2023 Ceuta Assembly election

The Assembly of Ceuta is the top-tier administrative and governing body of the autonomous city of Ceuta.[1]

Voting for the Assembly is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over eighteen, registered and residing in the municipality of Ceuta and in full enjoyment of their political rights, as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allows Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty.[2] The 25 members of the Assembly of Ceuta are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied. Parties not reaching the threshold are not taken into consideration for seat distribution.[1][2]

The Mayor-President is indirectly elected by the plenary assembly. A legal clause requires that mayoral candidates earn the vote of an absolute majority of members, or else the candidate of the most-voted party in the assembly shall be automatically appointed to the post. In case of a tie, a toss-up would determine the appointee.[1]

The electoral law provides that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors are allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors are required to secure the signature of a determined amount of the electors registered in Ceuta. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[2]

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 13 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Ceuta.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout				MDyC			Lead
SyM Consulting[p 1][p 2]	9–12 Dec 2020	652	49.8	25.0 7	20.1 5/6	28.3 7/8	8.9 2	12.7 3	–	3.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 3]	16 Aug–26 Sep 2020	?	?	38.9 10	22.1 6	15.6 4	10.9 3	8.9 2	2.3 0	16.8
SyM Consulting[p 4][p 5]	12–13 Sep 2020	687	50.8	29.8 8	20.5 5/6	23.4 6/7	11.4 3	9.7 2	–	6.4
SyM Consulting[p 6][p 7]	22–23 Jun 2020	564	59.3	35.4 9/10	26.1 7	14.5 4	8.3 2/3	9.2 2	1.8 0	9.3
SyM Consulting[p 8][p 9]	25–26 May 2020	541	65.9	39.3 10/11	18.2 5	8.4 2	16.8 4/5	12.0 3	1.4 0	21.1
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 10][p 11]	1 Apr–15 May 2020	?	?	40.0 11	24.2 7	16.4 4	7.6 2	6.4 1	2.4 0	15.8
SyM Consulting[p 12][p 13]	1–2 Feb 2020	534	61.7	39.1 10/11	24.9 7	7.9 2	12.5 3	10.1 2/3	1.6 0	14.2
November 2019 general election	10 Nov 2019	N/A	54.0	22.3 6	31.3 9	35.2 10	2.5 0	–	3.4 0	3.9
2019 Assembly election	26 May 2019	N/A	56.9	31.1 9	25.6 7	22.4 6	7.0 2	6.2 1	4.5 0	5.5

Opinion poll sources

Other