2022 United States Senate election in Vermont

The 2022 United States Senate election in Vermont will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Vermont.

November 8, 2022


Party	Democratic	Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Patrick Leahy
Democratic

Federal offices

Presidential elections
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U.S. Senate elections
Class One 1916 1922 1928 1934 1940 1946 1952 1958 1964 1970 1976 1982 1988 1994 2000 2006 2012 2018 Class Three 1914 1920 1926 1932 1938 1944 1950 1956 1962 1968 1974 1980 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010 2016
U.S. House elections
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Special elections
2nd district, 1797 1st district, 1808 At-large, 1824 Senate, 1923 Senate, 1931 Senate, 1934 Senate, 1940 Senate, 1972

State offices

General elections
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Gubernatorial elections
1778 1779 1780 1781 1782 1783 1784 1785 1786 1789 1790 1851 1852 1853 1854 1855 1856 1857 1858 1859 1860 1861 1862 1863 1864 1865 1866 1867 1868 1869 1870 1872 1874 1876 1878 1880 1882 1884 1886 1888 1890 1892 1894 1896 1898 1900 1902 1904 1906 1908 1910 1912 1914 1916 1918 1920 1922 1924 1926 1928 1930 1932 1934 1936 1938 1940 1942 1944 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Legislative elections
Senate 2018 2020 House of Representatives 2018 2020

Incumbent Senator, Democrat Patrick Leahy, has not declared whether or not he will seek a ninth term.

Democratic primary

Declared

Patrick Leahy, incumbent U.S. Senator since 1975

Potential

Becca Balint, President pro tempore of the Vermont Senate since 2021[1][2][3]
Sarah Copeland-Hanzas, state representative since 2005[1]
T. J. Donovan, Attorney General of Vermont since 2017[4][5][1]
Molly Gray, Lieutenant Governor of Vermont since 2021[1]
Christine Hallquist, Businesswoman and Democratic nominee for Governor of Vermont in 2018[6]
Jill Krowinski, Speaker of the Vermont House of Representatives since 2021[1]
Patrick Leahy, incumbent U.S. Senator since 1975[7]
David Zuckerman, former Lieutenant Governor of Vermont (2017–2021) and Democratic and Progressive nominee for Governor of Vermont in 2020[5] (Member of the Progressive Party but runs with the Democratic Party's endorsement under Vermont's electoral fusion system)

Republican primary

Filed Paperwork

Phil Scott, Governor of Vermont since 2017[8]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[9]	Solid D	January 25, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Safe D	January 28, 2021
Inside Elections[11]	Solid D	January 25, 2021

Polling

Hypothetical polling

with Patrick Leahy and Phil Scott

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Patrick Leahy (D)	Phil Scott (R)	Other	Undecided
Braun Research/VPR	September 3–15, 2020	582 (LV)	± 4.0%	38%	41%	7%[lower-alpha 2]	15%

Notes

Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
"Neither" with 7%

References

Heintz, Paul (November 18, 2020). "If Sanders Joined Biden's Cabinet, Who Would Succeed Him in the Senate?". Seven Days.
O'Connor, Kevin (November 3, 2020). "Senate leader Becca Balint's new signs hint at future statewide run". VTDigger.
Sukiennik, Greg (November 23, 2020). "Balint, women leaders, Brock make history as Senate leadership shifts". Brattleboro Reformer.
Davis, Eric (October 24, 2019). "Vermont elections may lack drama". Addison County Independent. Retrieved October 25, 2020.
Xander Landen & Kit Norton (October 29, 2019). "Democrats poll Zuckerman and Donovan for governor as Holcombe presses ahead". VTDigger. Retrieved October 25, 2020.
https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/2022-senate-races-initial-ratings/
"Republicans dash to defend perilous 2022 Senate map". POLITICO. Retrieved February 6, 2021.
"VPR - Vermont PBS 2020 Polls: September". Vermont Public Radio. September 22, 2020. Retrieved September 22, 2020.
"2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
"2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
"Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.

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