGov | October 4 – 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 55% | 14 | 958 LV | ±4.5% |
| Texas Lyceum | September 10 – 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 58% | 19 | 443 LV | ±4.66% |
| Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research | September 9–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 55% | 15 | 1,000 LV | ±3.1% |
Utah
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 72%–26%
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KSL-TV/Deseret News/Dan Jones & Associates | October 26 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 26% | Mitt Romney | 69% | 43 | 870 LV | ±3.4% |
| Brigham Young University/Key Research | October 9–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 20% | Mitt Romney | 71% | 51 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| InsiderAdvantage | October 8–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 21% | Mitt Romney | 74% | 53 | Not reported | ±7.6% |
Vermont
3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%
Virginia
13 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reuters/Ipsos | November 3–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 828 LV | ±3.9% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | November 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 2 | 750 LV | ±4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 975 LV | ±3.1% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | November 2–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 662 LV | ±4.3% |
| Newsmax/Zogby (JZ Analytics) | November 1–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50.4% | Mitt Romney | 44.2% | 6.2 | 819 LV | ±3.1% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | November 1–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 947 LV | ±3.6% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 1,497 LV | ±2.7% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | November 1–2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 1,165 LV | ±2.9% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | October 31 – November 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 1,065 LV | ±3.4% |
| Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) | October 30 – November 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 800 LV | ±3.4% |
| We Ask America | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48.5% | Mitt Romney | 47.6% | 0.9 | 1,069 LV | ±3% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | 792 LV | ±4% |
| Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 30 – 31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
| Newsmax/Zogby (JZ Analytics) | October 28 – 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46.7% | Mitt Romney | 47.8% | 1.1 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
| CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University | October 23 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 1,074 LV | ±3% |
| Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) | October 25–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 807 LV | Not reported |
| Gravis Marketing | October 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 645 LV | ±3.9% |
| Roanoke College | October 23–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 5 | 638 LV | ±4% |
| The Washington Post | October 22–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 1,228 LV | ±3.5% |
| Newsmax/Zogby (JZ Analytics) | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 834 LV | ±3.5% |
| Purple Strategies | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 2 | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
| Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company | October 23–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 1126 LV | ±3.0% |
| Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 23 – 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 722 LV | ±3.6% |
| Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) | October 18 – 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 800 LV | ±3.46% |
| Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 18 – 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 3 | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
| Virginian-Pilot/Old Dominion University | September 19 – October 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 7 | 465 LV | ±3.4% |
| League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 15 – 16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 733 LV | ±3.6% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 1,000 LV | ±3.0% |
| American Research Group | October 12 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Kimball Political Consulting | October 12 – 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 11 | 696 LV | ±3.7% |
| YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 743 LV | ±4.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 2 | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) | October 8–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 7 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | October 7–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 981 LV | ±3.1% |
| CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University | October 4–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 1,288 LV | ±2.7% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 1,000 LV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 4–7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 725 LV | ±3.7% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 1,000 LV | ±3.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 30 – October 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 969 LV | ±3.1% |
| Roanoke College | September 19 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 8 | 589 LV | ±4.0% |
| American Research Group | September 24 – 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| National Research Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D) | September 17–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 2,770 LV | ±1.9% |
| Purple Strategies | September 15 – 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company | September 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 7 | 1,006 LV | ±3.0% |
| CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University | September 11–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 1,474 LV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 13–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 1,021 LV | ±3.1% |
| Washington Post | September 12–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 8 | 847 LV | ±3.5% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 753 LV | Not reported |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 9–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | 996 LV | ±3.1% |
| Gravis Marketing | September 8–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44.04% | Mitt Romney | 49.39% | 5.35 | 2,238 LV | ±2.2% |
Three-way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company | October 23–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | Virgil Goode | 1% | 2 | 1,126 LV | ±3% |
| We Ask America | October 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Gary Johnson | 2% | 3 | 1,200 LV | ±3% |
| We Ask America | September 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48.5% | Mitt Romney | 45.7% | Gary Johnson | 1.1% | 2.8 | 1,238 LV | ±2.8% |
Four-way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Constitution | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBC 12 (WWBT-Richmond)/Suffolk University | September 24 – 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Gary Johnson | 1% | Virgil Goode | 1% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Five-way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Constitution | % | Green | % | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R) | October 19–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47.1% | Mitt Romney | 49.2% | Gary Johnson | 0.4% | Virgil Goode | 0.3% | Jill Stein | 0.4% | 1,000 LV | ±3.07% |
Washington
12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 14 | 837 LV | Not reported |
| Public Policy Polling | November 1 – 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 7 | 932 LV | ±3.2% |
| KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA | October 28 – 31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 14 | 555 LV | ±4.2% |
| KCTS9/University of Washington | October 18 – 31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57.1% | Mitt Romney | 36.4% | 20.7 | 632 LV | ±3.9% |
| Strategies 360 | October 17 – 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 13 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Washington Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 15 – 16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 574 LV | Not reported |
| KCTS9/University of Washington | October 1–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51.9% | Mitt Romney | 42.9% | 9 | 644 LV | ±3.9% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 13 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA | October 12 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 14 | 543 LV | ±4.3% |
| YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 17 | 748 LV | ±4.3% |
| KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA | September 28 – 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 20 | 540 LV | ±4.3% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Gravis Marketing | September 21–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 17 | 625 LV | ±4.6% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 14 | 880 LV | Not reported |
| Elway Research | September 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 17 | 405 RV | ±5.0% |
| Washington Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) | September 7–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 11 | 563 LV | Not reported |
| KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA | September 7–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 16 | 524 LV | ±4.4% |
West Virginia
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
Wisconsin
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 2 – 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 1,256 LV | ±2.8% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | November 1–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 7 | 482 LV | ±4.5% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 1,225 LV | ±3.1% |
| USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | November 1–2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| We Ask America | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51.5% | Mitt Romney | 44.8% | 6.7 | 1,210 LV | ±3% |
| Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R) | October 30–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 1,074 LV | ±3% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
| Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 29–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 825 LV | ±3.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 49% | Tie | 750 LV | ±4% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | October 28–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,065 LV | ±3% |
| St. Norbert College | October 25–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 9 | 402 LV | ±5% |
| Marquette Law School | October 25–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 1,243 LV | ±2.8% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 49% | Tie | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 24–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 23–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 6 | 827 LV | ±3.4% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | October 18–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 469 LV | Not reported |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 17–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | October 15 – 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 625 LV | ±4% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | October 15 – 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 6 | 1,013 LV | ±3.1% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
| Marquette Law School | October 11–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 870 LV | ±3.4% |
| YouGov | October 4 – 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 638 LV | ±4.9% |
| CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University | October 4–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 1,327 LV | ±2.7% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 1,000 LV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 4 – 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 979 LV | ±3.1% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 1,000 LV | ±3.0% |
| JZ Analytics | September 29–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48.9% | Mitt Romney | 38.8% | 10.1 | 414 LV | ±4.9% |
| Marquette Law School | September 27 – 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 11 | 894 LV | ±3.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 18 – 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 7 | 842 LV | ±3.4% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 16 – 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 968 LV | ±3.2% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University | September 11–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 6 | 1,485 LV | ±3.0% |
| Marquette Law School | September 13–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 14 | 601 LV | ±4% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 753 LV | Not reported |
| Democracy for America/Public Policy Polling (D) | September 12–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 959 LV | ±3.16% |
Three way race
| Poll source | Date | Democratic | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| We Ask America | September 20 – 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52.5% | Mitt Romney | 41.0% | Gary Johnson | 1.2% | 12 | 1,238 LV | ±2.8% |
Wyoming
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 69%–29%
(Republican in 2008) 65%–33%
No polls conducted
See also
- Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012
- Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2012 presidential primaries
- Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2012
- Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
- Republican Party presidential primaries, 2012
External links
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