Elections in West Virginia

From the time of the Great Depression through the 1990s, the politics of West Virginia were largely dominated by the Democratic Party. In the 2000 presidential election, George W. Bush claimed a surprise victory over Al Gore, with 52% of the vote; he won West Virginia again in 2004, with 56% of the vote. West Virginia is now a heavily Republican state, with John McCain winning the state in 2008,[1] Mitt Romney in 2012[2] and Donald Trump in 2016 and 2020.[3]

The West Virginia State Capitol

History

Presidential election results[4]
Year Republicans Democrats
2020 68.62% 545,382 29.69% 235,984
2016 68.50% 489,371 26.43% 188,794
2012 62.14% 417,655 35.45% 238,269
2008 55.58% 397,466 42.49% 303,857
2004 56.06% 423,778 43.20% 326,541
2000 51.92% 336,475 45.59% 295,497
1996 36.76% 233,946 51.51% 327,812
1992 35.39% 241,974 48.41% 331,001
1988 47.46% 310,065 52.20% 341,016
1984 55.11% 405,483 44.60% 328,125
1980 45.30% 334,206 49.81% 367,462
1976 41.93% 314,760 58.07% 435,914
1972 63.61% 484,964 36.39% 277,435
1968 40.78% 307,555 49.60% 374,091
1964 32.06% 253,953 67.94% 538,087
1960 47.27% 395,995 52.73% 441,786

Robert C. Byrd, a Democrat, represented the state of West Virginia in Congress for over 57 years, as a Member of the House from the now-defunct 6th District from 1953 to 1959, and as a United States Senator from 1959 to 2010. He served as Democratic Senate Leader from 1977 to 1989. In 2006 he became the longest-serving Senator in history, and in 2009 the longest-serving member of Congress in history. Senator Byrd died of pneumonia on June 28, 2010, aged 92. Governor Joe Manchin appointed Carte Goodwin to fill the seat until a special election was held in November 2010. Manchin was elected to the seat to fulfill the remainder of Byrd's term.

In the Republican landslide of 1988, it was one of only ten states, and the only southern state (as defined by the United States Census), to give its electoral votes to Michael Dukakis; it was one of only six states to support Jimmy Carter over Ronald Reagan in 1980; and it supported Bill Clinton by large margins in both 1992 and 1996. The state has trended increasingly Republican in presidential elections; despite the earlier Democratic wins in presidential match-ups, it narrowly elected George W. Bush over Al Gore in 2000, then re-elected Bush by a much larger margin in 2004 and voted for John McCain in 2008 by a slightly larger margin than 2004. West Virginia was one of only 5 states, the others being Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma and Tennessee, where McCain won by a larger margin in 2008 than George W. Bush in 2004. Mitt Romney won the state in the 2012 presidential election with 62% of the vote, a significant improvement over McCain's 56% vote share in 2008 and the first time in modern American history that a Republican candidate for president won every county in the state.[5] Republican Presidential candidate Donald Trump won the state with a 42% margin, outdoing Romney's performance substantially.[6]

In the 2014 elections, the GOP took control of the state legislature for the first time in 80 years, and it took one of West Virginia's two U.S. Senate seats and all three U.S. House districts.[7] In the 2016 elections, the Republicans held on to their seats and made gains in the State Senate and gained three statewide offices.[8][9]

Present day

West Virginia's U.S. Senators are Joe Manchin, a Democrat, and Shelley Moore Capito, a Republican.[10] The three seats in the United States House of Representatives are occupied by Republicans David McKinley, Alex Mooney, and Carol Miller.[11] Republicans also maintain strong positions in statewide offices and the state legislature. Democrats continue to hold many local offices. West Virginia also has a very strong tradition of union membership.

Democratic politicians in the state are typically more conservative than the national party, especially on social issues. The late Senator Robert Byrd opposed affirmative action and same-sex marriage. Senior Senator and former Governor Joe Manchin and former Congressman Nick Rahall are anti-abortion.

National Democrats such as Barack Obama, Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid are extremely unpopular in West Virginia. As of late 2011, President Obama had a 24% approval rating in the state, with 76% disapproving [12] During his 2010 Senate campaign, then-Governor Joe Manchin released an ad touting his endorsement from the Republican-leaning NRA and slamming Obama's then-proposed cap and trade legislation.[13]

In a poll conducted by Orion Strategies, 28% of respondents stated they would vote for a Democrat in the 2016 Presidential Election compared to 52% who said they would vote for a Republican candidate.[12]

Demographics

Evangelical Christians comprised 52 percent of the state's voters in 2008.[14] A poll in 2005 showed that 53 percent of West Virginia voters are anti-abortion, the seventh highest in the country.[15] In 2006, 16 percent favored gay marriage.[16] In 2008, 58 percent favored troop withdrawal from Iraq while just 32 percent wanted troops to remain.[17] On fiscal policy in 2008, 52 percent said raising taxes on the wealthier individuals would benefit the economy, while 45 percent disagreed.[18]

The most consistent support for Democrats is found in the coal fields of Southwestern West Virginia (McDowell, Mingo, Logan, Wyoming, and Boone Counties), as well as in the larger cities. Republicans are most numerous to the east of the Allegheny Mountains, especially in the state's Eastern Panhandle and Potomac Highlands, as well as in the Huntington and Charleston suburbs, most typified in Putnam County. The farming region of the Mid-Ohio Valley, particularly Wood, Jackson and Mason Counties, also historically leans Republican. The Northern Panhandle and North-Central West Virginia regions usually split right down the middle in terms of being Republican or Democratic, as does the New River/Greenbrier Valley in the Southeast around Beckley, Bluefield, Fayetteville, and Lewisburg. Since 1996, coal interests have contributed more than $4 million to candidates for governor, the state Supreme Court and the West Virginia Legislature. The 2004 election was a record-setter for the coal industry. Gov. Joe Manchin received $571,214 from coal interests for his campaign and $174,500 for his inaugural. West Virginians for Coal, the West Virginia Coal Association's political action committee, contributed more money than any other coal industry donor.[19]

Congressional representation

Senate

House of Representatives

See also

Notes

  1. http://elections.nytimes.com/2008/results/president/map.html
  2. http://apps.sos.wv.gov/elections/results/results.aspx?year=2012&eid=13&county=Statewide
  3. https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/stats.php?year=2016&f=0&off=0&elect=0
  4. Leip, David. "Presidential General Election Results Comparison – West Virginia". US Election Atlas. Retrieved January 13, 2015.
  5. http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/comparemaps.php?year=2012&fips=54&f=1&off=0&elect=0
  6. http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/compare.php?year=2012&fips=54&f=1&off=0&elect=0&type=state
  7. Willis, Derek (November 24, 2014). "Election Was Rough for Democrats. It Was Worse for West Virginia Democrats". The New York Times. Retrieved November 9, 2016.
  8. "The Latest: GOP maintains majority in West Virginia Senate". Miami Herald (from AP). November 9, 2016. Retrieved November 9, 2016.
  9. McElhinny, Brad (November 9, 2016). "W.Va. Republicans celebrate Trump win and GOP gains". West Virginia MetroNews. Retrieved November 10, 2016.
  10. "WV Senate". Senate.
  11. "WV House Seats". House of Representatives.
  12. Gutman, David. "Poll: Donald Trump tops Hillary Clinton in WV". wvgazettemail.com. Retrieved 12 April 2018.
  13. Joe Manchin (9 October 2010). "Dead Aim - Joe Manchin for West Virginia TV Ad". Retrieved 12 April 2018 via YouTube.
  14. "Local Exit Polls — Election Center 2008 - Elections & Politics from CNN.com". CNN.
  15. "SurveyUSA.com". SurveyUSA.com. Retrieved 2010-07-31.
  16. "Rasmussenreports.com". Legacy.rasmussenreports.com. 2006-08-15. Archived from the original on 2009-09-09. Retrieved 2010-07-31.
  17. "Rasmussenreports.com". Rasmussenreports.com. Retrieved 2010-07-31.
  18. "Rasmussenreports.com". Rasmussenreports.com. Retrieved 2010-07-31.
  19. "Wvoter-owned.org". Wvoter-owned.org. 2006-01-09. Archived from the original on 2010-04-14. Retrieved 2010-07-31.
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