2020 Missouri Democratic presidential primary
The 2020 Missouri Democratic presidential primary took place on Tuesday, March 10, 2020, as one of several states voting the week after Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party presidential primaries for the 2020 presidential election. The Missouri primary is an open primary, with the state awarding 78 delegates, of which 68 are pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.
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78 Democratic National Convention delegates (68 pledged, 10 unpledged) The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote | |||||||||||||||||||
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 Election results by county
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| Elections in Missouri |
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Immediately after the polls closed at 7:00 PM central time, the Associated Press declared that Joe Biden had won the Missouri primary. Biden won every county in the state.[1]
Procedure
Missouri is one of 6 states (and Democrats abroad) which held primaries on March 10, 2020, one week after Super Tuesday.[2]
Voting took place throughout the state from 6:00 a.m. until 7:00 p.m. In the open primary, candidates must meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 68 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention will be allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of the 68 pledged delegates, between 4 and 8 are allocated to each of the state's 8 congressional districts and another 9 are allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 15 at-large pledged delegates. Bonus delegates will be allocated as Missouri shares a primary date with numerous other states holding contests the week after Super Tuesday; these numbers do not yet account for these delegates.[3]
Following ward, township, legislative district, and county mass meetings on Thursday, April 9, 2020, during which congressional district and state convention delegates will be designated, congressional district conventions on Thursday, April 30, 2020, will choose national convention district delegates. At the meeting of the Democratic state committee in Jefferson City on Saturday, May 9, 2020, the 9 pledged PLEO delegates will be voted on, while the 15 pledged at-large delegates will be selected at the subsequent state convention in Columbia on Saturday, June 20, 2020. The 68 pledged delegates Missouri sends to the national convention will be joined by 10 unpledged PLEO delegates (7 members of the Democratic National Committee; 2 U.S. Representatives; and Dick Gephardt, former majority leader of the U.S. House of Representatives).[3]
Polling
| Polling aggregation | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[lower-alpha 1] |
| 270 to Win | March 10, 2020 | March 4–9, 2020 | 57.6% | 34.4% | 2.7% | 5.3% |
| RealClear Politics | March 10, 2020 | March 4–9, 2020 | 61.0% | 30.7% | 2.5% | 5.8% |
| FiveThirtyEight | March 10, 2020 | until March 9, 2020[lower-alpha 2] | 60.3% | 32.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% |
| Average | 59.6% | 32.6% | 2.6% | 5.2% | ||
| Missouri primary results (March 10, 2020) | 60.1% | 34.6% | 0.7% | 4.6% | ||
| Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Missouri Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 3] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Beto O'Rourke |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | |||
| Swayable | Mar 9, 2020 | 2,037 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 57% | – | – | – | – | – | 36% | – | 8%[lower-alpha 4] | – | |||
| Øptimus | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 402 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 68% | – | – | – | – | – | 29% | – | 3%[lower-alpha 5] | – | |||
| Data for Progress | Mar 4–7, 2020 | 348 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 62% | – | – | – | – | – | 32% | 4% | 2%[lower-alpha 6] | – | |||
| Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | Mar 4–5, 2020 | 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | – | – | – | – | – | 31% | – | 10%[lower-alpha 7] | 6% | |||
| Emerson Polling/Nexstar | Mar 4–5, 2020 | 425 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 48% | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | – | 8%[lower-alpha 8] | <6% | |||
| Bloomberg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| The Progress Campaign (D) | Feb 16–23, 2020 | 294 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 29% | 14% | 13% | – | 4% | – | 23% | 12% | 4%[lower-alpha 9] | – | |||
| Americana Analytics | Feb 20–21, 2020 | 1,198 (LV) | ± 2.83% | 22% | 17% | 11% | – | 9% | – | 11% | 10% | 1%[lower-alpha 10] | 17% | |||
| Remington Research Group | Jan 22–23, 2020 | 1,460 (LV) | – | 39% | 14% | 6% | – | 8% | – | 7% | 9% | 3%[lower-alpha 11] | 14% | |||
| Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Show Me Victories | Sept 13–16, 2019 | 400 | ± 5% | 34% | – | 10% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 22% | 8%[lower-alpha 12] | – | |||
| Remington Research Group | Jul 10–11, 2019 | 1,122 | – | 43% | – | 5% | 13% | – | 1% | 4% | 15% | – | 19% | |||
Results
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | 400,347 | 60.10 | 44 |
| Bernie Sanders | 230,374 | 34.59 | 24 |
| Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) | 9,866 | 1.48 | 0 |
| Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) | 8,156 | 1.22 | 0 |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 4,887 | 0.73 | 0 |
| Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) | 3,309 | 0.50 | 0 |
| Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) | 2,682 | 0.40 | 0 |
| Andrew Yang (withdrawn) | 953 | 0.14 | 0 |
| Cory Booker (withdrawn) | 651 | 0.10 | 0 |
| Tom Steyer (withdrawn) | 584 | 0.09 | 0 |
| Bill Haas | 392 | 0.06 | 0 |
| Michael Bennet (withdrawn) | 206 | 0.03 | 0 |
| Velma Steinman | 191 | 0.03 | 0 |
| Leonard J. Steinman II | 175 | 0.03 | 0 |
| Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 170 | 0.03 | 0 |
| John Delaney (withdrawn) | 159 | 0.02 | 0 |
| Steve Burke | 122 | 0.02 | 0 |
| Julian Castro (withdrawn) | 103 | 0.02 | 0 |
| Henry Hewes | 94 | 0.01 | 0 |
| Robby Wells | 79 | 0.01 | 0 |
| Roque De La Fuente III | 66 | 0.01 | 0 |
| Deval Patrick (withdrawn) | 52 | 0.01 | 0 |
| Uncommitted | 2,494 | 0.37 | 0 |
| Total | 666,112 | 100% | 68 |
Notes
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
- FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Gabbard with 3%; "Other" with 5%
- Gabbard with 3%
- Gabbard with 2%
- "Other" with 10%
- Gabbard with 2%; "Someone else/undecided" with 6%
- Gabbard and Steyer with 2%
- Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0%
- Yang with 2%; Steyer with 1%
- Booker and Yang with 1%; Castro with <1%; rest with 0%; Someone else with 6%
References
- "Live Primary Election Results: Michigan, Washington and More". New York Times. Retrieved March 10, 2020.
- Putnam, Josh. "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 23, 2019.
- "Missouri Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. May 23, 2019. Retrieved June 23, 2019.
- "State of Missouri - Presidential Primary Election, March 10, 2020" (PDF). Missouri Secretary of State. Retrieved 12 August 2020.