2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the eight U.S. Representatives from the state of Missouri, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 United States presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on August 4.[1]
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All 8 Missouri seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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![]() Results: Democratic hold Republican hold |
Elections in Missouri |
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District 1
The 1st district of the city of St. Louis and much of northern St. Louis County, including Florissant and University City. The incumbent is Democrat Lacy Clay, who was re-elected with 80.1% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Declared
Endorsements
- Federal officials
- Nancy Pelosi, U.S. Representative from California's 12th congressional district and House Speaker[5]
- Labor Unions
- Organizations
- Newspapers and Media
- U.S. Senators
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. Senator from Vermont[12] (Independent)
- State officials
- Bruce Franks Jr., former state representative (2016–2019)[13]
- Organizations
- Brand New Congress[14]
- Justice Democrats[15]
- National Women's Political Caucus[16]
- Our Revolution-Missouri Chapter[13]
- Sierra Club[9]
- Sunrise Movement STL[13]
- Party Officials
- Brianna Westbrook, Vice Chair of the Arizona Democratic Party[13]
- Individuals
- Jamaal Bowman, middle school principal and 2020 Democratic nominee in NY-16[17]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Katherine Bruckner |
Cori Bush |
Lacy Clay |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress[upper-alpha 1] | August 1–3, 2020 | 250 (LV) | – | 7% | 42% | 42% | 9% |
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Cori Bush | 73,274 | 48.5 | |
Democratic | Lacy Clay (incumbent) | 68,887 | 45.6 | |
Democratic | Katherine Bruckner | 8,850 | 5.9 | |
Total votes | 151,011 | 100.0 |
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Anthony Rogers | 6,979 | 61.5 | |
Republican | Winnie Heartstrong | 4,367 | 38.5 | |
Total votes | 11,346 | 100.0 |
Declared
- Alex Furman, Vice President of the St. Louis chapter of the far-right neo-fascist organization Proud Boys[20][21]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Alex Furman | 337 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 337 | 100.0 |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[22] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[23] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[25] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[26] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[27] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[28] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Cori Bush (D) |
Anthony Rodgers (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov | September 24 – October 7, 2020 | 152 (LV) | – | 61% | 26% | 7% | 7% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Cori Bush | 249,087 | 78.8 | |
Republican | Anthony Rogers | 59,940 | 19.0 | |
Libertarian | Alex Furman | 6,766 | 2.1 | |
Independent | Martin Baker (write-in) | 378 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 316,171 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 2
The 2nd district is based in eastern Missouri, and includes the southern and western suburbs of St. Louis, including Arnold, Town and Country, Wildwood, Chesterfield, and Oakville. The incumbent is Republican Ann Wagner, who was re-elected with 51.2% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Declared
- Ann Wagner, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ann Wagner (incumbent) | 63,686 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 63,686 | 100.0 |
Declared
- Jill Schupp, state senator[30]
Declined
- Becky Morgan, leader of the Missouri chapter of Moms Demand Action for Gun Sense in America[31]
- Cort VanOstran, attorney and nominee for Missouri's 2nd congressional district in 2018[32]
Endorsements
- U.S. Presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. Senator from Illinois (2005-2008)[33]
- U.S. Vice Presidents
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States (2009-2017, U.S. Senator from Delaware (1973-2009), 46th
President of the United States [34]
- Local officials
- Harold Dielmann, former Mayor of Creve Coeur (1966-1985, 2003-2012) (Republican)[35]
- Newspapers
- Organizations
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jill Schupp | 103,164 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 103,164 | 100.0 |
Declared
- Martin Schulte[42]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Martin Schulte | 737 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 737 | 100.0 |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[22] | Tossup | August 6, 2020 |
Inside Elections[43] | Tilt D (flip) | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
Politico[44] | Tossup | October 11, 2020 |
Daily Kos[45] | Tossup | August 31, 2020 |
RCP[46] | Tossup | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[28] | Lean D (flip) | June 7, 2020 |
538[47] | Lean R | October 30, 2020 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Ann Wagner (R) |
Jill Schupp (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research | October 29 – November 2, 2020 | 597 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 46% | 5%[lower-alpha 2] | 2% |
YouGov | September 24 – October 7, 2020 | 115 (LV) | – | 42% | 51% | 3% | 4% |
Normington, Petts & Associates (D) | September 10–14, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 49% | <1% | 2% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 2] | August 13–14, 2020 | 925 (V) | – | 42% | 45% | – | 14% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | February 19–20, 2020 | 1,360 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 50% | 40% | – | 10% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||
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Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ann Wagner (incumbent) | 233,157 | 51.9 | |
Democratic | Jill Schupp | 204,540 | 45.5 | |
Libertarian | Martin Schulte | 11,647 | 2.6 | |
Write-in | 4 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 449,348 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 3
The third district encompasses east-central Missouri, taking in Jefferson City, Troy, O'Fallon, and Washington. The incumbent is Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer, who was re-elected with 65.1% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Declared
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Blaine Luetkemeyer (incumbent) | 80,627 | 74.8 | |
Republican | Brandon Wilkinson | 15,901 | 14.8 | |
Republican | Lynette Trares | 4,197 | 3.9 | |
Republican | Jeffrey Nowak | 3,517 | 3.3 | |
Republican | Adela Wisdom | 3,485 | 3.2 | |
Total votes | 107,727 | 100.0 |
Declared
- Dennis Oglesby, chairman of Warren County Democrats[50]
- Megan Rezabek, maintenance worker[51]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Megan Rezabek | 27,826 | 66.8 | |
Democratic | Dennis Oglesby | 13,801 | 33.2 | |
Total votes | 41,627 | 100.0 |
Declared
- Leonard Steinman III, perennial candidate[52]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Leonard Steinman III | 627 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 627 | 100.0 |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[22] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[23] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[25] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[26] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[27] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[28] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Blaine Luetkemeyer (R) |
Megan Rezabek (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov | September 24 – October 7, 2020 | 106 (LV) | – | 64% | 29% | 1% | 6% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Blaine Luetkemeyer (incumbent) | 282,866 | 69.4 | |
Democratic | Megan Rezabek | 116,095 | 28.5 | |
Libertarian | Leonard J. Steinman II | 8,344 | 2.1 | |
Write-in | 43 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 407,348 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 4
The 4th district is based in predominantly rural west-central Missouri, taking in Columbia, Sedalia, Warrensburg, and Lebanon. The incumbent is Republican Vicky Hartzler, who was re-elected with 64.8% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Declared
- Neal Gist, software engineer[53]
- Vicky Hartzler, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Vicky Hartzler (incumbent) | 80,652 | 76.6 | |
Republican | Neal Gist | 24,646 | 23.4 | |
Total votes | 105,298 | 100.0 |
Declared
- Lindsey Simmons, attorney[54]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lindsey Simmons | 38,339 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 38,339 | 100.0 |
Declared
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Steven K. Koonse | 357 | 53.0 | |
Libertarian | Robert E. Smith | 316 | 47.0 | |
Total votes | 673 | 100.0 |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[22] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[23] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[25] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[26] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[27] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[28] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Vicky Hartzler (R) |
Lindsey Simmons (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov | September 24 – October 7, 2020 | 92 (LV) | – | 53% | 37% | 6% | 5% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Vicky Hartzler (incumbent) | 245,247 | 67.6 | |
Democratic | Lindsey Simmons | 107,635 | 29.7 | |
Libertarian | Steven K. Koonse | 9,954 | 2.7 | |
Total votes | 362,836 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 5
The 5th district primarily consists of the inner ring of the Kansas City metropolitan area, including nearly all of Kansas City south of the Missouri River. The incumbent is Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, who was re-elected with 61.7% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Declared
- Emanuel Cleaver, incumbent U.S. Representative
- Maite Salazar, progressive activist[56]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent) | 75,040 | 85.3 | |
Democratic | Maite Salazar | 12,923 | 14.7 | |
Total votes | 87,963 | 100.0 |
Declared
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ryan Derks | 13,832 | 34.0 | |
Republican | Jerry W. Barham | 12,880 | 31.7 | |
Republican | Clay Chastain | 7,519 | 18.5 | |
Republican | Weldon "Wilbur" Woodward | 2,381 | 5.8 | |
Republican | R.H. Hess | 2,207 | 5.4 | |
Republican | Richonda Oaks | 1,872 | 4.6 | |
Total votes | 40,691 | 100.0 |
Declared
- Robin Dominick[64]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Robin Dominick | 542 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 542 | 100.0 |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[22] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[23] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[25] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[26] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[27] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[28] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Emmanuel Cleaver (D) |
Ryan Derks (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov | September 24 – October 7, 2020 | 135 (LV) | – | 59% | 26% | 1% | 7% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent) | 207,180 | 58.8 | |
Republican | Ryan Derks | 135,934 | 38.6 | |
Libertarian | Robin Dominick | 9,272 | 2.6 | |
Write-in | 44 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 352,430 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 6
The 6th district encompasses rural northern Missouri, St. Joseph and much of Kansas City north of the Missouri River. The incumbent is Republican Sam Graves, who was re-elected with 65.4% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Declared
- Sam Graves, incumbent U.S. Representative
- Chris Ryan, perennial candidate[65]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Sam Graves (incumbent) | 81,584 | 79.7 | |
Republican | Chris Ryan | 20,826 | 20.3 | |
Total votes | 102,410 | 100.0 |
Declared
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gena L. Ross | 14,503 | 32.8 | |
Democratic | Henry Martin | 9,393 | 21.3 | |
Democratic | Charles West | 6,951 | 15.7 | |
Democratic | Donald Robert Sartain | 1,447 | 3.3 | |
Total votes | 44,176 | 100.0 |
Declared
- Jim Higgins, former vice chairman of the Missouri Libertarian Party[66]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Jim Higgins | 431 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 431 | 100.0 |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[22] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[23] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[25] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[26] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[27] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[28] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Sam Graves (R) |
Gena Ross (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov | September 24 – October 7, 2020 | 98 (LV) | – | 58% | 36% | 1% | 6% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Sam Graves (incumbent) | 258,709 | 67.1 | |
Democratic | Gena Ross | 118,926 | 30.8 | |
Libertarian | Jim Higgins | 8,144 | 2.1 | |
Total votes | 385,779 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 7
The 7th district is located in southwestern Missouri, taking in Springfield, Joplin, Branson, and Nixa. The incumbent is Republican Billy Long, who was re-elected with 66.2% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Declared
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Billy Long (incumbent) | 69,407 | 66.1 | |
Republican | Eric Harleman | 11,696 | 11.1 | |
Republican | Kevin VanStory | 10,486 | 10.0 | |
Republican | Steve Chetnik | 7,407 | 7.1 | |
Republican | Camille Lombardi-Olive | 5,969 | 5.7 | |
Total votes | 104,965 | 100.0 |
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Teresa Montseny | 30,568 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 30,568 | 100.0 |
Declared
- Kevin Craig[70]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Kevin Craig | 508 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 508 | 100.0 |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[22] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[23] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[25] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[26] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[27] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[28] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Billy Long (R) |
Teresa Montseny (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov | September 24 – October 7, 2020 | 142 (LV) | – | 57% | 32% | 2% | 10% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Billy Long (incumbent) | 254,318 | 68.9 | |
Democratic | Teresa Montseny | 98,111 | 26.6 | |
Libertarian | Kevin Craig | 15,573 | 4.2 | |
Independent | Audrey Richards (write-in) | 1,279 | 0.3 | |
Write-in | 2 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 454,339 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 8
The 8th district is the most rural district of Missouri, taking in rural southeastern Missouri, including the Missouri Bootheel, as well as the cities of Cape Girardeau and Poplar Bluff. The incumbent is Republican Jason Smith, who was re-elected with 73.4% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Declared
- Jason Smith, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jason Smith (incumbent) | 114,074 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 114,074 | 100.0 |
Declared
- Kathy Ellis, social worker and nominee for Missouri's 8th congressional district in 2018[71]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kathryn Ellis | 20,354 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 20,354 | 100.0 |
Declared
- Tom Schmitz[72]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Tom Schmitz | 265 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 265 | 100.0 |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[22] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[23] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[25] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[26] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[27] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[28] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Jason Smith (R) |
Kathy Ellis (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov | September 24 – October 7, 2020 | 96 (LV) | – | 72% | 22% | 5% | 2% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jason Smith (incumbent) | 253,811 | 76.9 | |
Democratic | Kathy Ellis | 70,561 | 21.4 | |
Libertarian | Tom Schmitz | 5,854 | 1.8 | |
Total votes | 330,226 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - "Don't recall" and Schulte (L) with 2%; Did not vote with 1%; Would not vote with 0%
- Partisan clients
- Poll released after the primary in August
- Poll conducted for the House Majority Pac.
References
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External links
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Missouri", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Missouri: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of Missouri". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Missouri at Ballotpedia
- Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 7th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 8th district candidates