Opinion polling for the 2001 United Kingdom general election
In the run up to the general election of 2001, several polling organisations carried out opinion polling in regards to voting intention in Great Britain (i.e. the UK excluding Northern Ireland, which is usually excluded from such voting intention surveys). Results of such polls are displayed below.
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The election took place on 7 June 2001. The previous general election was held on 1 May 1997, and had seen Labour return to power with a landslide victory after 18 years, led by Tony Blair. Such was the scale of Labour's victory that it was widely accepted - even within the Conservative Party - that the next election would produce another Labour victory, with the best realistic target for other parties being to reduce the Labour majority (recognised by Cecil Parkinson on Election Night 1997 when he admitted on the BBC's broadcast that it "was a two term Labour government"
The parliamentary term of 1997-2001 had seen the opinion polls led by the Labour Party, mostly with a lead in excess of 10 points, over the Conservatives (who had replaced John Major with William Hague as their new leader), apart from a brief spell in the autumn of 2000 when fuel protests threatened to bring Britain to a standstill. However, the blockades which had caused the protests were quickly resolved and Labour support recovered to the extent that Blair felt able to call an election for 3 May 2001, although the recent foot and mouth crisis meant that the election was delayed for five weeks until 7 June.
Another rare success for the Conservatives during this parliamentary term came in June 1999, when it enjoyed the largest share of the votes in the European parliament elections, with William Hague vowing to keep the pound as Britain's currency, whereas Tony Blair was refusing to rule out eventually adopting the Euro.
In the event, the election produced a low turnout (with many voters perhaps feeling that another Labour victory was inevitable) and Labour won a second successive landslide, with the British political scene remaining almost completely unchanged with only a few seats changing hands.
Graphical Summary
Results
2001
Date(s) Conducted | Polling organisation/client | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 Jun 2001 | Election Result | 40.7% | 31.7% | 18.3% | 9% |
6 Jun 2001 | Gallup/Daily Telegraph | 47% | 30% | 18% | 17% |
5 Jun 2001 | MORI/The Times | 45% | 30% | 18% | 15% |
4 Jun 2001 | ICM/The Guardian | 43% | 32% | 19% | 11% |
3 Jun 2001 | ICM/Evening Standard | 47% | 30% | 18% | 17% |
3 Jun 2001 | Rasmussen/The Independent | 44% | 33% | 16% | 11% |
2 Jun 2001 | MORI/Sunday Telegraph | 50% | 27% | 17% | 23% |
1 Jun 2001 | ICM/Channel 4 | 43% | 31% | 19% | 12% |
1 Jun 2001 | ICM/Observer | 46% | 34% | 15% | 12% |
1 Jun 2001 | NOP/Sunday Times | 47% | 30% | 16% | 17% |
29 May 2001 | Gallup/Telegraph | 47% | 31% | 16% | 16% |
29 May 2001 | MORI/Times | 48% | 30% | 16% | 18% |
28 May 2001 | ICM/Guardian | 47% | 28% | 17% | 19% |
27 May 2001 | Rasmussen/Independent | 44% | 32% | 17% | 12% |
25 May 2001 | NOP/Sunday Telegraph | 49% | 30% | 14% | 19% |
23 May 2001 | Gallup/Telegraph | 48% | 32% | 15% | 16% |
22 May 2001 | MORI | 52% | 27% | 16% | 25% |
22 May 2001 | Rasmussen/Independent | 44% | 32% | 16% | 12% |
21 May 2001 | ICM/Guardian | 45% | 32% | 17% | 13% |
20 May 2001 | Gallup/BES | 55% | 25% | 14% | 30% |
18 May 2001 | NOP/Sunday Times | 49% | 30% | 14% | 19% |
15 May 2001 | Gallup/Telegraph | 48% | 32% | 13% | 16% |
15 May 2001 | MORI/Times | 54% | 28% | 12% | 26% |
14 May 2001 | Gallup/BES | 53% | 32% | 11% | 21% |
14 May 2001 | ICM/Guardian | 46% | 31% | 16% | 15% |
14 May 2001 | MORI/Economist | 54% | 26% | 14% | 28% |
13 May 2001 | ICM/Evening Standard | 48% | 32% | 14% | 16% |
13 May 2001 | Rasmussen/Independent | 46% | 32% | 13% | 14% |
12 May 2001 | MORI/Sunday Telegraph | 51% | 31% | 13% | 20% |
11 May 2001 | ICM/Observer | 48% | 32% | 15% | 16% |
11 May 2001 | NOP/Sunday Times | 49% | 32% | 13% | 17% |
8 May 2001 | Gallup/Telegraph | 49% | 32% | 13% | 17% |
8 May 2001 | MORI/Times | 54% | 30% | 13% | 24% |
6 May 2001 | NOP/Channel 4 | 49% | 34% | 11% | 15% |
6 May 2001 | NOP/Express | 51% | 31% | 13% | 20% |
2 May 2001 | NOP/Channel 4 | 51% | 29% | 13% | 22% |
1 May 2001 | MORI/Sun | 50% | 32% | 13% | 18% |
24 Apr 2001 | MORI/Times | 50% | 30% | 13% | 20% |
22 Apr 2001 | ICM/Guardian | 47% | 33% | 14% | 14% |
12 Apr 2001 | MORI/Daily Mail | 53% | 29% | 12% | 24% |
10 Apr 2001 | Gallup/Telegraph | 53% | 27% | 15% | 26% |
4 Apr 2001 | NOP/Channel 4 | 52% | 30% | 12% | 22% |
31 Mar 2001 | MORI/Sunday Telegraph | 48% | 32% | 15% | 16% |
30 Mar 2001 | ICM/Guardian | 49% | 34% | 13% | 15% |
27 Mar 2001 | MORI/Times | 50% | 31% | 14% | 19% |
18 Mar 2001 | ICM/Guardian | 44% | 35% | 16% | 9% |
16 Mar 2001 | NOP/Sunday Times | 51% | 31% | 13% | 20% |
13 Mar 2001 | Gallup/Telegraph | 55% | 29% | 12% | 26% |
20 Feb 2001 | MORI/Times | 50% | 30% | 14% | 20% |
18 Feb 2001 | ICM/Guardian | 47% | 32% | 15% | 15% |
7 Feb 2001 | Gallup/Telegraph | 50% | 29% | 17% | 21% |
26 Jan 2001 | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 49% | 31% | 14% | 18% |
22 Jan 2001 | MORI/Times | 50% | 31% | 14% | 19% |
21 Jan 2001 | ICM/Guardian | 44% | 34% | 16% | 10% |
16 Jan 2001 | Gallup/Telegraph | 51% | 31% | 13% | 20% |
13 Jan 2001 | MORI/Sunday Telegraph | 52% | 31% | 11% | 21% |
12 Jan 2001 | NOP/Sunday Times | 48% | 33% | 14% | 15% |
6 Jan 2001 | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 46% | 35% | 14% | 11% |
2000
Date(s) Conducted | Polling organisation/client | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Lead | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 Dec 2000 | MORI/News of the World | 47% | 32% | 16% | 15% | ||
13 Dec 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 47% | 32% | 14% | 15% | ||
12 Dec 2000 | MORI/Times | 46% | 34% | 14% | 12% | ||
3 Dec 2000 | ICM/Guardian | 44% | 34% | 16% | 10% | ||
28 Nov 2000 | MORI/Times | 48% | 33% | 13% | 15% | ||
25 Nov 2000 | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 47% | 34% | 13% | 13% | ||
7 Nov 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 45% | 34% | 14% | 11% | ||
5 Nov 2000 | ICM/Guardian | 40% | 34% | 20% | 6% | ||
3 Nov 2000 | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 42% | 34% | 17% | 8% | ||
23 Oct 2000 | MORI/Times | 45% | 32% | 17% | 13% | ||
16 Oct 2000 | ICM/Guardian | 40% | 35% | 19% | 5% | ||
13 Oct 2000 | NOP/Sunday Times | 42% | 35% | 17% | 7% | ||
10 Oct 2000 | MORI/Carlton | 40% | 38% | 19% | 2% | ||
30 Sep 2000 | ICM/News of the World | 38% | 37% | 20% | 1% | ||
30 Sep 2000 | MORI/Sun | 43% | 36% | 16% | 7% | ||
29 Sep 2000 | NOP/Sunday Express | 43% | 37% | 13% | 6% | ||
26 Sep 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 39% | 36% | 20% | 3% | ||
26 Sep 2000 | MORI/Times | 37% | 35% | 21% | 2% | ||
23 Sep 2000 | NOP/Channel 4 | 32% | 40% | 22% | 8% | ||
22 Sep 2000 | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 35% | 39% | 21% | 4% | ||
19 Sep 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 35% | 40% | 16% | 5% | ||
19 Sep 2000 | MORI/Salomon Smith Barney | 36% | 36% | 21% | Tie | ||
17 Sep 2000 | ICM/Guardian | 34% | 38% | 22% | 4% | ||
16 Sep 2000 | NOP/Sunday Times | 37% | 37% | 21% | Tie | ||
15 Sep 2000 | MORI/News of the World | 36% | 38% | 18% | 2% | ||
12 Sep 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 45% | 32% | 16% | 13% | ||
12 Sep 2000 | MORI | 45% | 30% | 17% | 15% | ||
8 Sep 2000 | The UK fuel protests occur, causing nationwide fuel shortages | ||||||
6 Sep 2000 | MORI | 48% | 32% | 13% | 16% | ||
21 Aug 2000 | MORI/Times | 51% | 29% | 15% | 22% | ||
18 Aug 2000 | MORI/News of the World | 51% | 32% | 12% | 19% | ||
13 Aug 2000 | ICM/Guardian | 44% | 34% | 17% | 10% | ||
7 Aug 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 47% | 32% | 14% | 15% | ||
24 Jul 2000 | MORI/Times | 49% | 33% | 12% | 16% | ||
22 Jul 2000 | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 51% | 32% | 11% | 19% | ||
15 Jul 2000 | ICM/Guardian | 42% | 35% | 17% | 7% | ||
14 Jul 2000 | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 47% | 32% | 15% | 15% | ||
11 Jul 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 45% | 35% | 14% | 10% | ||
30 Jun 2000 | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 46% | 32% | 17% | 14% | ||
27 Jun 2000 | MORI/Times | 47% | 33% | 13% | 14% | ||
26 Jun 2000 | ICM/Guardian | 43% | 32% | 17% | 11% | ||
23 Jun 2000 | MORI/News of the World | 47% | 34% | 14% | 13% | ||
9 Jun 2000 | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 41% | 38% | 16% | 3% | ||
6 Jun 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 49% | 30% | 15% | 19% | ||
23 May 2000 | MORI/Times | 48% | 32% | 15% | 16% | ||
19 May 2000 | MORI/Daily Mail | 46% | 33% | 14% | 13% | ||
15 May 2000 | ICM/Guardian | 41% | 34% | 18% | 7% | ||
9 May 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 47% | 31% | 14% | 16% | ||
7 May 2000 | ICM/Conservative Party | 43% | 35% | 15% | 8% | ||
18 Apr 2000 | MORI/Times | 51% | 27% | 15% | 24% | ||
15 Apr 2000 | ICM/Guardian | 45% | 32% | 15% | 13% | ||
11 Apr 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 50% | 32% | 12% | 18% | ||
28 Mar 2000 | MORI/Times | 50% | 29% | 14% | 21% | ||
19 Mar 2000 | ICM/Guardian | 44% | 32% | 16% | 12% | ||
7 Mar 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 51% | 31% | 11% | 20% | ||
23 Feb 2000 | MORI/Times | 50% | 29% | 15% | 21% | ||
14 Feb 2000 | ICM/Guardian | 44% | 29% | 18% | 15% | ||
7 Feb 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 49% | 28% | 15% | 21% | ||
28 Jan 2000 | MORI/Daily Mail | 49% | 29% | 15% | 20% | ||
26 Jan 2000 | MORI/Times | 50% | 30% | 15% | 20% | ||
18 Jan 2000 | ICM/Guardian | 47% | 30% | 17% | 17% | ||
13 Jan 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 53% | 30% | 12% | 23% | ||
1999
Date(s) Conducted | Polling organisation/client | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 Dec 1999 | MORI/Times | 54% | 28% | 13% | 26% |
12 Dec 1999 | ICM/Guardian | 48% | 29% | 17% | 19% |
1 Dec 1999 | Gallup/Telegraph | 53% | 27% | 15% | 26% |
22 Nov 1999 | MORI/Times | 55% | 25% | 14% | 30% |
14 Nov 1999 | ICM/Guardian | 44% | 34% | 15% | 10% |
10 Nov 1999 | MORI/Daily Mail | 50% | 32% | 12% | 18% |
2 Nov 1999 | Gallup/Telegraph | 52% | 28% | 14% | 24% |
26 Oct 1999 | ICM/Guardian | 45% | 32% | 17% | 13% |
25 Oct 1999 | MORI/Times | 56% | 28% | 11% | 28% |
14 Oct 1999 | MORI/Sun | 52% | 31% | 13% | 21% |
29 Sep 1999 | Gallup/Telegraph | 52% | 29% | 13% | 23% |
27 Sep 1999 | MORI/Times | 52% | 25% | 17% | 27% |
19 Sep 1999 | ICM/Guardian | 45% | 32% | 16% | 13% |
11 Sep 1999 | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 49% | 32% | 13% | 17% |
1 Sep 1999 | Gallup/Telegraph | 52% | 27% | 13% | 25% |
23 Aug 1999 | MORI/Times | 49% | 27% | 17% | 22% |
15 Aug 1999 | ICM/Guardian | 48% | 30% | 16% | 18% |
4 Aug 1999 | Gallup/Telegraph | 51% | 30% | 12% | 21% |
26 Jul 1999 | MORI/Times | 51% | 28% | 14% | 23% |
11 Jul 1999 | ICM/Guardian | 48% | 31% | 16% | 17% |
21 Jun 1999 | MORI/Times | 51% | 28% | 13% | 23% |
5 Jun 1999 | ICM/Guardian | 46% | 29% | 19% | 17% |
2 Jun 1999 | Gallup/Telegraph | 52% | 24% | 16% | 28% |
24 May 1999 | MORI/Times | 52% | 28% | 14% | 24% |
8 May 1999 | ICM/Guardian | 51% | 28% | 16% | 23% |
1 May 1999 | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 50% | 30% | 14% | 20% |
28 Apr 1999 | Gallup/Telegraph | 52% | 29% | 13% | 23% |
26 Apr 1999 | MORI/Times | 56% | 25% | 13% | 31% |
17 Apr 1999 | ICM/Guardian | 52% | 29% | 16% | 23% |
7 Apr 1999 | Gallup/Telegraph | 54% | 27% | 13% | 27% |
22 Mar 1999 | MORI/Times | 54% | 27% | 13% | 27% |
7 Mar 1999 | ICM/Guardian | 52% | 29% | 16% | 23% |
4 Mar 1999 | Gallup/Telegraph | 52% | 30% | 11% | 22% |
22 Feb 1999 | MORI/Times | 51% | 30% | 14% | 21% |
7 Feb 1999 | ICM/Guardian | 49% | 28% | 16% | 21% |
3 Feb 1999 | Gallup/Telegraph | 53% | 29% | 13% | 24% |
25 Jan 1999 | MORI/Times | 56% | 24% | 14% | 32% |
12 Jan 1999 | NOP/Evening Standard | 57% | 25% | 12% | 32% |
6 Jan 1999 | Gallup/Telegraph | 52% | 29% | 13% | 23% |
3 Jan 1999 | ICM/Guardian | 50% | 30% | 15% | 20% |
1998
Date(s) Conducted | Polling organisation/client | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 Dec 1998 | NOP/Evening Standard | 55% | 27% | 12% | 28% |
14 Dec 1998 | MORI/Times | 54% | 27% | 12% | 27% |
7 Dec 1998 | ICM/Guardian | 49% | 29% | 16% | 20% |
2 Dec 1998 | Gallup/Telegraph | 55% | 29% | 11% | 26% |
23 Nov 1998 | MORI/Times | 53% | 29% | 13% | 24% |
6 Nov 1998 | ICM/Guardian | 51% | 27% | 17% | 24% |
4 Nov 1998 | Gallup/Telegraph | 54% | 28% | 14% | 26% |
26 Oct 1998 | MORI/Times | 53% | 26% | 16% | 27% |
4 Oct 1998 | ICM/Guardian | 51% | 29% | 15% | 22% |
30 Sep 1998 | Gallup/Telegraph | 57% | 23% | 15% | 34% |
21 Sep 1998 | MORI/Times | 56% | 24% | 15% | 32% |
6 Sep 1998 | ICM/Guardian | 48% | 29% | 17% | 19% |
3 Sep 1998 | Gallup/Telegraph | 54% | 28% | 12% | 26% |
24 Aug 1998 | MORI/Times | 52% | 28% | 14% | 24% |
9 Aug 1998 | ICM/Guardian | 47% | 31% | 17% | 16% |
5 Aug 1998 | Gallup/Telegraph | 53% | 28% | 13% | 25% |
21 Jul 1998 | MORI/Times | 53% | 28% | 14% | 25% |
4 Jul 1998 | ICM/Guardian | 52% | 27% | 17% | 25% |
1 Jul 1998 | Gallup/Telegraph | 52% | 28% | 14% | 24% |
30 Jun 1998 | MORI/Times | 56% | 27% | 13% | 29% |
26 Jun 1998 | MORI/Sun | 51% | 28% | 15% | 23% |
6 Jun 1998 | ICM/Guardian | 51% | 29% | 16% | 22% |
3 Jun 1998 | Gallup/Telegraph | 54% | 28% | 12% | 26% |
24 May 1998 | MORI/Times | 55% | 26% | 14% | 29% |
19 May 1998 | ICM/Guardian | 50% | 29% | 16% | 21% |
29 Apr 1998 | Gallup/Telegraph | 54% | 25% | 16% | 29% |
27 Apr 1998 | MORI/Times | 55% | 27% | 14% | 28% |
26 Apr 1998 | MORI/Sun | 54% | 30% | 13% | 24% |
22 Apr 1998 | ICM/Observer | 52% | 29% | 16% | 23% |
5 Apr 1998 | ICM/Guardian | 48% | 31% | 16% | 17% |
1 Apr 1998 | Gallup/Telegraph | 54% | 26% | 16% | 28% |
23 Mar 1998 | MORI/Times | 53% | 28% | 14% | 25% |
8 Mar 1998 | ICM/Guardian | 46% | 33% | 17% | 13% |
4 Mar 1998 | Gallup/Telegraph | 51% | 29% | 14% | 22% |
23 Feb 1998 | MORI/Times | 52% | 28% | 15% | 24% |
8 Feb 1998 | ICM/Guardian | 47% | 31% | 18% | 16% |
4 Feb 1998 | Gallup/Telegraph | 54% | 29% | 11% | 25% |
26 Jan 1998 | MORI/Times | 54% | 28% | 14% | 26% |
11 Jan 1998 | ICM/Guardian | 48% | 30% | 17% | 18% |
7 Jan 1998 | Gallup/Telegraph | 56% | 26% | 12% | 30% |
1997
Date(s) Conducted | Polling organisation/client | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 Dec 1997 | MORI/Times | 55% | 26% | 15% | 29% | |
6 Dec 1997 | ICM/Guardian | 50% | 29% | 17% | 21% | |
3 Dec 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 57% | 21% | 17% | 36% | |
24 Nov 1997 | MORI/Times | 56% | 24% | 16% | 32% | |
14 Nov 1997 | MORI/Sun | 56% | 30% | 11% | 26% | |
8 Nov 1997 | ICM/Guardian | 52% | 30% | 14% | 22% | |
4 Nov 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 63% | 23% | 11% | 40% | |
27 Oct 1997 | MORI/Times | 60% | 24% | 12% | 36% | |
6 Oct 1997 | ICM/Guardian | 59% | 23% | 13% | 36% | |
1 Oct 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 60% | 22% | 14% | 38% | |
29 Sep 1997 | MORI/Times | 59% | 25% | 13% | 34% | |
8 Sep 1997 | ICM/Guardian | 60% | 24% | 10% | 36% | |
3 Sep 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 58% | 26% | 12% | 32% | |
25 Aug 1997 | MORI/Times | 54% | 28% | 15% | 26% | |
6 Aug 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 58% | 25% | 12% | 33% | |
28 Jul 1997 | MORI/Times | 57% | 23% | 15% | 34% | |
28 Jun 1997 | ICM/Guardian | 61% | 23% | 12% | 38% | |
23 Jun 1997 | MORI/Times | 58% | 24% | 15% | 34% | |
William Hague becomes leader of the Conservative Party | ||||||
4 Jun 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 59% | 23% | 13% | 36% | |
1 May 1997 | Election Result | 43.2% | 30.7% | 16.8% | 12.5% |