2004 United States presidential election in North Dakota
The 2004 United States presidential election in North Dakota took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose three representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.
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County Results
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Elections in North Dakota |
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North Dakota was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 27.36% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. The state has voted Republican in all but five presidential elections since statehood. In 2004, George W. Bush defeated John Kerry with 62.86% of the vote. The state's population of about 650,000 is little changed from what it was 80 years ago, as North Dakota is one of seven states with the minimum three electoral votes.
Campaign
Predictions
There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[1]
- D.C. Political Report: Solid Republican
- Associated Press: Solid Bush
- CNN: Bush
- Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
- Newsweek: Solid Bush
- New York Times: Solid Bush
- Rasmussen Reports: Bush
- Research 2000: Solid Bush
- Washington Post: Bush
- Washington Times: Solid Bush
- Zogby International: Bush
- Washington Dispatch: Bush
Polling
Bush won both pre-election polls with a double-digit margin.[2]
Analysis
In 2000, Al Gore won two counties, compared to Kerry who won four counties in the state, including his best performance in Sioux County, where he won with seventy percent of the vote. Overall, Bush dominated the state, winning a wide majority of the state's counties, and with large margins. In just two counties – both majority Native American – did Bush obtain less than 44 percent of the vote.[7]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | George W. Bush (incumbent) | 196,651 | 62.86% | ||
Democratic | John Kerry | 111,052 | 35.50% | ||
Independent | Ralph Nader | 3,756 | 1.20% | ||
Libertarian | Michael Badnarik | 851 | 0.27% | ||
Constitution | Michael Peroutka | 514 | 0.16% | ||
Write In | - | 9 | 0.0% | ||
Majority | |||||
Turnout | 64.2% |
Results by county
County[9] | George Walker Bush Republican |
John Forbes Kerry Democratic |
Ralph Nader Independent |
Michael J. Badnarik Libertarian |
Michael Anthony Peroutka Constitution |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Adams | 915 | 70.88% | 353 | 27.34% | 15 | 1.16% | 3 | 0.23% | 5 | 0.39% | 562 | 43.53% | 1,291 |
Barnes | 3,541 | 60.92% | 2,186 | 37.61% | 64 | 1.10% | 9 | 0.15% | 13 | 0.22% | 1,355 | 23.31% | 5,813 |
Benson | 1,002 | 44.61% | 1,196 | 53.25% | 26 | 1.16% | 15 | 0.67% | 7 | 0.31% | -194 | -8.64% | 2,246 |
Billings | 449 | 79.61% | 99 | 17.55% | 9 | 1.60% | 1 | 0.18% | 6 | 1.06% | 350 | 62.06% | 564 |
Bottineau | 2,468 | 67.17% | 1,168 | 31.79% | 33 | 0.90% | 3 | 0.08% | 2 | 0.05% | 1,300 | 35.38% | 3,674 |
Bowman | 1,280 | 74.59% | 397 | 23.14% | 29 | 1.69% | 3 | 0.17% | 6 | 0.35% | 883 | 51.46% | 1,716[lower-alpha 1] |
Burke | 808 | 69.36% | 336 | 28.84% | 13 | 1.12% | 5 | 0.43% | 3 | 0.26% | 472 | 40.52% | 1,165 |
Burleigh | 26,577 | 68.47% | 11,621 | 29.94% | 489 | 1.26% | 78 | 0.20% | 48 | 0.12% | 14,956 | 38.53% | 38,814[lower-alpha 1] |
Cass | 39,619 | 59.39% | 26,010 | 38.99% | 732 | 1.10% | 234 | 0.35% | 112 | 0.17% | 13,609 | 20.40% | 66,711[lower-alpha 2] |
Cavalier | 1,522 | 62.27% | 887 | 36.29% | 29 | 1.19% | 1 | 0.04% | 5 | 0.20% | 635 | 25.98% | 2,444 |
Dickey | 1,890 | 67.00% | 883 | 31.30% | 34 | 1.21% | 7 | 0.25% | 7 | 0.25% | 1,007 | 35.70% | 2,821 |
Divide | 751 | 59.23% | 487 | 38.41% | 26 | 2.05% | 3 | 0.24% | 1 | 0.08% | 264 | 20.82% | 1,268 |
Dunn | 1,178 | 66.40% | 571 | 32.19% | 16 | 0.90% | 2 | 0.11% | 7 | 0.39% | 607 | 34.22% | 1,774 |
Eddy | 655 | 54.00% | 534 | 44.02% | 18 | 1.48% | 1 | 0.08% | 5 | 0.41% | 121 | 9.98% | 1,213 |
Emmons | 1,449 | 68.58% | 611 | 28.92% | 43 | 2.04% | 9 | 0.43% | 1 | 0.05% | 838 | 39.66% | 2,113 |
Foster | 1,219 | 69.03% | 518 | 29.33% | 20 | 1.13% | 6 | 0.34% | 3 | 0.17% | 701 | 39.69% | 1,766 |
Golden Valley | 719 | 77.56% | 195 | 21.04% | 6 | 0.65% | 3 | 0.32% | 4 | 0.43% | 524 | 56.53% | 927 |
Grand Forks | 17,298 | 56.77% | 12,646 | 41.50% | 348 | 1.14% | 137 | 0.45% | 41 | 0.13% | 4,652 | 15.27% | 30,470 |
Grant | 952 | 76.65% | 264 | 21.26% | 16 | 1.29% | 4 | 0.32% | 6 | 0.48% | 688 | 55.39% | 1,242 |
Griggs | 907 | 63.03% | 505 | 35.09% | 14 | 0.97% | 9 | 0.63% | 4 | 0.28% | 402 | 27.94% | 1,439 |
Hettinger | 1,044 | 69.88% | 405 | 27.11% | 35 | 2.34% | 6 | 0.40% | 4 | 0.27% | 639 | 42.77% | 1,494 |
Kidder | 902 | 65.89% | 433 | 31.63% | 20 | 1.46% | 7 | 0.51% | 7 | 0.51% | 469 | 34.26% | 1,369 |
LaMoure | 1,592 | 68.18% | 712 | 30.49% | 17 | 0.73% | 5 | 0.21% | 9 | 0.39% | 880 | 37.69% | 2,335 |
Logan | 844 | 74.69% | 265 | 23.45% | 15 | 1.33% | 2 | 0.18% | 4 | 0.35% | 579 | 51.24% | 1,130 |
McHenry | 1,744 | 61.84% | 1,030 | 36.52% | 36 | 1.28% | 7 | 0.25% | 3 | 0.11% | 714 | 25.32% | 2,820 |
McIntosh | 1,254 | 72.82% | 436 | 25.32% | 24 | 1.39% | 3 | 0.17% | 5 | 0.29% | 818 | 47.50% | 1,722 |
McKenzie | 1,897 | 68.68% | 847 | 30.67% | 15 | 0.54% | 2 | 0.07% | 1 | 0.04% | 1,050 | 38.02% | 2,762 |
McLean | 3,014 | 63.45% | 1,664 | 35.03% | 57 | 1.20% | 8 | 0.17% | 7 | 0.15% | 1,350 | 28.42% | 4,750 |
Mercer | 3,285 | 71.17% | 1,245 | 26.97% | 68 | 1.47% | 8 | 0.17% | 10 | 0.22% | 2,040 | 44.19% | 4,616 |
Morton | 8,325 | 65.90% | 4,073 | 32.24% | 191 | 1.51% | 31 | 0.25% | 13 | 0.10% | 4,252 | 33.66% | 12,633 |
Mountrail | 1,527 | 50.40% | 1,465 | 48.35% | 30 | 0.99% | 6 | 0.20% | 2 | 0.07% | 62 | 2.05% | 3,030 |
Nelson | 1,107 | 57.60% | 778 | 40.48% | 26 | 1.35% | 6 | 0.31% | 5 | 0.26% | 329 | 17.12% | 1,922 |
Oliver | 790 | 70.60% | 310 | 27.70% | 15 | 1.34% | 1 | 0.09% | 3 | 0.27% | 480 | 42.90% | 1,119 |
Pembina | 2,466 | 63.95% | 1,321 | 34.26% | 53 | 1.37% | 8 | 0.21% | 8 | 0.21% | 1,145 | 29.69% | 3,856 |
Pierce | 1,475 | 67.20% | 686 | 31.25% | 24 | 1.09% | 2 | 0.09% | 8 | 0.36% | 789 | 35.95% | 2,195 |
Ramsey | 2,943 | 60.06% | 1,885 | 38.47% | 58 | 1.18% | 9 | 0.18% | 5 | 0.10% | 1,058 | 21.59% | 4,900 |
Ransom | 1,352 | 51.96% | 1,199 | 46.08% | 40 | 1.54% | 9 | 0.35% | 2 | 0.08% | 153 | 5.88% | 2,602 |
Renville | 953 | 64.87% | 497 | 33.83% | 18 | 1.23% | 1 | 0.07% | 0 | 0.00% | 456 | 31.04% | 1,469 |
Richland | 5,264 | 64.08% | 2,821 | 34.34% | 94 | 1.14% | 25 | 0.30% | 11 | 0.13% | 2,443 | 29.74% | 8,215 |
Rolette | 1,392 | 34.42% | 2,564 | 63.40% | 66 | 1.63% | 15 | 0.37% | 7 | 0.17% | -1,172 | -28.98% | 4,044 |
Sargent | 1,147 | 52.14% | 1,021 | 46.41% | 28 | 1.27% | 4 | 0.18% | 0 | 0.00% | 126 | 5.73% | 2,200 |
Sheridan | 727 | 77.01% | 200 | 21.19% | 12 | 1.27% | 4 | 0.42% | 1 | 0.11% | 527 | 55.83% | 944 |
Sioux | 319 | 27.98% | 804 | 70.53% | 12 | 1.05% | 2 | 0.18% | 3 | 0.26% | -485 | -42.54% | 1,140 |
Slope | 335 | 77.55% | 89 | 20.60% | 5 | 1.16% | 2 | 0.46% | 1 | 0.23% | 246 | 56.94% | 432 |
Stark | 7,220 | 69.42% | 3,013 | 28.97% | 126 | 1.21% | 19 | 0.18% | 22 | 0.21% | 4,207 | 40.45% | 10,400 |
Steele | 586 | 48.31% | 616 | 50.78% | 7 | 0.58% | 2 | 0.16% | 2 | 0.16% | -30 | -2.47% | 1,213 |
Stutsman | 6,517 | 64.38% | 3,438 | 33.97% | 135 | 1.33% | 19 | 0.19% | 13 | 0.13% | 3,079 | 30.42% | 10,122 |
Towner | 754 | 54.21% | 606 | 43.57% | 25 | 1.80% | 2 | 0.14% | 4 | 0.29% | 148 | 10.64% | 1,391 |
Traill | 2,543 | 59.86% | 1,651 | 38.87% | 43 | 1.01% | 6 | 0.14% | 5 | 0.12% | 892 | 21.00% | 4,248 |
Walsh | 3,194 | 61.59% | 1,905 | 36.73% | 61 | 1.18% | 17 | 0.33% | 9 | 0.17% | 1,289 | 24.86% | 5,186 |
Ward | 17,008 | 66.41% | 8,236 | 32.16% | 276 | 1.08% | 60 | 0.23% | 32 | 0.12% | 8,772 | 34.25% | 25,612 |
Wells | 1,654 | 64.58% | 858 | 33.50% | 35 | 1.37% | 3 | 0.12% | 9 | 0.35% | 796 | 31.08% | 2,561[lower-alpha 3] |
Williams | 6,278 | 70.31% | 2,512 | 28.13% | 109 | 1.22% | 18 | 0.20% | 12 | 0.13% | 3,766 | 42.18% | 8,929 |
Totals | 196,651 | 62.86% | 111,052 | 35.50% | 3,756 | 1.20% | 851 | 0.27% | 514 | 0.16% | 85,599 | 27.36% | 312,833 |
By congressional district
Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the At-Large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.
District | Bush | Kerry | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
At-large | 62.9% | 35.5% | Earl Pomeroy |
Electors
Technically the voters of ND cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. ND is allocated 3 electors because it has 1 congressional district and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 3 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 3 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.
The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.
The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All were pledged to and voted for Bush and Cheney:[10]
- Betsy Dalrymple (wife of Jack Dalrymple)
- Ben Clayburgh
- Jackie Williams
Notes
References
- http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=38
- "George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President". Campaignmoney.com. Retrieved 2020-03-01.
- "John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democrat Party, President". Campaignmoney.com. Retrieved 2020-03-01.
- "CNN.com Specials". CNN.
- "CNN.com Specials". CNN.
- "2004 Presidential General Election Results – North Dakota". David Leip. Retrieved 2014-03-25.
- "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on May 13, 2009. Retrieved July 17, 2009.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
- "ND US President Race, November 02, 2004". Our Campaigns.
- "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2006-01-04. Retrieved 2009-10-10.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)