2014 Arkansas gubernatorial election

The 2014 Arkansas gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Arkansas, concurrently with the election to Arkansas's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

2014 Arkansas gubernatorial election

November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04)
 
Nominee Asa Hutchinson Mike Ross
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 470,429 352,115
Percentage 55.4% 41.5%

County results
Hutchinson:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Ross:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

Governor before election

Mike Beebe
Democratic

Elected Governor

Asa Hutchinson
Republican

Incumbent Democratic Governor Mike Beebe was ineligible to run for re-election due to term limits established by the Arkansas Constitution. Arkansas is one of eight states that limits its Governors to two terms for life.[1] The Democrats nominated former U.S. Representative Mike Ross and the Republicans nominated former DEA Administrator, former U.S. Representative and 2006 nominee Asa Hutchinson.

Hutchinson defeated Ross and two minor party candidates in the general election, winning by the largest margin recorded for a Republican in an open-seat gubernatorial race since Reconstruction. The race was called for Hutchinson roughly half an hour after the polls closed. Hutchinson's victory gave the GOP complete control of state government for the first time since the end of Reconstruction.

Democratic primary

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Mike Ross

National political figures

Arkansas political figures

Business leaders

  • Abraham Carpenter, Jr., owner and operator of Carpenter's Produce[19]
  • Jim Gaston, owner of Gaston's White River Resort, former Arkansas Business Executive of the Year and emeritus member of the Arkansas Parks & Tourism Commission[19]

Organizations

  • Arkansas Professional Fire Fighters Association[19]
  • Arkansas Timber Producers Association[19]
  • Central South Carpenters Regional Council[19]
  • Laborers International Union of North America[19]
  • Laborers Local 107[19]
  • Laborers Local 1282[19]
  • Southern States Millwright Regional Council[19]
  • Southwest Laborers District Council[19]

Results

Democratic primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mike Ross 129,437 84.41
Democratic Lynette "Doc" Bryant 23,906 15.59
Total votes 153,343 100.00

Republican primary

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Curtis Coleman

National politicians

Elected legislators

Local elected leaders

Organizations

  • Miller County Patriots[46]

Organization leaders

  • Bishop Robert E. Smith, Sr., founder of Total Outreach for Christ Ministries, Inc. and Word of Outreach Christian Center[47]
  • Timothy Stephenson, founder of the EAST Initiative[48]
Asa Hutchinson

Federal legislators

State legislators

Local elected officials

  • Jerry Taylor, Democratic former state senator, state representative, and mayor of Pine Bluff[51]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Curtis
Coleman
Asa
Hutchinson
Undecided
Talk Business/Hendrix College April 29, 2014 1,516 ± 2.5% 20% 70% 10%
Public Policy Polling April 25–27, 2014 342 ± 5.3% 23% 62% 15%

Results

Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Asa Hutchinson 130,752 72.95
Republican Curtis Coleman 48,473 27.05
Total votes 179,225 100.00

Third parties

Declared

Declined

General election

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[54] Lean R (flip) November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[55] Likely R (flip) November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[56] Lean R (flip) November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[57] Lean R (flip) November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Ross (D)
Asa
Hutchinson (R)
Other Undecided
Opinion Research Associates October 30–November 1, 2014 400 ± 5% 43% 39% 5%[58] 14%
Public Policy Polling October 30–November 1, 2014 1,092 ± 3% 41% 51% 4%[59] 4%
44% 53% 3%
Rasmussen Reports October 27–29, 2014 967 ± 3% 43% 50% 3% 4%
Issues & Answers Network October 21–27, 2014 568 ± 4.1% 39% 50% 11%
Opinion Research Associates October 25–26, 2014 401 ± 5% 44% 42% 2%[60] 11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 1,567 ± 4% 38% 47% 0% 15%
NBC News/Marist October 19–23, 2014 621 ± 3.9% 44% 47% 4%[61] 5%
971 ± 3.1% 44% 43% 5%[62] 8%
Hendrix Poll October 15–16, 2014 2,075 ± 2.2% 41% 49% 5% 6%
Rasmussen Reports October 13–15, 2014 940 ± 3% 47% 49% 1% 3%
Fox News October 4–7, 2014 707 ± 3.5% 37% 46% 5%[63] 12%
Opinion Research Associates October 1–5, 2014 400 ± 5% 45% 41% 3% 11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 2014 1,991 ± 2% 38% 49% 1% 12%
Rasmussen Reports September 24–25, 2014 750 ± 4% 42% 46% 4% 8%
Suffolk September 20–23, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 41% 43% 5%[64] 11%
Public Policy Polling September 18–21, 2014 1,453 ± 2.6% 38% 44% 5%[65] 13%
40% 46% 14%
Gravis Marketing September 8–11, 2014 902 ± 4% 42% 46% 2%[66] 10%
Answers Unlimited September 7–9, 2014 600 ± 3.5% 44% 44% 4%[59] 8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 2014 1,572 ± 3% 38% 45% 1% 15%
NBC News/Marist September 2–4, 2014 639 LV ± 3.9% 39% 48% 6%[67] 7%
1,068 RV ± 3% 39% 46% 7%[68] 8%
Rasmussen Reports August 25–26, 2014 750 ± 4% 46% 44% 3% 7%
Opinion Research Associates August 6–14, 2014 414 ± 4.9% 44% 44% 3%[69] 9%
Public Policy Polling August 1–3, 2014 1,066 ± 3% 38% 43% 7%[70] 12%
40% 46% 14%
Talk Business/Hendrix College July 22–25, 2014 1,780 ± 2.3% 41% 46% 6%[71] 7.5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 1,616 ± 3.5% 45% 48% 2% 4%
Gravis Marketing July 7–8, 2014 987 ± 3% 46% 49% 5%[66]
Public Opinion Strategies May 27–29, 2014 500 ± 4.39% 42% 48% 10%
Rasmussen Reports May 27–28, 2014 750 ± 4% 41% 48% 4% 6%
NBC News/Marist April 30–May 4, 2014 876 ± 3.3% 42% 49% 2% 7%
Public Policy Polling April 25–27, 2014 840 ± 3.4% 38% 46% 16%
New York Times/Kaiser Family April 8–15, 2014 857 ± ? 40% 41% 4% 16%
Opinion Research Associates April 1–8, 2014 400 ± 5% 45% 39% 17%
Talk Business/Hendrix College April 3–4, 2014 1,068 ± 3% 44% 43% 5%[65] 8%
Impact Management Group February 10, 2014 1,202 ± 2.83% 42% 42% 17%
Rasmussen Reports February 4–5, 2014 500 ± 4.5% 44% 41% 3% 12%
Public Policy Polling December 13–15, 2013 1,004 ± 3.1% 43% 44% 14%
Impact Management Group October 24, 2013 911 ± 3.2% 37% 40% 23%
University of Arkansas October 10–17, 2013 800 ± 3.5% 30% 32% 38%
Talk Business/Hendrix College October 8, 2013 603 ± 4.% 37% 41% 22%
Harper Polling August 4–5, 2013 587 ± 4.04% 38% 46% 16%
Talk Business/Hendrix College February 20, 2013 675 ± 3.8% 38% 43% 19%

Results

Arkansas gubernatorial election, 2014[74]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Asa Hutchinson 470,429 55.44% +21.81%
Democratic Mike Ross 352,115 41.49% -22.93%
Libertarian Frank Gilbert 16,319 1.92% N/A
Green Josh Drake 9,729 1.15% -0.71%
Total votes 848,592 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

References

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  58. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%
  59. Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%
  60. Josh Drake (G) 1%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%
  61. Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%, Other <1%
  62. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%, Other <1%
  63. Josh Drake (G) 1%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%, Other 1%
  64. Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%
  65. Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%
  66. Frank Gilbert (L)
  67. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%, Other <1%
  68. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 4%, Other <1%
  69. Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 1%
  70. Josh Drake (G) 4%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%
  71. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%
  72. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 5%
  73. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 4%
  74. "November 4, 2014 General election and nonpartisan runoff election Official results". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved November 23, 2014.
Official campaign websites (archived)
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