2004 United States presidential election in North Dakota

The 2004 United States presidential election in North Dakota took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose three representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

2004 United States presidential election in North Dakota

November 2, 2004
 
Nominee George W. Bush John Kerry
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Texas Massachusetts
Running mate Dick Cheney John Edwards
Electoral vote 3 0
Popular vote 196,651 111,052
Percentage 62.86% 35.50%

County Results

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

North Dakota was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 27.36% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. The state has voted Republican in all but five presidential elections since statehood. In 2004, George W. Bush defeated John Kerry with 62.86% of the vote. The state's population of about 650,000 is little changed from what it was 80 years ago, as North Dakota is one of seven states with the minimum three electoral votes.

Caucuses

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[1]

  1. D.C. Political Report: Solid Republican
  2. Associated Press: Solid Bush
  3. CNN: Bush
  4. Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
  5. Newsweek: Solid Bush
  6. New York Times: Solid Bush
  7. Rasmussen Reports: Bush
  8. Research 2000: Solid Bush
  9. Washington Post: Bush
  10. Washington Times: Solid Bush
  11. Zogby International: Bush
  12. Washington Dispatch: Bush

Polling

Bush won both pre-election polls with a double-digit margin.[2]

Fundraising

Bush raised $135,493.[3] Kerry raised $36,600.[4]

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign visited or advertised in this state during the fall campaign.[5][6]

Analysis

In 2000, Al Gore won two counties, compared to Kerry who won four counties in the state, including his best performance in Sioux County, where he won with seventy percent of the vote. Overall, Bush dominated the state, winning a wide majority of the state's counties, and with large margins. In just two counties – both majority Native American – did Bush obtain less than 44 percent of the vote.[7]

Results

[8]

2004 United States presidential election in North Dakota[7]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican George W. Bush (incumbent) 196,651 62.86%
Democratic John Kerry 111,052 35.50%
Independent Ralph Nader 3,756 1.20%
Libertarian Michael Badnarik 851 0.27%
Constitution Michael Peroutka 514 0.16%
Write In - 9 0.0%
Majority
Turnout 64.2%

Results by county

County[9] George Walker Bush
Republican
John Forbes Kerry
Democratic
Ralph Nader
Independent
Michael J. Badnarik
Libertarian
Michael Anthony Peroutka
Constitution
Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # % # % # %
Adams 915 70.88% 353 27.34% 15 1.16% 3 0.23% 5 0.39% 562 43.53% 1,291
Barnes 3,541 60.92% 2,186 37.61% 64 1.10% 9 0.15% 13 0.22% 1,355 23.31% 5,813
Benson 1,002 44.61% 1,196 53.25% 26 1.16% 15 0.67% 7 0.31% -194 -8.64% 2,246
Billings 449 79.61% 99 17.55% 9 1.60% 1 0.18% 6 1.06% 350 62.06% 564
Bottineau 2,468 67.17% 1,168 31.79% 33 0.90% 3 0.08% 2 0.05% 1,300 35.38% 3,674
Bowman 1,280 74.59% 397 23.14% 29 1.69% 3 0.17% 6 0.35% 883 51.46% 1,716[lower-alpha 1]
Burke 808 69.36% 336 28.84% 13 1.12% 5 0.43% 3 0.26% 472 40.52% 1,165
Burleigh 26,577 68.47% 11,621 29.94% 489 1.26% 78 0.20% 48 0.12% 14,956 38.53% 38,814[lower-alpha 1]
Cass 39,619 59.39% 26,010 38.99% 732 1.10% 234 0.35% 112 0.17% 13,609 20.40% 66,711[lower-alpha 2]
Cavalier 1,522 62.27% 887 36.29% 29 1.19% 1 0.04% 5 0.20% 635 25.98% 2,444
Dickey 1,890 67.00% 883 31.30% 34 1.21% 7 0.25% 7 0.25% 1,007 35.70% 2,821
Divide 751 59.23% 487 38.41% 26 2.05% 3 0.24% 1 0.08% 264 20.82% 1,268
Dunn 1,178 66.40% 571 32.19% 16 0.90% 2 0.11% 7 0.39% 607 34.22% 1,774
Eddy 655 54.00% 534 44.02% 18 1.48% 1 0.08% 5 0.41% 121 9.98% 1,213
Emmons 1,449 68.58% 611 28.92% 43 2.04% 9 0.43% 1 0.05% 838 39.66% 2,113
Foster 1,219 69.03% 518 29.33% 20 1.13% 6 0.34% 3 0.17% 701 39.69% 1,766
Golden Valley 719 77.56% 195 21.04% 6 0.65% 3 0.32% 4 0.43% 524 56.53% 927
Grand Forks 17,298 56.77% 12,646 41.50% 348 1.14% 137 0.45% 41 0.13% 4,652 15.27% 30,470
Grant 952 76.65% 264 21.26% 16 1.29% 4 0.32% 6 0.48% 688 55.39% 1,242
Griggs 907 63.03% 505 35.09% 14 0.97% 9 0.63% 4 0.28% 402 27.94% 1,439
Hettinger 1,044 69.88% 405 27.11% 35 2.34% 6 0.40% 4 0.27% 639 42.77% 1,494
Kidder 902 65.89% 433 31.63% 20 1.46% 7 0.51% 7 0.51% 469 34.26% 1,369
LaMoure 1,592 68.18% 712 30.49% 17 0.73% 5 0.21% 9 0.39% 880 37.69% 2,335
Logan 844 74.69% 265 23.45% 15 1.33% 2 0.18% 4 0.35% 579 51.24% 1,130
McHenry 1,744 61.84% 1,030 36.52% 36 1.28% 7 0.25% 3 0.11% 714 25.32% 2,820
McIntosh 1,254 72.82% 436 25.32% 24 1.39% 3 0.17% 5 0.29% 818 47.50% 1,722
McKenzie 1,897 68.68% 847 30.67% 15 0.54% 2 0.07% 1 0.04% 1,050 38.02% 2,762
McLean 3,014 63.45% 1,664 35.03% 57 1.20% 8 0.17% 7 0.15% 1,350 28.42% 4,750
Mercer 3,285 71.17% 1,245 26.97% 68 1.47% 8 0.17% 10 0.22% 2,040 44.19% 4,616
Morton 8,325 65.90% 4,073 32.24% 191 1.51% 31 0.25% 13 0.10% 4,252 33.66% 12,633
Mountrail 1,527 50.40% 1,465 48.35% 30 0.99% 6 0.20% 2 0.07% 62 2.05% 3,030
Nelson 1,107 57.60% 778 40.48% 26 1.35% 6 0.31% 5 0.26% 329 17.12% 1,922
Oliver 790 70.60% 310 27.70% 15 1.34% 1 0.09% 3 0.27% 480 42.90% 1,119
Pembina 2,466 63.95% 1,321 34.26% 53 1.37% 8 0.21% 8 0.21% 1,145 29.69% 3,856
Pierce 1,475 67.20% 686 31.25% 24 1.09% 2 0.09% 8 0.36% 789 35.95% 2,195
Ramsey 2,943 60.06% 1,885 38.47% 58 1.18% 9 0.18% 5 0.10% 1,058 21.59% 4,900
Ransom 1,352 51.96% 1,199 46.08% 40 1.54% 9 0.35% 2 0.08% 153 5.88% 2,602
Renville 953 64.87% 497 33.83% 18 1.23% 1 0.07% 0 0.00% 456 31.04% 1,469
Richland 5,264 64.08% 2,821 34.34% 94 1.14% 25 0.30% 11 0.13% 2,443 29.74% 8,215
Rolette 1,392 34.42% 2,564 63.40% 66 1.63% 15 0.37% 7 0.17% -1,172 -28.98% 4,044
Sargent 1,147 52.14% 1,021 46.41% 28 1.27% 4 0.18% 0 0.00% 126 5.73% 2,200
Sheridan 727 77.01% 200 21.19% 12 1.27% 4 0.42% 1 0.11% 527 55.83% 944
Sioux 319 27.98% 804 70.53% 12 1.05% 2 0.18% 3 0.26% -485 -42.54% 1,140
Slope 335 77.55% 89 20.60% 5 1.16% 2 0.46% 1 0.23% 246 56.94% 432
Stark 7,220 69.42% 3,013 28.97% 126 1.21% 19 0.18% 22 0.21% 4,207 40.45% 10,400
Steele 586 48.31% 616 50.78% 7 0.58% 2 0.16% 2 0.16% -30 -2.47% 1,213
Stutsman 6,517 64.38% 3,438 33.97% 135 1.33% 19 0.19% 13 0.13% 3,079 30.42% 10,122
Towner 754 54.21% 606 43.57% 25 1.80% 2 0.14% 4 0.29% 148 10.64% 1,391
Traill 2,543 59.86% 1,651 38.87% 43 1.01% 6 0.14% 5 0.12% 892 21.00% 4,248
Walsh 3,194 61.59% 1,905 36.73% 61 1.18% 17 0.33% 9 0.17% 1,289 24.86% 5,186
Ward 17,008 66.41% 8,236 32.16% 276 1.08% 60 0.23% 32 0.12% 8,772 34.25% 25,612
Wells 1,654 64.58% 858 33.50% 35 1.37% 3 0.12% 9 0.35% 796 31.08% 2,561[lower-alpha 3]
Williams 6,278 70.31% 2,512 28.13% 109 1.22% 18 0.20% 12 0.13% 3,766 42.18% 8,929
Totals196,65162.86%111,05235.50%3,7561.20%8510.27%5140.16%85,59927.36%312,833

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the At-Large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

District Bush Kerry Representative
At-large 62.9% 35.5% Earl Pomeroy


Electors

Technically the voters of ND cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. ND is allocated 3 electors because it has 1 congressional district and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 3 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 3 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All were pledged to and voted for Bush and Cheney:[10]

  1. Betsy Dalrymple (wife of Jack Dalrymple)
  2. Ben Clayburgh
  3. Jackie Williams

Notes

  1. In this county there was one write-in vote for Martin Wishnatsky.
  2. In this county there were a total of four write-in vote for Martin Wishnatsky.
  3. In this county there were a total of two write-in vote for Martin Wishnatsky.

References

  1. http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=38
  2. "George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President". Campaignmoney.com. Retrieved 2020-03-01.
  3. "John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democrat Party, President". Campaignmoney.com. Retrieved 2020-03-01.
  4. "CNN.com Specials". CNN.
  5. "CNN.com Specials". CNN.
  6. "2004 Presidential General Election Results – North Dakota". David Leip. Retrieved 2014-03-25.
  7. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on May 13, 2009. Retrieved July 17, 2009.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  8. "ND US President Race, November 02, 2004". Our Campaigns.
  9. "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2006-01-04. Retrieved 2009-10-10.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
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