2014 United States Senate election in West Virginia
The 2014 United States Senate election in West Virginia was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of West Virginia, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
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 County results Moore Capito: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in West Virginia |
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Incumbent Democratic senator Jay Rockefeller decided to retire rather than run for reelection for a sixth term. The Democrats nominated Secretary of State of West Virginia Natalie Tennant and the Republicans nominated U.S. Representative Shelley Moore Capito. It was the thirteenth U.S. Senate election that involved two major party female nominees in U.S. history.[1]
Capito defeated Tennant and became the first female senator elected in West Virginia's history as well as the first Republican elected to the Senate from West Virginia in 58 years.[2] The results of this election were a near complete flip from 2008, in which Democrat Jay Rockefeller received 64% of the vote. This was the first open seat non-special election since 1984.
Democratic primary
Declared
- Dennis Melton[3]
- Natalie Tennant, Secretary of State of West Virginia and candidate for governor in 2011[4]
- David Wamsley, developer[5]
Withdrew
Declined
- Ralph Baxter, attorney and CEO of Orrick, Herrington & Sutcliffe[7]
- Gaston Caperton, former Governor[8]
- Mike Callaghan, former Assistant United States Attorney and former chairman of the West Virginia Democratic Party[9]
- Nick Casey, former chairman of the West Virginia Democratic Party (running for the U.S. House)[10]
- Robin Davis, Justice for the Supreme Court of Appeals of West Virginia[11]
- Glen Gainer III, West Virginia State Auditor (running for WV-01)[12]
- Booth Goodwin, United States Attorney for the Southern District of West Virginia[13]
- Carte Goodwin, former U.S. Senator[14]
- Walt Helmick, West Virginia Agriculture Commissioner[15]
- Jim Humphreys, former state senator and nominee for West Virginia's 2nd congressional district in 2000 and 2002[5]
- Jeff Kessler, President of the West Virginia Senate and candidate for governor in 2011[16][17]
- Corey Palumbo, state senator[5]
- Nick Preservati, attorney[18]
- John Perdue, West Virginia State Treasurer and candidate for governor in 2011[16]
- Nick Rahall, U.S. Representative[19]
- Jay Rockefeller, incumbent U.S. Senator[20]
- Allen Tackett, former Adjutant General of the West Virginia National Guard[21]
- Rick Thompson, West Virginia Secretary of Veterans Affairs, former Speaker of the West Virginia House of Delegates and candidate for governor in 2011[22]
- Earl Ray Tomblin, Governor of West Virginia[23]
- Erik Wells, state senator[24]
- Bob Wise, former Governor[22]
Endorsements
Natalie Tennant
Individuals
- Carole King, singer
- Jeff Kessler, President of the West Virginia Senate and candidate for governor in 2011[17]
- Joe Manchin, U.S. Senator[17]
- Tim Miley, Speaker of the West Virginia House of Delegates[17]
- Michelle Obama, First Lady of the United States[25]
- Jay Rockefeller, incumbent U.S. Senator[17]
- Allen Tackett, former Adjutant General of the West Virginia National Guard[17]
- Earl Ray Tomblin, Governor of West Virginia[17]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts[26]
- Heidi Heitkamp, U.S. Senator from North Dakota[26]
Organizations
- American Federation of Teachers[27]
- The Charleston Gazette[28]
- Council for a Livable World[29]
- Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee[30]
- EMILY's List[31]
- Italian American Democratic Leadership Council[32]
- West Virginia AFL-CIO[33]
- West Virginia Education Association[28]
- Women's Political Committee[34]
- United Mine Workers of America (UMWA)[35]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sheirl Fletcher |
David Harless |
Natalie Tennant |
David Wamsley |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | September 19–22, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 8% | 3% | 51% | 4% | — | 34% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Natalie Tennant | 104,598 | 77.95% | |
| Democratic | Dennis Melton | 15,817 | 11.79% | |
| Democratic | David Wamsley | 13,773 | 10.26% | |
| Total votes | 134,188 | 100.00% | ||
Republican primary
Declared
- Larry Butcher[3]
- Shelley Moore Capito, U.S. Representative[37]
- Matthew Dodrill[3]
Withdrew
- Rick LeMasters, retired Marine officer and state employee[5][6]
- Pat McGeehan, former state delegate and former Air Force Intelligence Officer and Captain (running for House of Delegates)[38]
- Scott Regan, Democratic candidate for the state senate in 2010[5][6]
- Edwin Vanover, former Bramwell Police Chief and Democratic candidate for the House of Delegates in 2012[6][39]
Declined
- Bill Maloney, businessman and nominee for Governor in 2011 and 2012[40]
- David McKinley, U.S. Representative[41]
- Patrick Morrisey, Attorney General of West Virginia[15]
- John Raese, businessman, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1984, 2006, 2010 and 2012 and candidate for governor in 1988[42]
Endorsements
Shelley Moore Capito
Politicians
- Lauren Ellifritz, Mineral County Clerk[43]
- Jerry Whisner, Mineral County Commissioner[43]
Organizations
- Americans for Legal Immigration[44]
- Charleston Regional Chamber of Commerce[45]
- Maggie's List[45]
- Moorefield Examiner[45]
- NFIB SAFE Trust[45]
- NRA-Political Victory Fund[45]
- United States Chamber of Commerce[45]
- WESPAC – WV Medical Association[45]
- West Virginia Chamber of Commerce[45]
- West Virginia Farm PAC[45]
- West Virginians for Coal[45]
- West Virginians for Liberty[45]
- West Virginians for Life PAC[45]
- West Virginia Manufacturers Association[45]
Individuals
- Donald Trump, businessman[46]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Shelley Moore Capito |
Rick Lemasters |
Pat McGeehan |
Patrick Morrisey |
Scott Regan |
Edwin Vanover |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling | January 21, 2013 | 462 | ± 4.56% | 72.94% | — | — | 9.52% | — | — | 17.53% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 19–22, 2013 | 348 | ± 5.3% | 72% | 5% | 4% | — | 1% | 2% | 17% |
| Harper Polling | September 24–25, 2013 | 354 | ± 5.21% | 77% | — | 7% | — | — | — | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Shelley Moore Capito |
Someone more conservative |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | September 19–22, 2013 | 348 | ± 5.3% | 65% | 21% | 14% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Shelley Moore Capito | 74,655 | 87.50% | |
| Republican | Matthew Dodrill | 7,072 | 8.29% | |
| Republican | Larry Butcher | 3,595 | 4.21% | |
| Total votes | 85,322 | 100.00% | ||
Independents and third parties
Declared
- Bob Henry Baber (Mountain Party), writer, former mayor of Richwood, nominee for Governor of West Virginia in 2011 and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012[47]
- John Buckley (Libertarian Party), attorney, retired law clerk, former Virginia state delegate, and cousin of William F. Buckley, Jr.[48]
- Phil Hudok (Constitution Party), nominee for West Virginia's 2nd congressional district in 2010[49]
Withdrawn
- Martin Staunton (Independent), former TV anchor (moved to Georgia)[50]
General election
Debates
A televised debate between Tennant and Capito was held on October 7 in Charleston.[51]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[52] | Likely R (flip) | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Safe R (flip) | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[54] | Safe R (flip) | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[55] | Likely R (flip) | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Natalie Tennant (D) |
Shelley Moore Capito (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Virginia Poll | August 15–22, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 40% | 45% | — | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 19–22, 2013 | 1,110 | ± 2.9% | 36% | 50% | — | 14% |
| Harper Polling | September 24–25, 2013 | 640 | ± 3.87% | 34% | 51% | — | 15% |
| Clarity Campaigns | January 29–30, 2014 | 1,727 | ± 2.35% | 39% | 45% | — | 16% |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 19–20, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 35% | 49% | 4% | 12% |
| Vox Populi Polling | April 16–17, 2014 | 571 | ± 4.1% | 33% | 49% | — | 19% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 14–15, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 39% | 48% | 5% | 9% |
| West Virginia Poll | May 19–22, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 38% | 49% | — | 13% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,750 | ± 2.7% | 40% | 47% | 1% | 11% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 19–20, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 33% | 50% | — | 17% |
| West Virginia Poll | August 15–23, 2014 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 37% | 54% | — | 9% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 1,284 | ± 4% | 32% | 55% | 1% | 12% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 1,066 | ± 4% | 33% | 56% | 1% | 9% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 30 – October 1, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 39% | 50% | 3% | 8% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 877 | ± 5% | 34% | 56% | 0% | 10% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Shelley Moore Capito | 281,820 | 62.12% | +25.86% | |
| Democratic | Natalie Tennant | 156,360 | 34.47% | -29.27% | |
| Libertarian | John Buckley | 7,409 | 1.63% | N/A | |
| Mountain | Bob Henry Baber | 5,504 | 1.21% | N/A | |
| Constitution | Phil Hudok | 2,566 | 0.57% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 453,659 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican gain from Democratic | |||||
References
- Ostermeier, Eric (September 17, 2013). "West Virginia 2014 US Senate Race to Feature Rare Matchup". Smart Politics.
- "Republican Shelley Moore Capito Wins Senate Seat in WV". ABC News. November 4, 2014.
- Boucher, Dave (January 25, 2014). "No surprises in U.S. Senate race". Charleston Gazette-Mail. Retrieved January 25, 2014.
- Boucher, Dave (September 15, 2013). "Confirmed: Tennant announces Senate run Tuesday". Charleston Daily Mail. Retrieved September 15, 2013.
- Messina, Lawrence (July 14, 2013). "2014 field growing in W.Va. federal races". Charleston Daily Mail. Archived from the original on July 25, 2013. Retrieved July 25, 2012.
- "Candidate listing by office". West Virginia Secretary of State. February 16, 2014. Retrieved February 16, 2014.
- "Preservati out of Senate race". WV Metro News. June 3, 2013. Retrieved June 4, 2013.
- "West Virginia: Caperton Says He Is Not Interested in Senate Seat". Roll Call. January 15, 2013. Retrieved February 26, 2013.
- Ry Rivard [@ryrivard] (November 27, 2012). "Fmr WV D Chair & #WV02 candidate Mike Callaghan (in email my inbox ate Monday) = interested in Senate if Jay doesn't run & House if Jay does" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- Boucher, Dave (April 30, 2013). "Nick Casey launches 2014 US House run". Charleston Daily Mail. Archived from the original on May 7, 2013. Retrieved May 12, 2013.
- "Another Democrat passes on West Virginia Senate race". Washington Post. July 17, 2013. Retrieved July 17, 2013.
- Ali, Ann (November 8, 2013). "WV Auditor Glen Gainer announces run for Congress". State Journal. Archived from the original on December 17, 2013. Retrieved December 9, 2013.
- Kercheval, Hoppy (February 19, 2013). "2014 U.S. Senate race update". WVMetroNews.com. Retrieved February 20, 2013.
- Wilson, Reid (February 20, 2013). "Carte Goodwin out for 2014". WVMetroNews.com. Retrieved February 20, 2013.
- "Nationwide, Republicans' Congressional Prospects Looking Bright for 2014". Sunshine State News. January 12, 2013. Retrieved May 5, 2013.
- Livingston, Abby (January 11, 2013). "West Virginia: Democrats Begin Positioning to Run for Rockefeller's Seat". Roll Call. Retrieved January 12, 2013.
- Nyden, Paul J. (September 17, 2013). "Tennant announces run for Senate". The Charleston Gazette. Retrieved December 9, 2013.
- Harold, Zack (June 3, 2013). "Preservati Out of the 2014 U.S. Senate Race". Charleston Daily Mail. Retrieved June 26, 2013.
- Livingston, Abby (April 30, 2013). "Rahall Forgoes Senate Run". Roll Call. Retrieved May 1, 2013.
- "West Virginia Democratic Sen. Jay Rockefeller won't run in 2014 - John Bresnahan". Politico.com. January 11, 2013. Retrieved January 11, 2013.
- "Allen Tackett not running for Jay Rockefeller's US Senate seat". Charleston Daily Mail. July 29, 2013. Archived from the original on August 1, 2013. Retrieved July 29, 2013.
- "Rockefeller to retire, giving GOP a prime pickup opportunity". The Hill. January 11, 2013. Retrieved February 16, 2013.
- "West Virginia Senate: Democrats Look for Winner". rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. January 15, 2013. Retrieved January 17, 2013.
- "State Sen. Erik Wells says he won't run for Congress". Charleston Daily Mail. April 26, 2013. Archived from the original on May 15, 2013. Retrieved July 17, 2013.
- Boucher, Dave (November 19, 2013). "Michelle Obama backs Natalie Tennant in US Senate race". Charleston Daily Mail. Archived from the original on December 12, 2013. Retrieved December 9, 2013.
- Mattise, Jonathan (June 23, 2014). "Sen. Elizabeth Warren to campaign for Tennant in W.V". The Charleston Gazette. Retrieved June 23, 2014.
- Harold, Zack (November 26, 2013). "Tennant, Gainer, Rahall get early endorsements from AFT". Charleston Daily Mail. Archived from the original on December 12, 2013. Retrieved December 9, 2013.
- "ICYMI: WEST VIRGINIA'S LARGEST NEWSPAPER ENDORSES TENNANT" (PDF). West Virginia Democrats. April 21, 2014. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 17, 2014. Retrieved June 11, 2014.
- "Natalie Tennant (D-WV) for Senate". Council for a Livable World. Archived from the original on December 16, 2013. Retrieved December 9, 2013.
- "Natalie Tennant". Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. Archived from the original on June 22, 2014. Retrieved June 12, 2014.
- Jaffe, Alexandra (September 26, 2013). "EMILY's List endorses Tennant for W.Va. Senate". The Hill. Retrieved December 9, 2013.
- "The IADLC is proud to officially endorse..." Facebook. November 19, 2013. Retrieved December 9, 2013.
- "2014 Primary Election COPE Endorsements" (PDF). West Virginia AFL-CIO. 2014. Retrieved June 12, 2014.
- "Natalie Tennant U.S. Senate, WV". Women's Political Committee. 2014. Retrieved June 12, 2014.
- Cama, Timothy (September 2, 2014). "Miners union backs Dem in W.Va. Senate race". The Hill. Retrieved September 23, 2015.
- "Statewide Results Primary Election - May 13, 2014 ★★★ Official Results ★★★". West Virginia Secretary of State. Retrieved July 17, 2014.
- "Capito Will Challenge Rockefeller". Politicalwire.com. November 25, 2012. Archived from the original on November 29, 2012. Retrieved January 11, 2013.
- "Elections - Candidate Detail". West Virginia Secretary of State. January 25, 2014. Retrieved January 25, 2014.
- Johnson, Shauna (August 10, 2013). "Tennant for U.S. Senate?". West Virginia MetroNews. Retrieved August 12, 2013.
- "Former candidate Maloney not running for anything, launches think tank". The Charleston Gazette. May 30, 2013. Retrieved August 28, 2013.
- Livingston, Abby (February 25, 2013). "West Virginia: McKinley Opts Not to Run Against Capito". Roll Call. Retrieved February 26, 2013.
- "Capito Gets an Early Start on 2014 W.Va. Senate Race : Roll Call Politics". Rollcall.com. Retrieved January 11, 2013.
- Twitter / CapitoforWV: Great to see County Commissioner
- Archived October 24, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
- "Endorsements for Shelley Moore Capito - Capito for Senate". Archived from the original on October 24, 2014. Retrieved August 28, 2013.
- Donald J. Trump [@realDonaldTrump] (July 30, 2014). "It's time for Mountain State to have a Senator who will stop Obama's war on coal. This November send DC a message, vote for @CapitoforWV!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- "Mountain Party candidate makes 4 in Senate race". The Charleston Gazette. July 31, 2014. Retrieved August 2, 2014.
- Cardosi, Mandi (June 12, 2014). "5 questions with Libertarian candidate for U.S. Senate John Buckley". State Journal. Archived from the original on July 15, 2014. Retrieved June 14, 2014.
- Winger, Richard (August 22, 2014). "West Virginia Secretary of State Says Constitution Party Petition for U.S. Senate is Valid". Ballot Access News. Retrieved August 28, 2014.
- Boucher, Dave (April 25, 2013). "Former TV anchor to run for Senate". Charleston Daily Mail. Archived from the original on April 29, 2013. Retrieved May 12, 2013.
"Facebook profile". Facebook. - "Capito, Tennant, others to debate in October". West Virginia MetroNews. August 14, 2014. Retrieved August 14, 2014.
- "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- . Retrieved December 17, 2014.
External links
- U.S. Senate elections in West Virginia, 2014 at Ballotpedia
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
- Shelley Moore Capito for U.S. Senate -Republican
- Natalie Tennant for U.S. Senate - Democrat
- Phil Hudok for U.S. Senate - Constitution
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