2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota
The 2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Dakota.
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| Elections in South Dakota |
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Incumbent three-term Republican U.S. Senator John Thune, who is the Senate Minority Whip, has not yet declared his intention to run for a fourth term.
Republican primary
On December 23, 2020, Donald Trump said Thune would face a primary challenger after Thune refused to support a challenge of the 2020 Electoral College results, tweeting: “Republicans in the Senate so quickly forget. Right now they would be down 8 seats without my backing them in the last Election. RINO John Thune, “Mitch’s boy”, should just let it play out. South Dakota doesn’t like weakness. He will be primaried in 2022, political career over!!!”[1] South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem stated she would not challenge Thune for the seat.[2] On January 1, 2021, President Trump tweeted that Noem should challenge Thune in a primary, despite Noem previously saying she will not do so, instead running for re-election as Governor in 2022.[3]
Potential
- John Thune, incumbent U.S. Senator
Declined
- Kristi Noem, Governor of South Dakota (2019–present) and former U.S. Representative for South Dakota's at-large congressional district (2011–2019) (running for re-election)[2]
Democratic primary
Potential
- Billie Sutton, former Minority Leader of the South Dakota House of Representatives and nominee for Governor in 2018[4][5]
Declined
- Brendan Johnson, former United States Attorney for the District of South Dakota and son of former U.S. Senator Tim Johnson[5]
- Stephanie Herseth Sandlin, president of Augustana University and former U.S. Representative for South Dakota's at-large congressional district[5]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Solid R | January 25, 2021 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] | Safe R | January 28, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[8] | Solid R | January 25, 2021 |
References
- Williams, Jordan (2020-12-22). "Trump attacks Thune: 'He will be primaried in 2022'". TheHill. Retrieved 2020-12-23.
- Budryk, Zack (2020-12-23). "Noem rules out Thune challenge after Trump criticizes senator". TheHill. Retrieved 2020-12-23.
- Coleman, Justine (1 January 2021). "Trump again calls for Noem to primary Thune despite her refusal". The Hill. Retrieved 1 January 2021.
- Nord, James (December 14, 2018). "After close governor race, Sutton hints at political future". Rapid City Journal. Retrieved January 9, 2021.
- Lawrence, Tom (November 29, 2020). "Is it just a South Dakota political legend or eerie fate: Will Sen. John Thune end the 'Curse of Karl' in 2022?". The South Dakota Standard. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
- "2022 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
- "2022 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
- "2022 Senate Election: A First Look". Inside elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.