2020 United States presidential election in Michigan

The 2020 United States presidential election in Michigan was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[2] Michigan voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Michigan has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election
2020 United States presidential election in Michigan
November 3, 2020
Turnout71% [1]
 
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence
Electoral vote 16 0
Popular vote 2,804,040 2,649,852
Percentage 50.62% 47.84%
County Results
President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

 Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elections in Michigan
Federal government
U.S. president
U.S. Senate
U.S. House
State government
Gubernatorial elections
Attorney General elections
Secretary of State elections
Auditor General elections
State Senate elections
State House elections
Ballot measures
1996
Proposal E
2004
Proposal 04-2
2006
Proposal 06-2
2012
Proposal 1
Proposal 2
Proposal 3
Proposal 4
Proposal 5
Proposal 6
Detroit
Mayoral elections
Flint
Mayoral elections
Grand Rapids
Mayoral elections
Lansing
Mayoral elections

In 2016, Trump became the first Republican to carry Michigan since 1988, when George H. W. Bush scored a decisive nationwide win against Michael Dukakis.[4] Throughout the campaign, Biden touted his work on the auto bailout in manufacturing towns outside Detroit. Appearing with United Auto Workers, Biden presented a new proposal to penalize American companies for moving manufacturing and service jobs overseas and then selling their products back in the United States.[5] Polls of Michigan throughout the campaign generally indicated a clear Biden lead. Prior to election day, 15 of the 16 news organizations considered that Biden was likely to win the state, or a lean blue state.

Biden ultimately carried Michigan by a 2.78% margin. Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's strength in Michigan came from union households, who composed 21% of the electorate and supported Biden by 56%–42%. Biden was also able to boost minority turnout, consequently winning 93% of African American voters.[6] Many voters were also concerned with the COVID-19 pandemic, which has hit The Great Lakes State hard; 52% of voters felt the pandemic was not under control at all, and these voters broke for Biden by 82%–16%. Trump massively outperformed his polling average in the state once again, but it was not enough to win the state.

Biden flipped the counties of Leelanau, Kent, and Saginaw and became the first Democrat since Woodrow Wilson to win the presidency without winning Bay County and Gogebic County. With Ohio, Florida, and Iowa voting for the losing candidate in this election, Michigan is tied for the longest perfect streak with Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, neither of which have backed the losing candidate since after 2004, when all three backed Democratic nominee John Kerry, but incumbent President George W. Bush was re-elected.

Primary elections

The primary elections were on March 10, 2020.

Republican primary

Incumbent United States President Donald Trump was challenged by three candidates: former governor Mark Sanford of South Carolina, former congressman Joe Walsh of Illinois, and former governor Bill Weld of Massachusetts. Sanford and Walsh both withdrew prior to the primary. Michigan is the only primary state where Sanford's name remained on the ballot.[7]

2020 Michigan Republican primary[8]
Candidate Votes % Estimated
delegates
Donald Trump 640,552 93.7% 73
Uncommitted 32,743 4.8%
Bill Weld 6,099 0.9%
Mark Sanford (withdrawn) 4,258 0.6%
Joe Walsh (withdrawn) 4,067 0.6%
Total 683,431 100% 73

Democratic primary

Bernie Sanders and former Vice President Joe Biden were the two major declared Democratic candidates.[9]

2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary[10]
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Joe Biden 840,360 52.93 73
Bernie Sanders 576,926 36.34 52
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn†) 73,464 4.63
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn†) 26,148 1.65
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn†) 22,462 1.41
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn†) 11,018 0.69
Tulsi Gabbard 9,461 0.60
Andrew Yang (withdrawn†) 2,380 0.15
Tom Steyer (withdrawn†) 1,732 0.11
Michael Bennet (withdrawn†) 1,536 0.10
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 840 0.05
Joe Sestak (withdrawn) 757 0.05
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 719 0.05
John Delaney (withdrawn†) 464 0.03
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 306 0.02
Uncommitted 19,106 1.20
Total 1,587,679 100% 125

†Candidate withdrew after early voting started.

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
Princeton Electoral Consortium[11] Likely D (flip) November 3, 2020
The Cook Political Report[12] Lean D (flip) November 3, 2020
Inside Elections[13] Lean D (flip) November 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Lean D (flip) November 3, 2020
Politico[15] Lean D (flip) November 3, 2020
RCP[16] Tossup November 3, 2020
Niskanen[17] Likely D (flip) November 3, 2020
CNN[18] Lean D (flip) November 3, 2020
The Economist[19] Likely D (flip) November 3, 2020
CBS News[20] Lean D (flip) November 3, 2020
270towin[21] Lean D (flip) November 3, 2020
ABC News[22] Lean D (flip) November 3, 2020
NPR[23] Lean D (flip) November 3, 2020
NBC News[24] Lean D (flip) November 3, 2020
538[25] Safe D (flip) November 3, 2020
JHK Forecasts[26] Safe D (flip) November 3, 2020

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Donald
Trump
Republican		 Other/
Undecided
[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
270 to Win October 22 – November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 49.9% 44.4% 5.7% Biden +5.5
Real Clear Politics October 29 – November 1, 2020 November 3, 2020 50.0% 45.8% 4.2% Biden +4.2
FiveThirtyEight until November 1, 2020 November 3, 2020 51.2% 43.2% 5.6% Biden +7.9
Average 50.4% 44.5% 5.1% Biden +5.9

2020 polls
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump
Republican		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian		 Howie
Hawkins
Green		 Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2 4,549 (LV) ± 2% 46%[lower-alpha 3] 52% - - – –
Research Co. Oct 31 – Nov 1 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 43% 50% - - 2%[lower-alpha 4] 5%
Change Research/CNBC Oct 29 – Nov 1 383 (LV) ± 5.01% 44% 51% 3% 1% – 1%
Swayable Oct 27 – Nov 1 413 (LV) ± 6.5% 45% 54% 1% 0% – –
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 27 – Nov 1 654 (LV) ± 4.4% 43%[lower-alpha 5] 53% 1% 0% 2%[lower-alpha 6] –
42%[lower-alpha 7] 52% - - 3%[lower-alpha 8] 3%
45%[lower-alpha 9] 53% - - 2%[lower-alpha 10] –
Trafalgar Group Oct 30–31 1,033 (LV) ± 2.97% 48% 46% 2% - 1% 3%
AtlasIntel Oct 30–31 686 (LV) ± 4% 46% 48% - - 6% –
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness[upper-alpha 1] Oct 30–31 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 49% 2% - – 3%
Morning Consult Oct 22–31 1,736 (LV) ± 2.0% 44.5% 52% - - – –
Emerson College Oct 29–30 700 (LV) ± 3.4% 45%[lower-alpha 11] 52% - - 3%[lower-alpha 12] –
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[upper-alpha 2] Oct 29–30 745 (V) ± 3.6% 44% 54% 1% 0% – 1%
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart Oct 25–30 993 (LV) – 39% 53% - - 8%[lower-alpha 13] –
CNN/SSRS Oct 23–30 907 (LV) ± 3.8% 41% 53% 2% 1% 1%[lower-alpha 14] 2%
Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS Oct 29 817 (LV) ± 3.43% 45% 52% 1% 1% 0%[lower-alpha 15] 0%
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Oct 27–29 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 44%[lower-alpha 5] 51% - - 3% 2%
42%[lower-alpha 16] 53% - - 3% 2%
45%[lower-alpha 17] 50% - - 3% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 26–29 1,212 (LV) – 41% 54% 1% 0% 1% 4%
EPIC-MRA Oct 25–28 600 (LV) ± 4% 41% 48% - - 5%[lower-alpha 18] 6%[lower-alpha 19]
Trafalgar Group Oct 25–28 1,058 (LV) ± 2.93% 49% 47% 2% - 1%[lower-alpha 20] 1%
Kiaer Research Oct 21–28 669 (LV) ± 5.6% 41% 54% - - 2%[lower-alpha 21] 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 7,541 (LV) – 45% 53% - - – –
Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS Oct 25–27 759 (LV) ± 3.56% 42% 52% 3% 0% 0%[lower-alpha 22] 2%
Swayable Oct 23–26, 2020 394 (LV) ± 6.7% 40% 59% 2% 0% – –
Siena College/NYT Upshot Oct 23–26 856 (LV) ± 3.8% 41% 49% 2% 1% 0%[lower-alpha 23] 6%[lower-alpha 24]
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 20–26 652 (LV) ± 4.4% 43%[lower-alpha 5] 53% 1% 0% 2%[lower-alpha 25] –
43%[lower-alpha 26] 52% - - 3%[lower-alpha 27] 3%
Wick Surveys Oct 24–25 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 48% - - – –
Glengariff Group/Detroit News Oct 23–25 600 (LV) ± 4% 42% 49% - - 2%[lower-alpha 28] 4%
ABC/Washington Post Oct 20–25 789 (LV) ± 4% 44% 51% 3% 0% 0%[lower-alpha 29] 1%
Gravis Marketing Oct 24 679 (LV) ± 3.8% 42% 55% - - – 3%
Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PAC[upper-alpha 3] Oct 21–22 804 (V) – 43% 50% - - – 6%
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison Oct 13–21 681 (LV) ± 4.2% 42% 52% - - 5%[lower-alpha 30] –
Citizen Data Oct 17–20 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 41% 50% 1% 0% 1% 7%
Fox News Oct 17–20 1,032 (LV) ± 3.0% 40% 52% 3% 0% 2%[lower-alpha 31] 3%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 14–20 686 (LV) ± 4.3% 44%[lower-alpha 5] 52% 2% 0% 2%[lower-alpha 32] –
44%[lower-alpha 33] 51% - - 3%[lower-alpha 34] 2%
Morning Consult Oct 11–20 1,717 (LV) ± 2.4% 44% 52% - - – –
Change Research/CNBC Oct 16–19 718 (LV)[lower-alpha 35] – 44% 51% - - – –
EPIC-MRA Oct 15–19 600 (LV) ± 4% 39% 48% - - 5%[lower-alpha 36] 8%[lower-alpha 37]
Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS Oct 18 900 (LV) ± 3.27% 41% 51% 3% 1% 1%[lower-alpha 38] 3%
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 4] Oct 15–18 1,034 (LV) ± 2.97% 47% 45% 3% 2% 2%[lower-alpha 39] 2%
Data For Progress Oct 15–18 830 (LV) ± 3.4% 45% 50% 2% 0% – 3%
Zia Poll/Painter Communications/MIRS News Oct 11–18 2,851 (LV) ± 2.5% 49% 45% - - 2% 3%
HarrisX/The Hill Oct 12–15 1,289 (LV) – 43% 54% - - – –
Trafalgar Group Oct 11–14 1,025 (LV) ± 2.97% 47% 46% 3% 2% 2%[lower-alpha 40] 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 10–13 972 (LV) – 42%[lower-alpha 35] 51% 1% 0% – –
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Oct 8–13 800 (LV) – 42%[lower-alpha 5] 48% 2% 1% 1% 5%
39%[lower-alpha 41] 51% 2% 1% 1% 5%
44%[lower-alpha 42] 46% 2% 1% 1% 5%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 7–13 620 (LV) ± 4.5% 44%[lower-alpha 5] 51% 2% 1% 2%[lower-alpha 43] –
43%[lower-alpha 44] 51% - - 3%[lower-alpha 45] 2%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press Oct 8–12 600 (LV) ± 4% 39% 48% - - 4%[lower-alpha 46] 9%[lower-alpha 47]
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[upper-alpha 5] Oct 8–11 543 (LV) ± 4.6% 43% 52% - - 4%[lower-alpha 48] 2%
Siena College/NYT Upshot Oct 6–11 614 (LV) ± 4.6% 40% 48% 1% 1% 1%[lower-alpha 49] 8%[lower-alpha 50]
Morning Consult Oct 2–11 1,710 (LV) ± 2.4% 44% 51% - - – –
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 9–10 827 (LV) – 41%[lower-alpha 35] 51% 2% 1% – –
YouGov/CBS Oct 6–9 1,190 (LV) ± 3.3% 46% 52% - - 2%[lower-alpha 51] 0%
Baldwin Wallace University Sep 30 – Oct 8 1,134 (LV) ± 3.2% 43% 50% 1% 1% 0%[lower-alpha 52] 4%
Emerson College Oct 6–7 716 (LV) ± 3.6% 43%[lower-alpha 53] 54% - - 2%[lower-alpha 54] –
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 4–6 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 42% 50% 1% 0% 1%[lower-alpha 55] 6%
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum[upper-alpha 6] Oct 3–6 800 (LV) ± 3.46% 44%[lower-alpha 56] 52% - - 2% 3%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 29 – Oct 6 709 (LV) ± 4.2% 43% 51% - - 2%[lower-alpha 57] 3%
Change Research/CNBC Oct 2–4 676 (LV) – 43% 51% - - – –
Glengariff Group/Detroit News Sep 30 – Oct 3 600 (LV) ± 4% 39% 48% - - 5%[lower-alpha 58] 7%
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[upper-alpha 2] Sep 30 – Oct 1 746 (V) – 44% 50% 2% 1% – 3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30 3,297 (LV) – 44% 53% - - – 3%
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 4] Sep 26–28 1,042 (LV) ± 2.95% 47% 49% 2% 0% 1%[lower-alpha 59] 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Sep 23–26 785 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 51% 1% 0% 0%[lower-alpha 60] 6%
Marist College/NBC Sep 19–23 799 (LV) ± 4.3% 44% 52% - - 1% 3%
ALG Research/Committee to Protect Medicare[upper-alpha 7] Sep 17–23 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 52% - - – –
Trafalgar Group Sep 20–22 1,015 (LV) ± 2.99% 46.7% 46.0% 2.1% 0.8% 1.2%[lower-alpha 61] 3.2%
Baldwin Wallace University Sep 9–22 1,001 (LV) ± 3.6% 42% 50% 1% 0% 1%[lower-alpha 62] 6%
YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research
Center/Wisconsin State Journal		 Sep 10–21 641 (LV) – 45% 51% - - – –
Change Research/CNBC Sep 18–20 568 (LV) – 43% 51% - - – –
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[upper-alpha 8] Sep 17–19 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 50% - - – –
Data for Progress (D) Sep 14–19 455 (LV) ± 4.6% 42%[lower-alpha 5] 48% 1% 0% – 9%
44%[lower-alpha 63] 50% - - – 6%
MRG Sep 14–19 600 (LV) ± 4% 41% 46% - - 8%[lower-alpha 64] 5%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 11–16 637 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 49% - - 2%[lower-alpha 65] 4%
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[upper-alpha 5] Sep 11–15 517 (RV) – 42% 53% - - 3%[lower-alpha 66] 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Sep 12–14 930 (LV) ± 3.21% 39% 49% 2% 1% 0%[lower-alpha 67] 9%
EPIC-MRA Sep 10–15 600 (LV) ± 4% 40% 48% - - 5%[lower-alpha 68] 7%[lower-alpha 69]
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP Aug 28 – Sep 8 1,600 (LV) ± 2.5% 43% 50% - - 1%[lower-alpha 70] 5%
Morning Consult Aug 29 – Sep 7 1,455 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 42%[lower-alpha 71] 52% - - – –
Change Research/CNBC Sep 4–6 876 (LV) – 43% 49% - - 7%[lower-alpha 72] –
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Sep 2–3 1,000 (LV) ± 3% 44%[lower-alpha 73] 53% - - 3%[lower-alpha 74] –
Glengariff Group Sep 1–3 600 (LV) ± 4% 42% 47% - - 4%[lower-alpha 75] 7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Aug 30 – Sep 3 967 (LV) ± 3.15% 40% 51% 1% 0% 1%[lower-alpha 76] 7%
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum[upper-alpha 6] Aug 30 – Sep 2 802 (LV) ± 3.46% 44%[lower-alpha 77] 51% 2% 1% 0%[lower-alpha 78] 3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31 2,962 (LV) – 48% 49% - - – 3%
Morning Consult Aug 21–30 1,424 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 42% 52% - - – –
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[upper-alpha 2] Aug 28–29 897 (V) – 44% 48% 3% 1% – 3%
Change Research/CNBC Aug 21–23 809 (LV) – 44% 50% - - – –
Trafalgar Group Aug 14–23 1,048 (LV) ± 2.98% 47% 45% 3% - 1%[lower-alpha 79] 4%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies Aug 16–19 812 (LV) – 38% 50% 1% 1% 1%[lower-alpha 80] 9%
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[upper-alpha 5] Aug 13–17 631 (RV) – 46% 49% - - 3%[lower-alpha 81] 1%
Morning Consult Aug 7–16 1,212 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 44% 50% - - – –
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 4] Aug 11–15 600 (LV) – 41% 52% - - – 7%
Change Research/CNBC Aug 7–9 413 (LV) – 43% 48% - - – –
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison Jul 27 – Aug 6 761 (RV) ± 5.1% 43% 47% - - 5%[lower-alpha 82] 6%
GQR Research/Unite the Country PAC[upper-alpha 9] Jul 30 – Aug 4 1,245 (LV) – 43% 52% - - – –
David Binder Research Jul 30–31 200 (LV) – 41% 51% - - – –
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31 3,083 (LV) – 48% 49% - - – 2%
EPIC-MRA Jul 25–30 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 40% 51% 3% - - 6%
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[upper-alpha 2] Jul 28–29 876 (V) – 43% 49% - - 6%[lower-alpha 83] 3%
Change Research/CNBC Jul 24–26 413 (LV) – 42% 46% - - – –
Morning Consult Jul 17–26 1,320 (LV) ± 2.7% 42% 52% - - – –
YouGov/CBS Jul 21–24 1,156 (LV) ± 3.4% 42% 48% - - 2%[lower-alpha 84] 7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Jul 19–24 811 (LV) – 37% 49% 1% 1% 2%[lower-alpha 85] 10%
CNN/SSRS Jul 18–24 927 (RV) ± 3.8% 40% 52% - - 5%[lower-alpha 86] 2%
Gravis Marketing Jul 22 754 (RV) ± 3.6% 42% 51% - - – 7%
Fox News Jul 18–20 756 (RV) ± 3.5% 40% 49% - - 4%[lower-alpha 87] 7%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 4] Jul 13–16 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 53% - - – 7%
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[upper-alpha 10] Jul 11–16 600 (LV) ± 3.7% 50% 45% - - – 5%
Change Research/CNBC Jul 10–12 824 (LV) – 42% 48% - - – –
Public Policy Polling/Giffords (D)[upper-alpha 11] Jul 9–10 1,041 (V) ± 3.2% 44% 51% - - – 5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30 1,238 (LV) – 46% 51% - - – 3%
Change Research/CNBC Jun 26–28 699 (LV)[lower-alpha 35] – 43% 48% - - – –
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan (D)[upper-alpha 2] Jun 26–27 1,237 (V) – 44% 50% - - 5%[lower-alpha 88] 1%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) Jun 17–20 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 38% 56% - - 2%[lower-alpha 89] 7%
Trafalgar Group Jun 16–18 1,101 (LV) ± 2.95% 45% 46% - - 5%[lower-alpha 90] 4%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Jun 8–17 610 (RV) ± 4.3% 36% 47% - - 8%[lower-alpha 91] 9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Jun 14–16 826 (LV) ± 3.41% 36% 47% 2% 1% 2%[lower-alpha 92] 12%
TargetPoint Jun 11–16 1,000 (A) – 33% 49% - - 4%[lower-alpha 93] 14%
Change Research/CNBC Jun 12–14 353 (LV)[lower-alpha 35] – 45% 47% - - 3%[lower-alpha 94] –
TIPP/American Greatness PAC[upper-alpha 1] Jun 9–12 859 (LV) – 38% 51% - - 4%[lower-alpha 95] 7%
Kiaer Research May 31 – Jun 7 543 (LV) ± 6.4% 35% 50% - - 6%[lower-alpha 96] 8%
EPIC-MRA May 31 – Jun 4 600 (LV) ± 4% 39% 55% - - – –
EPIC-MRA May 30 – Jun 3 600 (LV) ± 4% 41% 53% - - – 6%[lower-alpha 97]
Change Research/CNBC May 29–31 620 (LV)[lower-alpha 35] – 46% 48% - - 3% 3%
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[upper-alpha 2] May 29–30 1,582 (V) ± 2.5% 44% 50% - - 4%[lower-alpha 98] 2%
Morning Consult May 17–26 1,325 (LV) – 42% 50% - - – –
Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care[upper-alpha 12] May 18–19 1,234 (V) ± 2.8% 45% 51% - - – 5%
Change Research/Crooked Media May 11–17 3,070 (LV) – 46% 49% - - – –
Redfield & Wilton Strategies May 10–14 970 (LV) ± 3.2% 39% 47% - - 3%[lower-alpha 99] 11%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) May 1–5 600 (LV) ± 3% 42% 50% - - – 8%
Public Policy Polling[upper-alpha 13] Apr 28–29 1,270 (V) – 42% 50% - - – 8%
Public Policy Polling[upper-alpha 14] Apr 20–21 1,277 (RV) – 44% 51% - - – 5%
Fox News Apr 18–21 801 (RV) ± 3.5% 41% 49% - - 3% 6%
Ipsos/Reuters Apr 15–20 612 (RV) ± 5.0% 38% 46% - - – –
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) Apr 9–11 600 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 49% - - – –
Hart Research/CAP Action[upper-alpha 15] Apr 6–8 303 (RV) – 41% 50% - - 4% 5%
Public Policy Polling Mar 31 – Apr 1 1,019 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 48% - - – 7%
SPRY Strategies Mar 30 – Apr 1 602 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 46% - - – 8%
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes Mar 17–25 997 (RV) ± 3.7% 42% 47% - - – 11%
Change Research Mar 21–23 510 (LV) – 47% 48% - - 5%
Marketing Resource Group Mar 16–20 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 44% - - 9%[lower-alpha 100] 6%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) Mar 12–16 600 (RV) – 44% 50% - - – –
AtlasIntel Mar 7–9 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 44% - - 10% –
YouGov/Yahoo News Mar 6–8 566 (RV) – 41% 45% - - 6%[lower-alpha 101] 7%
Monmouth University Mar 5–8 977 (RV) ± 3.1% 41% 48% - - 2% 9%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 5–7 550 (RV) ± 5.3% 46% 44% - - – –
YouGov Feb 11–20 1,249 (RV) ± 4.0% 43% 47% - - – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18 845 (RV) ± 3.4% 43% 47% - - 6%[lower-alpha 102] 3%
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18 500 (RV) – 43% 43% - - – 14%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press Jan 9–12 600 (LV) ± 4% 44% 50% - - – 6%
Glengariff Group Inc. Jan 3–7 600 (LV) ± 4% 43% 50% - - – 5%

2017–2019 polls
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump
Republican		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Other Undecided
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 551 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 41% 8% [lower-alpha 103] 5% [lower-alpha 104]
Emerson College Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 1,051 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 56% – –
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–25, 2019 501 (LV) ± 5.1% 44% 45% – –
Target Insyght Sep 24–26, 2019 800 (LV) – 35% 54% – –
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Sep 7–9, 2019 529 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 42% 17% –
EPIC-MRA Aug 17–21, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 51% – 8%
Climate Nexus Jul 14–17, 2019 820 (RV) ± 4.0% 36% 49% 5%[lower-alpha 105] 10%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 587 (LV) ± 4.2% 43% 46% 11% –
EPIC-MRA Jun 8–12, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 52% – 7%
Glengariff Group May 28–30, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 53% – 4%
WPA Intelligence Apr 27–30, 2019 200 (LV) ± 6.9% 42% 45% – 12%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 19–21, 2019 530 (LV) ± 4.5% 46% 45% 4% –
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.5% 46% 54% – –
Glengariff Group Jan 24–26, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 40% 53% – 5%
EPIC-MRA Apr 28–30, 2018 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 52% – 9%
Zogby Analytics Sep 2017 800 (V) – 35% 52% – 13%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Michael
Bloomberg (D)		 Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 845 (RV) ±3.4% 42% 47% 7%[lower-alpha 106] 4%
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) – 41% 46% – 13%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press Jan 9–12, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 42% 49% – 9%
Glengariff Group Inc. Jan 3–7, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 41% 47% – 10%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 551 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 37% 8% [lower-alpha 107] 7% [lower-alpha 108]

Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Cory
Booker (D)		 Other Undecided
Climate Nexus Jul 14–17, 2019 820 (RV) ± 4.0% 37% 39% 7%[lower-alpha 109] 16%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Pete
Buttigieg (D)		 Other Undecided
YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 1,249 (RV) ±4.0% 41% 47% – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 845 (RV) ±3.4% 44% 45% 8%[lower-alpha 110] 3%
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) – 40% 44% – 15%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press Jan 9–12, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 43% 47% – 10%
Glengariff Group Inc. Jan 3–7, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 43% 45% – 10%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 551 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 37% 8% [lower-alpha 111] 6% [lower-alpha 112]
Climate Nexus Jul 14–17, 2019 820 (RV) ± 4.0% 37% 39% 7%[lower-alpha 113] 16%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 587 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 40% 16% –
Glengariff Group May 28–30, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 47% – 11%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Kamala
Harris (D)		 Other Undecided
EPIC-MRA Aug 17–21, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 46% – 11%
Climate Nexus Jul 14–17, 2019 820 (RV) ± 4.0% 38% 41% 6%[lower-alpha 114] 14%
Glengariff Group May 28–30, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 47% – 9%
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 51% – –
Glengariff Group Jan 24–26, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 47% – 10%

Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Amy
Klobuchar (D)		 Other Undecided
YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 1,249 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% 44% – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 845 (RV) ± 3.4% 44% 45% 6%[lower-alpha 115] 4%
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.5% 47% 53% – –

Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Beto
O'Rourke (D)		 Other Undecided
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 19–21, 2019 530 (LV) ± 4.5% 48% 39% 8% –

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Bernie
Sanders (D)		 Other Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes Mar 17–25, 2020 997 (RV) ± 3.7% 42% 45% – 13%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) Mar 12–16, 2020 600 (RV) – 44% 49% – –
AtlasIntel Mar 7–9, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 46% 11% –
YouGov/Yahoo News Mar 6–8, 2020 566 (RV) – 42% 43% 7%[lower-alpha 116] 8%
Monmouth University Mar 5–8, 2020 977 (RV) ± 3.1% 41% 46% 2% 9%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 5–7, 2020 550 (RV) ± 5.3% 48% 41% – –
YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 1,249 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% 48% – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 845 (RV) ± 3.4% 43% 48% 7%[lower-alpha 117] 3%
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) – 42% 46% – 12%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press Jan 9–12, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 45% 50% – 5%
Glengariff Group Inc. Jan 3–7, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 45% 49% – 5%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 551 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 42% 6% [lower-alpha 118] 5% [lower-alpha 119]
Emerson College Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 1,051 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 57% – –
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–25, 2019 501 (LV) ± 5.1% 42% 46% – –
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Sep 7–9, 2019 529 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 40% 17% –
EPIC-MRA Aug 17–21, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 48% – 8%
Climate Nexus Jul 14–17, 2019 820 (RV) ± 4.0% 38% 47% 4%[lower-alpha 120] 11%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 587 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 44% 12% –
Glengariff Group May 28–30, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 53% – 5%
Tulchin Research (D)[upper-alpha 16] Apr 14–18, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 41% 52% – –
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 19–21, 2019 530 (LV) ± 4.5% 46% 45% 6% –
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.5% 47% 52% – –
Glengariff Group Jan 24–26, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 52% – 6%
Zogby Analytics Sep 2017 800 (V) – 36% 54% – 10%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Elizabeth
Warren (D)		 Other Undecided
YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 1,249 (RV) ±4.0% 43% 46% – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 845 (RV) ±3.4% 43% 45% 7%[lower-alpha 121] 4%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press Jan 9–12, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 45% 48% – 7%
Glengariff Group Inc. Jan 3–7, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 44% 46% – 8%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 551 (LV) ± 4.3% 47% 38% 8% [lower-alpha 122] 6% [lower-alpha 123]
Emerson College Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 1,051 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 54% – –
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–25, 2019 501 (LV) ± 5.1% 45% 40% – –
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Sep 7–9, 2019 529 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 41% 17% –
EPIC-MRA Aug 17–21, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 49% – 8%
Climate Nexus Jul 14–17, 2019 820 (RV) ± 4.0% 38% 44% 6%[lower-alpha 124] 12%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 587 (LV) ± 4.2% 43% 41% 16% –
Glengariff Group May 28–30, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 47% – 9%
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 51% – –
Glengariff Group Jan 24–26, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 46% – 10%
Zogby Analytics Sep 2017 800 (V) – 37% 46% – 17%
Zogby Analytics Aug 17–23, 2017 803 (LV) ± 3.5% 35% 51% – 14%
Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and Justin Amash

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Joe
Biden (D)		 Justin
Amash (L)		 Undecided
Glengariff Group May 28–30, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 45% 10% 6%

with Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and Howard Schultz

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Joe
Biden (D)		 Howard
Schultz (I)		 Undecided
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% 52% 4% –

with Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders, and Howard Schultz

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Bernie
Sanders (D)		 Howard
Schultz (I)		 Undecided
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.5% 45% 49% 6% –

with Donald Trump and Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Generic
Democrat (D)		 Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University Mar 17–25, 2020 997 (RV) ± 3.7% 43.2%[lower-alpha 125] 54.0% 2.9%[lower-alpha 126]
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) – 38% 50% 11%
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University Jan 8-20, 2020 1,023 (RV) ± 3.1% 36.4%[lower-alpha 127] 50.3% 13.3%
KFF/Cook Political Report Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019 767 (RV) ± 4% 27% 39% 25%

with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Generic
Opponent		 Undecided
EPIC-MRA Jul 25 - 30, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 37% 49%[lower-alpha 128] 14%
EPIC-MRA May 31 – Jun 4, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 33% 51%[lower-alpha 129] 13%[lower-alpha 130]
EPIC-MRA May 30 – Jun 3, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 38% 51%[lower-alpha 131] 8%[lower-alpha 132]
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press Jan 9–12, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 34% 44%[lower-alpha 133] 22%[lower-alpha 134]
EPIC-MRA Jun 8–12, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4% 32% 45%[lower-alpha 135] 23%[lower-alpha 136]
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press Mar 3–7, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4% 31% 49%[lower-alpha 137] 20%[lower-alpha 138]
Glengariff Group/WDIV/Detroit News Jan 24–26, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4% 31% 53% 15%[lower-alpha 139]

General election results
2020 United States presidential election in Michigan[27][28]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris 		2,804,040 50.62% +3.35%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence		 2,649,852 47.84% +0.34%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen		 60,381 1.09% -2.50%
Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker		 13,718 0.25% -0.82%
Taxpayers Don Blankenship
William Mohr		 7,235 0.13% N/A
Natural Law Rocky De La Fuente
Darcy Richardson		 2,986 0.05% N/A
Write-in Brian T. Carroll 963 0.02% +0.01%
Write-in Jade Simmons 89 <0.01% N/A
Write-in Tom Hoefling 32 <0.01% N/A
Write-in 6 <0.01% N/A
Total votes 5,539,302 100.00%

By congressional district

Trump won 8 out of the 14 congressional districts in Michigan.

District Trump Biden Representative
1st 58% 40% Jack Bergman
2nd 55% 43% Bill Huizenga
3rd 51% 47% Justin Amash
Peter Meijer
4th 61% 37% John Moolenaar
5th 47% 51% Dan Kildee
6th 51% 47% Fred Upton
7th 57% 42% Tim Walberg
8th 50% 49% Elissa Slotkin
9th 43% 56% Andy Levin
10th 64% 34% Paul Mitchell
Lisa McClain
11th 47% 52% Haley Stevens
12th 34% 64% Debbie Dingell
13th 20% 79% Rashida Tlaib
14th 20% 80% Brenda Lawrence

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic


Jeremy W. Peters of The New York Times wrote that "high Detroit turnout" was a crucial factor aiding Biden.[29] African-Americans in Detroit were a major demographic contributing to Joe Biden winning that state.[30] Trump received 12,600 votes in Detroit proper, an increase from the previous election's 7,700. Biden saw increases from 2016 in Oakland and Washtenaw counties.[31]

In Oakland County Joe Biden won 433,982 votes, making up 56.36% of the votes. The municipalities in Oakland County that majority voted for Biden versus Trump included Bloomfield Township, Farmington Hills, Madison Heights, Novi, Rochester Hills, Southfield and Troy.[32]

The number of unbalanced votes in Wayne County for 2020 was below the same number for 2016.[33] On November 23, 2020, Michigan certified the results 3–0, with Norm Shinkle abstaining.[34]

Analysis

Michigan was generally seen as one of the most critical states of the 2020 election; the state boasts a highly prized 16 electoral votes, and had been part of the blue wall since Bill Clinton won the state in 1992. It was key to Trump's surprise victory in 2016, and the Biden campaign paid heavy attention to the state throughout the campaign, looking to avoid a repeat of Hillary Clinton's collapse in the northern industrial states.[35][36]

Biden would carry the state by about 2.8% points; while Biden ran well behind Barack Obama in his two campaigns, his margin of victory was in-line for a Democratic candidate, only performing slightly worse than John Kerry's 3.4% margin in 2004, and Al Gore's 5.2% margin in 2000, reflecting some of the steady demographic shifts in the state. Many undecided/third-party voters that had been lost by Clinton appeared to return to the Democratic column, giving Biden enough votes to carry the state.[37]

While Michigan returned to the Democratic column with a fairly sizable margin, the state's internal politics shifted rather dramatically. Trump performed strongly with white voters without a college degree, winning this group by 17 points, and this group made up about 51% of Michigan's electorate, cementing the white-working-class shift to the GOP; with men, this was even more convincing, as Trump carried white men without a college degree by 30 points. On the other hand, there was a significant suburban shift towards the Democrats; for example, Ottawa County, a suburban county outside of Grand Rapids, has traditionally been a GOP-stronghold in the state; Biden cut into Trump's margins here, and Trump carried this county by less than 60%.[38] Trump held Macomb County, which famously helped him clinch Michigan in 2016, but carried it by only 8 points, 3 points fewer than in 2016.[39]

Other demographic patterns remained the same. Biden won 93% of African-American voters in the state; consequently, Biden improved from Clinton's performance in Wayne County, home of Detroit.[40] Biden's performance among black voters would carry on in other parts of the state; Biden was able to match Clinton's performance in Genesee County,[41] and flipped back Saginaw County.[42]

Finally, Biden performed strongly with Michigan's different religious groups; Biden was able to improve from Clinton in the vote share with Evangelical Michiganders. More importantly, Biden performed strongly with white Catholics, who make up a large portion of Michigan's electorate.[43]

Aftermath

On November 5, a state judge in Michigan dismissed the Trump campaign's lawsuit requesting a pause in vote-counting to allow access to observers, as the judge noted that vote-counting had already finished in Michigan.[44] That judge also noted the official complaint did not state "why", "when, where, or by whom" an election observer was allegedly blocked from observing ballot-counting in Michigan.[45]

In Antrim County, Michigan, human error led to a miscount of an unofficial tally of votes for the presidential candidates. The error was caused by a worker using different kinds of ballots when setting up ballot scanners and result-reporting systems, therefore mismatched results were produced. The errors were spotted and rectified, thus the unofficial tally was changed from a Biden victory in the county to a Trump victory.[46]

Despite pressure from the Trump campaign to hand the decision over the state's presidential electors to the Michigan State Legislature, which would have been an unprecedented maneuver in state history, the statewide results were certified in favor of the Biden/Harris ticket on November 23, with one Republican member of the Michigan Board of State Canvassers abstaining.[47]

See also

Notes
Partisan clients
  1. The Center for American Greatness is a pro-Trump organization
  2. Progress Michigan is a non-profit that primarily supports Democratic candidates
  3. The American Bridge PAC exclusively supports Democratic candidates
  4. The Restoration PAC is a 501 non-profit which supports Donald Trump's 2020 presidential campaign
  5. Rust Belt Rising is affiliated with the Democratic Party
  6. The American Action Forum is a 501 organisation which usually supports Republican candidates
  7. The Committee to Protect Medicare is a PAC with a history of buying ads arguing against the reelection of Trump
  8. The Human Rights Campaign endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
  9. Unite the Country PAC has endorsed Biden's presidential campaign
  10. This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.
  11. Poll sponsored by Giffords, whose head - Gabby Giffords - had endorsed Biden prior to the sampling period
  12. Protect Our Care is a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
  13. Poll sponsored by Progress Michigan, the Michigan branch of Progress Now, a progressive advocacy organisation
  14. Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
  15. CAP Action is a political advocacy group that exclusively supports Democratic candidates
  16. Poll sponsored by the Sanders campaign
Voter samples and additional candidates
  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  4. "Someone else" with 2%
  5. Standard VI response
  6. "Some other candidate" with 2%; West (B) and would not vote with 0%
  7. If only Biden, Trump and "some other candidate" were available
  8. "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
  9. Results considering those who lean towards a given candidate among those initially predisposed towards abstention, indecision or a candidate besides Biden or Trump in the response section immediately above
  10. "Some other candidate" with 2%
  11. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  12. "Someone else" with 3%
  13. "Not sure/Someone else/Undecided" with 8%
  14. "None of these" with 1%; "Other" with 0%
  15. "Someone else" with no voters
  16. Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
  17. Results generated with high Republican turnout model
  18. "Third party" with 5%
  19. Includes "Refused"
  20. "Someone else" with 1%
  21. "Other/third party" with 2%
  22. "Someone else" with 0%
  23. "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%
  24. Includes "Refused"
  25. "Some other candidate" with 2%; West (B) and would not vote with 0%
  26. If only Biden, Trump and "Some other candidate" were available
  27. "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
  28. "Third party" with 2%
  29. "Other" and "None of these" with 0%; would not vote with no voters
  30. Includes Undecided
  31. "Other" with 2%; would not vote with no voters
  32. "Some other candidate" with 2%; West (B) and would not vote with 0%
  33. If only Biden, Trump and "Some other candidate" were available
  34. "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
  35. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  36. "Third party candidate" with 5%
  37. Includes "Refused"
  38. "Someone else" with 1%
  39. "Someone else" with 2%
  40. "Someone else" with 2%
  41. Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
  42. Results generated with high Republican turnout model
  43. "Some other candidate" and West (B) with 1%; would not vote with 0%
  44. If only Biden, Trump and "Some other candidate" were available
  45. "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
  46. "Third party candidate" with 4%
  47. Includes "Refused"
  48. "Someone else" with 4%
  49. "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 0%
  50. Includes "Refused"
  51. "Other third party" with 2%
  52. "Another candidate" with 0%
  53. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  54. "Someone else" with 2%
  55. "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%
  56. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  57. "Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
  58. "Refused" with 3%; "Third Party" with 2%
  59. "Someone else" with 1%
  60. "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 0%
  61. "Someone else" with 1.2%
  62. "Another candidate" with 1%
  63. If only Trump and Biden were candidates
  64. "Someone else" with 7%; "Refused" with 1%; would not vote with 0%
  65. "Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
  66. "Someone else" with 3%
  67. "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 0%
  68. "Third party candidate" with 5%
  69. Includes "Refused"
  70. Would not vote with 1%
  71. Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  72. "Other/not sure" with 7%
  73. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  74. "Some other candidate" with 3%
  75. "Refused" with 3%; "Third party" with 1%
  76. "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%
  77. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  78. Would not vote with 0%
  79. "Another party candidate" with 1%
  80. "Another third party/write-in" 1%
  81. "Someone else" with 3%
  82. "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
  83. "Third party" with 6%
  84. "Someone else/third party" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
  85. "Another Third Party/Write-In" with 2%
  86. "Other" with 1%; "Neither" with 4%
  87. "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
  88. "Would vote third party" with 5%
  89. "Refused" with 2%
  90. "Third party candidate" with 5%
  91. Would not vote with 5%; "Another candidate" with 3%
  92. "other" with 2%
  93. "Refused/no answer" with 4%
  94. "Libertarian Party candidate/Green Party candidate" with 3%
  95. "Other" with 4%; "prefer not to answer" with 0%
  96. "A different candidate" with 6%
  97. Includes "refused"
  98. "Third party" with 4%
  99. "Third party/write-in" with 3%
  100. "Someone else" with 6%; "Refused" and would not vote with 1%
  101. "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
  102. "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 4%
  103. A third party candidate with 5%; would not vote with 3%
  104. Includes "refused"
  105. Would not vote with 5%
  106. "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 4%
  107. A third party candidate with 5%; would not vote with 3%
  108. Includes "refused"
  109. Would not vote with 7%
  110. "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 5%
  111. A third party candidate with 4%; would not vote with 4%
  112. Includes "refused"
  113. Would not vote with 7%
  114. Would not vote with 6%
  115. "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 4%
  116. "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 2%
  117. "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 4%
  118. A third party candidate with 4%; would not vote with 2%
  119. Includes "refused"
  120. Would not vote with 4%
  121. "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 5%
  122. A third party candidate with 3%; would not vote with 5%
  123. Includes "refused"
  124. Would not vote with 6%
  125. Figures for each candidate in this poll include undecided voters who were reported to lean towards that candidate at the time of polling.
  126. "It depends on who the Democrats nominate" with 1.9%; "unsure" with 1%
  127. Figures for each candidate in this poll include undecided voters who were reported to lean towards that candidate at the time of polling.
  128. Listed as "Would vote to replace Trump"
  129. Listed as "Would vote to replace Trump"
  130. Listed as "would consider voting for someone other than Trump"
  131. Listed as "Would vote to replace Trump"
  132. Listed as "would consider voting for someone other than Trump"
  133. Listed as "Would vote to replace Trump"
  134. 19% listed as "would consider voting for someone other than Trump"; 3% as "undecided/refused"
  135. "Vote to replace Trump" with 45%
  136. "Consider voting for someone else" with 19%; "Undecided/refused" with 4%
  137. "Vote to replace Trump" with 49%
  138. "Consider voting for someone else" with 16%; "Don't know/refused" with 4%
  139. "Depends on who the Democratic nominee is" with 15%

References
  1. "Record 5.5M voted in Michigan; highest percentage in decades". Associated Press. November 5, 2020.
  2. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. Shepard, Steven. "Michigan certifies Trump as winner". POLITICO. Retrieved November 10, 2020.
  5. Coleman, Justine (September 9, 2020). "Biden unveils plan to penalize companies that offshore jobs ahead of Michigan visit". TheHill. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  6. "Michigan Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  7. "Michigan Will Keep Mark Sanford's Name on the Republican Presidential Primary Unless he Sends in a Withdrawal Letter | Ballot Access News".
  8. "2020 Michigan Election Results". Michigan Secretary of State. April 30, 2020. Retrieved November 12, 2020.
  9. Taylor, Kate (February 9, 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  10. "2020 Michigan Election Results". Michigan Secretary of State. Retrieved June 11, 2020.
  11. "2020 Princeton Election Consortium". 270ToWin. Retrieved January 15, 2021.
  12. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  13. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  14. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  15. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  16. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  17. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  18. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  19. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  20. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  21. "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  22. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  23. "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
  24. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  25. "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  26. "JHK Forecasts Presidential Election Forecast". JHKForecasts. Retrieved November 3, 2020.
  27. "2020 Michigan Official General Election Results – 11/03/2020". Michigan Secretary of State. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
  28. "2020 Presidential General Election Results - Michigan". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved November 30, 2020.
  29. Peters, Jeremy W. (November 4, 2020). "The view in Michigan: Amid ballot-counting, Biden's team is buoyed by high Detroit turnout". The New York Times. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
  30. Warikoo, Niraj (November 6, 2020). "Black voters in Detroit key for Joe Biden and Gary Peters' victories, advocates say". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
  31. Garrison, Joey (November 13, 2020). "Donald Trump keeps baselessly claiming voter fraud in cities. But suburbs actually lost him the election". USA Today. Retrieved November 13, 2020.
  32. Bartkowiak, Dave Jr. (November 10, 2020). "How Detroit's Oakland County suburbs voted in 2020 presidential election". Click on Detroit. Retrieved November 24, 2020.
  33. Ruble, Kayla (November 23, 2020). "Detroit had more vote errors in 2016 when Trump won Michigan by a narrow margin. He didn't object then". Washington Post. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
  34. https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2020/11/23/michigan-election-state-canvassers-certification/6390475002/
  35. Alter, Charlotte (September 15, 2020). "Joe Biden is Running an Invisible Digital Campaign in All-Important Michigan. That's Making Some Democrats Nervous". Time. Retrieved December 15, 2020.
  36. Emmrich, Stuart (October 28, 2020). "Letter From Michigan: Trying to Win a Key Battleground State for Joe Biden, One Door at a Time". Vogue. Retrieved December 15, 2020.
  37. Spangler, Todd (November 6, 2020). "Here's how Biden beat Trump in Michigan — and it wasn't corruption". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved December 15, 2020.
  38. Spangler, Todd (November 6, 2020). "Here's how Biden beat Trump in Michigan — and it wasn't corruption". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved December 15, 2020.
  39. Bartkowiak, Dave (November 11, 2020). "Biden wins big in Wayne, Oakland counties while Trump holds onto Macomb County". ClickOnDetroit. Retrieved December 15, 2020.
  40. Bartkowiak, Dave (November 11, 2020). "Biden wins big in Wayne, Oakland counties while Trump holds onto Macomb County". ClickOnDetroit. Retrieved December 15, 2020.
  41. Simpson-Mersha, Isis. "See how Genesee County in 2020 voted compared to past elections". MLive. Retrieved December 15, 2020.
  42. Johnson, Bob (November 4, 2020). "Biden narrowly wins Saginaw County". MLive. Retrieved December 15, 2020.
  43. "US elections 2020: Trump's support dips among Caucasian evangelical Christians, exit polls show". Middle East Eye. November 6, 2020. Retrieved December 15, 2020.
  44. Egan, Paul (November 5, 2020). "Judge throws out Trump lawsuit over counting of Michigan ballots". Detroit Free Press. Archived from the original on November 8, 2020. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
  45. Herb, Jeremy; Polantz, Katelyn (November 7, 2020). "'Democracy plain and simple': How the 2020 election defied fraud claims and pandemic fears". CNN. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
  46. Perlroth, Nicole; Nicas, Jack (November 9, 2020). "No, Software Glitches Are Not Affecting Vote Counts". The New York Times. Archived from the original on November 10, 2020. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
  47. Mauger, Craig; Nann Burke, Melissa (November 23, 2020). "Michigan board certifies Nov. 3 election, cementing Biden victory". The Detroit News. Retrieved November 23, 2020.

Further reading
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.