2004 United States presidential election in Utah
The 2004 United States presidential election in Utah took place on November 2, 2004. It was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose five representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.
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 County Results
Bush 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90%
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| Elections in Utah |
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Utah was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 45.5% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. It is a strongly Republican state that in 2004 had a state legislature with a "super-majority" of Republicans in its make-up (meaning the minority parties are unable to block a veto by its members), both U.S. Senators being Republican as well as two of the three members of the U.S. House of Representatives. With 71.54 percent of the popular vote, Utah was Bush's strongest state in the 2004 election.[1]
Primaries
Campaign
Predictions
There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[2]
- D.C. Political Report: Solid Republican
- Associated Press: Solid Bush
- CNN: Bush
- Cook Political Report: Lean Republican
- Newsweek: Solid Bush
- New York Times: Solid Bush
- Rasmussen Reports: Bush
- Research 2000: Solid Bush
- Washington Post: Bush
- Washington Times: Solid Bush
- Zogby International: Bush
- Washington Dispatch: Bush
Polling
The final three polls averaged Bush with 67 percent to Kerry with 25 percent.[3]
Analysis
Republicans dominate Utah state politics because of the very high Mormon population that accounts for almost seventy percent of the residents throughout the state. Mormons have been known for having very conservative values. While every county voted for Bush, areas such as Park City (ski resort), Moab (becoming an outpost for environmental activists), Carbon County (largely blue collar), Salt Lake City (urban area with some diversity) and San Juan County (economically distressed and mostly Native American) did give a number of their votes to Kerry. However, other areas were uniformly Republican in voting. Utah County's (home of Provo and Brigham Young University) Republican vote (86%) was by far the largest percentage of any county its size in America.
Results
| 2004 United States presidential election in Utah[8] | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Electoral votes | |
| Republican | George W. Bush (incumbent) | 663,742 | 71.54% | 5 | |
| Democratic | John Kerry | 241,199 | 26.00% | 0 | |
| Unaffiliated | Ralph Nader | 11,305 | 1.22% | 0 | |
| Constitution Party | Michael Peroutka | 6,841 | 0.74% | 0 | |
| Libertarian Party | Michael Badnarik | 3,375 | 0.36% | 0 | |
| Personal Choice Party | Charles Jay | 946 | 0.10% | 0 | |
| Socialist Workers Party | Roger Calero | 393 | 0.04% | 0 | |
| Green Party | David Cobb | 39 | 0.00% | 0 | |
| Write Ins | 4 | 0.00% | 0 | ||
| Totals | - | 100.00% | 5 | ||
| Voter turnout (Voting age population) | 57.7% | ||||
Results by county
| County | George Walker Bush Republican |
John Forbes Kerry Democratic |
Ralph Nader[9] Unaffiliated |
Michael A. Peroutka[9] Constitution |
Various candidates[9] Other parties |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Beaver | 2,023 | 79.52% | 493 | 19.38% | 12 | 0.47% | 9 | 0.35% | 7 | 0.28% | 1,530 | 60.14% | 2,544 |
| Box Elder | 15,751 | 85.75% | 2,244 | 12.22% | 145 | 0.79% | 144 | 0.78% | 84 | 0.46% | 13,507 | 73.54% | 18,368 |
| Cache | 32,486 | 81.76% | 6,375 | 16.05% | 413 | 1.04% | 274 | 0.69% | 183 | 0.46% | 26,111 | 65.72% | 39,731 |
| Carbon | 4,950 | 58.18% | 3,415 | 40.14% | 83 | 0.98% | 22 | 0.26% | 38 | 0.45% | 1,535 | 18.04% | 8,508 |
| Daggett | 380 | 76.31% | 108 | 21.69% | 6 | 1.20% | 3 | 0.60% | 1 | 0.20% | 272 | 54.62% | 498 |
| Davis | 86,187 | 78.88% | 20,893 | 19.12% | 1,055 | 0.97% | 695 | 0.64% | 432 | 0.40% | 65,294 | 59.76% | 109,262 |
| Duchesne | 4,742 | 85.38% | 738 | 13.29% | 27 | 0.49% | 32 | 0.58% | 15 | 0.27% | 4,004 | 72.09% | 5,554 |
| Emery | 3,781 | 80.83% | 831 | 17.76% | 23 | 0.49% | 29 | 0.62% | 14 | 0.30% | 2,950 | 63.06% | 4,678 |
| Garfield | 1,848 | 85.48% | 264 | 12.21% | 22 | 1.02% | 16 | 0.74% | 12 | 0.56% | 1,584 | 73.27% | 2,162 |
| Grand | 2,130 | 51.15% | 1,858 | 44.62% | 118 | 2.83% | 20 | 0.48% | 38 | 0.91% | 272 | 6.53% | 4,164 |
| Iron | 12,815 | 82.97% | 2,267 | 14.68% | 111 | 0.72% | 169 | 1.09% | 83 | 0.54% | 10,548 | 68.29% | 15,445 |
| Juab | 2,681 | 78.46% | 605 | 17.71% | 20 | 0.59% | 98 | 2.87% | 13 | 0.38% | 2,076 | 60.76% | 3,417 |
| Kane | 2,414 | 79.15% | 576 | 18.89% | 25 | 0.82% | 19 | 0.62% | 16 | 0.52% | 1,838 | 60.26% | 3,050 |
| Millard | 4,084 | 83.76% | 626 | 12.84% | 28 | 0.57% | 118 | 2.42% | 20 | 0.41% | 3,458 | 70.92% | 4,876 |
| Morgan | 3,301 | 85.96% | 472 | 12.29% | 25 | 0.65% | 24 | 0.63% | 18 | 0.47% | 2,829 | 73.67% | 3,840 |
| Piute | 646 | 83.57% | 123 | 15.91% | 3 | 0.39% | 1 | 0.13% | 0 | 0.00% | 523 | 67.66% | 773 |
| Rich | 922 | 88.91% | 109 | 10.51% | 5 | 0.48% | 1 | 0.10% | 0 | 0.00% | 813 | 78.40% | 1,037 |
| Salt Lake | 215,728 | 59.57% | 135,949 | 37.54% | 6,025 | 1.66% | 2,199 | 0.61% | 2,235 | 0.62% | 79,779 | 22.03% | 362,136 |
| San Juan | 2,971 | 60.07% | 1,906 | 38.54% | 30 | 0.61% | 24 | 0.49% | 15 | 0.30% | 1,065 | 21.53% | 4,946 |
| Sanpete | 7,004 | 82.33% | 1,189 | 13.98% | 58 | 0.68% | 217 | 2.55% | 39 | 0.46% | 5,815 | 68.36% | 8,507 |
| Sevier | 6,597 | 86.34% | 920 | 12.04% | 37 | 0.48% | 60 | 0.79% | 27 | 0.35% | 5,677 | 74.30% | 7,641 |
| Summit | 7,936 | 51.83% | 6,977 | 45.57% | 265 | 1.73% | 36 | 0.24% | 98 | 0.64% | 959 | 6.26% | 15,312 |
| Tooele | 12,181 | 73.10% | 4,130 | 24.79% | 150 | 0.90% | 111 | 0.67% | 91 | 0.55% | 8,051 | 48.32% | 16,663 |
| Uintah | 8,518 | 85.57% | 1,266 | 12.72% | 42 | 0.42% | 99 | 0.99% | 30 | 0.30% | 7,252 | 72.85% | 9,955 |
| Utah | 128,269 | 85.99% | 17,357 | 11.64% | 1,289 | 0.86% | 1,621 | 1.09% | 637 | 0.43% | 110,912 | 74.35% | 149,173 |
| Wasatch | 5,503 | 73.26% | 1,854 | 24.68% | 60 | 0.80% | 65 | 0.87% | 30 | 0.40% | 3,649 | 48.58% | 7,512 |
| Washington | 35,633 | 80.95% | 7,513 | 17.07% | 301 | 0.68% | 362 | 0.82% | 209 | 0.47% | 28,120 | 63.88% | 44,018 |
| Wayne | 1,062 | 78.09% | 279 | 20.51% | 10 | 0.74% | 5 | 0.37% | 4 | 0.29% | 783 | 57.57% | 1,360 |
| Weber | 51,199 | 70.43% | 19,862 | 27.32% | 917 | 1.26% | 368 | 0.51% | 345 | 0.47% | 31,337 | 43.11% | 72,691 |
| Totals | 663,742 | 71.54% | 241,199 | 26.00% | 11,305 | 1.22% | 6,841 | 0.74% | 4,757 | 0.51% | 422,543 | 45.54% | 927,844 |
Results by congressional district
Bush won all three congressional districts.
| District | Bush | Kerry | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 73% | 25% | Rob Bishop |
| 2nd | 66% | 31% | Jim Matheson |
| 3rd | 77% | 20% | Chris Cannon |
Electors
Technically the voters of Utah cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Utah is allocated five electors because it has three congressional districts and two senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of five electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins a plurality of votes in the state is awarded all five electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.
The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.
The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 5 were pledged to Bush/Cheney:
- Olene S. Walker
- Gayle McKeachnie
- Lewis K. Billings
- Joseph A. Cannon
- Scott F. Simpson
References
- "2004 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved 2018-03-05.
- http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW%5B%5D
- http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=49
- http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04
- http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04
- http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/campaign.ads/
- http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/tracking/10.25.html
- "2004 Presidential General Election Results – Utah".
- Our Campaigns; UT US Presidential Election November 02 2004
