2014 United States Senate election in Michigan

The 2014 United States Senate election in Michigan was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Michigan, concurrently with the election of the governor of Michigan, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

2014 United States Senate election in Michigan

November 4, 2014
 
Nominee Gary Peters Terri Lynn Land
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,704,936 1,290,199
Percentage 54.6% 41.3%

County results
Peters:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Land:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. senator before election

Carl Levin
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Gary Peters
Democratic

Incumbent Democratic Senator Carl Levin decided to retire instead of running for re-election to a seventh term. Primary contests took place on August 5, 2014, with U.S. Representative Gary Peters and former Michigan Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land unopposed on the Democratic and Republican primary ballots, respectively.[1] Peters defeated Land in the general election, becoming the only freshman Democratic senator in the 114th Congress. This was the first open seat election in Michigan since 1994 and only the second since 1976.

Democratic primary

Declared

Failed to qualify

Declined

Endorsements

Gary Peters

Politicians

Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results[29]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gary Peters 504,102 100.00%
Total votes 504,102 100.00%

Republican primary

After Terri Lynn Land declared her candidacy in June 2013, Republicans attempted to recruit U.S. Representative Dave Camp and Oakland County District Court Judge Kimberly Small to run instead.[30] Camp, after earlier having said that he was not interested in running, reconsidered it, and Land indicated that she would consider dropping out if Camp decided to run.[31] Republicans were initially reluctant to rally around Land,[32][33] but after Camp and Small declined to run, other Republicans like U.S. Representative Justin Amash and Holland Mayor Kurt Dykstra also said no, and a late attempt to convince cardiologist Rob Steele to run failed, Land emerged as the de facto nominee.[33]

Declared

Withdrew

  • Matthew Wiedenhoeft, businessman and former minor league hockey player and coach (running for the state house)[3][35]

Declined

Endorsements

Terri Lynn Land

Results

Republican primary results[29]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Terri Lynn Land 588,084 100.00%
Total votes 588,084 100.00%

Minor parties

Libertarian Party

U.S. Taxpayers Party

  • Richard A. Matkin[66]

Green Party

Independents

Declared

  • Jeff Jones, retired financial services industry worker and pastor[68]
  • Paul Marineau, attorney and former mayor pro tem of Douglas[69]

General election

Campaign

Early on, the open seat was considered to be competitive. But various missteps by the Land campaign[70] as well as Land's reluctance to appear in public after suffering a meltdown in front of the media in May[71][72] weighed down the Land campaign, allowing Peters to open up a consistent lead in the polls beginning in September. The Republican establishment effectively gave up on Land's campaign the following month.[73][74]

Debates

Peters agreed to four debates; Land did not respond to invitations.[75] Negotiations between the Land and Peters campaigns broke down over the format of proposed debates between the two candidates.[76]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[77] Lean D November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[78] Likely D November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[79] Likely D November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[80] Likely D November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Peters (D)
Terri Lynn
Land (R)
Other Undecided
Harper Polling March 9–10, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 21% 29% 50%
Mitchell Research March 19 & 21, 2013 571 ± 4.1% 33% 32% 35%
Public Policy Polling May 30 – June 2, 2013 697 ± 3.7% 41% 36% 23%
Denno Research July 23–24, 2013 600 ± 4% 39% 39% 22%
Mitchell Research August 26, 2013 1,881 ± 2.23% 36% 39% 25%
EPIC-MRA September 7–10, 2013 600 ± 4% 38% 37% 25%
MRG/Mitchell Research October 6–10, 2013 600 ± 4% 39% 40% 21%
Public Policy Polling October 14–15, 2013 642 ± 3.9% 43% 36% 21%
Inside Michigan Politics October 29, 2013 794 ± 4% 43% 38% 19%
Denno Research November 12–14, 2013 600 ± 4% 37% 36% 27%
Public Policy Polling December 5–8, 2013 1,034 ± 3% 40% 42% 18%
Harper Polling January 7–8, 2014 1,004 ± 3.09% 36% 44% 20%
Rasmussen Reports January 14–15, 2014 500 ± 4.5% 35% 37% 8% 20%
Harper Polling January 19–20, 2014 750 ± 3.58% 37% 42% 21%
EPIC-MRA February 5–11, 2014 600 ± 4% 38% 41% 21%
Clarity Campaigns February 22–23, 2014 859 ± 2.55% 46% 40% 14%
Denno Research March 9–10, 2014 600 ± 4% 40% 37% 2% 22%
Marketing Resource Group March 24–28, 2014 600 ± 4.1% 38% 40% 22%
Public Policy Polling April 3–6, 2014 825 ± 3.4% 41% 36% 23%
Mitchell Research April 9, 2014 1,460 ± 2.56% 38% 44% 18%
Harper Polling April 7–8, 2014 538 ± 4.22% 40% 43% 18%
Magellan Strategies April 14–15, 2014 875 ± 3.31% 46% 41% 8% 5%
Hickman Analytics April 24–30, 2014 502 ± 4.4% 42% 37% 21%
EPIC-MRA May 17–20, 2014 600 ± 4% 44% 38% 18%
Glengariff Group May 20–22, 2014 600 ± 4.3% 40% 35% 25%
Mitchell Research June 6, 2014 961 ± 3.16% 45% 42% 14%
Magellan Strategies June 5 & 8, 2014 753 ± 3.57% 50% 41% 5% 4%
Public Policy Polling June 26–29, 2014 578 ± 4.1% 41% 36% 24%
NBC News/Marist July 7–10, 2014 870 ± 3.3% 43% 37% 2% 19%
Denno Research July 9–11, 2014 600 ± 4% 40% 37% 23%
EPIC-MRA July 12–15, 2014 600 ± 4% 45% 36% 19%
Mitchell Research July 7–17, 2014 600 ± 4% 43% 38% 19%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 3,849 ± 2.8% 44% 45% 1% 10%
Benenson Strategy Group July 26–29, 2014 900 ± 3.2% 47% 42% 11%
Rasmussen Reports July 28–29, 2014 750 ± 4% 45% 39% 6% 10%
Marketing Resource Group July 26–30, 2014 600 ± 4% 47% 40% 13%
Harper Polling August 4–5, 2014 549 ± 4.18% 45% 44% 11%
Mitchell Research August 5, 2014 626 ± 5% 45% 44% 11%
Lake Research Partners August 6–11, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 42% 38% 19%
EPIC-MRA August 22–25, 2014 600 ± 4% 45% 39% 16%
Mitchell Research August 27, 2014 1,004 ± 3.09% 46% 44% 10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18 – September 2, 2014 2,897 ± 3% 42% 43% 2% 13%
Glengariff Group September 3–5, 2014 600 ± 4% 47% 37% 4% 13%
Public Policy Polling September 4–7, 2014 687 ± 3.7% 43% 36% 7%[81] 13%
45% 40% 15%
Suffolk September 6–10, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 46% 37% 6%[82] 11%
Denno Research September 11–13, 2014 600 ± 4% 45% 38% 18%
Mitchell Research September 14, 2014 829 ± 3.4% 43% 41% 8%[83] 9%
Magellan Strategies September 14–15, 2014 717 ± 3.66% 45% 40% 5%[84] 5%
Rasmussen Reports September 17–18, 2014 750 ± 4% 41% 39% 5% 15%
We Ask America September 18–19, 2014 1,182 ± 3% 42% 39% 5%[85] 14%
Public Policy Polling September 18–19, 2014 852 ± 3.4% 47% 40% 13%
Target Insyght September 22–24, 2014 616 ± 4% 48% 38% 6% 7%
EPIC-MRA September 25–29, 2014 600 ± 4% 42% 33% 11% 14%
Mitchell Research September 29, 2014 1,178 ± 2.86% 49% 36% 5%[85] 9%
Lake Research Partners September 27–30, 2014 600 ± 4% 45% 36% 18%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20 – October 1, 2014 2,560 ± 2% 46% 41% 2% 11%
Marketing Resource Group September 30 – October 2, 2014 600 ± 4% 47% 36% 16%
Public Policy Polling October 2–3, 2014 654 ± 3.8% 49% 42% 9%
Glengariff Group October 2–4, 2014 600 ± 4% 44% 35% 6% 15%
Wenzel Strategies October 6–7, 2014 615 ± 3.93% 47% 44% 9%
Mitchell Research October 9, 2014 1,306 ± 2.71% 48% 43% 4%[86] 6%
Mitchell Research October 12, 2014 1,340 ± 2.68% 50% 39% 4%[87] 8%
Lake Research Partners October 11–13, 2014 ? ± ? 49% 37% 14%
Clarity Campaign Labs October 12–14, 2014 967 ± 3.16% 49% 36% 18%
EPIC-MRA October 17–19, 2014 600 ± 4% 45% 34% 4% 16%
Mitchell Research October 19, 2014 919 ± 3.23% 51% 38% 4%[88] 7%
Clarity Campaign Labs October 19–20, 2014 1,032 ± ? 48% 33% 19%
Public Policy Polling October 20–21, 2014 723 ± ? 53% 39% 8%
Rasmussen Reports October 20–22, 2014 1,000 ± 3% 51% 42% 3% 4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 2,394 ± 3% 49% 41% 1% 10%
Glengariff Group October 22–24, 2014 600 ± 4% 48% 33% 6% 14%
Mitchell Research October 27, 2014 1,159 ± 2.88% 52% 38% 5%[89] 5%
EPIC-MRA October 26–28, 2014 600 ± 4% 50% 35% 5% 10%
Public Policy Polling November 1–2, 2014 914 ± 3.2% 51% 38% 4%[90] 6%
54% 41% 5%
Mitchell Research November 2, 2014 1,224 ± 2.8% 52% 40% 4%[90] 4%

Results

Peters was declared the winner right when the polls closed in Michigan.

2014 United States Senate election in Michigan[91]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Gary Peters 1,704,936 54.61% -8.05%
Republican Terri Lynn Land 1,290,199 41.33% +7.48%
Libertarian Jim Fulner 62,897 2.01% +0.44%
Taxpayers Richard Matkin 37,529 1.20% +0.56%
Green Chris Wahmhoff 26,137 0.84% -0.06%
Write-in 77 0.00% N/A
Total votes 3,121,775 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Post-election

Land would end up paying a fee of $66,000 to the Federal Election Commission for a violation of the Federal Election Campaign Act related to the 2014 campaign.[92][93]

Peters would run again in 2020 to retain the Senate seat he won,[94] while Land would go on to win a seat on the Board of Governors for Wayne State University in the same year.[95]

See also

References

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  2. Todd Spangler (May 1, 2013). "Congressman Gary Peters to run for retiring Sen. Carl Levin's seat in 2014". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved May 23, 2013.
  3. Jonathan Oosting (January 12, 2014). "Fringe candidates: Meet Michigan's little-known hopefuls for governor, U.S. Senate". MLive. Retrieved April 29, 2014.
  4. "FEC Disclosure Form 2 for Terry Ray Whitney" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. September 23, 2013. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 3, 2016. Retrieved October 25, 2013.
  5. Lowe, Zach (May 27, 2014). "We Went There: Thoughts From Miami". Grantland. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  6. Kyle Trygstad (March 7, 2013). "Michigan: Levin Announces He Will Retire in '14". Roll Call.
  7. Livingston, Abby (December 3, 2013). "Democrats Lose Top Recruit to Challenge Bentivolio (Updated)". Roll Call. Retrieved December 4, 2013.
  8. Wittrock, Angela (March 20, 2013). "Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero won't run for governor, Senate or Congress in 2014". MLive.com. Retrieved March 21, 2013.
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  35. Goodell, Andrea (March 15, 2014). "89th District: Matt Wiedenhoeft to challenge Rep. Amanda Price". The Holland Sentinel. Retrieved March 19, 2014.
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  41. "DeVos". March 8, 2013.
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  69. "Douglas resident Marineau seeks U.S. Senate seat". Allegan County News. February 12, 2014. Archived from the original on March 19, 2014. Retrieved March 19, 2014.
  70. "REPUBLICANS: Campaign stumbles helped sink Land amid GOP wave". CrainsDetroit.com. November 7, 2014. Retrieved October 28, 2017.
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  76. "Archived copy". Archived from the original on October 10, 2014. Retrieved October 11, 2014.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  77. "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  78. "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  79. "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  80. "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  81. Jim Fulner (L) 4%, Richard Matkin (TP) 2%, Chris Wahmhof (G) 1%
  82. Jim Fulner (L) 3%, Richard Matkin (TP) 2%, Chris Wahmhof (G) 1%
  83. Jim Fulner (L) 3%, Richard Matkin (TP) 2%, Chris Wahmhof (G) 3%
  84. Jim Fulner (L) 5%, Richard Matkin (TP) 2%, Chris Wahmhof (G) 3%
  85. Jim Fulner (L) 3%, Richard Matkin (TP) 1%, Chris Wahmhof (G) 1%
  86. Jim Fullner (L) 1%, Richard Matkin (TP) 1%, Chris Wahmhoff (G) 2%
  87. Jim Fullner (L) 2%, Richard Matkin (TP) 1%, Chris Wahmhoff (G) 1%
  88. Jim Fullner (L) 2%, Richard Matkin (TP) 1%, Chris Wahmhoff (G) 1%
  89. Jim Fullner (L) 3%, Richard Matkin (TP) 1%, Chris Wahmhoff (G) 1%
  90. Jim Fullner (L) 2%, Richard Matkin (TP) 1%, Chris Wahmhoff (G) 1%
  91. https://mielections.us/election/results/14GEN/
  92. Former Michigan secretary of state, husband agree to pay $66K fine Detroit Free Press
  93. MUR 6860 (Teiri Lynn Land, et al.) Conciliation Agreement Federal Election Commission
  94. Michigan’s U.S. Senate candidates evade primary challenge, setting up Peters, James matchup in November MLive
  95. University boards: Dems, GOP split seats at MSU, UM, WSU Detroit News
Official campaign websites (Archived)
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