2016 United States Senate election in South Dakota

The 2016 United States Senate election in South Dakota was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Dakota, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held June 7.

United States Senate election in South Dakota, 2016

November 8, 2016
 
Nominee John Thune Jay Williams
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 265,516 104,140
Percentage 71.8% 28.2%

County Results

Thune:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

Williams:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. senator before election

John Thune
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Thune
Republican

Incumbent Republican Senator John Thune was considered a potential 2016 presidential candidate, but decided instead to run for a third term in office.[1]

Senator Thune was re-elected with the largest personal vote of any candidate in South Dakota's history with 265,516 votes.

Republican primary

Declared

Declined

Democratic primary

Declared

  • Jay Williams, Chair of the Yankton County Democratic Party, former Yankton School Board member and candidate for the State House in 2010 and 2014[3][4]

Declined

Constitution Party

The Constitution Party nominated Kurt Evans for Senate depending on the resolution of a ballot-access legal action, however, the party's request to place a candidate on the ballot was not granted.[18][19][20]

General election

Debates

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Thune (R)
Jay
Williams (D)
Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 459 ± 4.6% 65% 31% 4%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016 435 ± 4.6% 64% 31% 5%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016 393 ± 4.6% 66% 29% 5%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016 345 ± 4.6% 67% 30% 3%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 2016 281 ± 4.6% 65% 32% 3%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 298 ± 4.6% 67% 31% 2%
Nielson Brothers Polling October 24–26, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 54% 35% 11%
Remington Research Group October 19–21, 2016 1,115 ± 3.0% 57% 36% 7%
Mason-Dixon October 18–20, 2016 400 ± 5.0% 65% 27% 8%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Safe R September 9, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R September 19, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[23] Safe R September 2, 2016
Daily Kos[24] Safe R September 16, 2016
Real Clear Politics[25] Safe R September 15, 2016

Results

United States Senate election in South Dakota, 2016 [26]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican John Thune (incumbent) 265,516 71.83% -28.17%
Democratic Jay Williams 104,140 28.17% N/A
Total votes 369,656 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

References

  1. Everett, Burgess (January 14, 2015). "Thune: No 'opening' for a White House run". Politico. Retrieved January 14, 2015.
  2. Russo, Mark (October 26, 2015). "Thune primary challenge? Not likely!". KELO-TV. Retrieved February 15, 2016.
  3. Sneve, Joe (February 19, 2016). "Yankton Democrat expected to challenge Thune". Argus Leader. Retrieved February 19, 2016.
  4. Siebold, Jack (February 19, 2016). "Yankton businessman to challenge Thune". KOTA-TV. Archived from the original on February 20, 2016. Retrieved February 19, 2016.
  5. Mercer, Bob (March 21, 2015). "Are Democrats just a Daschle away from a revival?". Black Hills Pioneer. Retrieved August 27, 2015.
  6. Lawrence, Tom (January 26, 2016). "Daschle, Lott: Congress must work together". Black Hills Pioneer. Retrieved February 6, 2016.
  7. Lawrence, Tom (July 1, 2015). "Will anyone take on Thune in 2016?". Prairie Perspective. Retrieved August 27, 2015.
  8. Heidelberger, Cory (February 8, 2016). "Defend Voters, Support Education, Fight Corruption: Heidelberger Declares for District 3 Senate". Dakota Free Press. Retrieved February 16, 2016.
  9. Levinson, Alexis (February 18, 2015). "Brendan Johnson Discusses His Future in South Dakota (Updated)". Roll Call. Retrieved August 27, 2015.
  10. Tupper, Seth (December 14, 2015). "Thune frolicking through another opponent-less election season". Rapid City Journal. Retrieved December 27, 2015.
  11. Woster, Kevin (August 24, 2015). "Hurst for U.S. Senate in 2016? Well …". KELO-TV. Retrieved August 27, 2015.
  12. Levinson, Alexis (March 18, 2015). "Potential Thune Challenger Bows Out". Roll Call. Retrieved August 27, 2015.
  13. Woster, Kevin (August 17, 2015). "Thune vs. Kloucek & Kolaches in 2016? Why not?". KELO-TV. Retrieved August 27, 2015.
  14. "Dem Chances for a US Senate candidate looking even more dismal…". South Dakota War College. August 23, 2015. Retrieved August 27, 2015.
  15. Heidelberger, Cory (August 31, 2015). "Epp Suggests Drafting Schreck to Challenge Thune". Dakota Free Press. Retrieved October 1, 2015.
  16. Hendershot, Evan (February 15, 2016). "State Sen. Sutton hasn't counted out run for governor". Mitchell Daily Republic. Retrieved February 19, 2016.
  17. "Rick Weiland returns with new nonpartisan political group". Rapid City Journal. March 18, 2015. Retrieved May 20, 2015.
  18. Winger, Richard (August 15, 2016). "U.S. District Court Won't Put Constitution Party Nominees for U.S. Senate and Legislature on South Dakota Ballot, Due to a Legal Technicality". Ballot Access News. Retrieved March 3, 2017.
  19. Heidelberger, Cory (August 18, 2016). "Constitution Party Still Fighting to Place Evans and Schmidt on Ballot". Dakota Free Press. Retrieved March 3, 2017.
  20. Heidelberger, Cory (September 8, 2016). "Constitution Party Definitely Not Getting Evans and Schmidt on Ballot". Dakota Free Press. Retrieved March 3, 2017.
  21. "2016 Senate Race Ratings for September 9, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 9, 2016.
  22. "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  23. "2016 Senate Ratings (September 2, 2016)". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2016.
  24. "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 17, 2016.
  25. "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 15, 2016.
  26. https://sdsos.gov/elections-voting/assets/2016GeneralElectionOfficialResultsStateCanvass.pdf
Official campaign websites
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