2020 Missouri gubernatorial election
The 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the Governor of Missouri, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Mike Parson ran for and was elected to a full term in office.[1] Parson was elected as lieutenant governor in 2016, but became governor on June 1, 2018 after incumbent Eric Greitens resigned under threat of impeachment by the state legislature. Parson declared his bid for a full term on September 8, 2019.[2]State Auditor Nicole Galloway, Missouri's only Democratic statewide officer and only female statewide officer, was the Democratic nominee and if elected, would have become Missouri's first female governor.
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 County results Parson: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% Galloway: 50-60% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Missouri |
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In October 2020, The Washington Post identified this state election as one of eight whose outcomes could affect partisan balance during post-census redistricting.[3]
Despite the race being rated as leaning Republican, Mike Parson went on to win election by a landslide of 16.4%, widely outperforming all election polling as well as justifying the former swing state's trend towards the Republicans. Galloway suffered the harshest margin of defeat for a Democratic gubernatorial candidate in Missouri since Betty Hearnes' whopping 29-point loss in 1988.
Republican primary
Nominee
- Mike Parson, incumbent Governor of Missouri[4][2] and former State Senator
Eliminated in primary
- Saundra McDowell, U.S. Air Force veteran and Republican nominee for Missouri State Auditor in 2018[5]
- Jim Neely, state representative from the 8th district[6]
- Raleigh Ritter, rancher and businessman[7]
Declined
- Jay Ashcroft, Missouri Secretary of State[8]
- Eric Greitens, former Governor of Missouri[9][10]
- Tony Monetti, retired bomber pilot, assistant dean of aviation at University of Central Missouri, and Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2018[11]
Endorsements
Jim Neely
- State officials
- Mike Moon, state representative from the 157th district[12]
- Bryan Spencer, state representative from the 63rd district[12]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Mike Parson |
Eric Greitens |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filing deadline, by which Greitens had not declared his candidacy | ||||||
| Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | Jan 29–30, 2020 | 1,155 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 52% | 22% | 26% |
| American Viewpoint/Uniting Missouri[upper-alpha 1] | Jan 20–22, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | – | 56% | 30% | 11% |
Results
Results by county:
Parson
- >90%
- 80–90%
- 70–80%
- 60–70%
- 50–60%
- <40%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Parson (incumbent) | 511,566 | 74.93% | |
| Republican | Saundra McDowell | 84,412 | 12.36% | |
| Republican | Jim Neely | 59,514 | 8.72% | |
| Republican | Raleigh Ritter | 27,264 | 3.99% | |
| Total votes | 682,756 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
Eliminated in primary
Declined
- Sly James, former mayor of Kansas City, Missouri[17]
- Jason Kander, former Missouri Secretary of State, Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016, former candidate for Mayor of Kansas City in 2019[18]
- Claire McCaskill, former U.S. Senator[19]
- Scott Sifton, state senator from the 1st district and former state representative from the 96th district (endorsed Galloway)[20]
Endorsements
Nicole Galloway
- Federal Politicians
- Kamala Harris, U.S. Senator from California and 2020 Democratic nominee for Vice President[21]
- Individuals
- Scott Sifton, state senator[20]
- Organizations
Results
Results by county:
Galloway
- >90%
- 80–90%
- 70–80%
- 60–70%
- 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Nicole Galloway | 455,203 | 84.62% | |
| Democratic | Eric Morrison | 32,403 | 6.02% | |
| Democratic | Jimmie Matthews | 20,586 | 3.83% | |
| Democratic | Antoin Johnson | 20,254 | 3.77% | |
| Democratic | Robin Quaethem | 9,481 | 1.76% | |
| Total votes | 537,927 | 100.00% | ||
Other candidates
Libertarian Party
Rik Combs, the Libertarian nominee
Nominee
- Rik Combs, U.S. Air Force veteran[16]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Rik Combs | 4,171 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 4,171 | 100.00% | ||
Nominee
- Jerome Bauer[16]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Lean R | September 15, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Lean R | October 16, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Lean R | October 8, 2020 |
| Politico[29] | Lean R | September 9, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[30] | Likely R | July 22, 2020 |
| RCP[31] | Lean R | July 29, 2020 |
| 270towin[32] | Lean R | October 16, 2020 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Mike Parson (R) |
Nicole Galloway (D) |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | October 28–29, 2020 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 3% | 50% | 44% | 5%[lower-alpha 2] |
| Cygnal | October 18–20, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 42% | 10%[lower-alpha 3] |
| Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | October 14–15, 2020 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 3% | 51% | 43% | 6%[lower-alpha 4] |
| YouGov | September 24 – October 7, 2020 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 50% | 44% | 7%[lower-alpha 5] |
| Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)[upper-alpha 2] | September 28 – October 2, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 48% | – |
| Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | September 30 – October 1, 2020 | 980 (LV) | ± 3% | 51% | 44% | 5%[lower-alpha 6] |
| Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | September 16–17, 2020 | 1,046 (LV) | ± 3% | 52% | 43% | 5%[lower-alpha 7] |
| We Ask America | September 1–3, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 54% | 41% | 5%[lower-alpha 8] |
| Trafalgar Group | August 26–28, 2020 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 51% | 36% | 13%[lower-alpha 9] |
| Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | August 12–13, 2020 | 1,112 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 43% | 7%[lower-alpha 10] |
| Saint Louis University | June 23 – July 1, 2020 | 900 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 39% | 20%[lower-alpha 11] |
| Garin-Hart-Yang/Missouri Scout (D)[upper-alpha 2] | June 16–22, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 40% | – |
| Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | June 10–11, 2020 | 1,152 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
| We Ask America | May 26–27, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 39% | 15%[lower-alpha 12] |
| Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | April 28–29, 2020 | 1,356 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
| Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | March 11–12, 2020 | 1,241 (LV) | – | 52% | 39% | 7% |
| American Viewpoint (R)[upper-alpha 3] | January 20–22, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | – | 54% | 36% | 7% |
| Human Agency/Missouri Scout | December 20–24, 2019 | 415 (RV) | ± 5% | 51% | 36% | 13% |
| Missouri Scout/Human Agency (D) | November 17–20, 2019 | 400 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 51% | 35% | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 4] | November 14–15, 2019 | 921 (LV) | – | 45% | 36% | 19% |
| Missouri Scout/Human Agency (D) | October 18–20, 2019 | 550 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 34% | 16% |
| Remington/Missouri Scout (R) | October 9–10, 2019 | 1,451 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 53% | 41% | 6% |
| Missouri Scout/Human Agency (D) | September 16–18, 2019 | 825 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 36% | 19% |
| Remington/Missouri Scout (R) | August 14–15, 2019 | 855 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 39% | 11% |
| Remington/Missouri Scout (R) | June 26–27, 2019 | 960 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 37% | 13% |
| Remington/Missouri Scout (R) | February 27, 2019 | 893 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Endorsements
Nicole Galloway (D)
- Federal Politicians
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. Senator from Illinois (2005-2008)[33]
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States and 2020 Democratic nominee for President[34]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts and former 2020 presidential candidate[35]
- Kamala Harris, U.S. Senator from California and 2020 Democratic nominee for Vice President[21]
- Emanuel Cleaver, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 5th District[36]
- Local Officials
- Quinton Lucas, mayor of Kansas City.[37]
- Pete Buttigieg, mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012-2020) and former 2020 Presidential Candidate.[38]
- Individuals
- Scott Sifton, state senator from the 1st district[20]
- Andy Cohen, Bravo Host[39]
- Unions
- Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Parson (incumbent) | 1,720,202 | 57.11% | +5.97% | |
| Democratic | Nicole Galloway | 1,225,771 | 40.69% | -4.88% | |
| Libertarian | Rik Combs | 49,067 | 1.63% | +0.16% | |
| Green | Jerome Bauer | 17,234 | 0.57% | -0.18% | |
| Write-in | 13 | 0.00% | ±0.00% | ||
| Total votes | 3,012,287 | 100.0% | |||
| Turnout | 3,026,028 | 70.07% | |||
| Registered electors | 4,318,758 | ||||
| Republican hold | |||||
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Combs (L) with 2%; Bauer (G) with 1%; Undecided with 2%
- Combs (L) with 2%; Bauer (G) with 1%; Undecided with 7%
- Combs (L) with 2%; Bauer (G) with 1%; Undecided with 3%
- "Other" with 3%; Undecided with 4%
- Undecided with 5%
- Undecided with 5%
- Undecided with 5%
- Combs (L) with 3%; Bauer (G) with 2%; Undecided with 8%
- Undecided with 7%
- Undecided with 17%; "Other" with 3%
- Undecided with 15%
- Partisan clients
- Uniting Missouri is a PAC supporting Governor Mike Parson (R) in the 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election.
- Poll sponsored by Galloway's campaign.
- Uniting Missouri is a PAC supporting Governor Mike Parson (R) in the 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election.
- Poll sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association
References
- Clare Foran (May 29, 2018). "Embattled Missouri Governor Eric Greitens resigns amid scandals". CNN. Retrieved May 29, 2018.
- Suntrup, Jack (September 8, 2019). "Missouri Gov. Mike Parson, a cattle-farming former sheriff, announces bid for 4-year term". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved September 8, 2019.
- Phillips, Amber (October 2, 2020). "The state legislative battles to watch in 2020". The Washington Post. Retrieved October 2, 2020.
- Parks, MaryAlice (May 30, 2018). "Missouri governor to be replaced by longtime traditional politician". ABC News. Retrieved June 4, 2018.
- Gerber, Cameron (March 31, 2020). "Saundra McDowell files to run for governor, challenging Parson". The Missouri Times.
- Erickson, Kurt (August 28, 2019). "State lawmaker announces plan to challenge Parson for GOP nomination for Missouri governor". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved August 30, 2019.
- Raleigh Ritter (R) for Governor
- Star, Jason Hancock and Lindsay Wise Kansas City. "Parson faces unrest among Missouri conservatives as he heads into 2020". Columbia Daily Tribune. Retrieved 2019-04-02.
- Suntrup, Kurt Erickson, Jack. "A Greitens comeback? Supporters of the ex-Missouri governor are hopeful". STLtoday.com. Retrieved Jan 9, 2021.
- "Greitens 2020? Could former Gov. Greitens run for governor again?". KOMU.com.
- Hancock, Jason [@J_Hancock] (April 8, 2019). ". @MonettiforMO went on @PeteMundo show this morning to announce he will not challenge @GovParsonMO in the GOP primary for governor in 2020. He'll dissolve his exploratory committee. #MoLeg #MoGOv" (Tweet). Retrieved April 8, 2019 – via Twitter.
- "Jim Neely for Missouri Governor 2020". Jim Neely.
- "State of Missouri - State of Missouri - Primary Election, August 04, 2020". Missouri Secretary of State.
- Lieb, David A. (August 12, 2019). "Democrat Galloway launches Missouri gubernatorial campaign". Associated Press. Retrieved August 12, 2019.
- "Eric Morrison for Missouri |". Retrieved Jan 9, 2021.
- "SOS, Missouri - Elections: Offices Filed in Candidate Filing". s1.sos.mo.gov.
- Rosenbaum, Jason. "New Missouri Democratic vice chair says the party can attract both urban and rural voters". ksmu.org. Retrieved 2018-12-11.
- Salter, Jim; Stafford, Margaret (July 28, 2019). "Jason Kander is back after quietly working through PTSD". Associated Press. Retrieved August 6, 2019.
- Raasch, Chuck (December 12, 2018). "McCaskill: I'll never run again, but I'll stay involved in politics". St. Louis Post Dispatch. Retrieved February 27, 2019.
- Suntrup, Jack. "Missouri lawmaker from Affton who considered run for governor backs Democratic auditor instead". stltoday.com. Retrieved 2019-07-02.
- "Show-Me Senator Kamala Harris Sending Support To Missouri Lady Candidates". Retrieved Jan 9, 2021.
- "State & Local". 3.14 Action. Retrieved 2020-06-15.
- Schriock, Stephanie (November 19, 2019). "EMILY's List Endorses Nicole Galloway for Missouri Governor". emilyslist.org. EMILY's List.
- Rodríguez, Yamelsie; Hill, Brandon (November 7, 2019). "Planned Parenthood Advocates and Votes Endorse Reproductive Health Champion Nicole Galloway for Missouri Governor". plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Great Plains Votes; Advocates of Planned Parenthood of the St. Louis Region and Southwest Missouri.
- "Endorsed Candidates". NWPC. Retrieved April 9, 2020.
- "2020 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2019.
- "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-03-16.
- "2020 Governor". Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball. 2019-08-22. Retrieved 2019-09-26.
- "We rated every gubernatorial race in 2020. Here's who we think will win". Politico. Retrieved November 19, 2019.
- "2020 Governor Race Ratings". Daily Kos. June 1, 2020. Retrieved June 5, 2020.
- "2020 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. June 13, 2020. Retrieved June 14, 2020.
- "2020 Gubernatorial Elections Map". 270towin.
- "Second Wave of 2020 Endorsements". Medium.
- "Biden endorses Nicole Galloway for Missouri governor. Here's why it matters". The Kansas City Star.
- "Nicole Galloway Tops Week of Momentum with Endorsement From Sen. Elizabeth Warren". Democratic Governors Association. July 10, 2020.
- "Nicole Galloway for Missouri". Nicole Galloway for Missouri. Retrieved 2020-10-17.
- https://www.kansascity.com/news/politics-government/election/article246394235.html
- "Join Pete Buttigeig in supporting Nicole Galloway!". ActBlue.
- "Nicole Galloway, CPA on Instagram: "You won't wanna miss this: Join me, @bravoandy, @karliekloss, and @derekblasberg on Monday for a virtual grassroots fundraiser for our…"". Instagram. Retrieved 2020-10-19.
- "2020 Labor Endorsed Candidates". moaflcio.org. July 14, 2020.
- Gerber, Cameron (July 23, 2020). "Galloway endorsed by national gun violence prevention group". themissouritimes.com. The Missouri Times.
- "All Results State of Missouri - State of Missouri - General Election, November 03, 2020". Missouri Secretary of State. Retrieved December 8, 2020.
- "Statistiques" (PDF). www.sos.mo.gov. Retrieved 18 December 2020..
Further reading
- Amber Phillips (October 2, 2020), "The state legislative battles to watch in 2020", Washingtonpost.com,
Missouri governor's race
. (About redistricting).
External links
- Official campaign websites
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