Tobique—Mactaquac

Tobique—Mactaquac is a federal electoral district in New Brunswick, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1997.

Tobique—Mactaquac
New Brunswick electoral district
Tobique-Mactaquac in relation to other New Brunswick federal electoral districts
Coordinates:46.531°N 67.237°W / 46.531; -67.237
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 		 
Richard Bragdon
Conservative
District created1996
First contested1997
Last contested2019
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2016)[1]68,673
Electors (2019)55,104
Area (km²)[2]15,130
Pop. density (per km²)4.5
Census division(s)Carleton, Victoria, York
Census subdivision(s)Grand Falls / Grand-Sault, Fredericton, Woodstock, Bright, Douglas, Drummond, Kent, Saint Marys, Wakefield

Political geography

The district includes the counties of Carleton and Victoria as well as the Parish and Village of Saint-André and the eastern part of the County of York (excluding the City of Fredericton and vicinity). The neighbouring ridings are Madawaska—Restigouche, Miramichi, Fredericton, and New Brunswick Southwest.

The electoral district was created in 1996 from portions of the old ridings of Carleton—Charlotte, Fredericton—York—Sunbury, and Madawaska—Victoria. Its creation was very controversial, as it included areas with both large anglophone and francophone populations, while neighbouring communities were placed in other ridings. This seemingly went against the "communities of interest" criterion in drawing electoral boundaries.

As per the 2012 federal electoral distribution, this riding will gain territory from Fredericton and lose a small territory to the new riding of Miramichi—Grand Lake.

History
Historical population
YearPop.±%
200170,105—    
200668,352−2.5%
201168,709+0.5%

On two separate occasions Tobique—Mactaquac has been involved in party nomination controversies. In the 1997 election, the Liberals were alleged to have rigged their meeting to choose Pierrette Ringuette-Maltais, the Member of Parliament for the defunct Madawaska—Victoria riding. The meeting was held in Grand Falls, near her hometown and at the far northern end of the riding. Because of sound problems, only her speech was carried over the loudspeakers. Ringuette-Maltais lost the election to Gilles Bernier of the Progressive Conservatives.

In the 2004 election, the Conservative Party selected Adam Richardson, who had run for the Canadian Alliance in the 2000 election, but national head office refused to sign his nomination papers, apparently because of Richardson's demands that Stephen Harper apologize for comments about Atlantic Canadians. The eventual Conservative candidate, Mike Allen, lost to Liberal incumbent Andy Savoy.

Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following Members of Parliament:

Parliament Years Member Party
Tobique—Mactaquac
Riding created from Carleton—Charlotte,
Fredericton—York—Sunbury and Madawaska—Victoria
36th  1997–2000     Gilles Bernier Progressive Conservative
37th  2000–2004     Andy Savoy Liberal
38th  2004–2006
39th  2006–2008     Mike Allen Conservative
40th  2008–2011
41st  2011–2015
42nd  2015–2019     T. J. Harvey Liberal
43rd  2019–present     Richard Bragdon Conservative

Election results

Tobique—Mactaquac, 2013 Representation Order

This riding gained territory from Fredericton and lost territory to Miramichi—Grand Lake for the 42nd Canadian federal election.

2019 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
ConservativeRichard Bragdon19,22950.34+13.32$31,254.86
LiberalKelsey MacDonald9,63125.21-21.40$12,723.90
GreenRowan P. Miller5,39814.13+9.03$11,462.77
New DemocraticMegan Aiken3,0077.87-3.41$0.00
People'sDominic Guay9362,45-$402.50
Total valid votes/Expense limit 38,201100.00  
Total rejected ballots 3760.97+0.33
Turnout 38,57770.01-0.78
Eligible voters 55,104
Conservative gain from Liberal Swing +27.75
Source: Elections Canada[3][4]
2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalT. J. Harvey17,90946.61+30.38$67,600.14
ConservativeRichard Bragdon14,22537.02-25.12$57,487.20
New DemocraticRobert Kitchen4,33411.28-7.86$6,199.56
GreenTerry Wishart1,9595.10+2.62$3,275.40
Total valid votes/Expense limit 38,427100.00 $204,512.49
Total rejected ballots 2480.64–
Turnout 38,67571.79–
Eligible voters 53,870
Liberal gain from Conservative Swing +27.75
Source: Elections Canada[5][6]
2011 federal election redistributed results[7]
Party Vote %
  Conservative21,41062.14
  New Democratic6,59419.14
  Liberal5,59116.23
  Green8532.48
  Others70.02

Tobique—Mactaquac, 2003 Representation Order
2011 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
ConservativeMike Allen21,10862.70+5.21$44,047.06
New DemocraticPierre Cyr6,38818.98+3.61$4,796.14
LiberalCharles Chiasson5,33715.85-5.70$29,831.59
GreenRish McGlynn8312.47-3.29$5.82
Total valid votes/Expense limit 33,664100.0   $84,385.35
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 2560.75-0.33
Turnout 33,92063.91+4.18
Eligible voters 53,073
Conservative hold Swing +0.80
Sources:[8][9]
2008 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
ConservativeMike Allen18,07157.49+13.70$61,678.30
LiberalSally McGrath6,77321.55-21.32$26,392.40
New DemocraticAlice Finnamore4,83015.37+3.87$8,535.56
GreenMark Glass1,8105.76+3.89$1,492.00
Total valid votes/Expense limit 31,433100.0    $81,901
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 3431.08+0.04
Turnout 31,77659.73-8.02
Eligible voters 53,203
Conservative hold Swing +17.51
2006 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
ConservativeMike Allen15,89443.79+4.20$66,976.92
LiberalAndy Savoy15,55842.87-5.36$70,900.54
New DemocraticAlice Finnamore4,17211.50+3.00$9,442.17
GreenRobert Bérubé Jr.6791.87-1.81none listed
Total valid votes/Expense limit 36,292100.0   $76,462
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 3831.04
Turnout 36,67567.75+3.75
Eligible voters 54,135
Conservative gain from Liberal Swing +4.78
2004 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalAndy Savoy16,78748.23+15.82$74,481.32
ConservativeMike Allen13,77939.59-24.32$60,455.56
New DemocraticJason Mapplebeck2,9578.50+4.82$1,645.00
GreenScott Jones1,2823.68–$882.20
Total valid votes/Expense limit 34,805100.0   $74,648
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 3491.0
Turnout 35,15464.00-2.29
Eligible voters 54,931
Liberal notional gain from Progressive Conservative Swing +20.07
Changes from 2000 are based on redistributed results. Conservative Party change is based on the combination of Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative Party totals.
2000 federal election redistributed results
Party Vote %
  Progressive Conservative11,70833.80
  Liberal11,22532.41
  Alliance10,42830.11
  New Democratic1,2733.68

Tobique—Mactaquac, 1996 Representation Order
2000 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalAndy Savoy10,90033.6+3.4
Progressive ConservativeGilles Bernier10,75033.1-2.8
AllianceAdam Richardson9,57029.5+1.8
New DemocraticCarolyn Van Dine1,2163.7-2.5
Total 32,436100.0
1997 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%
Progressive ConservativeGilles Bernier12,12535.9
LiberalPierrette Ringuette-Maltais10,19030.2
ReformIvan Shaw9,37127.7
New DemocraticLeslie Ann Ferguson2,0936.2
Total 33,779 100.0

See also

References
  • "(Code 13010) Census Profile". 2011 census. Statistics Canada. 2012. Retrieved 3 March 2011.

Notes
  1. Statistics Canada: 2011
  2. Statistics Canada: 2011
  3. "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved 3 October 2019.
  4. "Election Night Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved 13 November 2019.
  5. Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Tobique—Mactaquac, 30 September 2015
  6. Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates
  7. Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections
  8. Elections Canada – Official voting results, Forty-first general election, 2011
  9. Elections Canada – Candidate's electoral campaign return, 41st general election
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