2016 Missouri gubernatorial election

The 2016 Missouri gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor of Missouri, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

2016 Missouri gubernatorial election
November 8, 2016
 
Nominee Eric Greitens Chris Koster
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,433,397 1,277,360
Percentage 51.1% 45.5%
County Results

Greitens:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Koster:      50–60%      70–80%      80–90%
Governor before election

Jay Nixon
Democratic

 Elected Governor

Eric Greitens
Republican

Elections in Missouri
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U.S. House
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Attorney General elections
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Ballot measures
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Mayoral elections

The primaries were held on August 2. Incumbent Democratic Governor Jay Nixon was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a third term in office.[1] State Attorney General Chris Koster and businessman, author and former U.S. Navy SEAL Eric Greitens won the Democratic and Republican primaries, respectively.[2][3] On election day, November 8, 2016, the Associated Press declared Greitens the winner of the election, and Koster conceded shortly after.[4]

Democratic primary

Declared

Declined

Endorsements
Chris Koster

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Chris
Koster		 Eric
Morrison		 Leonard
Steinman		 Charles
Wheeler		 Other Undecided
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon July 23–27, 2016 400 ± 5.0% 73% 3% 1% 8% — 15%
SurveyUSA July 20–24, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 57% 7% 3% 7% — 26%

Results
Democratic primary results[17]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chris Koster 256,272 78.75%
Democratic Eric Morrison 31,474 9.67%
Democratic Charles Wheeler 25,756 7.92%
Democratic Leonard Steinman 11,911 3.66%
Total votes 325,413 100.00%

Republican primary

Declared

Former

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements
John Brunner
Eric Greitens
Catherine Hanaway
Peter Kinder

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 John
Brunner		 Eric
Greitens		 Catherine
Hanaway		 Peter
Kinder		 Undecided
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon July 23–27, 2016 400 ± 5.0% 23% 21% 21% 18% 17%
SurveyUSA July 20–24, 2016 773 ± 3.6% 21% 25% 18% 18% 18%
OnMessage Inc. July 17–18, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 23% 21% 25% 19% 12%
Public Policy Polling July 11–12, 2016 462 ± 3.2% 16% 24% 22% 15% 23%
Remington Research Group (R)/Missouri Scout July 7–8, 2016 1,022 ± 3.0% 22% 29% 16% 12% 21%

Results
Results by county:
  Brunner
  Greitens
  Kinder
Republican primary results[17]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Eric Greitens 236,481 34.56%
Republican John Brunner 169,620 24.79%
Republican Peter Kinder 141,629 20.70%
Republican Catherine Hanaway 136,521 19.95%
Total votes 684,251 100.00%

Third party and independent candidates
Declared
Declared
  • Les Turilli, Jr., businessman[57]
Declared
  • Cisse W. Spragins, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and nominee for Missouri Secretary of State in 2012[58]

Results
Libertarian primary results [17]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Cisse W. Spragins 3,515 100.00%
Total votes 3,515 100.00%

General election

Debates

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[59] Tossup November 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[60] Lean R (flip) November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[61] Tossup November 3, 2016
Daily Kos[62] Tossup November 7, 2016
Real Clear Politics[63] Tossup November 1, 2016

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Chris
Koster (D)		 Eric
Greitens (R)		 Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 1,368 ± 4.6% 48% 47% — 5%
SurveyMonkey October 31–Nov 6, 2016 1,119 ± 4.6% 49% 46% — 5%
SurveyMonkey October 28–Nov 3, 2016 879 ± 4.6% 49% 47% — 4%
Public Policy Polling November 1–2, 2016 871 ± 3.4% 47% 44% 4% 6%
SurveyMonkey October 27 – November 2, 2016 774 ± 4.6% 50% 47% — 3%
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) October 31 – November 1, 2016 1,722 ± 2.4% 45% 46% 4% 4%
DFM Research October 27 – November 1, 2016 508 ± 4.4% 45% 39% 10% 6%
SurveyMonkey October 26 – November 1, 2016 649 ± 4.6% 52% 46% — 2%
Monmouth University October 28–31, 2016 405 ± 4.9% 46% 46% 2% 5%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 671 ± 4.6% 54% 44% — 2%
Missouri Scout/BK Strategies (R) October 27–28, 2016 1,698 ± 2.4% 46% 45% — 9%
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon October 24–26, 2016 625 ± 4.0% 46% 45% — 9%
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) October 23–25, 2016 2,559 ± 1.9% 47% 45% 4% 4%
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) October 9–11, 2016 2,171 ± 2.1% 48% 42% 5% 5%
Monmouth University October 9–11, 2016 406 ± 4.9% 46% 43% 2% 8%
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) October 4–5, 2016 1,588 ± 2.6% 44% 41% 5% 10%
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) September 26–27, 2016 1,279 ± 3.0% 51% 35% 5%[64] 10%
The Tarrance Group (R-Greitens) September 19–22, 2016 606 ± 4.1% 45% 42% — 13%
The Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) September 19–20, 2016 1,076 ± 3.2% 47% 37% 4%[65] 13%
The Missouri Times/Gravis Marketing September 11–13, 2016 604 ± 4.0% 49% 41% — 8%
The Missouri Times/Gravis Marketing September 4–6, 2016 589 ± 4.0% 47% 41% 3%[66] 9%
Missouri Scout/Remington Research Group (R) September 1–2, 2016 1,275 ± 3.0% 46% 42% — 12%
Monmouth University August 19–22, 2016 401 ± 4.9% 51% 40% 3% 6%
Remington Research Group (R) August 5–6, 2016 1,280 ± 3.0% 45% 43% — 7%
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon July 23–24, 2016 625 ± 4.0% 52% 33% — 15%
DFM Research March 17–24, 2016 674 ± 3.8% 41% 24% 3% 31%
Public Policy Polling September 22–23, 2015 731 ± 3.6% 37% 44% — 20%
Public Policy Polling August 7–9, 2015 859 ± 3.3% 40% 34% — 26%

Results
Missouri gubernatorial election, 2016[67]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Eric Greitens 1,433,397 51.14% +8.61%
Democratic Chris Koster 1,277,360 45.57% -9.20%
Libertarian Cisse Spragins 41,154 1.47% -1.22%
Independent Lester Benton Turilli, Jr. 30,019 1.07% N/A
Green Don Fitz 21,088 0.75% N/A
Write-in 28 0.00% 0.00%
Total votes 2,803,046 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic


Campaign finance investigations

On April 28, 2017, the Missouri Ethics Commission fined Greitens' campaign $1,000 for violating state campaign ethics rules regarding campaign disclosure. Greitens did not contest the fine.[68]

In 2018, Missouri Attorney General Josh Hawley announced the opening of an investigation of Greitens' 2016 campaign financing.[69]

On June 1, 2018, Eric Greitens resigned from office, leaving Mike Parson, his lieutenant governor, to succeed him.

References
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  64. Cisse Spragins (L) 3%, Lester Turilli (I) 2%
  65. Cisse Spragins (L) 2%, Lester Turilli (I) 2%
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